2023 Portogalan parliamentary election: Difference between revisions

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| type              = parliamentary<!-- presidential, parliamentary, legislative, primary, or by-election --><!-- MANDATORY, and limited to the preceding five types -->
| type              = parliamentary<!-- presidential, parliamentary, legislative, primary, or by-election --><!-- MANDATORY, and limited to the preceding five types -->
| vote_type        = Popular <!-- default -->
| vote_type        = Popular <!-- default -->
| ongoing          = yes
| ongoing          =  
| party_colour      = yes
| party_colour      = yes
| party_name        = yes
| party_name        = yes
Line 13: Line 13:
| previous_year    = [[November 2022 Portogalan parliamentary election|November 2022]]
| previous_year    = [[November 2022 Portogalan parliamentary election|November 2022]]
| outgoing_members  =  
| outgoing_members  =  
| election_date    = <!-- {{Start date|YYYY|MM|DD}} -->
| election_date    = {{Start date|2023|05|02}}<!-- {{Start date|YYYY|MM|DD}} -->
| elected_members  =  
| elected_members  =  
| next_election    = <!--page title, will be linked if it exists-->
| next_election    = <!--page title, will be linked if it exists-->
Line 19: Line 19:
| votes_for_election=  
| votes_for_election=  
| needed_votes      =  
| needed_votes      =  
| seats_for_election= All 151 seats in the [[Portogalan Parliament]]
| seats_for_election= All 150 seats in the [[Portogalan Parliament]]
| majority_seats    = 76
| majority_seats    = 76
| opinion_polls    =  
| opinion_polls    =  
| registered        = 6,147,900
| registered        = 5,121,912
| turnout          =  
| turnout          = 3,817,643 (74.5%) {{increase}}
| votes_counted    = <!-- Use ONE out of votes_counted, reporting or declared, do not include percentage (%) sign-->
| votes_counted    = <!-- Use ONE out of votes_counted, reporting or declared, do not include percentage (%) sign-->
| reporting        = <!-- Use ONE out of votes_counted, reporting or declared, do not include percentage (%) sign-->
| reporting        = <!-- Use ONE out of votes_counted, reporting or declared, do not include percentage (%) sign-->
Line 35: Line 35:
| image1            = Diana_de_Oliveira_Salazar.jpg
| image1            = Diana_de_Oliveira_Salazar.jpg
| image1_size      = 100px
| image1_size      = 100px
| image1_upright    =
| colour1          = 126CB7
| colour1          = 126CB7
| nominee1          = <!-- when appropriate, candidate1 can be used instead -->
| candidate1        = <!-- any type of election -->
| leader1          = [[Diana de Oliveira Salazar]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| leader1          = [[Diana de Oliveira Salazar]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| party1            = [[Portogala United]]
| party1            = [[Portogala United]]
| alliance1        =  
| alliance1        = [[PUC]]
 
| last_election1    = 87 seats, 55.5%
<!-- legislative or parliamentary -->
| seats1            = 89
| leader_since1    =
| seat_change1      = {{increase}} 2
| leaders_seat1    =
| popular_vote1    = 2,101,524
| last_election1    = 60 seats, 35.63%
| percentage1      = 55.1%
| seats_before1    = 60
| swing1            = {{decrease}} 0.4%
| seats_needed1    = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]16
| seats1            =  
| seats_after1      =  
| seat_change1      =  


<!--        person 2        -->
<!--        person 2        -->
| image2            = Enringo_Balear.jpg
| image2            = Enringo_Balear.jpg
| image2_size      = 100px
| image2_size      = 100px
| image2_upright    =
| colour2          = e43c40
| colour2          = e43c40
| nominee2          = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, candidate2 can be used instead -->
| candidate2        = <!-- any type of election -->
| leader2          = [[Enringo Balear]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| leader2          = [[Enringo Balear]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| party2            = [[Democratic Opposition]]
| party2            = [[Democratic Opposition]]
| alliance2        =  
| alliance2        = [[The Left]]
 
| last_election2    = 22 seats, 13.6%
<!-- legislative or parliamentary -->
| seats2            = 43
| leader_since2    =
| seat_change2      = {{increase}} 21
| leaders_seat2    =
| popular_vote2    = 1,028,892
| last_election2    = 22 seats, 13.63%
| percentage2      = 27%
| seats_before2    = 22
| swing2            = {{increase}} 13.4%
| seats_needed2    = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]] 54
| seats2            =  
| seats_after2      =  
| seat_change2      =  


