2020 Vazian General Election: Difference between revisions
No edit summary |
No edit summary |
||
(73 intermediate revisions by the same user not shown) | |||
Line 3: | Line 3: | ||
{{Infobox election | {{Infobox election | ||
| election_name = | | election_name = 2020 Vazian General Election | ||
| country = Vazcoeur | | country = Vazcoeur | ||
| flag_image = | | flag_image = | ||
Line 10: | Line 10: | ||
| ongoing = no | | ongoing = no | ||
| previous_election = | | previous_election = | ||
| previous_year = [[ | | previous_year = [[2019 Vazian General Election|2019]] | ||
| previous_mps = | | previous_mps = | ||
| election_date = {{Start date| | | election_date = {{Start date|2020|5|15|df=y}} | ||
| next_election = | | next_election = | ||
| next_year = [[ | | next_year = [[Next Vazian General Election|Next]] | ||
| next_mps = | | next_mps = | ||
| seats_for_election= | | seats_for_election= 521 seats in the [[Vazian Legislature]] | ||
| majority_seats = | | majority_seats = 261 | ||
| opinion_polls = | | opinion_polls = | ||
| turnout = | | turnout = 94.9% ({{increase}} 25.6%) | ||
<!-- Rising Sun --> | <!-- Rising Sun --> | ||
| image1 = [[File: | | image1 = [[File:Pete_Buttigieg_by_Gage_Skidmore.jpg|175x175px]] | ||
| leader1 = [[Micheal Brudia]] | | leader1 = [[Micheal Brudia]] | ||
| colour1 = | | leaders_seat1 = Brudia - District 12 | ||
| party1 = [[ | | colour1 = FF74DC | ||
| alliance1 = [[ | | party1 = [[Socialist Party (Vazcoeur)|Socialist]] | ||
| alliance1 = | |||
| last_election1 = | | leader_since1 = [[October 2019 Socialist Party Leadership Election|7 October 2019]] | ||
| seats_before1 = | | last_election1 = 323 | ||
| seats1 | | seats_before1 = | ||
| seat_change1 = {{increase}} | | seats1 = '''337''' | ||
| seat_change1 = {{increase}} 44 | |||
| popular_vote1 = | | popular_vote1 = | ||
| percentage1 = | | percentage1 = '''50.01%''' | ||
| swing1 = {{increase}} 28.7 [[percentage point|pp]] | |||
<!-- National Alliance --> | <!-- National Alliance --> | ||
| image2 = [[File: | | image2 = [[File:Official_portrait_of_Jo_Swinson_crop_2.jpg|175x175px]] | ||
| leader2 = [[ | | leader2 = [[Edwina Thatcher]] | ||
| colour2 = | | leaders_seat2 = Lake State - District 21 (''defeated'') | ||
| party2 = [[ | | colour2 = 9595C6 | ||
| alliance2 = [[ | | party2 = [[Conservatives (Vazcoeur)|Conservatives]] | ||
| alliance2 = | |||
| last_election2 = | | leader_since2 = [[2019 Conservative Leadership Election (Vazcoeur)|24 January 2019]] | ||
| seats_before2 = | | last_election2 = 172 | ||
| seats2 = | | seats_before2 = | ||
| seat_change2 = {{ | | seats2 = 88 | ||
| seat_change2 = {{decrease}} 84 | |||
| popular_vote2 = | | popular_vote2 = | ||
| percentage2 = | | percentage2 = 22.1% | ||
| swing2 = {{decrease}} 8.4 [[percentage point|pp]] | |||
<!-- | <!-- Rising Sun --> | ||
| image3 | | image3 = [[File:Emmanuel_Macron_in_2019.jpg|175x175px]] | ||
| leader3 = [[ | | leader3 = [[Emmanuel Matin]] | ||
| colour3 = | | leaders_seat3 = North State - District 33 | ||
| party3 = [[ | | colour3 = F29100 | ||
| | | party3 = [[Liberal Party (Vazcoeur)|Liberal]] | ||
| leader_since3 = [[2011 Liberal Party Leadership Election (Vazcoeur)|22 May 2011]] | |||
| last_election3 = | | last_election3 = 22 | ||
| seats_before3 = | | seats_before3 = | ||
| seats3 = | | seats3 = 57 | ||
| seat_change3 = {{ | | seat_change3 = {{increase}} 35 | ||
| popular_vote3 = | | popular_vote3 = | ||
| percentage3 = | | percentage3 = 17.6% | ||
| swing3 = {{decrease}} 25.3 {{wpl|percentage point|pp}} | |||
<!-- bottom --> | <!-- bottom --> | ||
| | | map_image = Vazianelectionmap2020.png | ||
| map_size = | | map_size = 500px | ||
| map_caption = | | map_caption = District Results | ||
| map2_image = 2020vazinleg.png | |||
| map2_size = 500px | |||
| map2_caption = Composition of the Legislature | |||
| title = [[Prime Minister of Vazcoeur|Prime Minister]] | | title = [[Prime Minister of Vazcoeur|Prime Minister]] | ||
| before_election = [[ | | before_election = [[Emmanuel Matin]] | ||
