2020 United States Senate Elections (LOTF RP)

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2020 United States Senate elections

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

36 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate
51 seats needed for a majority
  Warrick Decent.jpg Volek Cropped.jpeg
Leader Robert Warrick Karel Volek
Party Republican Democratic
Leader since January 3, 2009 September 9, 2019
Leader's seat Indiana New York
Last election 53 47
Current seats 52[a] 48 [a]
Seats needed Steady Increase2-3[b]
Seats up 20 16

U.S. Senate Map 2020 LOTF.png
Results of the elections:
     Democratic held      Republican held
     No election
Rectangular inset (Il.): both seats contested

Incumbent Majority Leader

Robert Warrick Jr.
Republican



The 2020 United States Senate elections will be held on November 3, 2020, with the 33 class 2 seats of the Senate contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms extending from January 3, 2021, to January 3, 2027. There will also be three special elections: one in each of Illinois, Ohio and Maryland. All were brought on by the early resignation of the incumbent Senators.

In the 2014 United States Senate elections (the last regularly scheduled elections for class 2 Senate seats), the Republicans won eight seats from the Democrats and gained a majority in the Senate, which they successfully defended in 2016 and 2018. Following the Republican defeat in the 2019 Texas U.S. Senate special election, Republicans hold 52 seats entering this election. Republicans will be defending 20 seats, while Democrats will be defending 16.

Democrats need to net a gain of three seats or two seats and the Vice-Presidency in the concurrent Presidential Election to win a majority.

Competitive Races

Competitive Republican held seats are expected to be Colorado, Ohio, Maine, Iowa and North Carolina. Georgia, Montana and Texas could also become competitive. Competitive Democratic held seats are expected to be in Alabama, Alaska, Michigan and New Hampshire. New Mexico, Minnesota and Virginia could also become competitive.

District CPVI Incumbent Last result Aggregator
June 1, 2020
Tartalek
May 11, 2020
Surveylance
May 15, 2020
Precipice
June 1, 2020
Stuyvesant
May 13, 2020
Goldwater
May 19, 2020
Winner
Alabama R+14 Gordon Callahan 50.0% D Tossup Tilt R
(Flip)
Tilt R
(Flip)
Tilt R
(Flip)
Tilt R
(Flip)
Alaska R+9 Francine Sullivan 49.1% D Tossup Tilt R
(Flip)
Tossup Tossup Tossup
Arkansas R+15 Unoccupied 56.5% R Likely R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Colorado D+1 Clint Guerrera 48.2% R Likely D
(Flip)
Likely D
(Flip)
Lean D
(Flip)
Likely D
(Flip)
Tilt D
(Flip)
Georgia R+5 Andrew Gardner 52.9% R Tilt R Lean R Likely R Tilt R Likely R
Iowa R+3 Unoccupied
(retiring)
52.1% R Tossup Lean R Tilt R Tilt R Likely R
Kansas R+13 Kim Dunbar 53.1% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Solid R Safe R
Louisiana R+11 Unoccupied
(retiring)
55.9% R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R
Maine D+3 Agatha Cragin 68.5% R Tossup Tossup Tossup Tilt D
(Flip)
Tossup
Michigan D+1 Unoccupied
(retiring)
54.6% D Lean D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D
Minnesota D+1 Levi Murphy
(retiring)
53.2% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Solid D Likely D
Montana R+11 Unoccupied 57.9% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R
New Hampshire D+1 Christina Wynne
(retiring)
51.5% D Tilt D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tilt D
New Mexico D+3 Unoccupied 55.6% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Solid D Lean D
North Carolina R+3 Unoccupied
(retiring)
48.8% R Tossup Tilt R Tossup Tilt R Lean R
Oregon D+5 Frank Doyle
(retiring)
55.7% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Solid D Safe D
Ohio
(Special)
R+3 Unoccupied
(retiring)
58.0% R Tossup Tilt D
(Flip)
Tossup Tilt R Lean D
(Flip)
Texas R+8 Howard Frankston
(retiring)
61.6% R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R
Virginia D+1 Unoccupied 49.1% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Solid D Lean D
Overall Democratic - 47
Tossup - 6
Republican - 47
Republican - 51
Tossup - 1
Democratic - 48
Republican - 49
Tossup - 4
Democratic - 47
Republican - 51
Tossup - 1
Democratic - 48
Republican - 50
Tossup - 2
Democratic - 48
(Final Results)
District 2017 CPVI Incumbent Previous result Aggregator Tartalek Surveylance Precipice Stuyvesant Goldwater Winner

Alabama

Alabama election

← 2017 (Special)
2026 →
  Martin Heinrich, official portrait, 113th Congress.jpg Elise Stefanik, 115th official photo.jpg
Nominee Gordon Callahan Christina Mudale
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Gordon Callahan
Democratic



Incumbent Democrat, Gordon Callahan was elected in a special in 2017, narrowly defeating the Republican nominee. Callahan is running for election to a full term. Callahan is uncontested for the Democratic nomination.

