2019 Weranian federal election

Revision as of 01:42, 30 June 2020 by Britbong64 (talk | contribs)
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Next Weranian general election

← 2015 31 May 2019

All 545 seats to the Volkstag
273 seats are needed for a majority in the Volkstag
Turnout36,209,578 (77.91%)
  First party Second party Third party
  2017-01-20 Horst Seehofer CSU 6527.JPG Werner Faymann 2015.jpg Schulze Katharina Bildarchiv Bayerischer Landtag, Foto Eleana Hegerich.jpg
Leader Otto von Hößlin Viktor Oberhauser Yvonne Buchholz
(Spitzenkandidat)
Party NKP SRPO Grüns
Leader since 3rd August 2015 24th September 2014 7th November 2015
Last election 138 seats, 24.47% 157 seats, 25.42% 42 seats, 10.27%
Seats won 244 85 80
Seat change Increase106 Decrease72 Increase38
Popular vote 13,257,365 6,154,682 6,104,684
Percentage 36.61% 17.00% 16.86%
Swing Increase11.20% Decrease7.69% Increase6.33%

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  2015-01-06 3318 Lencke Steiner (Dreikönigskundgebung der Liberalen).jpg 2018 Karin Kneissl Paul Richard Gallagher (16. Jänner 2018) (24876263787) (cropped).jpg Arvydas Ražauskas.png
Leader Veronika Althammer Käthe Schickdanze Arvydas Ražauskas
Party PMZ DA NNK
Leader since 31st March 2016 18th October 2014 20th March 1999
Last election 88 seats, 12.9% 34 seats, 8.22% 10 seats, 2.57%
Seats won 32 30 30
Seat change Decrease56 Decrease4 Increase20
Popular vote 2,385,936 2,205,736 1,258,372
Percentage 6.59% 6.09% 3.48%
Swing Decrease7.31% Decrease2.12% Increase0.99%

  Seventh party Eighth party Ninth party
  Bernd Riexinger 2014 (portrait).jpg Ramūnas Karbauskis (cropped).jpg 2015-01-17 3813 Jörg Meuthen (Landesparteitag AfD Baden-Württemberg) (cropped).jpg
Leader Peter Lötzsch Remigijus Balčiūnas Albrecht Ströher
Party OSAI SDT OVFP
Leader since 17th May 2012 23rd October 2014 16th August 2017
Last election 28 seats, 6.05% 29 seats, 3.47% 15 seats, 5.63%
Seats won 22 10 8
Seat change Decrease 6 Decrease19 Decrease7
Popular vote 2,157,395 539,583 994,821
Percentage 5.96% 1.49% 2.75%
Swing Decrease0.07% Decrease1.98% Decrease2.85%

Chancellor before election

Viktor Oberhauser
SPRO

Elected Chancellor

Otto von Hößlin
NKP

The 45th general election was held in the Lands of the Weranic Crown for the Volkstag (the lower house of the Reichstag) on the 31st May 2019. All 545 members of the Volkstag were elected under a single non-transferable vote system in multi-member electoral districts. The election was held in conjunction with elections for the Euclean Parliament. The election saw the governing coalition of the Social Democratic Radical Party, Modern Centre Party and the Sotirian Democratic Homeland decisively defeated by the National Consolidation Party which after 8 years in opposition returned to power in a coalition government with the Democratic Alternative.

The election was called on the 29th March after the expiration of the previous Volkstag's term for the end of May by Chancellor Viktor Oberhauser. The election was dominated by the issues of public spending and climate change. Migration and the Euclean Community were minor issues in the campaign, whilst other foreign policy issues were largely ignored. Law and order became a prominent theme after an exiled Tsabaran journalist for the banned Badawiyan Examiner., Jaal al-Obeid, was attacked in Westbrücken. The campaign saw the NKP rise in the polls whilst the SRPO's attempts at triangulation were seen to backfire with their poll numbers dwindling.

The election saw the incumbent SRPO-PMZ-SDT coalition suffer one of the worst defeats of a sitting government collectively losing 154 seats with the NKP winning by a landslide and gaining the most seats. This was the highest increase in the NKP vote and seat count in their history compared to a prior election and their best result since 1975. The Greens also saw large gains narrowly being beaten by the SRPO who got the worst result in their history in terms of seats. The National Coalition for Independence became the largest party in Ruttland, largely at the expense of the SDT which also suffered a historic defeat. The Weranic Section of the Workers' International also recorded its worst result in over 100 years.

Electoral process

Werania has since 1908 used an single non-transferable vote in multi-member districts to send 545 representatives to the Volkstag. the exception is Ostry, which elects a single representative on the basis of first-past-the-post. The current electoral boundaries were approved in 2010 by the Electoral Board, with boundaries being decided every 10 years based on census data. Should a party have 273 or more representative in the Volkstag, it has an absolute majority and could thus govern autonomously, without a coalition partner. The constitution can be amended with a supermajority of two-thirds, or 360 deputies.

Voters have to registrar to vote by the 28 April. In order to be eligible to vote one must be over the age of 18, be a citizen of Werania, have a permanent address in Werania and not be currently in prison.