| before_party = [[ | | before_party = [[Liberal Party (Vazcoeur)|Liberal]] | ||
| posttitle = [[Prime Minister of Vazcoeur|Prime Minister]] | | posttitle = [[Prime Minister of Vazcoeur|Prime Minister]] | ||
| after_election = [[ | | after_election = [[Micheal Brudia]] | ||
| after_party = [[ | | after_party = [[Socialist Party (Vazcoeur)|Socialist]] | ||
}} | }} | ||
The '''Vazian | The '''2020 Vazian general election''' was held on Friday 15 May 2020. The Socialist | ||
In July 2019, a by-election brought former Brudian Prime Minister Micheal Brudia to the Legislature who was rumoured to be garnering support to challenge Cooper as the leader. On October 1st 2019, Micheal Brudia called for a vote of no-confidence in Cooper's leadership which passed by a landslide vote of 99-12. Brudia was unopposed in the leadership election and was declared leader. Micheal Brudia announced that the Socialist Party would be calling for a vote of no-confidence in the government. This passed 265-198 calling the January 2nd election. | |||
The election resulted in a Socialist landslide majority win of 209 seats, the first Socialist government since 1967, with the party making a net gain of 190 seats and winning 50.9% of the vote. The Conservative Party won 94 seats, making 59 net loses vastly underperforming pundits expectations. The Liberal Party made a net loss of 166 seats and won xx.x% of the vote, resulting in their worst result ever since the introduction of the modern constitution. Many senior MLs lost their seats from the Liberals and Conservatives. | |||
The result of the election saw the Socialist swept into power with a large mandate to implement their manifesto commitments. The massive Liberal defeat led to Emmanuel Matin announcing his intention to resign, triggering a leadership election. For Conservative leader Jo Thatcher, the loss of her constituency's seat compelled her to resign, also triggering a leadership election. | |||
==Election Date== | |||
===Voter eligibility=== | |||
To be able to vote in Vazian elections: | |||
*Voter must be 18 years old by election day | |||
*a Vazian citizen | |||
*not excluded from voting by law | |||
===Timetable=== | |||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
|- | |||
| style="width:130px;"| 26 November|| Government loses no-confidence vote and moves for a snap election | |||
|- | |||
|2 December||Legiskluatre is dissolved | |||
|- | |||
|15 December ||VBC Debate | |||
|- | |||
|6 January|| Channel 2 Debate | |||
|- | |||
|13 January||Parliament Assembled/State Opening of Parliament | |||
|} | |||
== | ==Background== | ||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center; font-size:98%;" | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="3" align="center" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| '''Vote of No Confidence''' | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="2" style="width:150px;"| Ballot → | |||
! 12 February 2019 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="2"| Required majority → | |||
| 232 out of 463 {{tick|15}} | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:1px; background:green;"| | |||
| style="text-align:left;"| {{Collapsible list | title = <span style="font-weight:normal;">Yes</span> | |||
| • [[New Order (Vazcoeur)|New Order]] (125) | |||
| • [[People Before Profit (Vazcoeur)|People Before Profit]] (57) | |||
| • [[Green Party of Vazcoeur|Green Party]] (23) | |||
| • [[Progressive Alliance (Vazcoeur)|Progressive Alliance]] (19) | |||
| • [[Confederalist Party (Vazcoeur)|Confederalist Party]] (10) | |||
}} | |||
| {{Composition bar|264|463|green|width=125px}} | |||
|- | |||
! style="background:red;"| | |||
| style="text-align:left;"| {{Collapsible list | title = <span style="font-weight:normal;">No</span> | |||
| • [[Liberal Party (Vazcoeur)|Liberal Party]] (199) | |||
}} | |||
| {{Composition bar|199|463|red|width=125px}} | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
==Campaign== | |||
=== | ==Debates== | ||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
