2023 Saren general election: Difference between revisions

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| next_year        =''Next''
| next_year        =''Next''
| votes_for_election =
| votes_for_election =
| seats_for_election = All 761 seats in the House of Commons<br /><small>381 seats are needed for a majority</small> <br />125 (of the 250) elected seats in the Senate
| seats_for_election = All 761 seats in the House of Commons<br /><small>381 seats are needed for a majority</small> <br />250 (of the 250) elected seats in the Senate
| majority_seats    =  
| majority_seats    =  
| turnout          = 91.27%
| turnout          = 91.27%
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| party1 = {{National Labor Party of Sarenium/meta/shortname}}
| party1 = {{National Labor Party of Sarenium/meta/shortname}}
| leaders_seat1 = [[Division of Ghazini |Ghazini]] (AF)
| leaders_seat1 = [[Division of Ghazini |Ghazini]] (AF)
| popular_vote1 = 258,731,464
| popular_vote1 = 240,931,412
| percentage1 = 34.38%
| percentage1 = 34.38%
| swing1 = {{increase}} 0.76
| swing1 = {{increase}} 0.76
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| colour1 = F00011
| colour1 = F00011


| image2 = {{CSS image crop|Image = Leila Benali - 2023 - P060481-312481 (cropped).jpg|bSize = 140|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 10}}
| image2 = {{CSS image crop|Image = Minister of Tourism - Morocco.jpg|bSize = 140|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 10}}
| leader2 = [[Chyla Saniona]]
| leader2 = [[Chyla Saniona]]
| leader_since2 = [[2023 United Conservative Party leadership election|{{start date|df=yes|2023|2|1}}]]
| leader_since2 = [[2023 United Conservative Party leadership election|{{start date|df=yes|2023|2|1}}]]
| party2 = {{United Conservative Party of Sarenium/meta/shortname}}
| party2 = {{United Conservative Party of Sarenium/meta/shortname}}
| leaders_seat2 = [[Division of Rochester|Rochester]] (IB)
| leaders_seat2 = [[Division of Rochester|Rochester]] (IB)
| popular_vote2 = '''240,931,412'''
| popular_vote2 = '''258,731,464 '''
| percentage2 = '''36.92%'''
| percentage2 = '''36.92%'''
| swing2 = {{increase}} 3.76
| swing2 = {{increase}} 3.76
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}}
}}


The 2023 Saren general election was held on November 25, 2023. The snap election was called after the Tael Government lost a self-called Motion of No Confidence on September 6, 2023. With both the Government and the Opposition failing to then produce a constructive vote of confidence, Tael advised the President to call a snap election on November 25, 2023.
The 2023 Saren general election was held on November 25, 2023. The double dissolution snap election was called after the Tael Government invoked a Motion of No Confidence in itself on September 6, 2023. With both the Government and the Opposition failing to then produce a constructive vote of confidence, Tael advised the President to call a snap election for November 25, 2023. This marked the first snap election in forty-two years (1981), and the first since 1943 to also feature a simultaneous snap election for the Senate.


This came after the Tael Government lost it's functional majority across July and August of 2023 after the defection of multiple Labor backbenchers to the crossbench.
This came after the Tael Government lost it's functional majority across July and August of 2023 after the defection of multiple Labor backbenchers to the crossbench.
Line 65: Line 65:
The dominant issues of the election surrounded trust, integrity and stability in government, climate change and pathways of addressing it, and to a lesser extent housing, inflation and cost of living.  
The dominant issues of the election surrounded trust, integrity and stability in government, climate change and pathways of addressing it, and to a lesser extent housing, inflation and cost of living.  


The Tael Government was re-elected in an upset having been expected to lose when the election was initially called.
On election night, exit polls were met with tacit disbelief by pundits and journalists, and it was not until over an hour after polls closed when the first substantial flow of results came in that the exit polling was re-examined and accepted. The Tael Government was re-elected in an upset. When campaigning began, the Tories had held a notable lead in opinion polling across most of the preceding year, this large lead was dented through campaigning.


==Background==
==Background==
At the 2020 Saren general election, Toriyar Tael of the Labour Party was elected as Prime Minister after his party secured an absolute majority in the Saren House of Commons with 389 seats, an 8 seat majority.
At the 2020 Saren general election, Toriyar Tael of the Labour Party was elected as Prime Minister after his party secured an absolute majority in the Saren House of Commons with 389 seats, an 8 seat majority. Between three by-election defeats, and sixteen defections, the NLP lost sixteen votes on the floor of the House, leading to the possibility of bill rejections on the floor. All sixteen defectors did so over the Climate Accord struck at the National Cabinet meeting in June of 2023. Concurrence among all Premiers and the federal government on a national energy program and the imminent passage of the Energy Guarantee Act 2023 (EGA23) led to sixteen MPs defecting. While the spur for defection was identical, some of the sixteen did so because of a belief it did not go far enough all the while others did so because it went too far. The Energy Guarantee Act passed on July 5 with the support of members of the Coalition's backbench in light of the support of all UCP Premiers across the nation.
 
