2020 United States Senate Elections (LOTF RP): Difference between revisions
mNo edit summary |
|||
| Line 104: | Line 104: | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | ||
| | | | ||
|- | |||
! Arkansas | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=15 | R+15 | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="Unoccupied" | Unoccupied | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=56.5 | 56.5% R | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
| | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
| | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| | |||
|- | |- | ||
! Colorado | ! Colorado | ||
| Line 121: | Line 133: | ||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="Gardner Andrew" | [[Andrew Gardner]] | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="Gardner Andrew" | [[Andrew Gardner]] | ||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=52.9 | 52.9% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=52.9 | 52.9% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating| | | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R}} | ||
| | | | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
| Line 139: | Line 151: | ||
| | | | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
| | |||
|- | |||
! Kansas | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=13 | R+13 | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="Dunbar Kim" | Kim Dunbar | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=53.1 | 53.1% R | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| | | | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Line 145: | Line 169: | ||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="Unoccupied" | Unoccupied <br/>{{small|(retiring)}} | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="Unoccupied" | Unoccupied <br/>{{small|(retiring)}} | ||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=55.9 | 55.9% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=55.9 | 55.9% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating| | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | ||
| | | | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
| Line 205: | Line 229: | ||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="Wynne Christina" | [[Christina Wynne]] <br/>{{small|(retiring)}} | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="Wynne Christina" | [[Christina Wynne]] <br/>{{small|(retiring)}} | ||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-51.5 | 51.5% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-51.5 | 51.5% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating| | | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D}} | ||
| | | | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | ||
| Line 235: | Line 259: | ||
| | | | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | ||
| | |||
|- | |||
! Oregon | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=5 | D+5 | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="Doyle Frank" | [[Frank Doyle]]<br/>{{small|(retiring)}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=55.7 | 55.7% D | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
| | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | |||
| | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| | | | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Line 253: | Line 289: | ||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="Frankston Howard" | [[Howard Frankston]]<br/>{{small|(retiring)}} | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="Frankston Howard" | [[Howard Frankston]]<br/>{{small|(retiring)}} | ||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=61.6 | 61.6% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=61.6 | 61.6% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating| | | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R}} | ||
| | | | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | ||
| Line 263: | Line 299: | ||
! Virginia | ! Virginia | ||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-1 | D+1 | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-1 | D+1 | ||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="Unoccupied" | Unoccupied | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="Unoccupied" | Unoccupied | ||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-49.1 | 49.1% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-49.1 | 49.1% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | ||
Revision as of 12:39, 6 May 2021
 | This article is incomplete because it is pending further input from participants, or it is a work-in-progress by one author. Please comment on this article's talk page to share your input, comments and questions. Note: To contribute to this article, you may need to seek help from the author(s) of this page. |
 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
36 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate 51 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
 Results of the elections: Democratic held Republican held No election Rectangular inset (Il.): both seats contested | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2-3The 2020 United States Senate elections will be held on November 3, 2020, with the 33 class 2 seats of the Senate contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms extending from January 3, 2021, to January 3, 2027. There will also be three special elections: one in each of Illinois, Ohio and Maryland. All were brought on by the early resignation of the incumbent Senators.
In the 2014 United States Senate elections (the last regularly scheduled elections for class 2 Senate seats), the Republicans won eight seats from the Democrats and gained a majority in the Senate, which they successfully defended in 2016 and 2018. Following the Republican defeat in the 2019 Texas U.S. Senate special election, Republicans hold 52 seats entering this election. Republicans will be defending 20 seats, while Democrats will be defending 16.
Democrats need to net a gain of three seats or two seats and the Vice-Presidency in the concurrent Presidential Election to win a majority.
Competitive Races
Competitive Republican held seats are expected to be Colorado, Ohio, Maine, Iowa and North Carolina. Georgia, Montana and Texas could also become competitive. Competitive Democratic held seats are expected to be in Alabama, Alaska, Michigan and New Hampshire. New Mexico, Minnesota and Virginia could also become competitive.
