2020 Vazian General Election: Difference between revisions

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[[category:Vazcoeur]]
[[category:Vazcoeur]]
{{wip}}
{{wip}}
{{Infobox legislative election
{{Infobox election


| election_name    = 2020 Vazian General Election
| election_name    = 2020 Vazian General Election
Line 16: Line 16:
| next_year        = [[Next Vazian General Election|Next]]
| next_year        = [[Next Vazian General Election|Next]]
| next_mps          =
| next_mps          =
| seats_for_election= 650 seats in the [[Vazian Legislature]]
| seats_for_election= 463 seats in the [[Vazian Legislature]]
| majority_seats    = 326
| majority_seats    = 232
| opinion_polls    =  
| opinion_polls    =  
| turnout          = 89.9% ({{increase}} 1.6%)
| turnout          = 89.9% ({{increase}} 1.6%)


<!--        Rising Sun        -->
<!--        Rising Sun        -->
| party1             = [[Socialist Party (Vazcoeur)|Socialist]]
| image1            = [[File:Pete_Buttigieg_by_Gage_Skidmore.jpg|175x175px]]
| colour1            = #FF74DC
| leader1          = [[Micheal Brudia]]
| party_leader1      = [[Micheal Brudia]]  
| leaders_seat1 = Brudia - District 12
| percentage1        = 39.97%
| colour1          = FF74DC
| seats1             = 261
| party1           = [[Socialist Party (Vazcoeur)|Socialist]]
| seats1_before     = 92
| alliance1        =  
| leader_since1    = [[October 2019 Socialist Party Leadership Election|7 October 2019]]
| last_election1    = 111
| seats_before1    =  
| seats1 = '''336'''
| seat_change1     = {{increase}} 225
| popular_vote1    =
| percentage1      = '''50.9%'''
| swing1 = {{increase}} 28.7 [[percentage point|pp]]


| party2            = [[Conservatives (Vazcoeur)|Conservatives]]
| colour2            = #9595C6
| party_leader2      = [[Edwina Thatcher]]
| percentage2        = 20.32%
| seats2            = 132
| seats2_before      = 237


| party3            = [[Green Party (Vazcoeur)|Green]]
<!--        National Alliance        -->
| colour3            = #41A61F
| image2            = [[File:Official_portrait_of_Jo_Swinson_crop_2.jpg|175x175px]]
| party_leader3      = [[Victoria Edmondson]]
| leader2          = [[Edwina Thatcher]]
| percentage3        = 15.91%
| leaders_seat2 = Lake State - District 21 (''defeated'')
| seats3            = 104
| colour2          = 9595C6
| seats3_before     = 26
| party2            = [[Conservatives (Vazcoeur)|Conservatives]]
| alliance2        =  
| leader_since2    = [[2019 Conservative Leadership Election (Vazcoeur)|24 January 2019]]
| last_election2    = 153
| seats_before2    =  
| seats2            = 94
| seat_change2     = {{decrease}} 59
| popular_vote2    =
| percentage2      = 34.7%
| swing2 = {{decrease}} 3.4 [[percentage point|pp]]


| party4            = [[Liberal Party (Vazcoeur)|Liberal]]
<!--        Rising Sun        -->
| colour4           = #F29100
| image3            = [[File:Emmanuel_Macron_in_2019.jpg|175x175px]]
| party_leader4     = [[Emmanuel Matin]]
| leader3          = [[Emmanuel Matin]]
| percentage4        = 15.91%
| leaders_seat3 = North State - District 33
| seats4            = 103
| colour3          = F29100
| seats4_before      = 243
| party3            = [[Liberal Party (Vazcoeur)|Liberal]]
| leader_since3    = [[2011 Liberal Party Leadership Election (Vazcoeur)|22 May 2011]]
| last_election3    = '''199'''
| seats_before3    =
| seats3           = 33
| seat_change3     = {{decrease}} 166
| popular_vote3    =
| percentage3      = 14.4%
| swing3 = {{decrease}} 25.3 {{wpl|percentage point|pp}}


| party5            = [[Independence Party (Vazcoeur)|Independence]]
| colour5            = #9E7911
| party_leader5      = [[Martin Sweeny]]
| percentage5        = 3.66%
| seats5            = 23
| seats5_before      = 39


| party6            = [[People Before Profit (Vazcoeur)|People Before Profit]]
| colour6            = #00BBFF
| party_leader6      = [[Paula Bates]]
| percentage6        = 2.22%
| seats6            = 14
| seats6_before      = 0
| party7            = [[Regionalist Party (Vazcoeur)|Regionalist]]
| colour7            = #693603
| party_leader7      = [[Louisa Granville]]
| percentage7        = 2.01%
| seats7            = 13
| seats7_before      = 13
   
