2020 United States House of Representatives Elections (LOTF RP)

2020 United States House of Representatives elections

November 3, 2020
All 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives 218 seats needed for a majority
Leader Caroline Simone Thomas Volker Party Democratic Republican Leader since September 9, 2019 January 3, 2019 Leader's seat New York 12th Missouri 8th Last election 235 seats, 53.4% 199 seats, 44.8% Seats needed 19
Incumbent Speaker Caroline Simone Democratic

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections will be held on November 3, 2020. Elections were held to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states, as well as six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories. Numerous other |federal, state, and local elections, including the 2020 presidential election and the 2020 Senate elections, were also held on this date. The winners of this election will be serving in the 117th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2010 United States Census. Democrats have held a majority in the House of Representatives since January 3, 2019, as a result of the 2018 elections, when they won 235 seats.

Incumbents Defeated

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Seats Changing Hands

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Latest published ratings for competitive seats

Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below were considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.

Most election ratings use:

• Tossup: no advantage
• Tilt (sometimes used): slight advantage
• Lean: clear advantage
• Likely: strong, but not certain advantage
• Safe: outcome is nearly certain

District	CPVI	Incumbent	Last result	Aggregator June 1, 2020	Tartalek May 11, 2020	Surveylance June 1, 2020	Precipice May 14, 2020	Stuyvesant May 13, 2020	Winner
Alaska at-Large	R+9	Vacant	53.1% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Lean R
Arizona 1	R+2	Unoccupied (D)	53.8% D	Lean D	Tossup	Tilt D	Tossup
Arizona 2	R+1	Linda Teasdale (R)	50.7% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt R	Tossup
Arizona 6	R+9	Unoccupied (R)	55.2% R	Lean R	Likely R	Tilt R	Lean R
Arkansas 2	R+7	Unoccupied (R)	52.1% R	Lean R	Likely R	Tossup	Lean R
California 1	R+11	Unoccupied (R)	54.9% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R
California 3	D+5	Unoccupied (D)	58.1% D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Solid D
California 4	R+10	Unoccupied (R)	54.1% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Solid R
California 7	D+3	Unoccupied (D)	55.1% D	Safe D	Safe D	Likely D	Likely D
California 8	R+9	Unoccupied (R)	60.0% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Solid R
California 10	EVEN	Unoccupied (D)	52.3% D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Lean D
California 21	D+5	Unoccupied (D)	50.4% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Tilt D
California 22	R+8	Unoccupied (R)	52.7% R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	Lean R
California 25	EVEN	Unoccupied (D)	54.4% D	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D	Tilt D
California 39	EVEN	Unoccupied (D)	51.6% D	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D	Tossup
California 42	R+9	Unoccupied (R)	56.5% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R
California 45	R+3	Theodore Vohoffsky (R)	50.1% R	Tossup	Tilt R	Tossup	Tossup
California 48	R+4	Unoccupied (D)	53.6% D	Tossup	Lean R (Flip)	Tilt R (Flip)	Tossup
California 50	R+11	Unoccupied (R)	51.7% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Tilt R
Colorado 3	R+6	Unoccupied (R)	51.5% R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R
Florida 7	EVEN	Unoccupied (D)	57.7% D	Likely D	Lean D	Tilt D	Lean D
Florida 13	D+2	Unoccupied (D)	57.6% D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D
Florida 15	R+6	Unoccupied (R)	53.0% R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R
Florida 16	R+7	Unoccupied (R)	54.6% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R