EGA23's passage then led to continued debate on the Housing Act 2023, negotiations for which between the NLP and the Greens collapsed on July 10, with the Prime Minister declaring 'the Greens have sentenced a generation to homelessness'. The negotiation collapsing led to the defeat of the Housing Act on the floor of the House (382-370) as all defecting MPs refused to provide votes for supply. A further vote on August 1, led to the rejection of an auxiliary funding bill, constituting denial of supply and thus triggering an immediate recess to permit renegotiations to prevent a successful motion of no confidence.  




==Notes==
==Notes==
{{Notelist}}
{{Notelist}}

Latest revision as of 23:22, 26 October 2024

2023 Saren general election

← 2020 November 25, 2023 (2023-11-25) Next →

All 761 seats in the House of Commons
381 seats are needed for a majority
250 (of the 250) elected seats in the Senate
Turnout91.27%
  First party Second party
 
Raphael Warnock for Senate (cropped).jpg
Minister of Tourism - Morocco.jpg
Leader Toriyar Tael Chyla Saniona
Party National Labor Conservative/Nationals Coalition
Leader since 3 December 2016 (2016-12-03) 1 February 2023 (2023-02-01)
Leader's seat Ghazini (AF) Rochester (IB)
Last election 389 seats 342 seats
Seats before 370 seats[a] 343 seats[b]
Seats won 390 345
Seat change Increase 20 Increase 2
Popular vote 240,931,412 258,731,464
Percentage 34.38% 36.92%
Swing Increase 0.76 Increase 3.76
TPP 50.19% 49.81%
TPP swing Increase 0.03 Decrease 0.03
TPP Votes 351,726,223 349,063,223

The 2023 Saren general election was held on November 25, 2023. The double dissolution snap election was called after the Tael Government invoked a Motion of No Confidence in itself on September 6, 2023. With both the Government and the Opposition failing to then produce a constructive vote of confidence, Tael advised the President to call a snap election for November 25, 2023. This marked the first snap election in forty-two years (1981), and the first since 1943 to also feature a simultaneous snap election for the Senate.

This came after the Tael Government lost it's functional majority across July and August of 2023 after the defection of multiple Labor backbenchers to the crossbench.

The dominant issues of the election surrounded trust, integrity and stability in government, climate change and pathways of addressing it, and to a lesser extent housing, inflation and cost of living.

On election night, exit polls were met with tacit disbelief by pundits and journalists, and it was not until over an hour after polls closed when the first substantial flow of results came in that the exit polling was re-examined and accepted. The Tael Government was re-elected in an upset. When campaigning began, the Tories had held a notable lead in opinion polling across most of the preceding year, this large lead was dented through campaigning.

Background

At the 2020 Saren general election, Toriyar Tael of the Labour Party was elected as Prime Minister after his party secured an absolute majority in the Saren House of Commons with 389 seats, an 8 seat majority. Between three by-election defeats, and sixteen defections, the NLP lost sixteen votes on the floor of the House, leading to the possibility of bill rejections on the floor. All sixteen defectors did so over the Climate Accord struck at the National Cabinet meeting in June of 2023. Concurrence among all Premiers and the federal government on a national energy program and the imminent passage of the Energy Guarantee Act 2023 (EGA23) led to sixteen MPs defecting. While the spur for defection was identical, some of the sixteen did so because of a belief it did not go far enough all the while others did so because it went too far. The Energy Guarantee Act passed on July 5 with the support of members of the Coalition's backbench in light of the support of all UCP Premiers across the nation.

EGA23's passage then led to continued debate on the Housing Act 2023, negotiations for which between the NLP and the Greens collapsed on July 10, with the Prime Minister declaring 'the Greens have sentenced a generation to homelessness'. The negotiation collapsing led to the defeat of the Housing Act on the floor of the House (382-370) as all defecting MPs refused to provide votes for supply. A further vote on August 1, led to the rejection of an auxiliary funding bill, constituting denial of supply and thus triggering an immediate recess to permit renegotiations to prevent a successful motion of no confidence.


Notes

  1. The NLP Party lost the Divisions of Molonglo (AB), Arbeia (IB) and Varicha (FR) at by-elections to the Greens, UCP and an Independent respectively, sixteen MPs resigned from the NLP caucus and sat on the crossbench in protest of the Tael Government, precipitating the snap election. At this election, the NLP was returned in all fourteen of sixteen electorates with rebellious MPs, and recovered the seat of Varicha earlier lost at by-election. There was one net gain at the election total from other seats changing hands
  2. The UCP gained the Division of Arbeia in June 2023 at a by-election.