2021 Etrurian federal election: Difference between revisions

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==Results==
==Results==
Results for constituency results were released on the night of the election through to the early hours of the 9 October. The first seat to declare its result was [[Etruria|San Casciano supra Mecurio]] at 23.40pm, the last seat to declare was [[Etruri|Savudrija]] at 12.04pm the next day due to ten recounts taking place. By 04.27am, the [[Tribune Movement]] was officially declared the winner of the election after it exceeded 301 declared seats, with the [[Social Democratic Party (Etruria)|Social Democratic Party]] being confirmed as the Party of Opposition shortly after at 04.29am, after the last Citizens' Alliance seat was declared. The Party List results were announced at 09.00am on the 9 October by the [[Etruria|Federal Election Commission]].
The Tribune Movement won 373 seats, down from 402 prior to the election (due to both the reduction of lawmakers from 650 to 600 and net losses to the SD), exceeding the exit poll by 5 seats. The SD won 166 seats, a net gain of 128 seats, exceeding the exit poll by 9 seats. The Citizens' Alliance won 31 seats, a net loss of 110 seats, securing less seats than the exit poll predicted. The Farmers and Workers Union won 23 seats, down by 6, the UAL defied the exit poll by three seats, the Sotirian People's Force which entered the election with 51 seats (all defections from the Tribune Movement and the defunct [[Democratic Alternative for Etruria]]), lost 47 seats to retain 4, though exceeding the exit poll by one seat. Popular Renewal entered the federal legislature for the first time, winning three seats.
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Revision as of 14:22, 10 October 2021

2021 Etrurian federal election

← 2018 October 8, 2021 (2021-10-08)

All 600 seats to the Chamber of Representatives
301 seats needed for a majority
Turnout73.60% (-6.11%)
  First party Second party Third party
  Giuseppe Conte Official.jpg Carmen Calvo 2018 (cropped).jpg Carlo Calenda crop.jpeg
Leader Francesco Carcaterra Chiara Mastromarino Mauro Cesare Capra
Party Tribune Movement/Social Party of the Third Order Social Democratic Party Citizens’ Alliance
Leader since 13 March 2012 10 July 2021
Leader's seat San Metello in Valle San Alessandro III Monteperano
Seats before 402 38 160
Seats won 373 166 31
Seat change Decrease 29 Increase 128 Decrease 110
Popular vote 16,101,865 11,300,449 5,500,863
Percentage 44.20% 31.02% 15.10%
Swing TBD TBD TBD

  Fourth party
  DKcroppedFWU.png
Leader Davor Krstičević
Party Farmers and Workers Union
Leader since 3 February 2015
Leader's seat Kanfanar
Seats before 29
Seats won 23
Seat change Decrease 6
Popular vote 1,129,316
Percentage 3.10%

Etruria Electoral Map.png

President before election

Francesco Carcaterra
Tribune Movement

Elected President

Francesco Carcaterra
Tribune Movement

The 2021 Etruria federal election will take place on November 05, 2021, to elect all 600 members of the Chamber of Represenatives to the XXth Etrurian Senate. The legal documents dissolving the Senate for the period of 05 October to 05 November was accepted by President of the Chamber Ivano Jandroković after President Francesco Carcaterra utilised his constitutional power to call a snap election.

Background

Date

The Articles of Federation (Articoli della Federazione) state under Article 20 that elections for the Chamber of Representatives must be elected no later than 30 days after the fourth or fifth anniversary of the first sitting of the current Chamber (Camera). The dissolution of the current Camera must take place 30 days before election day, excluding public holidays, and the newly elected Camera must hold its first sitting within 14 days of election day, not including public holidays.

Article 21 of the Articles of Federation grants the Etrurian executive the right to dissolve the sitting Camera and hold an election at any point of their choosing within the 5-year maximum period. Should an early election be called it must be held on the first friday of any given month. The dissolution of the Camera maybe pre-announced according to Article 21.2 - for example, the 2021 election was declared in August and the current Camera was to be dissolved on 5 October, exactly 30 days before the dated election on 5 November. The government may dissolve the Camera without a parliamentary vote.

Electoral system

Following the passing of the 2021 Legislative and Electoral Reform Law on 23 August 2021, the electoral system was radically overhauled. The Chamber of Representatives was reduced in size from 680 to 600 and the electoral voting system was also changed. Of the 600 members, 500 are elected by first past the post to single-member constituencies, while the remaining 100 are elected by party list to a single national constituency. How the party list results are calculated was also changed in the law, ending state-level results being collated, to now the seats being awareded on the basis of the national vote from FPTP seats.

Since 2004, Etruria's elections have operated a 5% electoral threshold for parties to be awarded seats on the party-list, this is the same for coalitions of any size. FPTP seats are distributed across Etruria's fifteen states in line population with Veratia, the most populous, holding 189 seats and Il Dogado, the smallest, only 8. Seat apportionment is subject to non-binding review every four years, and officially reviewed with changes every decade following a national census.

The required majority to form a government is 301 seats. Prior to 2017, when all of Etruria's seats were elected under the party-list system, coalitions and agreements were necessary for governments to be formed. However, the 2017 Etrurian constitutional referendum introduced FPTP to 400 seats and enabled the Tribune Movement (incumbent government since 2016) to be elected in 2018, as the first single-party government since the end of the Military junta and restoration of democracy in 1984.

Parties and leaders

The 2017 constitutional amendments also included changes to the requirements for parties to compete in federal elections. In order to officially be registered, a political party must hold seats at the state and local level, both of which are set at a minimum of 10 seats. Candidates for constituency seats must also pay a ₣2,680 deposit, while those competing for party-list seats need to pay ₣1,200, which are returned if a candidate secures more than 5% of votes. It has been consistently rare for local/state level parties to compete federally, often campaigning on behalf of a national party that shares similar agendas or ideological beliefs.