| District | CPVI | Incumbent | Last result | Aggregator May 20, 2020 |
Tartalek May 11, 2020 |
Surveylance May 15, 2020 |
Precipice May 14, 2020 |
Stuyvesant May 13, 2020 |
Goldwater May 19, 2020 |
Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | R+14 | Gordon Callahan | 50.0% D | Tossup | Tilt R (Flip) |
Tilt R (Flip) |
Tilt R (Flip) |
|||
| Alaska | R+9 | Francine Sullivan | 49.1% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | |||
| Arkansas | R+15 | Unoccupied | 56.5% R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Safe R | |||
| Colorado | D+1 | Clint Guerrera | 48.2% R | Likely D (Flip) |
Lean D (Flip) |
Likely D (Flip) |
Tilt D (Flip) |
|||
| Georgia | R+5 | Andrew Gardner | 52.9% R | Tilt R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | |||
| Iowa | R+3 | Unoccupied (retiring) |
52.1% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Tossup | Likely R | |||
| Kansas | R+13 | Kim Dunbar | 53.1% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | |||
| Louisiana | R+11 | Unoccupied (retiring) |
55.9% R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | |||
| Maine | D+3 | Agatha Cragin | 68.5% R | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D (Flip) |
Tossup | |||
| Michigan | D+1 | Unoccupied (retiring) |
54.6% D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | |||
| Minnesota | D+1 | Levi Murphy (retiring) |
53.2% D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | |||
| Montana | R+11 | Unoccupied | 57.9% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | |||
| New Hampshire | D+1 | Christina Wynne (retiring) |
51.5% D | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | Tilt D | |||
| New Mexico | D+3 | Unoccupied | 55.6% D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Lean D | |||
| North Carolina | R+3 | Unoccupied (retiring) |
48.8% R | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt R | Lean R | |||
| Oregon | D+5 | Frank Doyle (retiring) |
55.7% D | Likely D | Safe D | Solid D | Safe D | |||
| Ohio (Special) |
R+3 | Unoccupied (retiring) |
58.0% R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D (Flip) |
|||
| Texas | R+8 | Howard Frankston (retiring) |
61.6% R | Tilt R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | |||
| Virginia | D+1 | Unoccupied | 49.1% D | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Lean D | |||
| Overall | Democratic - 47 Tossup - 6 Republican - 47 |
Democratic - 47 Tossup - 4 Republican - 49 |
Democratic - 48 Tossup - 3 Republican - 49 |
Democratic - 48 Tossup - 2 Republican - 50 |
(Final Results) | |||||
| District | 2017 CPVI | Incumbent | Previous result | Aggregator | Tartalek | Surveylance | Precipice | Stuyvesant | Goldwater | Winner |
Alabama
 | |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Incumbent Democrat, Gordon Callahan was elected in a special in 2017, narrowly defeating the Republican nominee. Callahan is running for election to a full term. Callahan is uncontested for the Democratic nomination.
Former Covington County District Attorney, Christina Mudale is seeking the Republican nomination.
Alaska
 | |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Incumbent Democrat Senator Francine Sullivan will be running for re-election.
Arkansas
Colorado
Delaware
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Illinois (Regular)
 | |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Incumbent Democrat
Illinois (Special)
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
One-term Senator Rebekah Sharansky announced on June 28, 2019 her resignation from the United States Senate, effectively immediately following a corruption investigation launched by the Department of Justice. Illinois Governor, (PLACEHOLDER), appointed (PLACEHOLDER) to replace Sharansky until a regular election could be held; (SENATE PLACEHOLDER) took their seat on July 4, 2019 but have not yet stated their intention to run in 2020 for a full term.
Iowa
 | |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The incumbent Republican has announced they are not running for re-election.
Currently, no Republicans are running, although US Representative John Ruler is widely speculated as a candidate.
One Democrat has announced, being State Senator Simon Hawkins.
Kansas
 | |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Senator Dunbar won the republican nomination with no opposition
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
 | |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Incumbent Senator Agatha Cragin is running for re-election. She is being challenged for the Republican nomination by former First Lady and President of the Maine Senate Eliza LeBlanc Wolf.
Robert Pelletier is running for the Democratic nomination.
Maryland (special)
Massachusetts
 | |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
Incumbent Democrat Abigail Winthrop lost the Democratic Nomination in the primary at this election.
Former Governor of Massachusetts, John Nathan Lynskey won the Democratic Nomination.