|-<sup>†</sup> | |||
! colspan="11" style="background:#B0C4DE" | Vazian federal election debates, 2019 | |||
|- | |||
!style="white-space:nowrap;" rowspan="3"| {{small|Date}} | |||
===[[New Order (Vazcoeur)|New Order]]=== | ! rowspan="3" | {{small|Organisers}} || rowspan="3"| {{small|Venue}} ||scope="col" colspan="9"| {{small| }} {{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} {{small|Present }} {{Colors|black|#D0F0C0| S }} {{small|Surrogate }} {{Colors|black|#A2B2C2| NI }} {{small|Non-invitee }} {{Colors|black|#ff9090| A }} {{small|Absent invitee }} | ||
|- | |||
! scope="col" style="width:6.5em;"|{{small|[[Progressive Alliance (Vazcoeur)|Progressive Alliance]]}} | |||
! scope="col" style="width:6.5em;"|{{small|[[People Before Profit (Vazcoeur)|People Before Profit]]}} | |||
! scope="col" style="width:6.5em;"|{{small|[[New Order (Vazcoeur)|New Order]]}} | |||
! scope="col" style="width:6.5em;"|{{small|[[Green Party of Vazcoeur|Green Party]]}} | |||
== | ! scope="col" style="width:6.5em;"|{{small|[[Rising Sun Party of Vazcoeur|Rising Sun Party]]}} | ||
! scope="col" style="width:6.5em;"|{{small|[[Confederalist Party (Vazcoeur)|Confederalist Party]]}} | |||
! scope="col" style="width:6.5em;"|{{small|[[Liberal Party (Vazcoeur)|Liberal Party]]}} | |||
! scope="col" style="width:6.5em;"|{{small|[[Regionalist Party (Vazcoeur)|Regionalist Party]]}} | |||
|- | |||
! style="background:#CD03FF;"| | |||
! style="background:#00DCF4;"| | |||
! style="background:#000000;"| | |||
! style="background:#00FF33;"| | |||
! style="background:#FF2200;"| | |||
! style="background:#757B7D;"| | |||
! style="background:#FFFF00;"| | |||
! style="background:#A0522D;"| | |||
|- | |||
| style="white-space:nowrap;"|3 April | |||
|style="white-space:nowrap;"|Channel 3 | |||
|style="white-space:nowrap;"|University of Georges | |||
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br /><small>[[Micheal Brudia|Brudia]]</small>}} | |||
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br /><small>[[Thomas Fredrick|Fredrick]]</small>}} | |||
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br /><small>[[Theresa de Grand|de Grand]]</small>}} | |||
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br /><small>[[Marine Lucas|Lucas]]</small>}} | |||
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br /><small>[[Emmanuel Matin|Matin]]</small>}} | |||
|{{No|'''A'''}} | |||
|{{No|'''A'''}} | |||
|{{No|'''A'''}} | |||
|- | |||
| style="white-space:nowrap;"|3 April | |||
|style="white-space:nowrap;"|Channel 3 | |||
|style="white-space:nowrap;"|University of Georges | |||
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br /><small>[[Micheal Brudia|Brudia]]</small>}} | |||
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br /><small>[[Thomas Fredrick|Fredrick]]</small>}} | |||
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br /><small>[[Theresa de Grand|de Grand]]</small>}} | |||
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br /><small>[[Marine Lucas|Lucas]]</small>}} | |||
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br /><small>[[Emmanuel Matin|Matin]]</small>}} | |||
|{{No|'''A'''}} | |||
|{{Yes|'''P'''<br /><small>[[Paul Twilight|Twilight]]</small>}} | |||
|{{No|'''A'''}} | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
==Exit Poll== | ==Exit Poll== | ||
Independent polling firms created an exit poll on the behalf of the VBC and Channel 2 that was revealed at the time of poll closings across the nation at | Independent polling firms created an exit poll on the behalf of the VBC and Channel 2 that was revealed at the time of poll closings across the nation at 11 pm. The poll predicted that the Progressive Alliance would gain seats and have a landslide majority of 79. The poll showed the collapse of the ruling coalition government which included the Liberal Party and Rising Sun party. It also showed that the New Order Party had failed to make any gains and losing 71 of its seats and that the Confederalist Party would lose all but one of their seats. People Before Profit and the Green Party would also gain more ground. With Exit Poll result, it was assumed per Forward Alliance rules that a coalition government would be formed between the Progressives, Greens and People Before Profit which would have a majority of 157. | ||
