2020 Vazian General Election

2020 Vazian General Election

12 January 2020 (2020-01-12)
521 seats in the Vazian Legislature 261 seats needed for a majority
Turnout	94.9% ( 25.6%)
First party Second party Third party   Leader Micheal Brudia Edwina Thatcher Emmanuel Matin Party Socialist Conservatives Liberal Leader since 7 October 2019 24 January 2019 22 May 2011 Leader's seat Brudia - District 12 Lake State - District 21 (defeated) North State - District 33 Last election 111 153 199 Seats won 336 94 33 Seat change 225 59 166 Percentage 50.9% 29.7% 14.4% Swing 28.7 pp 8.4 pp 25.3 pp
District Results
Composition of the Legislature
Prime Minister before election Emmanuel Matin Liberal Prime Minister Micheal Brudia Socialist

The 2020 Vazian general election was held on Sunday 12 January 2020. The Liberal Party, having failed to obtain a majority in the 2018 general election, governed in minority with the support of the Socialist Party under Leader Lee Cooper. When this support was withdrawn and a vote of no-confidence passed, an election was called for the 12th January.

In July 2019, a by-election brought former Brudian Prime Minister Micheal Brudia to the Legislature who was rumoured to be garnering support to challenge Cooper as the leader. On October 1st 2019, Micheal Brudia called for a vote of no-confidence in Cooper's leadership which passed by a landslide vote of 99-12. Brudia was unopposed in the leadership election and was declared leader. Micheal Brudia announced that the Socialist Party would be calling for a vote of no-confidence in the government. This passed 265-198 calling the January 2nd election.

The election resulted in a Socialist landslide majority win of 209 seats, the first Socialist government since 1967, with the party making a net gain of 190 seats and winning 50.9% of the vote. The Conservative Party won 94 seats, making 59 net loses vastly underperforming pundits expectations. The Liberal Party made a net loss of 166 seats and won xx.x% of the vote, resulting in their worst result ever since the introduction of the modern constitution. Many senior MLs lost their seats from the Liberals and Conservatives.

The result of the election saw the Socialist swept into power with a large mandate to implement their manifesto commitments. The massive Liberal defeat led to Emmanuel Matin announcing his intention to resign, triggering a leadership election. For Conservative leader Jo Thatcher, the loss of her constituency's seat compelled her to resign, also triggering a leadership election.

Election Date

Voter eligibility

To be able to vote in Vazian elections:

• Voter must be 18 years old by election day
• a Vazian citizen
• not excluded from voting by law

Timetable

26 November	Government loses no-confidence vote and moves for a snap election
2 December	Legiskluatre is dissolved
15 December	VBC Debate
6 January	Channel 2 Debate
13 January	Parliament Assembled/State Opening of Parliament

Debates

Vazian federal election debates, 2019
Date	Organisers	Venue	P  Present    S  Surrogate    NI  Non-invitee   A  Absent invitee
			Progressive Alliance	People Before Profit	New Order	Green Party	Rising Sun Party	Confederalist Party	Liberal Party	Regionalist Party
3 April	Channel 3	University of Georges	P Brudia	P Fredrick	P de Grand	P Lucas	P Matin	A	A	A
3 April	Channel 3	University of Georges	P Brudia	P Fredrick	P de Grand	P Lucas	P Matin	A	P Twilight	A

Exit Poll

Independent polling firms created an exit poll on the behalf of the VBC and Channel 2 that was revealed at the time of poll closings across the nation at 11 pm. The poll predicted that the Progressive Alliance would gain seats and have a landslide majority of 79. The poll showed the collapse of the ruling coalition government which included the Liberal Party and Rising Sun party. It also showed that the New Order Party had failed to make any gains and losing 71 of its seats and that the Confederalist Party would lose all but one of their seats. People Before Profit and the Green Party would also gain more ground. With Exit Poll result, it was assumed per Forward Alliance rules that a coalition government would be formed between the Progressives, Greens and People Before Profit which would have a majority of 157.

Following results being reported in several North and Lake state constituencies, it became apparent that the exit poll had been inaccurate in its measure of support for the Progressive Alliance. Actual results saw the Progressive Alliance swept to power with a majority of 137.

Parties		Seats	Change
	Socialist Party	298	187
	Conservative	128	25
	Liberal	37	162
Socialist Majority of 133

Results

File:Pd19.svg

Parliament after the election.

After all 463 constituencies had been declared, the results were:

Party		Leader	MLs			Votes
				Of total			Of total
Socialist Party		Micheal Brudia	336	72.57%	336 / 463	xxx	50.9%	50.9%
Conservatives		Edwina Thatcher	94	72.57%	94 / 463	xxx	34.7	34.7%
Liberal Party		Emmanuel Matin	34	72.57%	34 / 463	xxx	14.4	14.4%

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Voting summary

Popular vote Socialist   50.9% Conservative   34.7% Liberal   14.4%

Composition of seats Socialist   72.57% Conservative   20.30% Liberal   7.13%

Aftermath

At 8 am the day after the election outgoing Prime Minister North conceded the election and resigned the premiership. He told his supporters that politics has been "changed beyond recognition" and later added that he believed that both RSP and New Order parties had been "incompetent". Soon after North's resignation Micheal Brudia the now-former governor of Brudia was summoned to the Presidential Palace where he was inaugurated as President. His first act was to assemble the 7th Parliament and move for the election of a new Prime Minister. At Midday the President Brudia officially appointed Racheal Povaz as Prime Minister.

Opinion Polls

Fieldwork date	Polling firm	PA	PBP	NO	GRN	RSP	CON	LP	RP	Lead
15 April 2019	General election results	46.4	33.8	10.9	2.3	2.7	2.7	2.7	3.2	11.4
13-14 April	VBS	40	17	12	10	7	6	5	3	23
7-9 April	News-Poll	34	12	11	10	11	14	4	4	20
5 April	VBC Debate
1-2 April	VBS	36	12	11	10	11	11	4	3	24
1-2 April	Channel Three	34	14	10	9	11	11	5	4	20
27 March	Channel Three Debate
24-26 March	VBS	24	9	21	7	11	9	5	14	3
21-23 March	Op.net	24	8	26	11	9	7	5	10	2
18-20 March	VBS	24	9	21	7	11	9	5	14	3
16-17 March	Channel 3	24	9	21	7	11	9	5	14	3