The Federal Electoral Commission reported on 20 September that four parties had officially registered candidates to compete in the election and had met the requirements.

Parties/Coalitions represented in the XXth Chamber of Representatives
Party/Coalition
Style
Ideology Leader(s) 2018 result Current
seats
Votes (%) Seats
Patria Tribune Movement
Movimento Tribvne
Right-wing populism Francesco Carcaterra 53.66%
414 / 680
402 / 680
Farmers and Workers Union
UAL
National conservatism Davor Krstičević
29 / 680
29 / 680
Social Party of the Third Party
Partito Sociale del Terz'Ordine
Syncretic
Sotirian socialism (economic), Sotirian right (social)
[[ ]] Did not exist
0 / 680
Citizens' Alliance
AC
Classical liberalism Mauro Cesare Capra 28.58%
160 / 680
160 / 680
Sotirian People's Force
Forza Popolare Sotiriana
Sotirian democracy Vittore Eugenio Agrella Did not exist
51 / 680
Social Democratic Party
SD
Social democracy Chiara Mastromarino 15.76%
38 / 680
38 / 680
Extra-parliamentary parties participating in the 2021 federal election
Party Leader Main ideology Position 2017 result Regions
contesting
Votes (%)
Popular Renewal
PR
Giorgio Begović Democratic socialism Left-wing 1.02% 485
Veratian National Party
Partito Nazionale Veraziani
Enrico Fattoiani Regionalism Centre-right 0.60% 23
Green Future
Futuro Verde
Alissa Santorini/Mario Giorgini Green socialism Left-wing 0.34% 105
Together for Carvagna
Insieme
Caterina D'Angeli Regionalism Centre-left 0.04% 39

Campaign

Debates

Etrurian federal election debates, 2021
Date Organisers Channel     P  Present    A  Absent invitee   NI  Non-invitee  Notes
MT/PSTO SD AC UAL FPS RP
23 September Orrizonte Media Orrizonte24 P
Carcaterra
P
Mastromarino
P
Capra
NI
Krstičević
P
Agrella
NI
Favazza
01 October ARE ARE P
Carcaterra
P
Mastromarino
P
Capra
NI
Krstičević
P
Agrella
P
Favazza

Endorsements

Newspapers and magazines

National newspapers

Newspaper Endorsement Notes
Telegrafo Solariano Tribune Movement
La Leone Tribune Movement
Il Popolo Social Democratic Party
Il Messaggero Aventino Social Democratic Party
L'Osservatore Tirrenio Tribune Movement
La Rassegna Finanziaria Citizens' Alliance Called for voters to back the party the most "mature and competent" economic plan.
l'Araldo Tribune Movement

National political magazines

Newspaper Endorsement Notes
Albero della Liberta Social Democratic Party Left-wing/Centrist political magazine
La Reppublica Social Democratic Party Left-wing political magazine
Occulus Tribune Movement Right-wing political magazine

Individuals

Tribune Movement

Social Democratic Party

Citizens' Alliance

Sotirian People's Force

Popular Renewal

Organisations and political parties

Tribune Movement
Social Democratic Party

Opinion polls

Pre-2021 election

Rolling national average from the previous federal election to the beginning of the 2021 election.

Results

Results for constituency results were released on the night of the election through to the early hours of the 9 October. The first seat to declare its result was San Casciano supra Mecurio at 23.40pm, the last seat to declare was Savudrija at 12.04pm the next day due to ten recounts taking place. By 04.27am, the Tribune Movement was officially declared the winner of the election after it exceeded 301 declared seats, with the Social Democratic Party being confirmed as the Party of Opposition shortly after at 04.29am, after the last Citizens' Alliance seat was declared. The Party List results were announced at 09.00am on the 9 October by the Federal Election Commission.

The Tribune Movement won 373 seats, down from 402 prior to the election (due to both the reduction of lawmakers from 650 to 600 and net losses to the SD), exceeding the exit poll by 5 seats. The SD won 166 seats, a net gain of 128 seats, exceeding the exit poll by 9 seats. The Citizens' Alliance won 31 seats, a net loss of 110 seats, securing less seats than the exit poll predicted. The Farmers and Workers Union won 23 seats, down by 6, the UAL defied the exit poll by three seats, the Sotirian People's Force which entered the election with 51 seats (all defections from the Tribune Movement and the defunct Democratic Alternative for Etruria), lost 47 seats to retain 4, though exceeding the exit poll by one seat. Popular Renewal entered the federal legislature for the first time, winning three seats.

373 166 31 23 4 3
MT/PSTO SD Citizens' UAL FPS RP
Chamber of Representatives 2021.png
Party Votes % Party list Constituency Total
Seats Seats Seats ±
MT/PSTO 16,101,865 44.20% (-4.62%) 49 324 373 -29
Social Democratic Party 11,300,449 31.02% (+17.84%) 34 132 166 +128
Citizens' Alliance 5,500,863 15.10% (-10.24%) 17 14 31 -110
Farmers and Workers Union 1,129,316 3.10% (-5.85%) 0 23 23 -6
Sotirian People's Force 1,165,745 3.20% (new) 0 4 4 -51
Popular Renewal 1,129,309 3.10% (+2.08) 0 3 3 +3
Green Future 49,582 0.13% (-0.13) 0 0 0 N/C
Veratian National Party 36,112 0.09% (-0.51) 0 0 0 N/C
Together for Carvagna 16,308 0.04% (N/C) 0 0 0 N/C

Analysis

Controversies