Following results being reported in several North and Lake | Following results being reported in several North and Lake state constituencies, it became apparent that the exit poll had been inaccurate in its measure of support for the Progressive Alliance. Actual results saw the Progressive Alliance swept to power with a majority of 137. | ||
Line 175: | Line 212: | ||
! style="vertical-align:top;" |Change | ! style="vertical-align:top;" |Change | ||
|- | |- | ||
| bgcolor=" | | bgcolor="FF74DC" | | ||
|[[ | |[[Socialist Party (Vazcoeur)|Socialist Party]] | ||
| style="text-align:right;" | | | style="text-align:right;" |298 | ||
| align=right| {{increase}} | | align=right| {{increase}} 187 | ||
|- | |- | ||
| bgcolor=" | | bgcolor="9595C6" | | ||
|[[ | |[[Conservatives (Vazcoeur)|Conservative]] | ||
| style="text-align:right;" | | | style="text-align:right;" |128 | ||
| align=right| {{decrease}} | | align=right| {{decrease}} 25 | ||
|- | |- | ||
| bgcolor=" | | bgcolor="F29100" | | ||
|[[ | |[[Liberal Party (Vazcoeur)|Liberal]] | ||
| style="text-align:right;" | | | style="text-align:right;" |37 | ||
| align=right| {{ | | align=right| {{decrease}} 162 | ||
|- | |- | ||
! colspan=4 | Socialist Majority of 133 | |||
! colspan=4 | | |||
|} | |} | ||
Line 215: | Line 237: | ||
! colspan=2 rowspan=2 | Party | ! colspan=2 rowspan=2 | Party | ||
! rowspan=2 | Leader | ! rowspan=2 | Leader | ||
! colspan=3 | | ! colspan=3 | MLs | ||
! colspan=3 | Votes | ! colspan=3 | Votes | ||
|- | |- | ||
Line 225: | Line 247: | ||
! class="unsortable" | | ! class="unsortable" | | ||
|- | |- | ||
| style="text-align:left;" | [[ | | style="text-align:left;" | [[Socialist Party (Vazcoeur)|Socialist Party]] | ||
| style="background:# | | style="background:#FF74DC;" | | ||
| style="text-align:left;" | <small>[[Micheal Brudia]]</small> | | style="text-align:left;" | <small>[[Micheal Brudia]]</small> | ||
| | | '''336''' | ||
| | | '''72.57%''' | ||
| {{composition bar|336|463|hex=#FF74DC}} | |||
| | | '''xxx''' | ||
| | | '''50.9%''' | ||
| {{percentage bar| | | {{percentage bar|50.9|hex=FF74DC}} | ||
|- | |||
|- | |- | ||
| style="text-align:left;" | [[ | | style="text-align:left;" | [[Conservatives (Vazcoeur)|Conservatives]] | ||
| style="background:# | | style="background:#9595C6;" | | ||
| style="text-align:left;" | <small>[[ | | style="text-align:left;" | <small>[[Edwina Thatcher]]</small> | ||
| | | 94 | ||
| | | 72.57% | ||
| {{composition bar|94|463|hex=#9595C6}} | |||
| | | xxx | ||
| | | 34.7 | ||
| {{percentage bar| | | {{percentage bar|34.7|hex=9595C6}} | ||
|- | |- | ||
| style="text-align:left;" | [[ | | style="text-align:left;" | [[Liberal Party (Vazcoeur)|Liberal Party]] | ||
| style="background:# | | style="background:#F29100;" | | ||
| style="text-align:left;" | <small>[[ | | style="text-align:left;" | <small>[[Emmanuel Matin]]</small> | ||
| | | 34 | ||
| | | 72.57% | ||
| {{composition bar|34|463|hex=#F29100}} | |||
| | | xxx | ||
| | | 14.4 | ||
| {{percentage bar| | | {{percentage bar|14.4|hex=F29100}} | ||
|- | |- | ||
| | |} | ||
{| class="wikitable"</noinclude> | |||
| | |||
|- | |- | ||
| style="text-align: | | style="background-color: {{{color|#FF74DC}}};width: 3px" | | ||
| style="width: 130px" | {{{[[Socialist Party (Vazcoeur)|Socialist]]}}} | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | {{{336}}} | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | {{{225}}} | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | {{{0}}} | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | {{{225}}} | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | {{{seats %}}} | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | {{{votes %}}} | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | {{{votes}}} | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | {{{plus/minus}}} | |||
|-<noinclude> | |||
|} | |||
===Voting summary=== | |||
{{bar box | |||
|title=Popular vote | |||
|titlebar=#ddd | |||
|width=600px | |||
|barwidth=380px | |||
|bars= | |||
{{bar percent|'''Socialist'''|#FF74DC|50.9}} | |||
{{bar percent|Conservative|#9595C6|34.7}} | |||
{{bar percent|Liberal|#F29100|14.4}} | |||
}} | |||
{{bar box | |||
|title=Composition of seats | |||
|titlebar=#ddd | |||
|width=600px | |||
|barwidth=380px | |||
|bars= | |||
{{bar percent|'''Socialist'''|#FF74DC|72.57}} | |||
{{bar percent|Conservative|#9595C6|20.30}} | |||
{{bar percent|Liberal|#F29100|7.13}} | |||
}} | |||
==Aftermath== | |||
At 8 am the day after the election outgoing Prime Minister North conceded the election and resigned the premiership. He told his supporters that politics has been "changed beyond recognition" and later added that he believed that both RSP and New Order parties had been "incompetent". Soon after North's resignation Micheal Brudia the now-former governor of Brudia was summoned to the Presidential Palace where he was inaugurated as President. His first act was to assemble the 7th Parliament and move for the election of a new Prime Minister. | |||
At Midday the President Brudia officially appointed [[Racheal Povaz]] as Prime Minister. | |||
==Opinion Polls== | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable collapsible" style="text-align:center; font-size:90%; line-height:16px;" | |||
|- style="height:42px; background-color:#E9E9E9" | |||
! style="width:130px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date | |||
! style="width:175px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm | |||
! style="width:30px;" class="unsortable"|'''[[Progressive Alliance (Vazcoeur)|PA]]'''</small> | |||
! style="width:30px;" class="unsortable"|'''[[People Before Profit (Vazcoeur)|PBP]]'''</small> | |||
! style="width:30px;" class="unsortable"|'''[[New Order (Vazcoeur)|NO]]'''</small> | |||
! style="width:30px;" class="unsortable"|'''[[Green Party of Vazcoeur|GRN]]'''</small> | |||
! style="width:30px;" class="unsortable"|'''[[Rising Sun Party of Vazcoeur|RSP]]'''</small> | |||
! style="width:30px;" class="unsortable"|'''[[Confederalist Party (Vazcoeur)|CON]]'''</small> | |||
! style="width:30px;" class="unsortable"|'''[[Liberal Party (Vazcoeur)|LP]]'''</small> | |||
! style="width:30px;" class="unsortable"|'''[[Regionalist Party (Vazcoeur)|RP]]'''</small> | |||
! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2" class="unsortable"| Lead | |||
|- | |||
! style="background:#CD03FF;"| | |||
! style="background:#00DCF4;"| | |||
! style="background:#000000;"| | |||
! style="background:#00FF33;"| | |||
! style="background:#FF2200;"| | |||
! style="background:#757B7D;"| | |||
! style="background:#FFFF00;"| | |||
! style="background:#A0522D;"| | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:#D0D0D0; width:1px;"| 15 April 2019 | |||
| style="background:#D0D0D0; width:1px;"| General election results | |||
| style="background:#99ccff"| '''46.4''' | |||
| style="background:#D0D0D0; width:1px;"| 33.8 | |||
| style="background:#D0D0D0; width:1px;"| 10.9 | |||
| style="background:#D0D0D0; width:1px;"| 2.3 | |||
| style="background:#D0D0D0; width:1px;"| 2.7 | |||
| style="background:#D0D0D0; width:1px;"| 2.7 | |||
| style="background:#D0D0D0; width:1px;"| 2.7 | |||
| style="background:#D0D0D0; width:1px;"| 3.2 | |||
| style="background:#3399FF; color:white;"| 11.4 | |||
|- | |||
| 13-14 April | |||
| VBS | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF"| 40 | |||
| 17 | |||
| 12 | |||
| 10 | |||
| 7 | |||
| 6 | |||
| 5 | |||
| 3 | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF; color:white;"| 23 | |||
|- | |||
| 7-9 April | |||
| News-Poll | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF"| 34 | |||
| 12 | |||
| 11 | |||
| 10 | |||
| 11 | |||
| 14 | |||
| 4 | |||
