View source for 2021 Etrurian federal election

{{Infobox election
| election_name     = 2021 Etrurian federal election
| country           = Etruria
| type              = parliamentary
| ongoing           = 
| previous_election = [[2018 Etrurian federal election]]
| previous_year     = [[2018 Etrurian federal election|2018]]
| outgoing_members  = 
| election_date     = {{Start date|2021|10|08}}
| elected_members   = 
| next_election     = 
| next_year         = 
| seats_for_election= All 600 seats to the [[Chamber of Representatives (Etruria)|Chamber of Representatives]]
| majority_seats    = 301
| opinion_polls     = 
| turnout           = 
| image_size        =  
| image1            = Giuseppe_Conte_Official.jpg
| leader1           = [[Francesco Carcaterra]]
| colour1        = 7f0000
| party1            = [[Tribune Movement]]/[[Social Party of the Third Order]]
| leader_since1     =  13 March 2012
| leaders_seat1     = [[San Metello in Valle]]
| last_election1    = 
| seats_before1     = 402
| seats_needed1     = 
| seats1            = '''373'''
| seat_change1      = {{decrease}} 29
| popular_vote1     = 16,101,865
| percentage1       = '''44.20%'''
| swing1            = TBD

| image2            =  Carmen Calvo 2018 (cropped).jpg
| leader2           = [[Chiara Mastromarino]]
| colour2        = cc3c84
| party2            = [[Social Democratic Party (Etruria)|Social Democratic Party]]
| leader_since2     =  
| leaders_seat2     = [[San Alessandro|San Alessandro III]]
| last_election2    = 
| seats_before2     = 38
| seats_needed2     = 
| seats2            = 166
| seat_change2      = {{increase}} 128
| popular_vote2     = 11,300,449
| percentage2       = 31.02%
| swing2            = TBD

| image3            = Carlo Calenda crop.jpeg
| leader3           = [[Mauro Cesare Capra]]
| colour3        = f25c19
| party3            = [[Citizens' Alliance (Etruria)|Citizens’ Alliance]]
| leader_since3     = 10 July 2021
| leaders_seat3     = [[Monteperano]]
| last_election3    = 
| seats_before3     = 160
| seats_needed3     = 
| seats3            = 31
| seat_change3      = {{decrease}} 110
| popular_vote3     = 5,500,863
| percentage3       = 15.10%
| swing3            = TBD

| image4            = DKcroppedFWU.png
| leader4           = [[Davor Krstičević]]
| colour4        = 002060
| party4            = [[Farmers and Workers Union (Etruria)|Farmers and Workers Union]]
| leader_since4     = 3 February 2015
| leaders_seat4     = [[Kanfanar]]
| last_election4    =  
| seats_before4     = 29  
| seats_needed4     = 
| seats4            = 23
| seat_change4      = {{decrease}} 6
| popular_vote4     = 1,129,316
| percentage4       = 3.10%
| swing4            = 

| map_image         = Etruria Electoral Map.png
| map_size          = 450
| map_caption       = 

| title             = [[President of Etruria|President]]
| before_election   = [[Francesco Carcaterra]]
| before_party      = [[Tribune Movement]]
| after_election    = Francesco Carcaterra
| after_party       = Tribune Movement
}}

The '''2021 Etruria federal election''' will take place on November 05, 2021, to elect all 600 members of the [[Chamber of Represenatives (Etruria)|Chamber of Represenatives]] to the XXth Etrurian Senate. The legal documents dissolving the Senate for the period of 05 October to 05 November was accepted by President of the Chamber [[Ivano Jandroković]] after [[President of Etruria|President]] [[Francesco Carcaterra]] utilised his constitutional power to call a snap election.

== Background ==
==Date==

The {{Wp|constitution|Articles of Federation}} (Articoli della Federazione) state under Article 20 that elections for the [[Chamber of Representatives (Etruria)|Chamber of Representatives]] must be elected no later than 30 days after the fourth or fifth anniversary of the first sitting of the current Chamber (Camera). The dissolution of the current Camera must take place 30 days before election day, excluding public holidays, and the newly elected Camera must hold its first sitting within 14 days of election day, not including public holidays. 

