2023 Portogalan parliamentary election: Difference between revisions

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[[File:Opinion_polls_Portogala_2023.png]]
[[File:Opinion_polls_Portogala_2023.png]]
{| class=wikitable style=text-align:center
{| class=wikitable style=text-align:center
! Polling firm (date)
! rowspan=2 |Polling firm (date)
! colspan=3 |[[File:Portogala United Coalition Logo.png|100px|link=Portogala United Coalition|Portogala United Coalition]]
! colspan=3 |[[File:Stop_The_War Logo.png|50px|link=Stop The War|Stop The War!]]
! rowspan=2 |[[File:People's_Party_Portogala_Logo.png|30px|link=People's Party (Portogala)|PP]]
! rowspan=2 |[[File:Worker's_Union_Portogala_Logo.png|45px|link=Worker's Union (Portogala)|UT]]
! rowspan=2 |[[File:National_Movement_Portogala_Logo.png|40px|link=National Movement (Portogala)|MN]]
! rowspan=2 |Undecided
! rowspan=2 |Lead
|-
! [[File:Portogala_United_Logo.png|40px|link=Portogala United|PU]]
! [[File:Portogala_United_Logo.png|40px|link=Portogala United|PU]]
! [[File:Liberal_Party_Portogala_Logo.png|45px|link=Liberal Party (Portogala)|PL]]
! [[File:Liberal_Party_Portogala_Logo.png|45px|link=Liberal Party (Portogala)|PL]]
! [[File:Christian_Democrats_Portogala_Logo.png|30px|link=Christian Democrats (Portogala)|DC]]
! [[File:Democratic_Opposition_Logo.png|35px|link=Democratic Opposition|OD]]
! [[File:Democratic_Opposition_Logo.png|35px|link=Democratic Opposition|OD]]
! [[File:People's_Party_Portogala_Logo.png|30px|link=People's Party (Portogala)|PP]]
! [[File:Worker's_Union_Portogala_Logo.png|45px|link=Worker's Union (Portogala)|UT]]
! [[File:National_Movement_Portogala_Logo.png|40px|link=National Movement (Portogala)|MN]]
! [[File:Christian_Democrats_Portogala_Logo.png|30px|link=Christian Democrats (Portogala)|DC]]
! [[File:Green_Party_Portogala_Logo.png|40px|link=Green Party (Portogala)|PV]]
! [[File:Green_Party_Portogala_Logo.png|40px|link=Green Party (Portogala)|PV]]
! [[File:The_Centre_Logo.png|50px|link=The Centre|C]]
! [[File:The_Centre_Logo.png|50px|link=The Centre|C]]
! Undecided
|-
! Lead
! Politimania <br> (13th March 2023)
! colspan=3 style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 38.6
| colspan=3 | 32.4
| 10.5
| 6.2
| 5.5
| 6.5
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 6.2
|-
|-
! Politimania <br> (9th March 2023)
! Politimania <br> (9th March 2023)
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 21.7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 21.7
| 7.5
| 7.5
| 7.7
| 13.4
| 13.4
| 4.5
| 15.4
| 11.1
| 11.1
| 5.9
| 5.9
| 6
| 6
| 7.7
| 4.5
| 15.4
| 6.8
| 6.8
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 6.3
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 6.3
Line 299: Line 311:
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 21.7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 21.7
| 7.9
| 7.9
| 7.5
| 12.8
| 12.8
| 4.8
| 14.2
| 11.5
| 11.5
| 6.1
| 6.1
| 6.5
| 6.5
| 7.5
| 4.8
| 14.2
| 7
| 7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 7.5
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 7.5
Line 312: Line 324:
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 27.1
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 27.1
| 8.2
| 8.2
| 6.4
| 12.1
| 12.1
| 5.5
| 9.7
| 12.4
| 12.4
| 6.2
| 6.2
| 5.7
| 5.7
| 6.4
| 5.5
| 9.7
| 6.7
| 6.7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 14.7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 14.7
Line 325: Line 337:
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 28.3
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 28.3
| 9.7
| 9.7
| 6.2
| 11.8
| 11.8
| 5.8
| 6.8
| 12.2
| 12.2
| 6.8
| 6.8
| 5.9
| 5.9
| 6.2
| 5.8
| 6.8
| 6.5
| 6.5
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 16.1
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 16.1
Line 338: Line 350:
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 30.4
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 30.4
| 13.3
| 13.3
| 5.8
| 11.1
| 11.1
| 6.1
| --
| 12.7
| 12.7
| 6.5
| 6.5
| 6.4
| 6.4
| 5.8
| 6.1
| --
| 7.4
| 7.4
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 17.4
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 17.4
Line 351: Line 363:
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 31.9
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 31.9
| 12.9
| 12.9
| 5.1
| 11.4
| 11.4
| 5.7
| --
| 12.4
| 12.4
| 6.8
| 6.8
| 6.7
| 6.7
| 5.1
| 5.7
| --
| 7.1
| 7.1
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 19
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 19
Line 364: Line 376:
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 32.1
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 32.1
| 13.4
| 13.4
| 4.7
| 11.9
| 11.9
| 4.1
| --
| 12.8
| 12.8
| 7.2
| 7.2
| 7.1
| 7.1
| 4.7
| 4.1
| --
| 6.7
| 6.7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 18.7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 18.7
Line 377: Line 389:
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 33.4
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 33.4
| 13
| 13
| 4.3
| 12.8
| 12.8
| --
| --
| 12.1
| 12.1
| 8.5
| 8.5
| 7.4
| 7.4
| 4.3
| --
| --
| 8.5
| 8.5
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 20.4
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 20.4
Line 390: Line 402:
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 32.9  
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 32.9  
| 13.7
| 13.7
| 3.9
| 13.1
| 13.1
| --
| --
| 12.8
| 12.8
| 8.3
| 8.3
| 7.5
| 7.5
| 3.9
| --
| --
| 7.8
| 7.8
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 19.2
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 19.2
Line 403: Line 415:
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 33.4  
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 33.4  
| 13.5
| 13.5
| 3.4
| 12.8
| 12.8
| --
| --
| 13.5
| 13.5
| 8.5
| 8.5
| 7.9
| 7.9
| 3.4
| --
| --
| 7
| 7
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 19.9
! style="background-color:#8ab9e1" | 19.9
|}
|}

