Next Autuzian legislative election: Difference between revisions
No edit summary |
|||
Line 139: | Line 139: | ||
==Opinion polling== | ==Opinion polling== | ||
The chart below shows opinion polls conducted for the next Autuzian legislative election. The trend lines are local regressions ''(LOESS).'' | |||
[[File:Auzance2026Polls.svg|1050x1050px|center]] | |||
{{Template:Auzance topics}} | {{Template:Auzance topics}} | ||
[[Category:Auzance]] | [[Category:Auzance]] |
Revision as of 01:39, 15 July 2023
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 400 seats in the Tchambe 201 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
The next Auzance general election is scheduled to be held no later than 18 July, 2026, as per the Constitution's requirement for an election on or before the third Sunday of the fourth July after the previous election. It will determine the composition of the Tchambe, with all 400 members standing election.
Background
Following the snap election triggered in January 2023, the latest possible date for the next Autuzian legislative election falls on 18 July, 2026; it is currently believed that Prime Minister Catrene Burnot intends to serve a full term following the unexpected gain of a working majority with a three-party coalition instead of the pre-existent four-party coalition, and thus the election will likely fall at, or close to, this.
The result of the last legislative election, held on 23 January, 2023, is given below.
Affiliation | Members | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Elected | Current | Change | ||
Labour Party | 161 | 161 | ||
Liberal-Progressives | 67 | 65 | 2 | |
National Party | 50 | 50 | ||
Centre Party | 37 | 38 | 1 | |
Communist-Left | 25 | 25 | ||
Right Unity | 21 | 21 | ||
Eastward Ho! | 14 | 15 | 1 | |
Greens | 13 | 13 | ||
Radical-Liberal | 12 | 12 | ||
Total | 400 | 400 | ||
Voting total | 398 | 398 | ||
Vacant | N/A | 0 | ||
Government majority | 22 | 24 | 2 |
Electoral system
Auzance's Tchambe has 400 members. 150 members are elected directly by the first past the post system of voting, while 200 other members are elected - should a party's vote share exceed the threshold of 3% of total votes - in what Auzance's Electoral Commission calls "corrective proportional representation", whereby seats are awarded to parties in a way that gets the party's share of all 350 ministers as close to its vote share of all parties above the threshold as possible. 50 seats are apportioned as bonus seats, whereby the largest two parties share the fifty based on the proportion of their votes above 20% (e.g. a party with 30%, and a party with 25%, would share them two-to-one); should the second party not exceed 20%, the first party receives all fifty (as happened in this election).
All Autuzian permanent residents and citizens over the age of 16 on election day have the right to vote, and are automatically registered. Voters cast their ballot either in the polling station on a ballot card, by proxy (with strict regulations over the number of, and identity of, the voters whose vote is proxied), or by post. Voting machines are not used in Autuzian elections. Prisoners whose sentences, should no form of parole be afforded, end before the end of a fixed term following the election are allowed to vote, while those incarcerated in libeprijhons (open prisons) are always allowed to vote.
Opinion polling
The chart below shows opinion polls conducted for the next Autuzian legislative election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS).