Yisraeli general election, 2020
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Turnout | 77.69% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2020 Yisraeli general election was held on January 27, 2020. It featured elections for President and the full Knesset, as well as some District gubernatorial and legislative seats and a litany of local municipal offices. This election was the first to feature a three-party contest for the presidency, and the the first in decades that realigned the Right-Left bloc ideological alignment of the Knesset, with the United Center Bloc displacing the Left as the chief opposition group.
Background
Electoral system
The presidential election is determined by an electoral college in which the plurality majority vote winner in each district wins that jurisdiction's electoral votes, with a majority of 97 EVs needed to secure a majority of the 192-vote College.
The Knesset and other elections are plurality majority direct elections in single-member districts using a first-past-the-post electoral system.
Voting eligibility
To be eligible to vote in the election, one must be:
- registered to vote with the Royal Yisraeli Election Commission;
- aged 21 years old by the registration deadline of September 27, 2019;
- a Yisraeli citizen; and
- not excluded from voting (whether by legal incompetency, found guilty of or convicted of a felony, etc.) or not disqualified from voting.
Timetable
June 27, 2019 | Royal Yisraeli Election Commission staff prepared balloting and election machines for upcoming elections. |
September 2, 2019 | Major parties (traditionally the Conservatives and Constitutional Liberals) hold their presidential nomination conventions. Unofficial kickoff of the general election season begins. |
September 27, 2019 | Last day to register to vote. |
November 27, 2019 | Last day for independents and new parties to file to run for office on the ballot. |
January 27, 2020 | Election Day: National polls opened at 6am and closed at 7pm. |
January 28, 2020 | Election results were verified and released publicly. |
February 3, 2020 | The President-elect and Members-elect of Knesset and local offices were sworn in. |
Coalitions and parties
At the presidential level, three coalitions contested the office: The Right Bloc (Conservatives, cross-endorsed by the Northern League and Torah Achdus), the United Center Bloc (the Alternative for Yisrael cross-endorsed by Action Yisrael), and the Left Bloc (the Constitutional Liberals cross-endorsed by the Alliance of Greens, Seculars, and Workers).
At the Knesset and conditionally at the District and local levels, the Bloc members each, to some degree, had election pacts to not run candidates against the others or at least non-aggression/no-negative advertising/cease-fire pacts in districts where their candidates were both contesting an office.
General election polling
Presidential
Three-way race
Polling firm | Date | Candidate/Political Bloc | Undecided | Type of Voters Surveyed | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yitzchok Katz (Right Bloc) |
Yosef Kaduri (Left Bloc) |
Reuven Goldschmidt (United Center Bloc) | |||||||||||||||
Gib'ul HaTzafone | January 26, 2020 | 45% | 23% | 30% | 2% | Likely voters (with a weighted online panel)* |
King David University | January 26, 2020 | 36% | 26% | 32% | 4% | Likely voters |
Zman Yisrael | January 22–23, 2020 | 39% | 21% | 34% | 6% | Likely voters |
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch | January 22–23, 2020 | 45% | 22% | 30% | 3% | Likely voters |
Channel 20 TV | January 22–23, 26, 2020 | 46% | 25% | 24% | 5% | Likely voters |
Oved Yehudi HaBavli | January 22, 2020 | 39% | 31% | 29% | 1% | Registered voters |
HaMaariv | January 14–15, 2020 | 37% | 22% | 36% | 5% | Likely voters |
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch | January 13–16, 2020 | 38% | 17% | 38% | 7% | Likely voters |
Union of Dati Leumi Synogogues | January 7–15, 2019 | 40% | 15% | 42% | 3%** | Likely voters (with an online panel)* |
King Solomon University | January 15, 2020 | 41% | 23% | 39% | 5% | Likely voters |
Channel 20 TV | January 14–15, 2020 | 42% | 15% | 37% | 6% | Likely voters |
Channel 10 TV | January 12–15, 2020 | 37% | 18% | 35% | 8% | Registered voters |
Zman Yisrael | January 12–13, 2020 | 39% | 19% | 38% | 4%** | Likely voters |
Oved Yehudi HaBavli | January 9–13, 2020 | 34% | 32% | 32% | 2%** | Registered voters |
Salomon Polling Associates, Ltd. | January 7–8, 2020 | 36% | 36% | 23% | 5% | Likely voters (with a weighted cell-phone-only and online panels)* |
Nishma Research | January 6–7, 2019 | 36% | 16% | 44% | 4%** | Likely voters (with an online panel)* |
Channel 9 TV | January 1–2, 2020 | 40% | 15% | 41% | 4%** | Likely voters |
Action Now Surveys (Action Yisrael) |
December 29, 2019 – January 2, 2020 | 37% | 17% | 39% | 7% | Likely voters |
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch | December 25–29, 2019 | 37% | 19% | 37% | 6% | Likely voters |
King David University | December 23, 2019 | 39% | 21% | 33% | 5% | Likely voters |
