2021 Steinborgian federal election: Difference between revisions

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| party1            = [[People's Party (Steinborg)|People's]]
| party1            = [[People's Party (Steinborg)|People's]]
| alliance1        =  
| alliance1        =  
| last_election1    = 109 seats, 32.7%
| last_election1    = 109 seats, 29.4%
| seats1            = 121
| seats1            = 121
| seat_change1      = {{increase}} 12
| seat_change1      = {{increase}} 12
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| popular_vote2    = 6,332,323
| popular_vote2    = 6,332,323
| percentage2      = 12.5%
| percentage2      = 12.5%
| swing2            = {{decrease}} 2.1 pp
| swing2            = {{decrease}} 3.2 pp


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| seat_change7      = {{decrease}} 11
| seat_change7      = {{decrease}} 11
| popular_vote7    = 2,828,825
| popular_vote7    = 2,828,825
| percentage7      = 4.1%
| percentage7      = 5.6%
| swing7            = {{decrease}} 2.7 pp
| swing7            = {{decrease}} 3.0 pp


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Revision as of 14:10, 5 October 2024

2021 Steinborgian federal election
Steinborg flag.png
← 2017 October 31, 2021 (2021-10-31) 2025 →

All 355 seats in the Federal Parliament
176 seats needed for a majority
Registered70,901,252
Turnout51,611,381 (72.8%) Decrease 4.9 pp
  First party Second party Third party
  Viktor leppik.jpg Mikko Lahtinen.jpg Kristel Miller.jpg
Leader Viktor Leppik Mikko Lahtinen Kristel Miller
Party People's Social Democrats Greens
Last election 109 seats, 29.4% 58 seats, 15.7% 34 seats, 9.2%
Seats won 121 47 46
Seat change Increase 12 Decrease 11 Increase 12
Popular vote 16,570,786 6,332,323 6,528,028
Percentage 32.7% 12.5% 12.9%
Swing Increase 3.3 pp Decrease 3.2 pp Increase 3.9 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Juri Ilves.jpg Olga Raudsepp.jpg Niko Huhtala.jpg
Leader Juri Ilves Olga Raudsepp Niko Huhtala
Party Christian Democrats Worker's Liberals
Last election 41 seats, 11.4% 35 seats, 9.0% 20 seats, 6.0%
Seats won 44 28 25
Seat change Increase 3 Decrease 7 Increase 5
Popular vote 6,207,125 3,635,901 3,497,892
Percentage 12.3% 7.2% 6.9%
Swing Increase 0.9 pp Decrease 1.8 pp Increase 0.9 pp

  Seventh party Eighth party
  Anne Nieminen.jpg Karin Lill.jpg
Leader Anne Nieminen Karin Lill
Party Alternative New Democracy
Last election 34 seats, 8.6% 24 seats, 6.9%
Seats won 23 21
Seat change Decrease 11 Decrease 3
Popular vote 2,828,825 3,016,224
Percentage 5.6% 6.0%
Swing Decrease 3.0 pp Decrease 0.9 pp

ST2021 Biggest party by constituency.png
Biggest party by constituency. The shade of the color indicates the strenght of the vote share.

Paalik before election

Jaan Kruus
People's Party

Paalik

Jaan Kruus
People's Party

Federal elections were held in Steinborg on 31 October 2021 to elect the members of the 24th Federal Parliament. All 200 members of the Federal Parliament were elected in 15 multi-member constituencies.

The economy, climate change, crime and government spending were the main issues of the campaign. The People's Party and its coalition government consisting of the Christian Democratic Forum and the Liberals ran on their record of falling crime rates and economic recovery, and the coalition also used the personal popularity of Paalik Viktor Leppik in their campaign. The Greens and New Democracy ran a joint campaign, advocating for a fight against climate change, greater government spending on infrastructure and green energy and the legalisation of same-sex marriage. The Social Democratic Party, the Worker's Party and the Alternative all faced infighting amid their poor performances in the previous election and they failed to deliver a coherent message during the campaign.

The People's Party achieved yet another landslide victory, retaining its position as the largest party with an even bigger margin than in 2017. All the parties in the government increased their vote and seat share, something that hasn't happened since 2001. The anticipated progressive wave did not fully materialize, but the Greens and New Democracy still experienced an increase in ther vote and seat share. The Social Democrats, Worker's Party and Alternative all experienced losses. While turnout fell by 12 percent, it was still way ahead of the historical average.

The sitting coalition government was again assembled with minimal changes and Viktor Leppik was reelected as Paalik on 10th November 2021.

Electoral system

The 200 members of the Federal Parliament are elected in 14 multi-member constituencies, being the fourteen counties, and one single-member consticuency, the island of Ensamo. Seats are allocated using the Sainte-Laguë method, with an electoral threshold of 5% per constituency, expect in Ensamo, where a first-past-the-post system is used.