<!--        person 3        -->
<!--        person 3        -->
| image3            = Salvador_Leon.jpg
| image3            = Augustin_Diaz.jpg
| image3_size      = 100px
| image3_size      = 100px
| image3_upright    =
| colour3          = ff0000
| colour3          = f8aae7
| leader3          = [[Augustin Diaz]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| nominee3          = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, candidate2 can be used instead -->
| party3            = [[Worker's Union (Portogala)|Worker's Union]]
| candidate3        = <!-- any type of election -->
| last_election3    = 14 seats, 9.8%
| leader3          = [[Salvador Leon]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| seats3            = 10
| party3            = [[The Centre]]
| seat_change3      = {{decrease}} 4
| alliance3        =  
| popular_vote3     = 272,731
 
| percentage3      = 7.1%
<!-- legislative or parliamentary -->
| swing3           = {{decrease}} 2.7%
| leader_since3    =  
| leaders_seat3    =  
| last_election3    = ''New''
| seats_before3     = 20
| seats_needed3    = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]] 56
| seats3           =  
| seats_after3      =
| seat_change3      =


<!--        person 4        -->
<!--        person 4        -->
| image4            = Santiago Schulz.jpg
| image4            = Antonio_Varajo.jpg
| image4_size      = 100px
| image4_size      = 100px
| image4_upright    =
| colour4          = f97b00
| colour4          = 42db50
| leader4          = [[Antonio Varajo]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| nominee4          = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, candidate2 can be used instead -->
| party4            = [[New Path]]
| candidate4        = <!-- any type of election -->
| last_election4    = ''New''
| leader4          = [[Santiago Schulz]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| seats4            = 8
| party4            = [[People's Party (Portogala)|People's Party]]
| seat_change4      = {{increase}} 8
| alliance4        =  
| popular_vote4    = 241,524
 
| percentage4      = 6.3%
<!-- legislative or parliamentary -->
| swing4           = {{increase}} 6.3%
| leader_since4    =  
| leaders_seat4    =  
| last_election4    = 19 seats, 13.04%
| seats_before4    = 19
| seats_needed4    = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]] 57
| seats4           =  
| seats_after4      =
| seat_change4      =


<!--        person 5        -->
<!--        person 5        -->
| image5            = Augustin_Diaz.jpg
| image5            = Santiago_Schulz.jpg
| image5_size      = 100px
| image5_size      = 100px
| image5_upright    =
| colour5          = 42db50
| colour5          = ff0000
| leader5          = [[Santiago Schulz]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| nominee5          = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, candidate2 can be used instead -->
| party5            = [[People's Party (Portogala)|People's Party]]
| candidate5        = <!-- any type of election -->
| last_election5    = 19 seats, 10.9%
| leader5          = [[Augustin Diaz]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| seats5            = 0
| party5            = [[Worker's Union (Portogala)|Worker's Union]]
| seat_change5      = {{decrease}} 19
| alliance5        =  
| popular_vote5    = 98,944
| percentage5      = 2.6%
| swing5            = {{decrease}} 8.3%


<!-- legislative or parliamentary -->
<!--        person 6       -->
| leader_since5    =
| leaders_seat5    =
| last_election5    = 14 seats, 9.78%
| seats_before5    = 14
| seats_needed5    = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]] 62
| seats5            =
| seats_after5      =
| seat_change5      =
 
<!--        person6       -->
| image6            = Fernandes_Pereira.jpg
| image6            = Fernandes_Pereira.jpg
| image6_size      = 100px
| image6_size      = 100px
| image6_upright    =
| colour6          = 12b631  
| colour6          = 12b631
| nominee6          = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, candidate2 can be used instead -->
| candidate6        = <!-- any type of election -->
| leader6          = [[Fernandes Pereira]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| leader6          = [[Fernandes Pereira]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| party6            = [[National Movement (Portogala)|National Movement]]
| party6            = [[National Movement (Portogala)|National Movement]]
| alliance6        =
| last_election6    = 8 seats, 8.1%  
 
| seats6            = 0
<!-- legislative or parliamentary -->
| seat_change6      = {{decrease}} 9
| leader_since6    =
| popular_vote6    = 74,028
| leaders_seat6    =
| percentage6      = 1.9%
| last_election6    = 8 seats, 8.11%
| swing6           = {{decrease}} 6.2%
| seats_before6    = 8
| seats_needed6    = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]] 68
| seats6            =  
| seats_after6      =
| seat_change6      =  
 