| 4 | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF; color:white;"| 20 | |||
|- | |||
|5 April|| colspan="10" |'''VBC Debate''' | |||
|- | |||
| 1-2 April | |||
| VBS | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF"| 36 | |||
| 12 | |||
| 11 | |||
| 10 | |||
| 11 | |||
| 11 | |||
| 4 | |||
| 3 | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF; color:white;"| 24 | |||
|- | |||
| 1-2 April | |||
| Channel Three | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF"| 34 | |||
| 14 | |||
| 10 | |||
| 9 | |||
| 11 | |||
| 11 | |||
| 5 | |||
| 4 | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF; color:white;"| 20 | |||
|- | |||
|27 March|| colspan="10" |'''Channel Three Debate''' | |||
|- | |||
| 24-26 March | |||
| VBS | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF"| 24 | |||
| 9 | |||
| 21 | | 21 | ||
| | | 7 | ||
| | | 11 | ||
| | | 9 | ||
| | | 5 | ||
| 14 | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF; color:white;"| 3 | |||
|- | |||
|- | |- | ||
| | | 21-23 March | ||
| style="background:# | | Op.net | ||
| | | 24 | ||
| | | 8 | ||
| | | style="background:#323232"| 26 | ||
| | | 11 | ||
| 9 | |||
| 7 | |||
| 5 | |||
| 10 | |||
| style="background:#000000; color:white;"| 2 | |||
|- | |- | ||
| | | 18-20 March | ||
| style="background:# | | VBS | ||
| | | style="background:#C007FF"| 24 | ||
| | | 9 | ||
| | | 21 | ||
| | | 7 | ||
| | | 11 | ||
| | | 9 | ||
| | | 5 | ||
| 14 | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF; color:white;"| 3 | |||
|- | |- | ||
| 16-17 March | |||
| Channel 3 | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF"| 24 | |||
| 9 | |||
| 21 | |||
| 7 | |||
| 11 | |||
| 9 | |||
| 5 | |||
| 14 | |||
| style="background:#CD03FF; color:white;"| 3 | |||
|} | |} | ||
{{Vazian Elections}} | |||
Latest revision as of 10:02, 4 May 2020
This article is incomplete because it is pending further input from participants, or it is a work-in-progress by one author. Please comment on this article's talk page to share your input, comments and questions. Note: To contribute to this article, you may need to seek help from the author(s) of this page. |
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
521 seats in the Vazian Legislature 261 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Turnout | 94.9% ( 25.6%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
District Results | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Composition of the Legislature | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
The 2020 Vazian general election was held on Friday 15 May 2020. The Socialist
In July 2019, a by-election brought former Brudian Prime Minister Micheal Brudia to the Legislature who was rumoured to be garnering support to challenge Cooper as the leader. On October 1st 2019, Micheal Brudia called for a vote of no-confidence in Cooper's leadership which passed by a landslide vote of 99-12. Brudia was unopposed in the leadership election and was declared leader. Micheal Brudia announced that the Socialist Party would be calling for a vote of no-confidence in the government. This passed 265-198 calling the January 2nd election.
The election resulted in a Socialist landslide majority win of 209 seats, the first Socialist government since 1967, with the party making a net gain of 190 seats and winning 50.9% of the vote. The Conservative Party won 94 seats, making 59 net loses vastly underperforming pundits expectations. The Liberal Party made a net loss of 166 seats and won xx.x% of the vote, resulting in their worst result ever since the introduction of the modern constitution. Many senior MLs lost their seats from the Liberals and Conservatives.
The result of the election saw the Socialist swept into power with a large mandate to implement their manifesto commitments. The massive Liberal defeat led to Emmanuel Matin announcing his intention to resign, triggering a leadership election. For Conservative leader Jo Thatcher, the loss of her constituency's seat compelled her to resign, also triggering a leadership election.
