2030 StrayaRoos Federal Election: Difference between revisions

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Revision as of 21:49, 20 November 2024

The 2030 StrayaRoos Federal Election was held on Saturday June 8 2030 to elect members of the 35th Parliament of StrayaRoos. The election took place in tandem with the presidential election. The incumbent Labor Party of StrayaRoos, alongside alliance partners in the Roosian Green Party and Roosian Democrats, defeated the opposition NatCon Coalition, winning a second consecutive term in office. Up for election were all 361 seats in the House of Representatives, and 36 of 71 seats in the Senate.

The Labor Party won a plurality of the seats in the House of Representatives, and alongside Liberty Alliance partners in the Democrats and Greens won a majority. Hamish Ouau was sworn in for his second term as Prime Minister on June 10, 2030. Greens leader Isabelle Briloani and Democrats leader Jack Ropa were sworn in as his deputies the same day.

2030 StrayaRoos Federal Election
Strayaroos flag.png
← 2026 June 8, 2030 (2030-06-08) 2034 →

all 361 seats in the House of Representatives
36 of 71 seats in the Senate
181 seats needed for a majority
Registered72,859,887
Turnout96.29%
  First party Second party Third party
 
Ouau.png
Lorti.png
Leader Hamish Ouau Shane Lorti Isabelle Briloani
Party Labor NatCon Coalition Greens
Leader since August 10 2022 June 15, 2026 August 8, 2029
Leader's seat Pale Outer West Circunses South List
Last election 134 104 30
Seats before 151 119 33
Seats won 151 123 31
Seat change Steady Increase 4 Decrease 2
Popular vote 28,397,876 23,188,633 5,882,996
Percentage 40.48% 33.05% 8.37%
Swing Decrease 0.81 Increase 0.73 Decrease 0.75

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Jack Ropa Ryan Nablo Sam Tong
Party Democrats USP Meyrani'ora
Alliance Freedom
Leader since January 12, 2030 August 12 2026
Leader's seat List List Burran
Last election 10 7 10
Seats before 11 8 11
Seats won 21 18 8
Seat change Increase 10 Increase 10 Decrease 3
Popular vote 3,971,998 4,143,630 1,406,993
Percentage 5.65% 5.89% 2.00%
Swing Increase 2.65 Increase 1.29 Decrease 1.10

Prime Minister before election

Hamish Ouau
Labor

Prime Minister

Hamish Ouau
Labor

Electoral System

Members of the House of Representatives are elected by a hybrid of single-member electorate seats are elected using Instant Runoff Voting, making up half of the seats in the House of Representatives, where the candidate with the least first preferences is eliminated until one candidate has 50.01% of the votes cast in an electorate, and A closed-list Proportional Representation party vote, using the voter’s highest usable preference (i.e. highest-ranked party that has registered a party list with the NEC for that election), being added to the national tally. Then, all party votes will be combined to get a national party vote (NPV).

All Parties with more than 2% of the NPV, or a party that has won at least one electorate seat, will have their vote counts transferred to the List seat allocation. The parties percentage of the national usable votes tally (i.e. Party votes cast for eligible parties) will be multiplied by the number of seats in parliament (currently 361), minus the count of seats won by independent candidates. The resulting number will be the entitlement of a party for that election. The list seats make up half+1 of seats in Parliament, and will be allocated to each party to ensure as many parties as possible reach their entitlement, ensuring proportionality.

Senators are elected by Hare-Clarke preferential voting using 9 multi-member districts. 8 of 8 members, and 1 of 7 members. 4 seats in each district were up for election.

Campaign Issues

Candidates

The deadline for candidates to be nominated to the National Electoral Comission, for either electorates or party lists, was May 24, 2030. In total, 17 parties submitted party lists, each with at least 100 nominees, totalling 2664 list candidates. Meanwhile, the aforementioned 17 parties, and various minor parties or unaffiliated candidates, submitted over 3000 candidates for the 180 electorate seats

Party Leader(s) Founded Ideology Seats before election Candidates
Electorate List
Labor Hamish Ouau Social Democracy
Progressivism
Conservative Shane Lorti Conservatism
National Agrarianism
Social Conservatism
Greens Green Politics
Progressivism
Democrats Social Liberalism
Populism
USP Nationalism
Right-wing Populism
GRA Social Conservatism
Anti-Gun Control
Indigenous/Meyrani’ora Social Liberalism
Indigenous Rights
Progressives Progressivism
StrayaRoos First Right-wing Populism
Isolationism
Libertarian Libertatrianism
Socialist Party Socialism
RCT Agrarianism
Social Liberalism
Hope Alliance Christian Centrism
Christian United Christian Right
Legalise Cannabis Cannabis Legalisation

Debates

Opinion Polling

Primary Vote

Date Brand Interview mode Sample
size
Primary vote
LAB NTC GRN DEM USP GRA MRO PRG SOC LIB OTH
June 8 2030 Election 40.38% 32.97% 8.37% 5.65% 2.70% 2.25% 2.00% 0.64% 0.73% 0.63% 3.69%
June 5 2030 rtvS-RVPG Online 5000 33.5% 30.7% 8.8% 6.2% 4.8% 2.1% 3.5% 2.3% 0.9% 2.2% 5%
June 3 2030 8News - Six News - 4News Phone 2500 31.2% 31.4% 8.9% 7.8% 5.1% 2.8% 3.1% 2.6% 0.8% 2.5% 4.8%

Seat Projections

Source Seats in Parliament Govt. Formation
LAB NTC GRN DEM USP GRA MRO PRG SOC LIB OTH Total
2030 Election Result
June 8 2030
151 123 31 21 10 8 8 0 0 0 9 361 Labor-Greens-Democrats (202)
rtvS-RVPG
June 5 2030
123 113 32 23 18 8 13 8 3 8 11 361 Labor-Greens-Democrats-Progressives (186)
Eight-Four-Six
June 3 2030
114 114 32 28 19 10 11 10 3 7 11 361 Labor-Greens-Democrats-Indigenous (185)

Results

House of Representatives

Summary of the June 8 2030 election for the House of Representatives (MMP IRV)
Roosian Parliament.svg
Party Electorate vote Party vote Seats
Seats Change Votes % Swing (pp) Seats Change Seats Change
Labor 65 Decrease 22 28,397,876 40.38% Decrease 0.81 86 Increase 22 151 Steady
NatCon 65 Increase 23 23,188,633 32.97% Increase 0.64 58 Decrease 19 123 Increase 4
Conservative 49 Increase 19 20,142,912 28.64% Increase 1.71 58 Decrease 11 107 Increase 8
National 16 Increase 4 3,045,771 4.33% Decrease 1.07 0 Decrease 8 16 Decrease 4
Greens 17 Decrease 1 5,882,996 8.37% Decrease 0.75 14 Decrease 1 31 Increase 2
Democrats 13 Increase 8 3,971,998 5.65% Increase 2.65 8 Increase 2 21 Increase 10
USP 4 Increase 2 1,899,657 2.70% Increase 0.59 6 Steady 10 Increase 2
GRA 1 Increase 1 1,578,992 2.25% Increase 0.61 7 Increase 7 8 Increase 8
Indigenous/Meyrani’ora 6 Decrease 3 1,406,993 2.00% Decrease 1.10 2 Steady 8 Decrease 3
Legalise Cannabis 0 New 969,994 1.38% New 0 New 0 New
StrayaRoos First 0 Steady 664,981 0.95% Increase 0.05 0 Steady 0 Steady
Reform 0 Steady 531,882 0.76% Decrease 0.14 0 Steady 0 Steady
Socialist Party 0 Decrease 3 512,987 0.73% Decrease 1.77 0 Decrease 6 0 Decrease 9
Progressives 0 Decrease 1 451,987 0.64% Decrease 0.64 0 Decrease 4 0 Decrease 5
Libertarian 0 Decrease 2 439,998 0.63% Decrease 0.28 0 Decrease 1 0 Decrease 3
RCT 0 Steady 212,985 0.30% Increase 0.01 0 Steady 0 Steady
Hope Alliance 0 Steady 180,764 0.25% Decrease 0.26 0 Steady 0 Steady
Christian United 0 Steady 31,884 0.05% Decrease 0.01 0 Steady 0 Steady
Independents 9 Decrease 2 N/A 9 Decrease 2

Cove

Summary of the June 8 2030 election for the House of Representatives in Cove State (IRV)
Party Primary vote Seats
Votes % Swing (pp) Seats Change
Labor

Eastern StrayaRoos

Central StrayaRoos

Western StrayaRoos

Ulladulla Islands

Senate