Article 21 of the Articles of Federation grants the Etrurian executive the right to dissolve the sitting Camera and hold an election at any point of their choosing within the 5-year maximum period. Should an early election be called it must be held on the first friday of any given month. The dissolution of the Camera maybe pre-announced according to Article 21.2 - for example, the 2021 election was declared in August and the current Camera was to be dissolved on 5 October, exactly 30 days before the dated election on 5 November. The government may dissolve the Camera without a parliamentary vote.

== Electoral system ==

Following the passing of the [[2021 Etrurian constitutional referendum|2021 Legislative and Electoral Reform Law]] on 23 August 2021, the electoral system was radically overhauled. The [[Chamber of Representatives (Etruria)|Chamber of Representatives]] was reduced in size from 680 to 600 and the electoral voting system was also changed. Of the 600 members, 500 are elected by {{wp|first past the post}} to single-member constituencies, while the remaining 100 are elected by {{wp|party list}} to a single national constituency. How the party list results are calculated was also changed in the law, ending state-level results being collated, to now the seats being awareded on the basis of the national vote from FPTP seats.  

Since 2004, Etruria's elections have operated a 5% {{wp|electoral threshold}}  for parties to be awarded seats on the party-list, this is the same for coalitions of any size. FPTP seats are distributed across Etruria's fifteen states in line population with [[Veratia]], the most populous, holding 189 seats and [[Il Dogado]], the smallest, only 8. Seat apportionment is subject to non-binding review every four years, and officially reviewed with changes every decade following a national census.  

The required majority to form a government is 301 seats. Prior to 2017, when all of Etruria's seats were elected under the party-list system, coalitions and agreements were necessary for governments to be formed. However, the [[2017 Etrurian constitutional referendum]] introduced FPTP to 400 seats and enabled the [[Tribune Movement]] (incumbent government since 2016) to be elected in [[2018 Etrurian federal election|2018]], as the first single-party government since the end of the [[Military dictatorship in Etruria|Military junta]] and restoration of democracy in 1984.

== Parties and leaders ==

The 2017 constitutional amendments also included changes to the requirements for parties to compete in federal elections. In order to officially be registered, a political party must hold seats at the state and local level, both of which are set at a minimum of 10 seats. Candidates for constituency seats must also pay a ₣2,680 deposit, while those competing for party-list seats need to pay ₣1,200, which are returned if a candidate secures more than 5% of votes. It has been consistently rare for local/state level parties to compete federally, often campaigning on behalf of a national party that shares similar agendas or ideological beliefs. 

The [[Federal Electoral Commission (Etruria)|Federal Electoral Commission]] reported on 20 September that four parties had officially registered candidates to compete in the election and had met the requirements. 

