2020 United States Gubernatorial Elections (LOTF RP): Difference between revisions
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Revision as of 08:48, 28 April 2021
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13 governorships 11 states; 2 territories | |||||||||||||
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The 2020 United States gubernatorial elections are to be held on November 3, 2020, in 11 states and two territories. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2016, except in New Hampshire and Vermont where governors only serve two-year terms and elected their current governors in 2018.
In addition to state gubernatorial elections, the territories of American Samoa and Puerto Rico also held elections for their governors.
The elections took place concurrently with the 2020 presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives and Senate, and numerous state and local elections.
Election predictions
Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat.
Most election predictors use:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe": near-certain chance of victory
| District | CPVI | Incumbent | Last result | Aggregator June 1, 2020 |
Tartalek June 1, 2020 |
Surveylance June 1, 2020 |
Precipice June 1, 2020 |
Stuyvesant June 1, 2020 |
Goldwater June 1, 2020 |
Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | D+6 | Unoccupied (D) | 58.3% D | Likely D | Solid D | |||||
| Indiana | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.4% R | Likely R | Solid R | |||||
| Missouri | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) (Retiring) |
51.1% R | Lean R | Solid R | |||||
| Montana | R+11 | Unoccupied (D) (Retiring) |
50.2% D | Lean R (Flip) |
Lean R (Flip) |
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| New Hampshire | EVEN | Unoccupied (R) |
52.8% R | Safe R | Likely R | |||||
| North Carolina | R+3 | Lisa Rowan | 49.0% R | Tilt R | Tilt R | |||||
| North Dakota | R+16 | Doug Burgun (Retiring) |
76.5% R | Safe R | Solid R | |||||
| Utah | R+20 | Dawson Abernathy | 66.7% R | Safe R | Solid R | |||||
| Vermont | D+15 | Jim Slim (Retiring) |
55.2% R | Tossup | Tilt R | |||||
| Washington | D+7 | Anne Caldwell (Retiring) |
54.2% D | Likely D | Solid D | |||||
| West Virginia | R+19 | Jonah Prendergast | 49.1% R | Likely R | Solid R |