Revision as of 22:24, 15 March 2023

2023 Portogalan parliamentary election
Portogala.png
All 150 seats in the Portogalan Parliament
76 seats needed for a majority
Registered6,147,900
  Diana de Oliveira Salazar.jpg Enringo Balear.jpg Salvador Leon.jpg
Leader Diana de Oliveira Salazar Enringo Balear Salvador Leon
Party Portogala United Democratic Opposition The Centre
Last election 60 seats, 35.63% 22 seats, 13.63% New
Current seats 60 22 20
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg16 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 54 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 56
  Santiago Schulz.jpg Augustin Diaz.jpg Fernandes Pereira.jpg
Leader Santiago Schulz Augustin Diaz Fernandes Pereira
Party People's Party Worker's Union National Movement
Last election 19 seats, 13.04% 14 seats, 9.78% 8 seats, 8.11%
Current seats 19 14 8
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 57 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 62 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 68
  Madalena Morais Faira.jpg Gustavo Mendes de Coicojote.jpg Sofia Raposa.jpg
Leader Madalena Morais Faira Gustavo Mendes de Coicojote Sofia Raposa
Party Liberal Party Christian Democrats Green Party
Last election 25 seats, 14.56% 2 seats, 5.25% New
Current seats 5 2 0
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg71 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 74 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 76

Early parliamentary elections will be held in Portogala to elect members of the 3rd Portogalan Parliament. The snap election was called after the fall of the Salazar Government, a three-party coalition, on 24th February 2023. The collapse was caused by the split of the Liberal Party and the creation of a new party - The Centre. This is the third parliamentary election in Portogala since September 2022.

Electoral system

The Portogalan Parliament is made up of 150 seats, and all are elected through open list, proportional representation on multi-member party lists. Of the 150 seats, 135 are elected within the 6 constituencies. The remainder are apportioned nationally as levelling seats to ensure a proportional result.

Each of the 6 constituencies has a set number of parliamentarians that is divided through constituency results to ensure regional representation. The other members of parliament (MPs) are then elected through a proportional balancing, to ensure that the numbers of elected MPs for the various parties accurately represent the votes of the electorate. A minimum of 4% of the national vote, or alternatively 12% or more within a constituency, is required for a party to enter the Parliament. Were the latter to occur, the party only gains representation within that constituency's seat share.

Opinion polls

Opinion polls Portogala 2023.png

Polling firm (date) Portogala United Coalition Stop The War! PP UT MN Undecided Lead
PU PL DC OD PV C
Politimania
(13th March 2023) 		38.6 32.4 10.5 6.2 5.5 6.5 6.2
Politimania
(9th March 2023) 		21.7 7.5 7.7 13.4 4.5 15.4 11.1 5.9 6 6.8 6.3
Politimania
(6th March 2023) 		21.7 7.9 7.5 12.8 4.8 14.2 11.5 6.1 6.5 7 7.5
Politimania
(2nd March 2023) 		27.1 8.2 6.4 12.1 5.5 9.7 12.4 6.2 5.7 6.7 14.7
Politimania
(27th February 2023) 		28.3 9.7 6.2 11.8 5.8 6.8 12.2 6.8 5.9 6.5 16.1
Politimania
(22th February 2023) 		30.4 13.3 5.8 11.1 6.1 -- 12.7 6.5 6.4 7.4 17.4
Politimania
(8th February 2023) 		31.9 12.9 5.1 11.4 5.7 -- 12.4 6.8 6.7 7.1 19
Politimania
(25th January 2023) 		32.1 13.4 4.7 11.9 4.1 -- 12.8 7.2 7.1 6.7 18.7
Politimania
(11th January 2023) 		33.4 13 4.3 12.8 -- -- 12.1 8.5 7.4 8.5 20.4
Politimania
(28th December 2022) 		32.9 13.7 3.9 13.1 -- -- 12.8 8.3 7.5 7.8 19.2
Politimania
(14th December 2022) 		33.4 13.5 3.4 12.8 -- -- 13.5 8.5 7.9 7 19.9
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