2020 United States House of Representatives Elections (LOTF RP): Difference between revisions
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! Last result | ! Last result | ||
! The Aggregator<br/>By Antony Grey | ! The Aggregator<br/>By Antony Grey | ||
! | ! Tartalek Polling Institute | ||
! Prediction Institute 3 | ! Prediction Institute 3 | ||
! Prediction Institute 4 | ! Prediction Institute 4 | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=53.1 | 53.1% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=53.1 | 53.1% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-53.8 | 53.8% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-53.8 | 53.8% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=50.7 | 50.7% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=50.7 | 50.7% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=55.2 | 55.2% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=55.2 | 55.2% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=52.1 | 52.1% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=52.1 | 52.1% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=54.9 | 54.9% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=54.9 | 54.9% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-58.1 | 58.1% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-58.1 | 58.1% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=54.1 | 54.1% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=54.1 | 54.1% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-55.1 | 55.1% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-55.1 | 55.1% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=60 | 60.0% R{{Efn|The 2018 race was between two Republicans, due to the top-two system in California}} | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=60 | 60.0% R{{Efn|The 2018 race was between two Republicans, due to the top-two system in California}} | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-52.3 | 52.3% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-52.3 | 52.3% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-50.4 | 50.4% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-50.4 | 50.4% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D}} | | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=52.7 | 52.7% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=52.7 | 52.7% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-54.4 | 54.4% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-54.4 | 54.4% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-51.6 | 51.6% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-51.6 | 51.6% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=56.5 | 56.5% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=56.5 | 56.5% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=50.1 | 50.1% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=50.1 | 50.1% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-53.6 | 53.6% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-53.6 | 53.6% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=51.7 | 51.7% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=51.7 | 51.7% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=51.5 | 51.5% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=51.5 | 51.5% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-57.7 | 57.7% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-57.7 | 57.7% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-57.6 | 57.6% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-57.6 | 57.6% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=53.0 | 53.0% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=53.0 | 53.0% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=54.6 | 54.6% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=54.6 | 54.6% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=54.3 | 54.3% R | | {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=54.3 | 54.3% R | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-50.9 | 50.9% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-50.9 | 50.9% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | ||
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| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-50.9 | 50.9% D | | {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value=-50.9 | 50.9% D | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D}} | | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D}} | ||
| | | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D}} | ||
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! Illinois 7 | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=9 | R+2 | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="Unoccupied" | Unoccupied (R) | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value=50.1 | 53.6% D | |||
| {{USRaceRating|FILL}} | |||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
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! Previous result | ! Previous result | ||
! The Aggregator<br/>By Antony Grey | ! The Aggregator<br/>By Antony Grey | ||
! | ! Tartalek Ratings Institute | ||
! Prediction Institute 3 | ! Prediction Institute 3 | ||
! Prediction Institute 4 | ! Prediction Institute 4 |
Revision as of 15:28, 10 April 2021
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All 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives[a] 218 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections will be held on November 3, 2020. Elections were held to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states, as well as six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories. Numerous other |federal, state, and local elections, including the 2020 presidential election and the 2020 Senate elections, were also held on this date. The winners of this election will be serving in the 117th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2010 United States Census. Democrats have held a majority in the House of Representatives since January 3, 2019, as a result of the 2018 elections, when they won 235 seats.
Incumbents Defeated
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Seats Changing Hands
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Latest published ratings for competitive seats
Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below were considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.
Most election ratings use:
- Tossup: no advantage
- Tilt (sometimes used): slight advantage
- Lean: clear advantage
- Likely: strong, but not certain advantage
- Safe: outcome is nearly certain
District | CPVI | Incumbent | Last result | The Aggregator By Antony Grey |
Tartalek Polling Institute | Prediction Institute 3 | Prediction Institute 4 | Prediction Institute 5 | Winner | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska at-Large | R+9 | Jay Dietrich (R) | 53.1% R | Lean R | Safe R | |||||
Arizona 1 | R+2 | Unoccupied (D) | 53.8% D | Lean D | Tossup | |||||
Arizona 2 | R+1 | Linda Teasdale (R) | 50.7% R | Tossup | Tossup | |||||
Arizona 6 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 55.2% R | Lean R | Likely R | |||||
Arkansas 2 | R+7 | Unoccupied (R) | 52.1% R | Lean R | Likely R | |||||
California 1 | R+11 | Unoccupied (R) | 54.9% R | Safe R | Safe R | |||||
California 3 | D+5 | Unoccupied (D) | 58.1% D | Likely D | Likely D | |||||
California 4 | R+10 | Unoccupied (R) | 54.1% R | Likely R | Safe R | |||||
California 7 | D+3 | Unoccupied (D) | 55.1% D | Safe D | Safe D | |||||
California 8 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 60.0% R[b] | Safe R | Safe R | |||||
California 10 | EVEN | Unoccupied (D) | 52.3% D | Lean D | Lean D | |||||
California 21 | D+5 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.4% D | Tilt D | Lean D | |||||
California 22 | R+8 | Unoccupied (R) | 52.7% R | Likely R | Likely R | |||||
California 25 | EVEN | Unoccupied (D) | 54.4% D | Tossup | Tossup | |||||
California 39 | EVEN | Unoccupied (D) | 51.6% D | Tossup | Tossup | |||||
California 42 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 56.5% R | Safe R | Safe D | |||||
California 45 | R+3 | Theodore Vohoffsky (R) | 50.1% R | Tossup | Tilt R | |||||
California 48 | R+4 | Unoccupied (D) | 53.6% D | Tossup | Lean R | |||||
California 50 | R+11 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.7% R | Likely R | Safe R | |||||
Colorado 3 | R+6 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.5% R | Lean R | Likely R | |||||
Florida 7 | EVEN | Unoccupied (D) | 57.7% D | Likely D | Lean D | |||||
Florida 13 | D+2 | Unoccupied (D) | 57.6% D | Likely D | Lean D | |||||
Florida 15 | R+6 | Unoccupied (R) | 53.0% R | Lean R | Likely R | |||||
Florida 16 | R+7 | Unoccupied (R) | 54.6% R | Likely R | Safe R | |||||
Florida 18 | R+5 | Unoccupied (R) | 54.3% R | Likely R | Likely R | |||||
Florida 26 | D+6 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.9% D | Lean D | Tossup | |||||
Florida 27 | D+5 | Alexander Santiago (D) | 50.9% D | Tilt D | Tilt D | |||||
Georgia 6 | R+8 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.5% D | Tilt D | ||||||
Georgia 7 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 50.1% R | Tossup | ||||||
Illinois 7 | R+2 | Unoccupied (R) | 53.6% D | FILL | Lean D | |||||
Overall | (Final Results) | |||||||||
District | 2017 CPVI | Incumbent | Previous result | The Aggregator By Antony Grey |
Tartalek Ratings Institute | Prediction Institute 3 | Prediction Institute 4 | Prediction Institute 5 | Winner |