2024 Mel-akkan Vernal Equinox Election

The 2024 Mel-akkan Vernal Equinox Election were be held on 21st April 2024 to elect the members of the four commissions. Voters each cast four ballots, electing one member of each commission from each constituency, using the wikipedia:first-past-the-post method.

On a record-low turnout, voters re-elected the incumbent Progressive Party in a landslide, delivering Mel-akkam's first parliamentary majority since 2017. Progressive candidates won clean sweeps in the provinces of Mohenjo-daro and Dholavira, as well as their first-ever seat in the Shortugai Exclave. The Progressive Party ended up winning a commanding majority in the Social Commission, exactly half of the seats in the Economic and Judicial commissions, and a plurality in the Diplomatic Commission.

The main opposition Coalition of Independents was decisively defeated, losing both votes and seats. The Progressives' junior government partner, the Liberal Democratic Party, lost seats as well, and almost lost its third-place vote share to the Restoration Front, which lost votes compared to 2023 but maintained its seat count. The newly-formed New Liberals won almost 5% of the vote and one seat, but underperformed compared to its polling results. The single-province KDP saw no change in its seat count and vote share.

The elections were widely perceived as a return to Mel-akkam's era of Progressive dominance, following a few years of strong opposition showings. Commentators noted that the strong showing would likely drive increased factionalism within the PP. The LDP, perceived as one of the election's biggest losers, announced that they would withdraw from their alliance and coalition government with the Progressives, returning to the opposition.

Opinion Polling

2024

After Restoration Front

Date	Polling firm	PP	LDP	KPL	RF	KDP	NL	Lead
11 Mar	Dholavira Signboard	45.3%	19.2%	20.0%	9.4%	0.2%	6.3%	26.1%
3 Mar	Dholavira Signboard	46.6%	18.8%	18.5%	10.1%	0.2%	6.7%	27.9%
28 Mar	Dholavira Signboard	46.8%	18.9%	18.7%	10.0%	0.2%	5.0%	27.9%
18 Feb	Dholavira Signboard	43.9%	18.6%	18.4%	10.8%	0.2%	4.9%	25.3%

Before Restoration Front

Date	Polling firm	PP	LDP	KPL	OPP	WRP	KDP	NL	Lead
18 Feb	Dholavira Signboard	43.9%	18.6%	18.4%	5.8%	5.0%	0.2%	4.9%	25.3%
8 Feb	Dholavira Signboard	45.8%	17.9%	19.5%	5.1%	6.6%	0.3%	3.6%	26.3%
5 Feb	Dholavira Signboard	46.7%	18.6%	16.3%	5.6%	6.6%	0.3%	3.9%	28.1%
28 Jan	Dholavira Signboard	44.8%	19.0%	16.9%	6.2%	6.5%	0.4%	4.1%	25.8%
10 Jan	Dholavira Signboard	51.1%	19.1%	18.9%	7.8%	7.6%	1.3%	0.4%	32.0%

2023

Date	Polling firm	PP	LDP	KPL	OPP	WRP	Lead
28 Dec	Dholavira Signboard	44.6%	19.3%	19.1%	8.2%	7.9%	25.3%
12 Nov	Dholavira Signboard	36.9%	21.8%	21.1%	8.9%	9.3%	15.1%
5 Nov	Dholavira Signboard	35.5%	23.0%	19.4%	9.7%	9.9%	12.5%

Results

Parties		Votes	%	Seats	±
	Progressive	470,384,535	47.2	22	+3
	Coalition	174,401,046	17.5	5	-2
	LDP	148,490,033	14.9	6	-2
	RF	140,517,414	14.1	4	±0
	NL	47,835,715	4.8	1	New
	KDP	4,982,887	0.5	2	±0
	KPP	996,577	0.1	0	±0
Total		249,144,351	100%	40	0
Eligible voters and turnout		~400,000,000	62.3%