{| class=wikitable
! colspan="9" |Parties/Coalitions represented in the XXth Chamber of Representatives
|-
! rowspan=2 colspan=4| Party/Coalition<br>{{small|Style}}
! rowspan=2| Ideology
! rowspan=2| Leader(s)
! colspan=2| 2018 result
! rowspan=2| Current<br>seats
|-
! {{nowrap|Votes (%)}}
! Seats
|-
| rowspan=3 bgcolor=#7F0000| 
| rowspan=3| [[Patria]]
| bgcolor=#7F0000| 
| [[Tribune Movement]]<br>{{small|Movimento Tribvne}}
| {{wp|Right-wing populism}}
| [[Francesco Carcaterra]]
| rowspan=2 align=center|53.66%
| {{Composition bar|414|680|#7F0000}}
| {{Composition bar|402|680|#7F0000}}
|-
| bgcolor=#002060| 
| [[Farmers and Workers Union]]<br>{{nowrap|{{small|UAL}}}}
| {{wp|National conservatism}} 
| [[Davor Krstičević]]
| {{Composition bar|29|680|#002060}}
| {{Composition bar|29|680|#002060}}
|-
| bgcolor=#961c1c| 
| [[Social Party of the Third Party]]<br>{{nowrap|{{small|Partito Sociale del Terz'Ordine}}}}
| {{wp|Syncretic politics|Syncretic}}<br>{{nowrap|{{small|{{wp|Christian socialism|Sotirian socialism}} (economic), {{wp|Christian right|Sotirian right}} (social)}}}}
| [[ ]]
| colspan=2 align=center| ''Did not exist''
| {{Composition bar|0|680|#961c1c}}
|-
| bgcolor=#f25c19| 
| colspan=3|[[Citizens' Alliance (Etruria)|Citizens' Alliance]]<br>{{nowrap|{{small|AC}}}}
| {{wp|Classical liberalism}}
| [[Mauro Cesare Capra]]
| align=center| 28.58%
| {{Composition bar|160|680|#f25c19}}
| {{Composition bar|160|680|#f25c19}}
|-
| bgcolor=#006AB4| 
| colspan=3|[[Sotirian People's Force]]<br>{{nowrap|{{small|Forza Popolare Sotiriana}}}}
| {{wp|Christian democracy|Sotirian democracy}}
| [[Vittore Eugenio Agrella]]
| colspan=2 align=center| ''Did not exist''
| {{Composition bar|51|680|#006AB4}}
|-
| bgcolor=#cc3c84| 
| colspan=3|[[Social Democratic Party (Etruria)|Social Democratic Party]]<br>{{nowrap|{{small|SD}}}}
| {{wp|Social democracy}}
| [[Chiara Mastromarino]]
| align=center| 15.76%
| {{Composition bar|38|680|#cc3c84}}
| {{Composition bar|38|680|#cc3c84}}
|-
|}

{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="9" |Extra-parliamentary parties participating in the 2021 federal election
|-
! colspan="2", rowspan="2" |Party
! rowspan="2" |Leader
! rowspan="2" |Main ideology
! rowspan="2" |Position
! 2017 result
! rowspan="2" |[[Hennehouwe#Administrative divisions|Regions]]<br/>contesting
|-
! Votes (%)
|-
| style="background:#C40000;" |
|[[Popular Renewal (Etruria)|Popular Renewal]]<br>{{nowrap|{{small|PR}}}}
|[[Giorgio Begović]]
|{{wp|Democratic socialism}}
|{{wp|Left-wing}}
| style="text-align:center;"| 1.02%
|485
|-
| style="background:#0000ff;" |
|[[Veratian National Party (Etruria|Veratian National Party]]<br>{{nowrap|{{small|Partito Nazionale Veraziani}}}}
|[[Enrico Fattoiani]]
|{{wp|Regionalism}}
|{{wp|Centre-right}}
| style="text-align:center;"| 0.60%
|23
|-
| style="background:#22c44a;" |
|[[Green Future (Etruria)|Green Future]]<br>{{nowrap|{{small|Futuro Verde}}}}
|[[Alissa Santorini]]/[[Mario Giorgini]]
|{{wp|Green socialism}}
|{{wp|Left-wing}}
| style="text-align:center;"| 0.34%
|105
|-
| style="background:#ff9100;" |
|[[Togther for Carvagna (Etruria)|Together for Carvagna]]<br>{{nowrap|{{small|Insieme}}}}
|[[Caterina D'Angeli]]
|{{wp|Regionalism}}
|{{wp|Centre-left}}
| style="text-align:center;"| 0.04%
|39
|-
|}