   
<!-- bottom -->
<!-- bottom -->
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| map_size                = 500px
| map_size                = 500px
| map_caption            = District Results
| map_caption            = District Results
| map2_image              = 2020vazinleg.svg
| map2_image              = 2020vazinleg.png
| map2_size                = 500px
| map2_size                = 500px
| map2_caption            = Composition of the Legislature
| map2_caption            = Composition of the Legislature
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==Exit Poll==
==Exit Poll==
Brudian Polls produced an exit poll for VGB/Channel 2/Sun News predicted a {{wpl|landslide}} majority of 133 seats for the [[Socialist Party (Vazcoeur)|Socialist Party]].  
Independent polling firms created an exit poll on the behalf of the VBC and Channel 2 that was revealed at the time of poll closings across the nation at 11 pm. The poll predicted that the Progressive Alliance would gain seats and have a landslide majority of 79. The poll showed the collapse of the ruling coalition government which included the Liberal Party and Rising Sun party. It also showed that the New Order Party had failed to make any gains and losing 71 of its seats and that the Confederalist Party would lose all but one of their seats. People Before Profit and the Green Party would also gain more ground. With Exit Poll result, it was assumed per Forward Alliance rules that a coalition government would be formed between the Progressives, Greens and People Before Profit which would have a majority of 157.


Following results being reported in several North and Lake state constituencies, it became apparent that the exit poll had been inaccurate in its measure of support for the Progressive Alliance. Actual results saw the Progressive Alliance swept to power with a majority of 137.
Following results being reported in several North and Lake state constituencies, it became apparent that the exit poll had been inaccurate in its measure of support for the Progressive Alliance. Actual results saw the Progressive Alliance swept to power with a majority of 137.
Line 317: Line 317:
{{bar percent|Liberal|#F29100|7.13}}
{{bar percent|Liberal|#F29100|7.13}}
}}
}}
{{Election Summary Begin with Leaders| title = 1959 United Kingdom general election}}
{{Election Summary Party with Leaders|
  |party = Conservative Party (UK)
  |leader = [[Harold Macmillan]]
  |candidates = 463
  |seats = 336
  |gain = 225
  |loss = 0
  |net = +225
  |votes = 13,750,875
  |votes % = 50.9
  |seats % = 57.9
  |plus/minus = &minus;0.3
  |government = yes
}}
{| class="wikitable" style="width:70%"
|'''Government's new majority'''
|'''209'''
|-
|Total votes cast
|27,862,652
|-
|Turnout
|78.7%
|}


==Aftermath==
==Aftermath==

Revision as of 19:12, 14 February 2020

2020 Vazian General Election
← 2018 12 January 2020 (2020-01-12) Next →
463 seats in the Vazian Legislature
232 seats needed for a majority
Turnout89.9% (Increase 1.6%)
  First party Second party Third party
  Pete Buttigieg by Gage Skidmore.jpg Official portrait of Jo Swinson crop 2.jpg Emmanuel Macron in 2019.jpg
Leader Micheal Brudia Edwina Thatcher Emmanuel Matin
Party Socialist Conservatives Liberal
Leader since 7 October 2019 24 January 2019 22 May 2011
Leader's seat Brudia - District 12 Lake State - District 21 (defeated) North State - District 33
Last election 111 153 199
Seats won 336 94 33
Seat change Increase 225 Decrease 59 Decrease 166
Percentage 50.9% 34.7% 14.4%
Swing Increase 28.7 pp Decrease 3.4 pp Decrease 25.3 pp
Vazianelectionmap2020.png
District Results
2020vazinleg.png
Composition of the Legislature
Prime Minister before election

Emmanuel Matin
Liberal

Prime Minister

Micheal Brudia
Socialist

The 2020 Vazian general election was held on Sunday 12 January 2020. The Liberal Party, having failed to obtain a majority in the 2018 general election, governed in minority with the support of the Socialist Party under Leader Lee Cooper. When this support was withdrawn and a vote of no-confidence passed, an election was called for the 12th January.

In July 2019, a by-election brought former Brudian Prime Minister Micheal Brudia to the Legislature who was rumoured to be garnering support to challenge Cooper as the leader. On October 1st 2019, Micheal Brudia called for a vote of no-confidence in Cooper's leadership which passed by a landslide vote of 99-12. Brudia was unopposed in the leadership election and was declared leader. Micheal Brudia announced that the Socialist Party would be calling for a vote of no-confidence in the government. This passed 265-198 calling the January 2nd election.

The election resulted in a Socialist landslide majority win of 209 seats, the first Socialist government since 1967, with the party making a net gain of 190 seats and winning 50.9% of the vote. The Conservative Party won 94 seats, making 59 net loses vastly underperforming pundits expectations. The Liberal Party made a net loss of 166 seats and won xx.x% of the vote, resulting in their worst result ever since the introduction of the modern constitution. Many senior MLs lost their seats from the Liberals and Conservatives.