Former Covington County District Attorney, Christina Mudale is seeking the Republican nomination.

Alaska

Alaska election

← 2014
2026 →
 
Nominee TBD TBD
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Francine Sullivan
Democratic



Incumbent Democrat Senator Francine Sullivan will be running for re-election.

Arkansas

Colorado

Delaware

Georgia

Idaho

Illinois

Illinois (Regular)

Illinois (Regular) election

← 2014
2026 →
 
Nominee TBD TBD
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

(PlaceHolder)
Democratic



Incumbent Democrat

Illinois (Special)

Illinois (Special) election

← 2016
2022 →
 
Nominee TBD TBD
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

(PlaceHolder)
Democratic



One-term Senator Rebekah Sharansky announced on June 28, 2019 her resignation from the United States Senate, effectively immediately following a corruption investigation launched by the Department of Justice. Illinois Governor, (PLACEHOLDER), appointed (PLACEHOLDER) to replace Sharansky until a regular election could be held; (SENATE PLACEHOLDER) took their seat on July 4, 2019 but have not yet stated their intention to run in 2020 for a full term.

Iowa

Iowa election

← 2014
2026 →
 
Nominee TBD TBD
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

(NPC-Republican
Republican



The incumbent Republican has announced they are not running for re-election.

Currently, no Republicans are running, although US Representative John Ruler is widely speculated as a candidate.

One Democrat has announced, being State Senator Simon Hawkins.

Kansas

Kansas election

← 2014
2026 →
  Kimberly Dunbar.jpg
Nominee Kimberly Dunbar TBD
Party Republican Democratic (US)

Incumbent U.S. senator

Kimberly Dunbar
Republican (US)



Senator Dunbar won the republican nomination with no opposition

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine

Maine election

← 2014
2026 →
 
Nominee TBD TBD
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Agatha Cragin
Republican



Incumbent Senator Agatha Cragin is running for re-election. She is being challenged for the Republican nomination by former First Lady and President of the Maine Senate Eliza LeBlanc Wolf.

Robert Pelletier is running for the Democratic nomination.

Maryland (special)

Massachusetts

Massachusetts election

← 2014
2026 →
  Anthony G. Brown official photo.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee John Lynskey Devin Docherty
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Abigail Winthrop
Democratic



Incumbent Democrat Abigail Winthrop lost the Democratic Nomination in the primary at this election.

Former Governor of Massachusetts, John Nathan Lynskey won the Democratic Nomination.