<!--        person 7        -->
| image7            = Madalena_Morais_Faira.jpg
| image7_size      = 100px
| image7_upright    =
| colour7          = ffff45
| nominee7          = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, candidate2 can be used instead -->
| candidate7        = <!-- any type of election -->
| leader7          = [[Madalena Morais Faira]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| party7            = [[Liberal Party (Portogala)|Liberal Party]]
| alliance7        =
 
<!-- legislative or parliamentary -->
| leader_since7    =
| leaders_seat7    =
| last_election7    = 25 seats, 14.56%
| seats_before7    = 5
| seats_needed7    = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]71
| seats7            =
| seats_after7      =
| seat_change7      =
 
<!--        person8        -->
| image8           = Gustavo_Mendes_de_Coicojote.jpg
| image8_size      = 100px
| image8_upright    =
| colour8          = 1470cf
| nominee8          = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, candidate2 can be used instead -->
| candidate8        = <!-- any type of election -->
| leader8          = [[Gustavo Mendes de Coicojote]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| party8            = [[Christian Democrats (Portogala)|Christian Democrats]]
| alliance8        =
 
<!-- legislative or parliamentary -->
| leader_since8    =
| leaders_seat8    =
| last_election8    = 2 seats, 5.25%
| seats_before8    = 2
| seats_needed8    = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]] 74
| seats8            =
| seats_after8      =
| seat_change8      =
 
<!--        person9        -->
| image9            = Sofia_Raposa.jpg
| image9_size      = 100px
| image9_upright    =
| colour9          = 00ff00
| nominee9          = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, candidate2 can be used instead -->
| candidate9        = <!-- any type of election -->
| leader9          = [[Sofia Raposa]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| party9            = [[Green Party (Portogala)|Green Party]]
| alliance9        =
 
<!-- legislative or parliamentary -->
| leader_since9    =
| leaders_seat9    =
| last_election9    = ''New''
| seats_before9    = 0
| seats_needed9    = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]] 76
| seats9            =
| seats_after9      =
| seat_change9      =


<!-- polls -->
<!-- polls -->
Line 259: Line 150:
}}
}}


==Opinion polls==
Early parliamentary elections will be held in Portogala on 3rd May 2023 to elect members of the 3rd Portogalan Parliament. The snap election was called after the fall of the Salazar Government, a three-party coalition, on 24th February 2023. The collapse was caused by the split of the [[Liberal Party (Portogala)|Liberal Party]] and the creation of a new party - [[The Centre]]. This is the third parliamentary election in Portogala since September 2022. The election was supposed to be held earlier, but it was postponed due to the effects of the [[Third_Great_War_(TPU)|Third Great War]].
 