Florida 18	R+5	Unoccupied (R)	54.3% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Florida 26	D+6	Unoccupied (D)	50.9% D	Lean D	Tossup	Lean D	Tilt D
Florida 27	D+5	Alexander Santiago (D)	50.9% D	Tilt D	Tilt D	Tilt D	Tossup
Georgia 6	R+8	Unoccupied (D)	50.5% D	Tilt D	Tilt R (Flip)	Tilt D	Tilt D
Georgia 7	R+9	Unoccupied (R)	50.1% R	Tossup	Lean R	Tossup	Tilt R
Illinois 6	R+2	Unoccupied (D)	53.6% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D
Illinois 13	R+3	Unoccupied (R)	50.4% R	Tossup	Lean R	Lean R	Tilt R
Illinois 14	R+5	Unoccupied (D)	52.5% D	Tossup	Tilt R (Flip)	Tilt D	Tilt D
Illinois 17	D+3	Unoccupied (D)	62.1% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D
Indiana 5	R+9	Unoccupied (R)	56.8% R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R
Iowa 1	D+1	Unoccupied (D)	51.0% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D
Iowa 2	D+1	Unoccupied (D)	54.8% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D
Iowa 3	R+1	Unoccupied (D)	49.3% D	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D	Tilt D
Iowa 4	R+11	John Ruler (R) (retiring)	50.3% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R
Kansas 2	R+10	Unoccupied (R)	47.6% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Solid R
Kansas 3	R+4	Unoccupied (D)	53.6% D	Tilt D	Lean R (Flip)	Lean D	Likely D
Kentucky 6	R+9	Unoccupied (R)	51.0% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Maine 2	R+2	Diane Paulson (R) (retiring)	51.4% R	Tossup	Tilt D (Flip)	Tossup	Tilt D (Flip)
Michigan 3	R+6	Unoccupied (R)	54.4% R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R
Michigan 6	R+4	Unoccupied (R)	50.2% R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R
Michigan 7	R+7	Unoccupied (R)	53.8% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R
Michigan 8	R+4	Unoccupied (D)	50.6% D	Tossup	Lean D	Tilt D	Lean D
Michigan 11	R+4	Unoccupied (D)	51.8% D	Tossup	Tilt R (Flip)	Tilt D	Tilt D
Minnesota 1	R+5	Unoccupied (R)	50.1% R	Tossup	Tilt R	Tilt R	Tilt D (Flip)
Minnesota 2	R+2	Unoccupied (D)	52.7% D	Tilt D	Tilt R (Flip)	Likely D	Tilt D
Minnesota 7	R+12	Unoccupied (D)	52.1% D	Tilt D	Tilt D	Tilt R (Flip)	Tossup
Minnesota 8	R+4	Unoccupied (R)	50.7% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt R	Lean R
Missouri 2	R+8	Unoccupied (R)	51.2% R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R
Montana at-Large	R+11	Unoccupied (R)	50.9% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Nebraska 2	R+4	Unoccupied (R)	51.0% R	Tilt R	Lean R	Lean R	Tossup
Nevada 3	R+2	Unoccupied (D)	51.9% D	Tilt D	Lean D	Tilt D	Tilt D
Nevada 4	D+3	Unoccupied (D)	51.9% D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
New Hampshire 1	R+2	Unoccupied (D)	53.6% D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
New Hampshire 2	D+2	Unoccupied (D)	55.5% D	Likely D	Safe D	Safe D	Solid D
New Jersey 2	R+1	Unoccupied (D)	52.9% D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D
New Jersey 3	R+2	Unoccupied (D)	50.0% D	Tilt D	Lean D	Likely D	Lean D
New Jersey 5	R+3	Unoccupied (D)	56.2% D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
New Jersey 7	R+3	Unoccupied (D)	51.7% D	Lean D	Tossup	Lean D	Lean D
New Jersey 11	R+3	Unoccupied (D)	56.8% D	Lean D	Tilt D	Likely D	Likely D
New Mexico 2	R+6	Unoccupied (D)	50.9% D	Tossup	Lean R (Flip)	Tilt D	Tilt D
New York 1	R+5	Unoccupied (R)	51.5% R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R
New York 2	R+3	Unoccupied (D)	51.9% D	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R (Flip)	Tilt R (Flip)
New York 11	R+3	Unoccupied (D)	53.0% D	Tossup	Tilt D	Tossup	Tilt D
New York 18	R+1	Unoccupied (D)	55.5% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Solid D
New York 19	R+2	Unoccupied (D)	51.4% D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D
New York 22	R+6	Unoccupied (D)	50.8% D	Tilt D	Lean D	Tilt D	Tilt D
New York 24	D+3	Unoccupied (R)	52.6% R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