Attorney Devin Docherty (non-player Character) won the Republican Nomination. <graph>{"legends":[],"scales":[{"type":"time","name":"x","domain":{"data":"chart","field":"x"},"zero":false,"range":"width","nice":true},{"clamp":true,"type":"linear","name":"y","domain":{"data":"chart","field":"y"},"domainMin":0,"zero":false,"range":"height","nice":true},{"domain":{"data":"chart","field":"series"},"type":"ordinal","name":"color","range":["#3333ff","#e81b23",""]}],"version":2,"marks":[{"type":"group","marks":[{"properties":{"hover":{"stroke":{"value":"red"}},"update":{"stroke":{"scale":"color","field":"series"}},"enter":{"y":{"scale":"y","field":"y"},"x":{"scale":"x","field":"x"},"stroke":{"scale":"color","field":"series"},"interpolate":{"value":"bundle"},"strokeWidth":{"value":2}}},"type":"line"},{"properties":{"enter":{"y":{"scale":"y","field":"y"},"x":{"scale":"x","field":"x"},"size":{"value":49},"shape":"circle","fill":{"scale":"color","field":"series"}}},"type":"symbol"}],"from":{"data":"chart","transform":[{"groupby":["series"],"type":"facet"}]}}],"height":200,"axes":[{"type":"x","scale":"x","properties":{"title":{"fill":{"value":"#54595d"}},"grid":{"stroke":{"value":"#54595d"}},"ticks":{"stroke":{"value":"#54595d"}},"axis":{"strokeWidth":{"value":2},"stroke":{"value":"#54595d"}},"labels":{"align":{"value":"right"},"angle":{"value":-40},"fill":{"value":"#54595d"}}},"grid":false},{"type":"y","title":"% Support","scale":"y","properties":{"title":{"fill":{"value":"#54595d"}},"grid":{"stroke":{"value":"#54595d"}},"ticks":{"stroke":{"value":"#54595d"}},"axis":{"strokeWidth":{"value":2},"stroke":{"value":"#54595d"}},"labels":{"fill":{"value":"#54595d"}}},"grid":true}],"data":[{"format":{"parse":{"y":"number","x":"date"},"type":"json"},"name":"chart","values":[{"y":48,"series":"y1","x":"2020/01/01"},{"y":49,"series":"y1","x":"2020/01/08"},{"y":48.2,"series":"y1","x":"2020/01/15"},{"y":48.8,"series":"y1","x":"2020/01/22"},{"y":50.2,"series":"y1","x":"2020/01/29"},{"y":50.3,"series":"y1","x":"2020/02/05"},{"y":50.9,"series":"y1","x":"2020/02/12"},{"y":50.4,"series":"y1","x":"2020/02/19"},{"y":49.8,"series":"y1","x":"2020/02/26"},{"y":49.9,"series":"y1","x":"2020/03/04"},{"y":50.8,"series":"y1","x":"2020/03/11"},{"y":50.2,"series":"y1","x":"2020/03/18"},{"y":51.1,"series":"y1","x":"2020/03/25"},{"y":52.2,"series":"y1","x":"2020/04/01"},{"y":51.7,"series":"y1","x":"2020/04/08"},{"y":53.3,"series":"y1","x":"2020/04/15"},{"y":53.9,"series":"y1","x":"2020/04/22"},{"y":53.8,"series":"y1","x":"2020/04/29"},{"y":54.9,"series":"y1","x":"2020/05/04"},{"y":55.2,"series":"y1","x":"2020/05/11"},{"y":56,"series":"y1","x":"2020/05/21"},{"y":20.7,"series":"y2","x":"2020/01/01"},{"y":19.7,"series":"y2","x":"2020/01/08"},{"y":18.8,"series":"y2","x":"2020/01/15"},{"y":18.9,"series":"y2","x":"2020/01/22"},{"y":19.5,"series":"y2","x":"2020/01/29"},{"y":20.8,"series":"y2","x":"2020/02/05"},{"y":20.7,"series":"y2","x":"2020/02/12"},{"y":21.1,"series":"y2","x":"2020/02/19"},{"y":21,"series":"y2","x":"2020/02/26"},{"y":19.9,"series":"y2","x":"2020/03/04"},{"y":21.1,"series":"y2","x":"2020/03/11"},{"y":22.4,"series":"y2","x":"2020/03/18"},{"y":21.9,"series":"y2","x":"2020/03/25"},{"y":22.1,"series":"y2","x":"2020/04/01"},{"y":21.4,"series":"y2","x":"2020/04/08"},{"y":22.7,"series":"y2","x":"2020/04/15"},{"y":20.7,"series":"y2","x":"2020/04/22"},{"y":21.3,"series":"y2","x":"2020/04/29"},{"y":21.5,"series":"y2","x":"2020/05/04"},{"y":21.3,"series":"y2","x":"2020/05/11"},{"y":22.3,"series":"y2","x":"2020/05/21"}]}],"width":550}</graph>

Michigan

Michigan election

← 2014
2026 →
  Mike Gallagher official portrait, 115th congress.jpg
Nominee John Garfield III George Baxton
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

NPC Democrat
Democratic



The Incumbent Democratic Senator announced their retirement in late 2019.

The Democratic nominee is Iraq War Veteran and Congressman for Michigan's 9th District John Garfield III.

The Republican nominee is former St. Clair Mayor and Congressman for Michigan's 10th District George Baxton.

Minnesota

Mississippi

Montana

Nebraska

New Hampshire

New Jersey

New Mexico

North Carolina

Ohio (special)

Oklahoma

Oregon

Rhode Island

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee

Texas

Texas election

← 2014
2026 →
  Angus King, official portrait, 113th Congress (cropped).jpg Paul Ryan official portrait (cropped 3x4).jpg
Nominee Harold Baines Crawford Clay
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Howard Frankston
Republican



Incumbent U.S. Senator from Texas, and Senate Majority Whip, Howard Frankston announced his retirement in October of 2019. His son, Joseph Frankston would go onto lose the primary to Congressman Crawford Clay.

Houston Mayor, Harold Baines won the Democratic Primary.

This election follows the 2019 special election which elected Senator Suraj Shah as Texas' first Democratic Senator since 1993.

Should Harold Baines win the 2020 election, it would mark the first time since 1961 that Texas was represented by two Democrats in the U.S. Senate.

2020 Texas U.S. Senate Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Crawford Clay 999,902 51.7%
Republican Joseph Frankston 934,145 48.3%
Total Votes 1,934,047

Virginia

West Virginia

Wyoming

Notes

  1. 1.0 1.1 Republicans lost the 2019 United States Senate special election in Texas to Democratic candidate Suraj Shah
  2. Democrats need 3 seats for an outright majority or 2 seats and the Vice-Presidency for a majority with the Vice-President's tie-breaking power