Seats are distributed to constituencies based on the number of registered voters in them. The distribution of seats for the 2021 election was as follows:

Seats by constituency
Constituency Seats Constituencies of Steinborg 2021.png
01 Ensamo 1 (Decrease1)
02 Pohjameri 15
03 Iounameri 14 (Decrease1)
04 Laanemaa 12
05 Parla 24
06 Tooru 18
07 Keskmaa 12
08 Kirkmaa 10
09 Itanien Kotimaa 12
10 Lantinen Kotimaa 13
11 Isovouri 7
12 Rohland 10
13 Mustastein 15 (Increase1)
14 Valkenstein 18 (Increase1)
15 Vappe 19

All Steinborgian citizens aged 18 or over have the right to participate in the election. Non-Steinborgian citizens residing in Steinborg cannot vote, whereas Steinborgian citizens living abroad can register to vote.

Parties

Party Ideology Political position Leader 2017 result Status
People's Party Liberal conservatism Centre-right to
right-wing
Jaan Kruus
73 / 150
Governing coalition
Social Democratic Party Social democracy Centre-left Mikko Lahtinen
28 / 150
Opposition
Christian Democratic Forum Christian democracy Centre to
centre-right
Juri Ilves
22 / 150
Governing coalition
Green Party Green politics Centre-left Kristel Miller
21 / 150
Opposition
Worker's Party Socialism
Social conservatism
Left-wing to
far-left
Olga Raudsepp
15 / 150
Opposition
Liberals Liberalism
Conservative liberalism
Centre-right Niko Huhtala
15 / 150
Governing coalition
New Democracy Social liberalism Centre to
centre-left
Karin Lill
14 / 150
Opposition
Alternative Right-wing populism Right-wing to
far-right
Anne Nieminen
12 / 150
Opposition

Opinion polls

Polling aggregations

Polling aggregator Last Update People's Partyst.png Social Democratsst.png Christian Democratic Forumst.png Green Partyst.png Worker's Partyst.png New Democracyst.png Liberalsst.png Alternativest.png Lead
Faqos 29 Oct 2021 34.5 10.8 10.5 14.1 5.5 9.2 6.8 4.6 20.4
Electomania 28 Oct 2021 33.3 11.4 10.1 14.6 5.4 9.8 6.6 4.8 18.7
Pollista 28 Oct 2021 32.9 11.9 9.8 15.1 6.4 9.1 6.3 4.5 17.8

Results

National results

Parties Votes % ± Seats ±
People's Party 17,459,686 34.98 Increase 1.21 74 Increase 1
Green Party 6,212,028 12.45 Increase 3.28 27 Increase 6
Christian Democratic Forum 5,903,642 11.83 Increase 0.73 27 Increase 5
Social Democratic Party 5,412,323 10.84 Decrease 2.12 23 Decrease 5
New Democracy 4,186,224 8.39 Increase 1.19 18 Increase 4
Liberals 3,708,892 7.43 Increase 0.52 17 Increase 2
Worker's Party 2,985,675 5.98 Decrease 2.23 9 Decrease 6
Alternative 2,032,825 4.07 Decrease 2.69 5 Decrease 7
Others 2,012,972 4.03 Increase 0.04 0 Steady
Total 49,914,267 100.00 200
Invalid/blank votes 1,447,514 2.81 Increase 0.56
Total 51,361,781 100.00
Registered voters/turnout 70,901,452 72.44

Results by region

Constituency People's Partyst.png Social Democratsst.png Christian Democratic Forumst.png Green Partyst.png Worker's Partyst.png New Democracyst.png Liberalsst.png Alternativest.png
Zieborg 33.8 9.1 9.8 14.8 8.1 9.8 7.1 3.6
Jokstein 36.3 12.8 14.1 9.8 3.6 6.8 7.8 4.6
Total 35.0 10.8 11.8 12.5 6.0 8.4 7.4 4.1

Results by constituency

Constituency People's Partyst.png Social Democratsst.png Christian Democratic Forumst.png Green Partyst.png Worker's Partyst.png New Democracyst.png Liberalsst.png Alternativest.png
Ensamo 31.8 11.8 12.9 12.7 7.5 7.8 6.4 5.1
Pohjameri 38.0 7.9 9.7 13.2 7.2 8.9 7.5 3.6
Iounameri 28.7 9.6 9.0 16.3 12.2 9.2 6.5 4.5
Laanemaa 30.7 10.8 11.7 13.5 7.4 10.3 8.2 3.4
Parla 34.3 7.1 5.1 19.4 7.7 13.0 7.6 1.8
Torru 37.5 8.2 10.5 12.9 7.4 8.2 7.1 4.2
Keskmaa 32.7 12.0 13.1 11.8 7.6 8.0 5.5 5.3
Kirkmaa 32.4 10.4 14.2 13.3 7.3 8.8 6.4 3.2
Itanien Kotimaa 33.1 14.5 17.4 8.1 3.5 5.8 6.4 7.2
Lantinen Kotimaa 30.4 16.2 15.9 9.5 4.6 6.7 7.3 5.4
Isovouri 32.5 15.0 18.1 8.4 3.3 5.5 6.7 6.5
Rohland 35.3 12.7 14.8 9.3 3.0 6.4 10.2 4.3
Mustastein 32.9 15.4 16.7 8.7 3.6 6.1 7.1 5.5
Valkenstein 42.7 9.8 13.5 9.0 3.1 6.3 7.7 3.9
Vappe 40.5 9.9 8.1 13.3 4.1 9.2 8.7 2.2
Total 35.0 10.8 11.8 12.5 6.0 8.4 7.4 4.1