=Electoral system=
 
The [[Portogalan Parliament]] is made up of 150 seats, and all are elected through open list, proportional representation on multi-member party lists in 6 electoral constituencies. Each of the 6 constituencies has a set number of parliamentarians that is divided through constituency results to ensure regional representation. To receive seats in the Parliament, a party needs to get a minimun of 4% of the national vote or 12% of votes in a constituency, in which case the party only gets seats in that constituency.
=Opinion polls=
[[File:Opinion_polls_Portogala_2023.png]]
[[File:Opinion_polls_Portogala_2023.png]]
{| class=wikitable style=text-align:center
{| class=wikitable style=text-align:center
! Polling firm (date)
! rowspan=2 |Polling firm (date)
! colspan=3 |[[File:Portogala United Coalition Logo.png|100px|link=Portogala United Coalition|Portogala United Coalition]]
! colspan=3 |[[File:The_Left Logo.png|130px|link=The Left]]
! rowspan=2 |[[File:People's_Party_Portogala_Logo.png|30px|link=People's Party (Portogala)|PP]]
! rowspan=2 |[[File:Worker's_Union_Portogala_Logo.png|45px|link=Worker's Union (Portogala)|UT]]
! rowspan=2 |[[File:National_Movement_Portogala_Logo.png|40px|link=National Movement (Portogala)|MN]]
! rowspan=2 |[[File:New_Path_Logo.png|60px|link=New Path|NC]]
! rowspan=2 |Undecided
! rowspan=2 |Lead
|-
! [[File:Portogala_United_Logo.png|40px|link=Portogala United|PU]]
! [[File:Portogala_United_Logo.png|40px|link=Portogala United|PU]]
! [[File:Liberal_Party_Portogala_Logo.png|45px|link=Liberal Party (Portogala)|PL]]
! [[File:Liberal_Party_Portogala_Logo.png|45px|link=Liberal Party (Portogala)|PL]]
! [[File:Christian_Democrats_Portogala_Logo.png|30px|link=Christian Democrats (Portogala)|DC]]
! [[File:Democratic_Opposition_Logo.png|35px|link=Democratic Opposition|OD]]
! [[File:Democratic_Opposition_Logo.png|35px|link=Democratic Opposition|OD]]
! [[File:People's_Party_Portogala_Logo.png|30px|link=People's Party (Portogala)|PP]]
! [[File:Green_Party_Portogala_Logo.png|50px|link=Green Party (Portogala)|PV]]
! [[File:Worker's_Union_Portogala_Logo.png|45px|link=Worker's Union (Portogala)|UT]]
! [[File:National_Movement_Portogala_Logo.png|40px|link=National Movement (Portogala)|MN]]
! [[File:Christian_Democrats_Portogala_Logo.png|30px|link=Christian Democrats (Portogala)|DC]]
! [[File:Green_Party_Portogala_Logo.png|40px|link=Green Party (Portogala)|PV]]
! [[File:The_Centre_Logo.png|50px|link=The Centre|C]]
! [[File:The_Centre_Logo.png|50px|link=The Centre|C]]
! Undecided
|-
! Lead
! Politimania <br> (30th April 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 47.8
| colspan=3 | 29.8
| 3.5
| 6.1
| 3.3
| 6.6
| 2.9
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 18
|-
! Politimania <br> (27th April 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 48
| colspan=3 | 29.1
| 3.4
| 5.9
| 3.5
| 6.8
| 3.3
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 18.9
|-
! Politimania <br> (24th April 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 48.3
| colspan=3 | 28.3
| 3.3
| 6.4
| 3.6
| 6.5
| 3.6
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 20
|-
! Politimania <br> (21th April 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 48.5
| colspan=3 | 27.7
| 3.4
| 6.8
| 3.8
| 6
| 3.8
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 20.8
|-
! Politimania <br> (18th April 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 48.8
| colspan=3 | 27.1
| 3.6
| 7.1
| 4.1
| 5.6
| 3.7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 21.7
|-
! Politimania <br> (15th April 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 48.5
| colspan=3 | 26.4
| 4.1
| 7.5
| 4.5
| 5.1
| 3.9
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 22.1
|-
! Politimania <br> (12th April 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 49
| colspan=3 | 24.7
| 5.6
| 7.9
| 4.9
| 3.6
| 4.3
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 24.3
|-
! Politimania <br> (9th April 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 49.2
| colspan=3 | 23.6
| 6.4
| 8.2
| 5.5
| 2.9
| 4.2
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 26
|-
! Politimania <br> (6th April 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 50.1
| colspan=3 | 22.8
| 7.1
| 8.5
| 5.2
| 1.8
| 4.5
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 27.3
|-
! Politimania <br> (3rd April 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 49.5
| colspan=3 | 24.7
| 7.8
| 7.3
| 5.6
| --
| 5.1
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 24.8
|-
! Politimania <br> (30th March 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 44.9
| colspan=3 | 27.6
| 7.9
| 7.8
| 6.2
| --
| 5.6
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 17.3
|-
! Politimania <br> (27th March 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 44.1
| colspan=3 | 28.9
| 8.1
| 7.4
| 5.7
| --
| 5.8
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 15.2
|-
! Politimania <br> (23th March 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 42.1
| colspan=3 | 30.5
| 8.5
| 7.2
| 5.9
| --
| 5.5
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 11.6
|-
! Politimania <br> (20th March 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 40.8
| colspan=3 | 31.1
| 8.8
| 7.1
| 6.2
| --
| 5.7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 9.7
|-
! Politimania <br> (16th March 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 41.5
| colspan=3 | 30.9
| 9.2
| 6.7
| 5.8
| --
| 5.9
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 10.6
|-
! Politimania <br> (13th March 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 38.6
| colspan=3 | 32.4
| 10.5
| 6.2
| 5.5
| --
| 6.5
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 6.2
|-
! Politimania <br> (9th March 2023)
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 21.7
| 7.5
| 7.7
| 13.4
| 4.5
| 15.4
| 11.1
| 5.9
| 6
| --
| 6.8
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 6.3
|-
! Politimania <br> (6th March 2023)
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 21.7
| 7.9
| 7.5
| 12.8
| 4.8
| 14.2
| 11.5
| 6.1
| 6.5
| --
| 7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 7.5
|-
! Politimania <br> (2nd March 2023)
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 27.1
| 8.2
| 6.4
| 12.1
| 5.5
| 9.7
| 12.4
| 6.2
| 5.7
| --
| 6.7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 14.7
|-
|-
! Politimania <br> (27th February 2023)
! Politimania <br> (27th February 2023)
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 28.3
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 28.3
| 9.7
| 9.7
| 6.2
| 11.8
| 11.8
| 5.8
| 6.8
| 12.2
| 12.2
| 6.8
| 6.8
| 5.9
| 5.9
| 6.2
| --
| 5.8
| 6.8
| 6.5
| 6.5
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 16.1
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 16.1
Line 291: Line 394:
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 30.4
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 30.4
| 13.3
| 13.3
| 5.8
| 11.1
| 11.1
| 6.1
| --
| 12.7
| 12.7
| 6.5
| 6.5
| 6.4
| 6.4
| 5.8
| 6.1
| --
| --
| 7.4
| 7.4
Line 304: Line 408:
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 31.9
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 31.9
| 12.9
| 12.9
| 5.1
| 11.4
| 11.4
| 5.7
| --
| 12.4
| 12.4
| 6.8
| 6.8
| 6.7
| 6.7
| 5.1
| 5.7
| --
| --
| 7.1
| 7.1
Line 317: Line 422:
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 32.1
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 32.1
| 13.4
| 13.4
| 4.7
| 11.9
| 11.9
| 4.1
| --
| 12.8
| 12.8
| 7.2
| 7.2
| 7.1
| 7.1
| 4.7
| 4.1
| --
| --
| 6.7
| 6.7
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! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 33.4
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 33.4
| 13
| 13
| 4.3
| 12.8
| 12.8
| --
| --
| 12.1
| 12.1
| 8.5
| 8.5
| 7.4
| 7.4
| 4.3
| --
| --
| --
| 8.5
| 8.5
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! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 32.9  
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 32.9  
| 13.7
| 13.7
| 3.9
| 13.1
| 13.1
| --
| --
| 12.8
| 12.8
| 8.3
| 8.3
| 7.5
| 7.5
| 3.9
| --
| --
| --
| 7.8
| 7.8
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! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 33.4  
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 33.4  
| 13.5
| 13.5
| 3.4
| 12.8
| 12.8
| --
| --
| 13.5
| 13.5
| 8.5
| 8.5
| 7.9
| 7.9
| 3.4
| --
| --
| --
| 7
| 7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 19.9
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 19.9
|}
|}