==Campaign ==
=== Debates ===
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:95%; text-align:center;"
|-
! colspan="13" style="background:#B0C4DE" | Etrurian federal election debates, 2021
|-
! rowspan="3" | {{small|Date}}
! rowspan="3" | {{small|Organisers}}
! rowspan="3" | {{small|Channel}}
! colspan="6" | {{small|&nbsp;&nbsp;}} {{Colors|black|#90ff90|&nbsp;P&nbsp;}} {{small|Present &nbsp;}} {{Colors|black|#ff9090|&nbsp;A&nbsp;}} {{small|Absent invitee&nbsp;}} {{Colors|black|#ff9090|&nbsp;NI&nbsp;}} {{small|Non-invitee&nbsp;}}
! rowspan="1" | {{small|Notes}}
|-
!scope="col" style="width:5em;"| [[Tribune Movement|MT]]/[[Social Party of the Third Order|PSTO]]
!scope="col" style="width:5em;"| [[Social Democratic Party (Etruria)|SD]]
!scope="col" style="width:5em;"| [[Citizens' Alliance (Etruria)|AC]]
!scope="col" style="width:5em;"| [[Farmers and Workers Union|UAL]]
!scope="col" style="width:5em;"| [[Sotirian People's Force|FPS]]
!scope="col" style="width:5em;"| [[Popular Renewal|RP]]
|-
! style="background:#c00000;" width="30px;" |
! style="background:#ff0066;" width="30px;" |
! style="background:#f25c19;" width="30px;" |
! style="background:#002060;" width="30px;" |
! style="background:#006ab4;" width="30px;" |
! style="background:#ff0000;" width="30px;" |
|-
|{{nowrap|23 September}}
|[[Etruria#Media|Orrizonte Media]]
|[[Etruria#Media|Orrizonte24]]
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br/>{{nowrap|{{smaller|[[Francesco Carcaterra|Carcaterra]]}}}}}}
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br/>{{smaller|[[Chiara Mastromarino|Mastromarino]]}}}}
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br/>{{smaller|[[Mauro Cesare Capra|Capra]]}}}}
|{{No|'''NI'''<br/>{{smaller|[[Davor Krstičević|Krstičević]]}}}}
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br/>{{smaller|[[Vittore Eugenio Agrella|Agrella]]}}}}
|{{No|'''NI'''<br/>{{smaller|[[Aurelia Favazza|Favazza]]}}}}
|
|-
|{{nowrap|01 October}}
| rowspan="2" | [[Etruria#Media|ARE]]
| [[Etruria#Media|ARE]] 
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br/>{{nowrap|{{smaller|[[Francesco Carcaterra|Carcaterra]]}}}}}}
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br/>{{smaller|[[Chiara Mastromarino|Mastromarino]]}}}}
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br/>{{smaller|[[Mauro Cesare Capra|Capra]]}}}}
|{{No|'''NI'''<br/>{{smaller|[[Davor Krstičević|Krstičević]]}}}}
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br/>{{smaller|[[Vittore Eugenio Agrella|Agrella]]}}}}
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br/>{{smaller|[[Aurelia Favazza|Favazza]]}}}}
|-
|}

=== Endorsements ===
===Individuals===
==== Tribune Movement ====
{{colbegin|colwidth=20em}}

* [[Sylwester Wrzesiński]], [[President of West Miersa]]
* [[Isilda Cerqueira]], [[Premier of Paretia]]
* Archbishop [[Giovanni D’Marco]]
* Archbishop [[Enrico Ferdiando Dettori]] 
* Archbishop [[Umberto Francesco Zampieri]] 
* Archbishop [[Alessandro Urbano Tagliani]] 
* Archbishop [[Andrea Paolo Veronesi]] 
* Archbishop [[Vittore Amadeo de Frixaturo]]
* Fr. [[Girolamo Urbano Mogherini]], Prelate of the Society of Saint Diocletian
* Fr. [[Giovanni Batistia Ercolani]], Prelate for the Poor Soldiers of the Kingdom of Heaven
* [[Etruria|Alessandro]], pop singer 
* [[Etruria|Massimo Bartolucci]], actor 
* [[Etruria|Quintano Aurelio]], pop singer
{{colend}}
==== Social Democratic Party ====
{{colbegin|colwidth=20em}}

{{colend}}
==== Citizens' Alliance ====
{{colbegin|colwidth=20em}}

{{colend}}
==== Sotirian People's Force ====
{{colbegin|colwidth=20em}}

{{colend}}
==== Popular Renewal ====
{{colbegin|colwidth=20em}}

{{colend}}

===Organisations and political parties===
=====Tribune Movement=====
{{colbegin|colwidth=20em}}