New York 27	R+11	Unoccupied (R)	51.8% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Solid R
North Carolina 1	D+5	Unoccupied (D)	69.8% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Solid D
North Carolina 2	D+9	Unoccupied (R)	51.3% R	Safe D (Flip)	Safe D (Flip)	Likely D (Flip)	Lean D (Flip)
North Carolina 6	D+8	Unoccupied (R)	56.5% R	Safe D (Flip)	Safe D (Flip)	Likely D (Flip)	Lean D (Flip)
North Carolina 8	R+5	Unoccupied (R)	55.3% R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R
North Carolina 9	R+7	Unoccupied (R)	50.7% R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R
North Carolina 11	R+14	Unoccupied (R)	59.2% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Solid R
Ohio 1	R+5	Unoccupied (R)	51.3% R	Tilt R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R
Ohio 10	R+4	Unoccupied (R)	55.9% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Solid R
Ohio 12	R+7	Unoccupied (R)	51.4% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R
Oklahoma 5	R+10	Unoccupied (D)	50.7% D	Tossup	Likely R (Flip)	Tilt D	Tossup
Oregon 4	EVEN	Unoccupied (D)	56.0% D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
Pennsylvania 1	R+1	Unoccupied (D)	50.9% D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup
Pennsylvania 7	D+1	Unoccupied (D)	53.5% D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
Pennsylvania 8	R+1	Unoccupied (D)	54.6% D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D
Pennsylvania 10	R+6	Unoccupied (R)	51.3% R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R
Pennsylvania 16	R+8	Unoccupied (R)	51.6% R	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R	Solid R
Pennsylvania 17	R+3	Unoccupied (D)	56.3% D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D
South Carolina 1	R+10	Unoccupied (D)	50.6% D	Lean R (Flip)	Likely R (Flip)	Tilt R (Flip)	Tilt R (Flip)
South Carolina 2	R+12	Unoccupied (R)	56.3% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Solid R
Texas 2	R+11	Unoccupied (R)	52.8% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Solid R
Texas 3	R+13	Unoccupied (R)	54.3% R	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R	Solid R
Texas 6	R+9	Unoccupied (R)	53.1% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R
Texas 7	R+7	Linda Lazare (D)	52.5% D	Lean D	Tossup	Tilt D	Lean D
Texas 10	R+9	Unoccupied (R)	51.1% R	Safe R	Safe R	Lean R	Solid R
Texas 21	R+10	Unoccupied (R)	50.2% R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R
Texas 22	R+10	Unoccupied (R)	51.4% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R
Texas 23	R+1	Unoccupied (D)	49.4% D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Texas 24	R+9	Unoccupied (R)	50.6% R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Tilt R
Texas 25	R+11	Unoccupied (R)	53.5% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Solid R
Texas 31	R+10	Unoccupied (R)	50.6% R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Solid R
Texas 32	R+5	Unoccupied (D)	52.3% D	Lean D	Lean R (Flip)	Likely D	Likely D
Utah 4	R+13	Unoccupied (D)	50.1% D	Lean R (Flip)	Lean R (Flip)	Tilt R (Flip)	Tossup
Virginia 1	R+8	Unoccupied (R)	55.2% R	Safe R	Safe R	Likely R	Solid R
Virginia 2	R+3	Unoccupied (D)	51.1% D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D
Virginia 5	R+6	Unoccupied (R)	53.2% R	Lean R	Lean R	Tilt R	Tilt R
Virginia 7	R+6	Unoccupied (D)	50.3% D	Lean D	Lean R (Flip)	Lean D	Lean D
Virginia 10	D+1	Felix Holt (D)	56.1% D	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D	Solid D
Washington 3	R+4	Unoccupied (R)	52.7% R	Tilt R	Lean R	Tilt R	Likely R
Washington 8	EVEN	Unoccupied (D)	52.4% D	Likely D	Tossup	Likely D	Likely D
Wisconsin 3	EVEN	Fiona Lowell (D)	59.7% D	Lean D	Tossup	Likely D	Likely D
Overall				Democratic - 223 Tossup - 20 Republican - 192	Democratic - 218 Tossup - 14 Republican - 203	Democratic - 231 Tossup - 7 Republican - 197	Democratic - 228 Tossup - 13 Republican - 194		(Final Results)
District	2017 CPVI	Incumbent	Previous result	Aggregator	Tartalek	Surveylance	Precipice	Stuyvesant	Winner