Attorney Devin Docherty (non-player Character) won the Republican Nomination. <graph>{"legends":[],"scales":[{"type":"time","name":"x","domain":{"data":"chart","field":"x"},"zero":false,"range":"width","nice":true},{"clamp":true,"type":"linear","name":"y","domain":{"data":"chart","field":"y"},"domainMin":0,"zero":false,"range":"height","nice":true},{"domain":{"data":"chart","field":"series"},"type":"ordinal","name":"color","range":["#3333ff","#e81b23",""]}],"version":2,"marks":[{"type":"group","marks":[{"properties":{"hover":{"stroke":{"value":"red"}},"update":{"stroke":{"scale":"color","field":"series"}},"enter":{"y":{"scale":"y","field":"y"},"x":{"scale":"x","field":"x"},"stroke":{"scale":"color","field":"series"},"interpolate":{"value":"bundle"},"strokeWidth":{"value":2}}},"type":"line"},{"properties":{"enter":{"y":{"scale":"y","field":"y"},"x":{"scale":"x","field":"x"},"size":{"value":49},"shape":"circle","fill":{"scale":"color","field":"series"}}},"type":"symbol"}],"from":{"data":"chart","transform":[{"groupby":["series"],"type":"facet"}]}}],"height":200,"axes":[{"type":"x","scale":"x","properties":{"title":{"fill":{"value":"#54595d"}},"grid":{"stroke":{"value":"#54595d"}},"ticks":{"stroke":{"value":"#54595d"}},"axis":{"strokeWidth":{"value":2},"stroke":{"value":"#54595d"}},"labels":{"align":{"value":"right"},"angle":{"value":-40},"fill":{"value":"#54595d"}}},"grid":false},{"type":"y","title":"% Support","scale":"y","properties":{"title":{"fill":{"value":"#54595d"}},"grid":{"stroke":{"value":"#54595d"}},"ticks":{"stroke":{"value":"#54595d"}},"axis":{"strokeWidth":{"value":2},"stroke":{"value":"#54595d"}},"labels":{"fill":{"value":"#54595d"}}},"grid":true}],"data":[{"format":{"parse":{"y":"number","x":"date"},"type":"json"},"name":"chart","values":[{"y":48,"series":"y1","x":"2020/01/01"},{"y":49,"series":"y1","x":"2020/01/08"},{"y":48.2,"series":"y1","x":"2020/01/15"},{"y":48.8,"series":"y1","x":"2020/01/22"},{"y":50.2,"series":"y1","x":"2020/01/29"},{"y":50.3,"series":"y1","x":"2020/02/05"},{"y":50.9,"series":"y1","x":"2020/02/12"},{"y":50.4,"series":"y1","x":"2020/02/19"},{"y":49.8,"series":"y1","x":"2020/02/26"},{"y":49.9,"series":"y1","x":"2020/03/04"},{"y":50.8,"series":"y1","x":"2020/03/11"},{"y":50.2,"series":"y1","x":"2020/03/18"},{"y":51.1,"series":"y1","x":"2020/03/25"},{"y":52.2,"series":"y1","x":"2020/04/01"},{"y":51.7,"series":"y1","x":"2020/04/08"},{"y":53.3,"series":"y1","x":"2020/04/15"},{"y":53.9,"series":"y1","x":"2020/04/22"},{"y":53.8,"series":"y1","x":"2020/04/29"},{"y":54.9,"series":"y1","x":"2020/05/04"},{"y":55.2,"series":"y1","x":"2020/05/11"},{"y":56,"series":"y1","x":"2020/05/21"},{"y":20.7,"series":"y2","x":"2020/01/01"},{"y":19.7,"series":"y2","x":"2020/01/08"},{"y":18.8,"series":"y2","x":"2020/01/15"},{"y":18.9,"series":"y2","x":"2020/01/22"},{"y":19.5,"series":"y2","x":"2020/01/29"},{"y":20.8,"series":"y2","x":"2020/02/05"},{"y":20.7,"series":"y2","x":"2020/02/12"},{"y":21.1,"series":"y2","x":"2020/02/19"},{"y":21,"series":"y2","x":"2020/02/26"},{"y":19.9,"series":"y2","x":"2020/03/04"},{"y":21.1,"series":"y2","x":"2020/03/11"},{"y":22.4,"series":"y2","x":"2020/03/18"},{"y":21.9,"series":"y2","x":"2020/03/25"},{"y":22.1,"series":"y2","x":"2020/04/01"},{"y":21.4,"series":"y2","x":"2020/04/08"},{"y":22.7,"series":"y2","x":"2020/04/15"},{"y":20.7,"series":"y2","x":"2020/04/22"},{"y":21.3,"series":"y2","x":"2020/04/29"},{"y":21.5,"series":"y2","x":"2020/05/04"},{"y":21.3,"series":"y2","x":"2020/05/11"},{"y":22.3,"series":"y2","x":"2020/05/21"}]}],"width":550}</graph>
Michigan
 | |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
The Incumbent Democratic Senator announced their retirement in late 2019.
The Democratic nominee is Iraq War Veteran and Congressman for Michigan's 9th District John Garfield III.
The Republican nominee is former St. Clair Mayor and Congressman for Michigan's 10th District George Baxton.
Minnesota
Mississippi
Montana
Nebraska
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
North Carolina
Ohio (special)
Oklahoma
Oregon
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
 | |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
| |||||||||||
.jpg)
.jpg)
Incumbent U.S. Senator from Texas, and Senate Majority Whip, Howard Frankston announced his retirement in October of 2019. His son, Joseph Frankston would go onto lose the primary to Congressman Crawford Clay.
Houston Mayor, Harold Baines won the Democratic Primary.
This election follows the 2019 special election which elected Senator Suraj Shah as Texas' first Democratic Senator since 1993.
Should Harold Baines win the 2020 election, it would mark the first time since 1961 that Texas was represented by two Democrats in the U.S. Senate.
| 2020 Texas U.S. Senate Republican Primary | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
| Republican | Crawford Clay | 999,902 | 51.7% | ||
| Republican | Joseph Frankston | 934,145 | 48.3% | ||
| Total Votes | 1,934,047 | ||||
Virginia
West Virginia
Wyoming
Notes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Republicans lost the 2019 United States Senate special election in Texas to Democratic candidate Suraj Shah
- ↑ Democrats need 3 seats for an outright majority or 2 seats and the Vice-Presidency for a majority with the Vice-President's tie-breaking power