Background

At the last election the coalition government of the centre-left Social Democratic Radical Party of Werania (SRPO) and the liberal Modern Centre Party (PMZ) lost its majority. The opposition National Consolidation Party (NKP) lost a handful of seats with the major gains being made by third parties such as the Greens, Democratic Alternative (DA) and the Weranic Section of the Workers' International (OSAI). A three-way coalition government was subsequently formed between the SRPO, PMZ and the Sotirian Democratic Homeland (SDT), a small centre-right party that runs exclusively in Ruttland. Chancellor Viktor Oberhauser unveiled a new cabinet on the 14th July 2015 with PMZ leader Veronika Althammer being reappointed Minister of Finance and SDT leader Remigijus Balčiūnas becoming Minister of Regional Development.

Following the election the NKP's leader Günter Schaefer resigned. His successor, former Defence Minister Otto von Hösslin, reorientated the party to the populist right advocating hard-line anti-immigration policies, rises in welfare spending, tax cuts and Euclescepticism. Following von Hösslin's election the NKP rose in the polls especially as the government lost popularity.

The SRPO lost popularity following the RotHaus scandal, when the government was accused of having during the 2015 election have given favourable breaks to construction company RotHaus Construction in return for political donations. Combined with continued austerity policies this led to a decline in support for the SRPO and PMZ and rise in support for the NKP and the Greens.

In the run-up to the election, the NKP grew in popularity as did the Greens whilst the SRPO fell into infighting. In 2018 there was a movement by the right-wing of the SRPO to install foreign minister Klaus Barchmann as Chancellor to replace Oberhauser who was increasingly seen as out-of-touch and unpopular with the electorate. However this plot fell through after the PMZ reasserted their confidence in Oberhauser as Chancellor of a coalition cabinet.

Timetable

29 March Chancellor Viktor Oberhauser announced his intention to dissolve the Volkstag and hold an election for the 31st May.
1 April Kaiserin Charlotte II approves of the Chancellor's request to hold an election.
4 April Formal dissolution of the Volkstag; start of campaign period.
28 April Last day members of the public could register to vote.
1 May Last day in which members of the public could apply for proxy voting or postal voting.
18 May Last day for candidates to file nomination papers.
31 May Polling day
7 May New Volkstag Assembled

Parties

Below are the parties of the outgoing 2015-2019 legislature who filed to run in the 2019 election.

Party Ideology Political position Leader 2015 result In government
Social Democratic Radical Party of Werania Social Democracy, Social liberalism Centre-left Viktor Oberhauser
157 / 545
Green tickY
National Consolidation Party Sotirian Democracy, Conservatism Right-wing Otto von Hößlin
138 / 545
Red XN
Modern Centre Party Liberalism, Economic liberalism Centre Veronika Althammer
88 / 545
Green tickY
Green Party Green politics, Progressivism Centre-left Yvonne Buchholz
Josef Kirui
42 / 545
Red XN
Democratic Alternative Right-wing populism, National liberalism Right-wing Käthe Schickdanze
34 / 545
Red XN
Sotirian Democratic Homeland Ruttish regionalism, Sotirian Democracy Centre-right Remigijus Balčiūnas
29 / 545
Green tickY
Weranic Section of the Workers' International Euclomorhism, Democratic socialism Left-wing Peter Lötzsch
28 / 545
Red XN
Weranic Völkisch Freedom Party Völkisch movement, Third Position Far-right Albrecht Ströher
15 / 545
Red XN
National Coalition for Independence Ruttish nationalism, Populism Syncretic Arvydas Ražauskas
10 / 545
Red XN
Aldman People's Party Aldman interests, Liberalism Centre Haiko Posthuma
2 / 545
Red XN
The Way of Courage Ruttish nationalism, Left-wing populism Left-wing Rimantas Paleckis
1 / 545
Red XN
United Party Weranian-Charlotte Islander unionism, Conservatism Centre-right Matthias Iha
1 / 545
Red XN

Campaign

Endorsements

Opinion polls

File:2015-2019 polling Werania.svg

Exit polls

Parties Seats Change
National Consolidation Party 247 Increase 120
Social Democratic Radical Party of Werania 87 Decrease 70
Green Party 78 Increase 31
Modern Centre Party 35 Decrease 53
Democratic Alternative 31 Increase 3
National Coalition for Independence 25 Increase 15
Weranic Section of the Workers' International 24 Decrease 4
Weranic Völkisch Freedom Party 9 Decrease 6
Sotirian Democratic Homeland 6 Decrease 24
Others 3 Decrease 2

Results

2019 volkstag.svg
Party Votes % Seats ±
National Consolidation Party 13,257,365 36.61 244 Increase106
Social Democratic Radical Party 6,154,682 17.00 85 Decrease72
Green Party 6,104,684 16.86 80 Increase38
Modern Centre Party 2,385,936 6.59 32 Decrease56
Democratic Alternative 2,205,736 6.09 30 Decrease4
National Coalition for Independence 1,258,372 3.48 30 Increase20
Weranic Section of the Workers' International 2,157,395 5.96 22 Decrease6
Sotirian Democratic Homeland 539,583 1.49 10 Decrease19
Weranic Völkisch Freedom Party 994,821 2.75 8 Decrease7
The Way of Courage 254,724 0.70 2 Increase1
Aldman People's Party 222,849 0.62 2 -
United Party 18,674 0.05 2 -
Ostric People's Party 1,236 0.00 1 Increase1
Others 504,857 1.38 0 0
Invalid/blank votes 653,523
Total 36,209,580 100 545 0
Registered voters/turnout 46,474,226 78.95