The result of the election saw the Socialist swept into power with a large mandate to implement their manifesto commitments. The massive Liberal defeat led to Emmanuel Matin announcing his intention to resign, triggering a leadership election. For Conservative leader Jo Thatcher, the loss of her constituency's seat compelled her to resign, also triggering a leadership election.

Election Date

Voter eligibility

To be able to vote in Vazian elections:

  • Voter must be 18 years old by election day
  • a Vazian citizen
  • not excluded from voting by law

Timetable

26 November Government loses no-confidence vote and moves for a snap election
2 December Legiskluatre is dissolved
15 December VBC Debate
6 January Channel 2 Debate
13 January Parliament Assembled/State Opening of Parliament

Background

Vote of No Confidence
Ballot → 12 February 2019
Required majority → 232 out of 463 ☑Y
Yes
264 / 463
No
199 / 463

Campaign

Debates

Vazian federal election debates, 2019
Date Organisers Venue     P  Present    S  Surrogate    NI  Non-invitee   A  Absent invitee 
Progressive Alliance People Before Profit New Order Green Party Rising Sun Party Confederalist Party Liberal Party Regionalist Party
3 April Channel 3 University of Georges P
Brudia 		P
Fredrick 		P
de Grand 		P
Lucas 		P
Matin 		A A A
3 April Channel 3 University of Georges P
Brudia 		P
Fredrick 		P
de Grand 		P
Lucas 		P
Matin 		A P
Twilight 		A

Exit Poll

Independent polling firms created an exit poll on the behalf of the VBC and Channel 2 that was revealed at the time of poll closings across the nation at 11 pm. The poll predicted that the Progressive Alliance would gain seats and have a landslide majority of 79. The poll showed the collapse of the ruling coalition government which included the Liberal Party and Rising Sun party. It also showed that the New Order Party had failed to make any gains and losing 71 of its seats and that the Confederalist Party would lose all but one of their seats. People Before Profit and the Green Party would also gain more ground. With Exit Poll result, it was assumed per Forward Alliance rules that a coalition government would be formed between the Progressives, Greens and People Before Profit which would have a majority of 157.

Following results being reported in several North and Lake state constituencies, it became apparent that the exit poll had been inaccurate in its measure of support for the Progressive Alliance. Actual results saw the Progressive Alliance swept to power with a majority of 137.


Parties Seats Change
Socialist Party 298 Increase 187
Conservative 128 Decrease 25
Liberal 37 Decrease 162
Socialist Majority of 133

Results

File:Pd19.svg
Parliament after the election.

After all 463 constituencies had been declared, the results were:

Party Leader MLs Votes
Of total Of total
Socialist Party Micheal Brudia 336 72.57%
336 / 463
 xxx 50.9%
50.9%
Conservatives Edwina Thatcher 94 72.57%
94 / 463
 xxx 34.7
34.7%
Liberal Party Emmanuel Matin 34 72.57%
34 / 463
 xxx 14.4
14.4%
  {{{Socialist}}} {{{336}}} {{{225}}} {{{0}}} {{{225}}} {{{seats %}}} {{{votes %}}} {{{votes}}} {{{plus/minus}}}


Voting summary

Popular vote
Socialist
 
 50.9%
Conservative
 
 34.7%
Liberal
 
 14.4%
Composition of seats
Socialist
 
 72.57%
Conservative
 
 20.30%
Liberal
 
 7.13%

Aftermath

At 8 am the day after the election outgoing Prime Minister North conceded the election and resigned the premiership. He told his supporters that politics has been "changed beyond recognition" and later added that he believed that both RSP and New Order parties had been "incompetent". Soon after North's resignation Micheal Brudia the now-former governor of Brudia was summoned to the Presidential Palace where he was inaugurated as President. His first act was to assemble the 7th Parliament and move for the election of a new Prime Minister. At Midday the President Brudia officially appointed Racheal Povaz as Prime Minister.

Opinion Polls

Fieldwork date Polling firm PA PBP NO GRN RSP CON LP RP Lead
15 April 2019 General election results 46.4 33.8 10.9 2.3 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.2 11.4
13-14 April VBS 40 17 12 10 7 6 5 3 23
7-9 April News-Poll 34 12 11 10 11 14 4 4 20
5 April VBC Debate
1-2 April VBS 36 12 11 10 11 11 4 3 24
1-2 April Channel Three 34 14 10 9 11 11 5 4 20
27 March Channel Three Debate
24-26 March VBS 24 9 21 7 11 9 5 14 3
21-23 March Op.net 24 8 26 11 9 7 5 10 2
18-20 March VBS 24 9 21 7 11 9 5 14 3
16-17 March Channel 3 24 9 21 7 11 9 5 14 3
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