2021 Steinborgian federal election

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2021 Steinborgian federal election
Steinborg flag.png
← 2017 October 31, 2021 (2021-10-31) 2025 →

All 200 seats in the Federal Parliament
101 seats needed for a majority
Registered70,901,452
Turnout49,914,267 (70.4%) Decrease 12.4 pp
  First party Second party Third party
  Jaan Kruus.jpg Kristel Miller.jpg Juri Ilves.jpg
Leader Jaan Kruus Kristel Miller Juri Ilves
Party People's Greens Christian Democrats
Last election 73 seats, 33.8% 21 seats, 9.2% 22 seats, 11.1%
Seats won 74 27 27
Seat change Increase 1 Increase 6 Increase 5
Popular vote 17,459,686 6,212,028 5,903,642
Percentage 35.0% 12.5% 11.8%
Swing Increase 1.2 pp Increase 3.3 pp Increase 0.7 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Mikko Lahtinen.jpg Karin Lill.jpg Niko Huhtala.jpg
Leader Mikko Lahtinen Karin Lill Niko Huhtala
Party Social Democrats New Democracy Liberals
Last election 28 seats, 12.9% 14 seats, 7.2% 15 seats, 6.9%
Seats won 23 18 17
Seat change Decrease 5 Increase 4 Increase 2
Popular vote 5,412,323 4,186,224 3,708,892
Percentage 10.8% 8.4% 7.4%
Swing Decrease 2.1 pp Increase 1.2 pp Increase 0.5 pp

  Seventh party Eighth party
  Olga Raudsepp.jpg Anne Nieminen.jpg
Leader Olga Raudsepp Anne Nieminen
Party Worker's Alternative
Last election 15 seats, 8.2% 12 seats, 6.8%
Seats won 9 5
Seat change Decrease 6 Decrease 7
Popular vote 2,985,675 2,032,825
Percentage 6.0% 4.1%
Swing Decrease 2.2 pp Decrease 2.7 pp

Federal elections were held in Steinborg on 31 October 2021 to elect the members of the 24th Federal Parliament. All 200 members of the Federal Parliament were elected in 15 multi-member constituencies.

The economy, climate change, crime and government spending were the main issues of the campaign. The People's Party and its coalition government consisting of the Christian Democratic Forum and the Liberals ran on their record of falling crime rates and economic recovery, and the coalition also used the personal popularity of Paalik Jaan Kruus in their campaign. The Greens and New Democracy ran a joint campaign, advocating for a fight against climate change, greater government spending on infrastructure and green energy and the legalisation of same-sex marriage. The Social Democratic Party, the Worker's Party and the Alternative all faced infighting amid their poor performances in the previous election and they failed to deliver a coherent message during the campaign.

All the parties in the coalition government increased their vote share and seat count for the first time since 2001. The People's Party managed to retain their overwhelming vote share compared to the other parties, entrenching its positions as the by far biggest party. The anticipated progressive wave did not fully materialize, but the Greens and New Democracy still experienced an increase in ther vote and seat share. The Social Democrats, Worker's Party and Alternative all experienced losses. While turnout fell by 12 percent, it was still way ahead of the historical average.

The sitting coalition government was again assembled with minimal changes and Jaan Kruus was reelected as Paalik on 10th November 2021.

Electoral system

The 200 members of the Federal Parliament are elected in 14 multi-member constituencies, being the fourteen counties, and one single-member consticuency, the island of Ensamo. Seats are allocated using the Sainte-Laguë method, with an electoral threshold of 5% per constituency, expect in Ensamo, where a first-past-the-post system is used.

Seats are allocated to constituencies based on the number of registered voters in them. The allocation of seats for the 2021 election was the following:

Seats by constituency
Constituency Seats Constituencies of Steinborg 2021.png
01 Ensamo 1
02 Pohjameri 15
03 Iounameri 14
04 Laanemaa 12
05 Parla 24
06 Tooru 18
07 Keskmaa 12
08 Kirkmaa 10
09 Itanien Kotimaa 12
10 Lantinen Kotimaa 13
11 Isovouri 7
12 Rohland 10
13 Mustastein 15
14 Valkenstein 18
15 Vappe 19

All Steinborgian citizens aged 18 or over have the right to participate in the election. Non-Steinborgian citizens residing in Steinborg cannot vote, whereas Steinborgian citizens living abroad can register to vote.