Oved Yehudi HaBavli | December 22–24, 2019 | 33% | 31% | 28% | 8% | Registered voters |
Channel 9 TV | December 18, 2019 | 36% | 22% | 30% | 12% | Likely voters |
Channel 20 TV | December 16–17, 2019 | 40% | 23% | 31% | 6% | Likely voters |
Nishma Research | December 15, 2019 | 38% | 27% | 32% | 3%** | Likely voters (with an online panel)* |
King Solomon University | December 11–12, 2019 | 33% | 30% | 30% | 7% | Registered voters |
Zman Yisrael | December 4–8, 2019 | 37% | 27% | 29% | 7% | Likely voters |
Salomon Polling Associates, Ltd. | December 3, 2019 | 33% | 38% | 27% | 2%** | Likely voters (with a weighted cell-phone-only and online panels)* |
Action Now Surveys (Action Yisrael) |
December 2–3, 2019 | 36% | 21% | 34% | 9% | Registered voters |
Gib'ul HaTzafone | November 28, 2019 | 37% | 33% | 25% | 5% | Registered voters (with a weighted online panel)* |
Goldman Independent Surveys | November 25–26, 2019 | 39% | 27% | 24% | 10% | Likely voters |
King Solomon University | November 24, 2019 | 28% | 27% | 29% | 16% | Registered voters |
Channel 20 TV | November 21–22, 2019 | 43% | 27% | 23% | 7% | Likely voters |
HaMaariv | November 17–20, 2019 | 29% | 34% | 19% | 18% | Registered voters |
Oved Yehudi HaBavli | November 17–18, 2019 | 35% | 35% | 27% | 3%** | Registered voters |
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch | November 14, 2019 | 37% | 26% | 26% | 11% | Likely voters |
Zman Yisrael | November 11–14, 2019 | 40% | 31% | 22% | 6% | Likely voters |
Channel 10 TV | November 10–12, 2019 | 38% | 24% | 26% | 12% | Likely voters |
Notes:
* - The inclusion of cell-phone and online participation in opinion surveys has been found to be statistically uneven and should be viewed as less accurate than traditional methods (YCOR, "Effect of New Methodologies In Opinion Research," 2019).
** - The Yisraeli College of Opinion Researchers notes that polls and surveys with an undecided tally of less than <5% beyond the last two days before an election are less accurate, statistically, than polls with undecided voters comprising ≥5%.
Two-way race
Polling firm | Date | Candidate/Political Bloc | Undecided | Type of Voters Surveyed | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yitzchok Katz (Right Bloc) |
Yosef Kaduri (Left Bloc) | ||||||||||||||||
Zman Yisrael | November 10–12, 2019 | 47% | 41% | 9% | Likely voters |
King David University | November 6–9, 2019 | 46% | 42% | 12% | Likely voters |
HaMaariv | November 5–6, 2019 | 45% | 38% | 15% | Likely voters |
Channel 20 TV/ Bayis HaYehudi |
November 1–4, 2019 | 39% | 39% | 19% | Registered voters |
Oved Yehudi HaBavli | October 30–November 2, 2019 | 37% | 38% | 23% | Registered voters |
King Solomon University | October 27–29, 2019 | 36% | 36% | 24% | Registered voters |
Salomon Polling Associates, Ltd. | October 25–26, 2019 | 38% | 39% | 17% | Likely voters |
Zman Yisrael | October 23–25, 2019 | 39% | 38% | 21% | Likely voters |
International Financial Insider | October 16–18, 2019 | 43% | 37% | 18% | Registered voters |
Channel 20 TV | October 16, 2019 | 39% | 33% | 28% | Registered voters |
Oved Yehudi HaBavli | October 10–11, 2019 | 34% | 37% | 26% | Registered voters |
Channel 10 TV | October 6, 2019 | 49% | 39% | 7% | Likely voters |
King Solomon University | September 27, 2019 | 37% | 37% | 23% | Registered voters |
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch | September 23–26, 2019 | 43% | 41% | 13% | Likely voters |
Zman Yisrael | September 22, 2019 | 47% | 42% | 8% | Likely voters |
Union of Dati Leumi Synogogues | September 18–19, 2019 | 39% | 31% | 25% | Registered voters |
HaMaariv | September 15–17, 2019 | 47% | 45% | 6% | Likely voters |
Channel 10 TV | September 11–12, 2019 | 40% | 37% | 19% | Registered voters |
Action Now Surveys (Action Yisrael) |
September 10–13, 2019 | 41% | 36% | 20% | Registered voters |
Oved Yehudi HaBavli | September 8–9, 2019 | 33% | 38% | 27% | Registered voters |
Salomon Polling Associates, Ltd. | September 5, 2019 | 35% | 35% | 28% | Registered voters |
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch | September 3–5, 2019 | 44% | 39% | 15% | Likely voters |
Channel 20 TV | September 4, 2019 | 37% | 35% | 25% | Registered voters |
Knesset
Results
Presidential
The Right Bloc candidate Yitzchok Katz won the Electoral College by a vote of 109 - winning the Northern, Yarden Valley, Yerushalayim, Western, and Eastern Districts. His opponents, the United Center Bloc's Reuven Goldschmidt, won 64 votes, winning the Central and Southern Districts while the Left Bloc's Yosef Kaduri won 19 votes from the Dervaylik District, the worse showing for the Con-Libs in history.
Nationwide, the popular vote came out to 1,936,088 votes for Katz (44.3%), 1,364,987 votes for Goldschmidt (31.1%), and 1,056,541 votes for Kaduri (23.6%).
Knesset
The next composition of the 49th session of Knesset will be:
Knesset | Years | Knesset | ||||||||||
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RCP | CLP | TA | AY | AfY | AGSW | LNJ | Ind. | Vacan cies | ||||
49th | 2020-2022 | 64 | 14 | 19 | 17 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |