2020 United States House of Representatives Elections (LOTF RP): Difference between revisions
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| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | ||
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}<br/>{{small|(Flip)}} | | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}<br/>{{small|(Flip)}} | ||
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| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | ||
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| {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R}}<br/>{{small|(Flip)}} | | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R}}<br/>{{small|(Flip)}} | ||
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Revision as of 10:13, 13 April 2021
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All 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives[a] 218 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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19
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections will be held on November 3, 2020. Elections were held to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states, as well as six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories. Numerous other |federal, state, and local elections, including the 2020 presidential election and the 2020 Senate elections, were also held on this date. The winners of this election will be serving in the 117th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2010 United States Census. Democrats have held a majority in the House of Representatives since January 3, 2019, as a result of the 2018 elections, when they won 235 seats.
Incumbents Defeated
Placeholder Text
Seats Changing Hands
Placeholder Text
Latest published ratings for competitive seats
Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below were considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.
Most election ratings use:
- Tossup: no advantage
- Tilt (sometimes used): slight advantage
- Lean: clear advantage
- Likely: strong, but not certain advantage
- Safe: outcome is nearly certain
| District | CPVI | Incumbent | Last result | Aggregator May 1, 2020 |
Tartalek May 11, 2020 |
Surverylance May 15, 2020 |
Goldwater May 14, 2020 |
Stuyvesant May 13, 2020 |
Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska at-Large | R+9 | Vacant | 53.1% R | Lean R | Safe R | Likely R | |||
| Arizona 1 | R+2 | Unoccupied (D) | 53.8% D | Lean D | Tossup | Tilt D | |||
| Arizona 2 | R+1 | Linda Teasdale (R) | 50.7% R | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt R | |||
| Arizona 6 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 55.2% R | Lean R | Likely R | Tilt R | |||
| Arkansas 2 | R+7 | Unoccupied (R) | 52.1% R | Lean R | Likely R | Tilt R | |||
| California 1 | R+11 | Unoccupied (R) | 54.9% R | Safe R | Safe R | Likely R | |||
| California 3 | D+5 | Unoccupied (D) | 58.1% D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | |||
| California 4 | R+10 | Unoccupied (R) | 54.1% R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | |||
| California 7 | D+3 | Unoccupied (D) | 55.1% D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | |||
| California 8 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 60.0% R[b] | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | |||
| California 10 | EVEN | Unoccupied (D) | 52.3% D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | |||
| California 21 | D+5 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.4% D | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D | |||
| California 22 | R+8 | Unoccupied (R) | 52.7% R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | |||
| California 25 | EVEN | Unoccupied (D) | 54.4% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D | |||
| California 39 | EVEN | Unoccupied (D) | 51.6% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D | |||
| California 42 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 56.5% R | Safe R | Safe R | Safe R | |||
| California 45 | R+3 | Theodore Vohoffsky (R) | 50.1% R | Tossup | Tilt R | Tossup | |||
| California 48 | R+4 | Unoccupied (D) | 53.6% D | Tossup | Lean R (Flip) |
Tilt R (Flip) |
|||
| California 50 | R+11 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.7% R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | |||
| Colorado 3 | R+6 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.5% R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | |||
| Florida 7 | EVEN | Unoccupied (D) | 57.7% D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | |||
| Florida 13 | D+2 | Unoccupied (D) | 57.6% D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | |||
| Florida 15 | R+6 | Unoccupied (R) | 53.0% R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | |||
| Florida 16 | R+7 | Unoccupied (R) | 54.6% R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | |||
| Florida 18 | R+5 | Unoccupied (R) | 54.3% R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | |||
| Florida 26 | D+6 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.9% D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D | |||
| Florida 27 | D+5 | Alexander Santiago (D) | 50.9% D | Tilt D | Tilt D | Lean D | |||
| Georgia 6 | R+8 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.5% D | Tilt D | Tilt R (Flip) |
||||
| Georgia 7 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 50.1% R | Tossup | Tilt R | ||||
| Illinois 6 | R+2 | Unoccupied (D) | 53.6% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | |||
| Illinois 13 | R+3 | Unoccupied (R) | 50.4% R | Tilt R | Lean R | ||||
| Illinois 14 | R+5 | Unoccupied (D) | 52.5% D | Tossup | Tilt D | ||||
| Illinois 17 | D+3 | Unoccupied (D) | 62.1% D | Lean D | Lean D | ||||
| Indiana 5 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 56.8% R | Likely R | Lean R | ||||
| Iowa 1 | D+1 | Unoccupied (D) | 51.0% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | |||
| Iowa 2 | D+1 | Unoccupied (D) | 54.8% D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | |||
| Iowa 3 | R+1 | Unoccupied (D) | 49.3% D | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D | |||
| Iowa 4 | R+11 | John Ruler (R) (retiring) |
50.3% R | Safe R | Likely R | ||||
| Kansas 2 | R+10 | Unoccupied (R) | 47.6% R | Safe R | Safe R | ||||
| Kansas 3 | R+4 | Unoccupied (D) | 53.6% D | Likely D | Lean D | ||||
| Kentucky 6 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.0% R | Likely R | Likely R | ||||
| Maine 2 | R+2 | Diane Paulson (R) | 51.4% R | Tossup | Tossup | ||||
| Michigan 3 | R+6 | Unoccupied (R) | 54.4% R | Lean R | Lean R | ||||
| Michigan 6 | R+4 | Unoccupied (R) | 50.2% R | Lean R | Lean R | ||||
| Michigan 7 | R+7 | Unoccupied (R) | 53.8% R | Safe R | Likely R | ||||
| Michigan 8 | R+4 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.6% D | Tossup | Lean D | Tilt D | |||
| Michigan 11 | R+4 | Unoccupied (D) | 51.8% D | Tossup | Tilt R (Flip) |
Tilt D | |||
| Minnesota 1 | R+5 | Unoccupied (R) | 50.1% R | Tossup | Likely R | Tilt R | |||
| Minnesota 2 | R+2 | Unoccupied (D) | 52.7% D | Tossup | Tilt R (Flip) |
Likely D | |||
| Minnesota 7 | R+12 | Unoccupied (D) | 52.1% D | Tilt D | Tilt D | Tilt R (Flip) |
|||
| Minnesota 8 | R+4 | Unoccupied (R) | 50.7% R | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt R | |||
| Missouri 2 | R+8 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.2% R | Likely R | Lean R | ||||
| Montana at-Large | R+11 | Unoccupied (R) | 50.9% R | Likely R | Likely R | ||||
| Nebraska 2 | R+4 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.0% R | Tilt R | Lean R | ||||
| Nevada 3 | R+2 | Unoccupied (D) | 51.9% D | Tilt D | Tilt D | ||||
| Nevada 4 | D+3 | Unoccupied (D) | 51.9% D | Likely D | Likely D | ||||
| New Hampshire 1 | R+2 | Unoccupied (D) | 53.6% D | Lean D | Likely D | ||||
| New Hampshire 2 | D+2 | Unoccupied (D) | 55.5% D | Likely D | Safe D | ||||
| New Jersey 2 | R+1 | Unoccupied (D) | 52.9% D | Lean D | Likely D | ||||
| New Jersey 3 | R+2 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.0% D | Tilt D | Likely D | ||||
| New Jersey 5 | R+3 | Unoccupied (D) | 56.2% D | Likely D | Likely D | ||||
| New Jersey 7 | R+3 | Unoccupied (D) | 51.7% D | Lean D | Lean D | ||||
| New Jersey 11 | R+3 | Unoccupied (D) | 56.8% D | Lean D | Likely D | ||||
| New Mexico 2 | R+6 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.9% D | Tossup | Tilt D | ||||
| New York 1 | R+5 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.5% R | Likely R | Lean R | ||||
| New York 2 | R+3 | Unoccupied (D) | 51.9% D | Tossup | Lean R | ||||
| New York 11 | R+3 | Unoccupied (D) | 53.0% D | Tilt D | Tilt D | ||||
| New York 18 | R+1 | Unoccupied (D) | 55.5% D | Safe D | Safe D | ||||
| New York 19 | R+2 | Unoccupied (D) | 51.4% D | Likely D | Safe D | ||||
| New York 22 | R+6 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.8% D | Tilt D | Tilt D | ||||
| New York 24 | D+3 | Unoccupied (R) | 52.6% R | Tilt R | Tossup | ||||
| New York 27 | R+11 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.8% R | Safe R | Likely R | ||||
| North Carolina 1 | D+5 | Unoccupied (D) | 69.8% D | Safe D | Safe D | ||||
| North Carolina 2 | D+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.3% R | Safe D (Flip) |
Likely D (Flip) |
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| North Carolina 6 | D+8 | Unoccupied (R) | 56.5% R | Safe D (Flip) |
Likely D (Flip) |
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| North Carolina 8 | R+5 | Unoccupied (R) | 55.3% R | Lean R | Lean R | ||||
| North Carolina 9 | R+7 | Unoccupied (R) | 50.7% R | Likely R | Lean R | ||||
| North Carolina 11 | R+14 | Unoccupied (R) | 59.2% R | Likely R | Likely R | ||||
| Ohio 1 | R+5 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.3% R | Lean R | Lean R | ||||
| Ohio 10 | R+4 | Unoccupied (R) | 55.9% R | Likely R | Likely R | ||||
| Ohio 12 | R+7 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.4% R | Likely R | Likely R | ||||
| Oklahoma 5 | R+10 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.7% D | Tossup | Tilt D | ||||
| Oregon 4 | EVEN | Unoccupied (D) | 56.0% D | Likely D | Likely D | ||||
| Pennsylvania 1 | R+1 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.9% D | Lean D | Lean D | ||||
| Pennsylvania 7 | D+1 | Unoccupied (D) | 53.5% D | Likely D | Likely D | ||||
| Pennsylvania 8 | R+1 | Unoccupied (D) | 54.6% D | Lean D | Likely D | ||||
| Pennsylvania 10 | R+6 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.3% R | Lean R | Lean R | ||||
| Pennsylvania 16 | R+8 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.6% R | Likely R | Safe R | ||||
| Pennsylvania 17 | R+3 | Unoccupied (D) | 56.3% D | Likely D | Safe D | ||||
| South Carolina 1 | R+10 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.6% D | Lean R (Flip) |
Tilt R (Flip) |
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| South Carolina 2 | R+12 | Unoccupied (R) | 56.3% R | Safe R | Likely R | ||||
| Texas 2 | R+11 | Unoccupied (R) | 52.8% R | Safe R | Likely R | ||||
| Texas 3 | R+13 | Unoccupied (R) | 54.3% R | Safe R | Safe R | ||||
| Texas 6 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 53.1% R | Safe R | Likely R | ||||
| Texas 7 | R+7 | Linda Lazare (D) | 52.5% D | Lean D | Tilt D | ||||
| Texas 10 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.1% R | Safe R | Lean R | ||||
| Texas 21 | R+10 | Unoccupied (R) | 50.2% R | Likely R | Likely R | ||||
| Texas 22 | R+10 | Unoccupied (R) | 51.4% R | Safe R | Likely R | ||||
| Texas 23 | R+1 | Unoccupied (D) | 49.4% D | Tossup | Tilt D | ||||
| Texas 24 | R+9 | Unoccupied (R) | 50.6% R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | |||
| Texas 25 | R+11 | Unoccupied (R) | 53.5% R | Safe R | Likely R | ||||
| Texas 31 | R+10 | Unoccupied (R) | 50.6% R | Likely R | Likely R | ||||
| Texas 32 | R+5 | Unoccupied (D) | 52.3% D | Lean D | Likely D | ||||
| Utah 4 | R+13 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.1% D | Lean R (Flip) |
Tilt R (Flip) |
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| Virginia 1 | R+8 | Unoccupied (R) | 55.2% R | Safe R | Likely R | ||||
| Virginia 2 | R+3 | Unoccupied (D) | 51.1% D | Likely D | Likely D | ||||
| Virginia 5 | R+6 | Unoccupied (R) | 53.2% R | Lean R | Tilt R | ||||
| Virginia 7 | R+6 | Unoccupied (D) | 50.3% D | Lean D | Lean D | ||||
| Virginia 10 | D+1 | Felix Holt (D) | 56.1% D | Safe D | Safe D | ||||
| Washington 3 | R+4 | Unoccupied (R) | 52.7% R | Tilt R | Tilt R | ||||
| Washington 8 | EVEN | Unoccupied (D) | 52.4% D | Likely D | Likely D | ||||
| Wisconsin 3 | EVEN | Fiona Lowell (D) | 59.7% D | Lean D | Tossup | Likely D | |||
| Overall | Democratic - 223 Tossup - 18 Republican - 194 |
(Final Results) | |||||||
| District | 2017 CPVI | Incumbent | Previous result | Aggregator | Tartalek | Surverylance | Goldwater | Stuyvescant | Winner |