Parties

Party Ideology Political position Leader 2017 result Status
People's Party Liberal conservatism Centre-right to
right-wing
Jaan Kruus
73 / 150
Governing coalition
Social Democratic Party Social democracy Centre-left Mikko Lahtinen
28 / 150
Opposition
Christian Democratic Forum Christian democracy Centre to
centre-right
Juri Ilves
22 / 150
Governing coalition
Green Party Green politics Centre-left Kristel Miller
21 / 150
Opposition
Worker's Party Socialism
Marxism
Left-wing to
far-left
Olga Raudsepp
15 / 150
Opposition
Liberals Liberalism
Conservative liberalism
Centre-right Niko Huhtala
15 / 150
Governing coalition
New Democracy Social liberalism Centre to
centre-left
Karin Lill
14 / 150
Opposition
Alternative Right-wing populism Right-wing to
far-right
Anne Nieminen
12 / 150
Opposition

Opinion polls

Polling aggregations

Polling aggregator Last Update People's Partyst.png Social Democratsst.png Christian Democratic Forumst.png Green Partyst.png Worker's Partyst.png New Democracyst.png Liberalsst.png Alternativest.png Lead
Faqos 29 Oct 2021 34.5 10.8 10.5 14.1 5.5 9.2 6.8 4.6 20.4
Electomania 28 Oct 2021 33.3 11.4 10.1 14.6 5.4 9.8 6.6 4.8 18.7
Pollista 28 Oct 2021 32.9 11.9 9.8 15.1 6.4 9.1 6.3 4.5 17.8

Results

National results

Parties Votes % ± Seats ±
People's Party 17,459,686 34.98 Increase 1.21 74 Increase 1
Green Party 6,212,028 12.45 Increase 3.28 27 Increase 6
Christian Democratic Forum 5,903,642 11.83 Increase 0.73 27 Increase 5
Social Democratic Party 5,412,323 10.84 Decrease 2.12 23 Decrease 5
New Democracy 4,186,224 8.39 Increase 1.19 18 Increase 4
Liberals 3,708,892 7.43 Increase 0.52 17 Increase 2
Worker's Party 2,985,675 5.98 Decrease 2.23 9 Decrease 6
Alternative 2,032,825 4.07 Decrease 2.69 5 Decrease 7
Others 1,432,539 2.87 Decrease 0.45 0 Steady
Invalid/blank votes 613,946 1.16 Increase 0.56 Steady Steady
Total 49,914,267 100% 200

Results by constituency

Constituency People's Partyst.png Social Democratsst.png Christian Democratic Forumst.png Green Partyst.png Worker's Partyst.png New Democracyst.png Liberalsst.png Alternativest.png
% % % % % % % %
Ensamo 31.8 11.8 12.9 12.7 7.5 7.8 6.4 5.1
Pohjameri 38.0 7.9 9.7 13.2 7.2 8.9 7.5 3.6
Iounameri 28.7 9.6 9.0 16.3 12.2 9.2 6.5 4.5
Laanemaa 30.7 10.8 11.7 13.5 7.4 10.3 8.2 3.4
Parla 34.3 7.1 5.1 19.4 7.7 13.0 7.6 1.8
Torru 37.5 8.2 10.5 12.9 7.4 8.2 7.1 4.2
Keskmaa 32.7 12.0 13.1 11.8 7.6 8.0 5.5 5.3
Kirkmaa 32.4 10.4 14.2 13.3 7.3 8.8 6.4 3.2
Itanien Kotimaa 33.1 14.5 17.4 8.1 3.5 5.8 6.4 7.2
Lantinen Kotimaa 30.4 16.2 15.9 9.5 4.6 6.7 7.3 5.4
Isovouri 32.5 15.0 18.1 8.4 3.3 5.5 6.7 6.5
Rohland 35.3 12.7 14.8 9.3 3.0 6.4 10.2 4.3
Mustastein 32.9 15.4 16.7 8.7 3.6 6.1 7.1 5.5
Valkenstein 42.7 9.8 13.5 9.0 3.1 6.3 7.7 3.9
Vappe 40.5 9.9 8.1 13.3 4.1 9.2 8.7 2.2
[Total 35.0 10.8 11.9 12.5 6.0 8.4 7.4 4.1