* [[Patron League]] of [[Paretia]]<ref>https://forum.nationstates.net/viewtopic.php?p=39004064#p39004064</ref>
* [[Naprzód (West Miersa)|Naprzód]] of [[West Miersa]]<ref>https://forum.nationstates.net/viewtopic.php?p=38999788#p38999788</ref>
* [[Fraternal Association of Public Guardians]]
* [[National Industrial Workers Congress]]
* [[United Agricultural Workers Association]]
* [[Society of Saint Diocletian]]
* [[Poor Soldiers of the Kingdom of the Heaven]]

{{colend}}
=====Social Democratic Party=====
{{colbegin|colwidth=20em}}

* [[Volpis Foundation]] of [[Aucuria]] <ref>https://forum.nationstates.net/viewtopic.php?p=39007862#p39007862</ref>
* [[Etrurian Worker's Congress]]
* [[Etrurian Federation of Trade Unions]]

{{colend}}

===Newspapers and other media ===
==Opinion polls==
=== Pre-2021 election ===
[[File:2021 Election Polls Etruria.png|850px|thumb|center|Rolling national average from the previous [[2018 Etrurian federal election|federal election]] to the beginning of the 2021 election.]]

==Results==
{| style="width:80%; text-align:center;"
|+ ↓
|- style="color:white;"
| style="background:#7F0000; width:62.16%;" | '''373'''
| style="background:#cc3c84; width:27.66%;" | '''166'''
| style="background:#f25c19; width:5.16%;" | '''31'''
| style="background:#002060; width:3.83%;" | '''23'''
| style="background:#006AB4; width:0.66%;" | '''4'''
| style="background:#C40000; width:0.5%;" | '''3'''
|-
| [[Tribune Movement/Social Party of the Third Order|{{color|#7F0000|'''MT/PSTO'''}}]]
| [[Social Democratic Party (Etruria)|{{color|#cc3c84|'''SD}}''']]
| [[Citizens' Alliance (Etruria)|{{color|#DC247F|'''Citizens'}}''']]
| [[Farmers and Workers Union (Etruria)|{{color|#3083b7|'''UAL'''}}]]
| [[Sotirian People's Force|{{color|#e9a735|'''FPS'''}}]]
| [[Popular Renewal (Etruria)|{{color|#C40000|'''Popular Renewal'''}}]]
|}

{| class=wikitable style=text-align:right
|colspan=12|
|-
!rowspan=2 colspan=2|Party
!rowspan=2 colspan=1|Votes
!rowspan=2 colspan=1|%
!colspan=1|Party list
!colspan=1|Constituency
!colspan=2|Total
|-
!Seats
!Seats
!Seats
!±
|-
|style=background:#7F0000| ||align=left|[[Tribune Movement|MT]]/[[Social Party of the Third Order|PSTO]]||16,101,865||44.20% ({{red|-4.62%}})||49||324||373||{{red|-29}}
|-
|style=background:#cc3c84| ||align=left|[[Social Democratic Party (Etruria)|Social Democratic Party]]||11,300,449 ||31.02% ({{green|+17.84%}})||34||132||166||{{green|+128}}
|-
|style=background:#f25c19| ||align=left|[[Citizens' Alliance (Etruria)|Citizens' Alliance]]||5,500,863||15.10% ({{red|-10.24%}})||17||14||31||{{red|-110}}
|-
|style=background:#3083b7| ||align=left|[[Farmers and Workers Union (Etruria)|Farmers and Workers Union]]||1,129,316||3.10% ({{red|-5.85%}})||0||23||23||{{red|-6}}
|-
|style=background:#e9a735| ||align=left|[[Sotirian People's Force]]||1,165,745||3.20% (''new'')||0||4||4||{{green|+4}}
|-
|style=background:#C40000| ||align=left|[[Popular Renewal (Etruria)|Popular Renewal]]||1,129,309||3.10% ({{green|+2.08}})||0||3||3||{{green|+3}}
|-
|}




[[Category:Politics of Etruria]]

== Analysis ==
=== Controversies ===
{{Etruria elections}}