Latest revision as of 20:20, 1 May 2023

2023 Portogalan parliamentary election
Portogala.png
← November 2022 May 2, 2023 (2023-05-02)
All 150 seats in the Portogalan Parliament
76 seats needed for a majority
Registered5,121,912
Turnout3,817,643 (74.5%) Increase
  First party Second party Third party
  Diana de Oliveira Salazar.jpg Enringo Balear.jpg Augustin Diaz.jpg
Leader Diana de Oliveira Salazar Enringo Balear Augustin Diaz
Party Portogala United Democratic Opposition Worker's Union
Alliance PUC The Left
Last election 87 seats, 55.5% 22 seats, 13.6% 14 seats, 9.8%
Seats won 89 43 10
Seat change Increase 2 Increase 21 Decrease 4
Popular vote 2,101,524 1,028,892 272,731
Percentage 55.1% 27% 7.1%
Swing Decrease 0.4% Increase 13.4% Decrease 2.7%
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Antonio Varajo.jpg Santiago Schulz.jpg Fernandes Pereira.jpg
Leader Antonio Varajo Santiago Schulz Fernandes Pereira
Party New Path People's Party National Movement
Last election New 19 seats, 10.9% 8 seats, 8.1%
Seats won 8 0 0
Seat change Increase 8 Decrease 19 Decrease 9
Popular vote 241,524 98,944 74,028
Percentage 6.3% 2.6% 1.9%
Swing Increase 6.3% Decrease 8.3% Decrease 6.2%

Early parliamentary elections will be held in Portogala on 3rd May 2023 to elect members of the 3rd Portogalan Parliament. The snap election was called after the fall of the Salazar Government, a three-party coalition, on 24th February 2023. The collapse was caused by the split of the Liberal Party and the creation of a new party - The Centre. This is the third parliamentary election in Portogala since September 2022. The election was supposed to be held earlier, but it was postponed due to the effects of the Third Great War.