Election Date
Voter eligibility
To be able to vote in Vazian elections:
- Voter must be 18 years old by election day
- a Vazian citizen
- not excluded from voting by law
Timetable
26 November | Government loses no-confidence vote and moves for a snap election |
2 December | Legiskluatre is dissolved |
15 December | VBC Debate |
6 January | Channel 2 Debate |
13 January | Parliament Assembled/State Opening of Parliament |
Background
Vote of No Confidence | ||
Ballot → | 12 February 2019 | |
---|---|---|
Required majority → | 232 out of 463 | |
Yes
|
264 / 463
| |
No
|
199 / 463
|
Campaign
Debates
Vazian federal election debates, 2019 | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Organisers | Venue | P Present S Surrogate NI Non-invitee A Absent invitee | ||||||||
Progressive Alliance | People Before Profit | New Order | Green Party | Rising Sun Party | Confederalist Party | Liberal Party | Regionalist Party | ||||
3 April | Channel 3 | University of Georges | P Brudia |
P Fredrick |
P de Grand |
P Lucas |
P Matin |
A | A | A | |
3 April | Channel 3 | University of Georges | P Brudia |
P Fredrick |
P de Grand |
P Lucas |
P Matin |
A | P Twilight |
A |
Exit Poll
Independent polling firms created an exit poll on the behalf of the VBC and Channel 2 that was revealed at the time of poll closings across the nation at 11 pm. The poll predicted that the Progressive Alliance would gain seats and have a landslide majority of 79. The poll showed the collapse of the ruling coalition government which included the Liberal Party and Rising Sun party. It also showed that the New Order Party had failed to make any gains and losing 71 of its seats and that the Confederalist Party would lose all but one of their seats. People Before Profit and the Green Party would also gain more ground. With Exit Poll result, it was assumed per Forward Alliance rules that a coalition government would be formed between the Progressives, Greens and People Before Profit which would have a majority of 157.
Following results being reported in several North and Lake state constituencies, it became apparent that the exit poll had been inaccurate in its measure of support for the Progressive Alliance. Actual results saw the Progressive Alliance swept to power with a majority of 137.
Parties | Seats | Change | |
---|---|---|---|
Socialist Party | 298 | 187 | |
Conservative | 128 | 25 | |
Liberal | 37 | 162 | |
Socialist Majority of 133 |
Results
After all 463 constituencies had been declared, the results were:
Party | Leader | MLs | Votes | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Of total | Of total | |||||||
Socialist Party | Micheal Brudia | 336 | 72.57% | 336 / 463
|
xxx | 50.9% | 50.9% | |
Conservatives | Edwina Thatcher | 94 | 72.57% | 94 / 463
|
xxx | 34.7 | 34.7% | |
Liberal Party | Emmanuel Matin | 34 | 72.57% | 34 / 463
|
xxx | 14.4 | 14.4% |
{{{Socialist}}} | {{{336}}} | {{{225}}} | {{{0}}} | {{{225}}} | {{{seats %}}} | {{{votes %}}} | {{{votes}}} | {{{plus/minus}}} |
Voting summary
Aftermath
At 8 am the day after the election outgoing Prime Minister North conceded the election and resigned the premiership. He told his supporters that politics has been "changed beyond recognition" and later added that he believed that both RSP and New Order parties had been "incompetent". Soon after North's resignation Micheal Brudia the now-former governor of Brudia was summoned to the Presidential Palace where he was inaugurated as President. His first act was to assemble the 7th Parliament and move for the election of a new Prime Minister. At Midday the President Brudia officially appointed Racheal Povaz as Prime Minister.
Opinion Polls
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | PA | PBP | NO | GRN | RSP | CON | LP | RP | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 April 2019 | General election results | 46.4 | 33.8 | 10.9 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 11.4 |
13-14 April | VBS | 40 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23 |
7-9 April | News-Poll | 34 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 20 |
5 April | VBC Debate | |||||||||
1-2 April | VBS | 36 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 24 |
1-2 April | Channel Three | 34 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
27 March | Channel Three Debate | |||||||||
24-26 March | VBS | 24 | 9 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
21-23 March | Op.net | 24 | 8 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
18-20 March | VBS | 24 | 9 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
16-17 March | Channel 3 | 24 | 9 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 3 |