Electoral system

The Portogalan Parliament is made up of 150 seats, and all are elected through open list, proportional representation on multi-member party lists in 6 electoral constituencies. Each of the 6 constituencies has a set number of parliamentarians that is divided through constituency results to ensure regional representation. To receive seats in the Parliament, a party needs to get a minimun of 4% of the national vote or 12% of votes in a constituency, in which case the party only gets seats in that constituency.

Opinion polls

Opinion polls Portogala 2023.png

Polling firm (date) Portogala United Coalition The Left Logo.png PP UT MN NC Undecided Lead
PU PL DC OD PV C
Politimania
(30th April 2023) 		47.8 29.8 3.5 6.1 3.3 6.6 2.9 18
Politimania
(27th April 2023) 		48 29.1 3.4 5.9 3.5 6.8 3.3 18.9
Politimania
(24th April 2023) 		48.3 28.3 3.3 6.4 3.6 6.5 3.6 20
Politimania
(21th April 2023) 		48.5 27.7 3.4 6.8 3.8 6 3.8 20.8
Politimania
(18th April 2023) 		48.8 27.1 3.6 7.1 4.1 5.6 3.7 21.7
Politimania
(15th April 2023) 		48.5 26.4 4.1 7.5 4.5 5.1 3.9 22.1
Politimania
(12th April 2023) 		49 24.7 5.6 7.9 4.9 3.6 4.3 24.3
Politimania
(9th April 2023) 		49.2 23.6 6.4 8.2 5.5 2.9 4.2 26
Politimania
(6th April 2023) 		50.1 22.8 7.1 8.5 5.2 1.8 4.5 27.3
Politimania
(3rd April 2023) 		49.5 24.7 7.8 7.3 5.6 -- 5.1 24.8
Politimania
(30th March 2023) 		44.9 27.6 7.9 7.8 6.2 -- 5.6 17.3
Politimania
(27th March 2023) 		44.1 28.9 8.1 7.4 5.7 -- 5.8 15.2
Politimania
(23th March 2023) 		42.1 30.5 8.5 7.2 5.9 -- 5.5 11.6
Politimania
(20th March 2023) 		40.8 31.1 8.8 7.1 6.2 -- 5.7 9.7
Politimania
(16th March 2023) 		41.5 30.9 9.2 6.7 5.8 -- 5.9 10.6
Politimania
(13th March 2023) 		38.6 32.4 10.5 6.2 5.5 -- 6.5 6.2
Politimania
(9th March 2023) 		21.7 7.5 7.7 13.4 4.5 15.4 11.1 5.9 6 -- 6.8 6.3
Politimania
(6th March 2023) 		21.7 7.9 7.5 12.8 4.8 14.2 11.5 6.1 6.5 -- 7 7.5
Politimania
(2nd March 2023) 		27.1 8.2 6.4 12.1 5.5 9.7 12.4 6.2 5.7 -- 6.7 14.7
Politimania
(27th February 2023) 		28.3 9.7 6.2 11.8 5.8 6.8 12.2 6.8 5.9 -- 6.5 16.1
Politimania
(22th February 2023) 		30.4 13.3 5.8 11.1 6.1 -- 12.7 6.5 6.4 -- 7.4 17.4
Politimania
(8th February 2023) 		31.9 12.9 5.1 11.4 5.7 -- 12.4 6.8 6.7 -- 7.1 19
Politimania
(25th January 2023) 		32.1 13.4 4.7 11.9 4.1 -- 12.8 7.2 7.1 -- 6.7 18.7
Politimania
(11th January 2023) 		33.4 13 4.3 12.8 -- -- 12.1 8.5 7.4 -- 8.5 20.4
Politimania
(28th December 2022) 		32.9 13.7 3.9 13.1 -- -- 12.8 8.3 7.5 -- 7.8 19.2
Politimania
(14th December 2022) 		33.4 13.5 3.4 12.8 -- -- 13.5 8.5 7.9 -- 7 19.9
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