2020 Arabin Senate elections: Difference between revisions

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{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center"
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center"


|- style="vertical-align:bottom"
|- style="vertical-align:center"
! colspan=1 | Constituency
! rowspan=2 | State
! colspan=1 | Incumbent
! rowspan=2 | Senator
! colspan=4 | 2020 election ratings
! colspan=6 | 2020 election ratings
 
|- style="vertical-align:center"
|- style="vertical-align:bottom"
! <!--(1)--> Arabin News <br/> Journal <br/> {{small|May 12, 2020}}
! State
! <!--(2)--> Independence <br/> Group <br/> {{small|July 3, 2020}}
! Senator
! <!--(3)--> New Age <br/> Research <br/> {{small|April 15, 2020}}
! March 30, 2020
! <!--(4)--> {{abbr|OPP|Owens Political Predictions}} <br/> {{small|June 29, 2020}}
! April 27, 2020
! <!--(5)--> Political <br/> Forecasting <br/> {{small|June 15, 2020}}
! May 25, 2020
! <!--(6)--> PolitiTrade <br/> {{small|July 1, 2020}}
! June 29, 2020
 
|-
|-
! [[Burberry (Arabi)|Burberry]]
! [[Burberry (Arabi)|Burberry]]
| {{Party shading/Liberal Socialist (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Smith, Poppy" | Poppy Smith
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Smith, Poppy" | Poppy Smith
| {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|LS}}
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|LS}}
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|LS}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|LS}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
|-
|-
! [[Dartmoor (Arabi)|Dartmoor]]
! [[Dartmoor (Arabi)|Dartmoor]]
| {{Party shading/Liberal Socialist (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Carpenter, Henry" | Henry Carpenter
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Carpenter, Henry" | Henry Carpenter
| {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|LS}}
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|LS}}
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|LS}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|LS}}<!--
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
|-
! [[Dellcourt (Arabi)|Dellcourt]]
| {{Party shading/Republican (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Pickering, Spencer" | Spencer Pickering
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
|-
|-
! [[STATE (Arabi)|STATE]]
! [[Lochcoast (Arabi)|Lochcoast]]
| {{Party shading/PARTY Socialist (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="LAST, FIRST" | FIRST LAST
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Fry, Lola" | Lola Fry
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
|-
|-
! [[STATE (Arabi)|STATE]]
! [[New Bristol (Arabi)|New Bristol]]
| {{Party shading/PARTY Socialist (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="LAST, FIRST" | FIRST LAST
| {{Party shading/Republican (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Clegg, Andrew" | Andrew Clegg
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}}
|-
|-
! [[STATE (Arabi)|STATE]]
! [[New Cambridge (Arabi)|New Cambridge]]
| {{Party shading/PARTY Socialist (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="LAST, FIRST" | FIRST LAST
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Kimes, Winnie" | Winnie Kimes
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
|-
|-
! [[STATE (Arabi)|STATE]]
! [[New Plymouth (Arabi)|New Plymouth]]
| {{Party shading/PARTY Socialist (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="LAST, FIRST" | FIRST LAST
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Fuller, Michael" | Michael Fuller
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}}
|-
|-
! [[STATE (Arabi)|STATE]]
! [[Owens (Arabi)|Owens]]
| {{Party shading/PARTY Socialist (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="LAST, FIRST" | FIRST LAST
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Coffman, David" | David Coffman
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
|-
|-
! [[STATE (Arabi)|STATE]]
! [[Saint George (Arabi)|Saint George]]
| {{Party shading/PARTY Socialist (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="LAST, FIRST" | FIRST LAST
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Nichols, Mary" | Mary Nichols
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
|-
|-
! [[STATE (Arabi)|STATE]]
! [[Severn (Arabi)|Severn]]
| {{Party shading/PARTY Socialist (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="LAST, FIRST" | FIRST LAST
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Holmes, Amber" | Amber Holmes
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}}
|-
|-
! [[STATE (Arabi)|STATE]]
! [[Windsor (Arabi)|Windsor]]
| {{Party shading/PARTY Socialist (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="LAST, FIRST" | FIRST LAST
| {{Party shading/Republican (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Orton, Lucien" | Lucien Orton
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|R}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|R}}
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|R}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
 
|-
|-
! [[STATE (Arabi)|STATE]]
 
| {{Party shading/PARTY Socialist (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="LAST, FIRST" | FIRST LAST
! colspan=2 | Overall
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
<!--Coo-->| D - 14<br/>R - 17<br/>1 tossup
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
<!--IE-->| D - 12<br/>R - 19<br/>1 tossup
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
<!--SCB-->| D - 13<br/>R - 16<br/>3 tossups
| {{ArabinRaceRating|POSITION|PARTY}}
<!--DKE-->| D - 13<br/>R - 16<br/>3 tossups
-->
<!--Pol-->| D - 14<br/>R - 16<br/>2 tossups
<!--RCP-->| D - 13<br/>R - 17<br/>2 tossups


|}
|}


== Burberry ==
== Burberry ==

Revision as of 05:37, 5 July 2020

For related races, see 2020 Arabin elections.
2020 Arabin Senate elections
← 2018 December 5, 2020 2022 →
11 of the 32 seats (class 1) in the Arabin Senate
17 seats needed for a majority
  Default female Arabi.jpg Default male Arabi.jpg
Leader Mary Nichols Lucien Orton
Party Liberal Socialist Party (Arabi) Conservative Socialist Party (Arabi)
Leader since January 8, 2017 January 8, 2015
Leader's seat Saint George Windsor
Current seats 18 14
Seats needed Steady Increase 2-3
Seats up 8 3
Arabin Senate elections, 2020.png
     Liberal Socialist senator running
     Conservative Socialist senator running
     Liberal Socialist senator retiring
     Conservative Socialist senator retiring
     No election
Incumbent Majority Leader

Mary Nichols
Liberal Socialist Party (Arabi)



The 2020 Arabin Senate elctions will be held on December 5, 2020, with the 11 class 1 seats of the Senate being contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms starting from January 5, 2021, to January 5, 2027.

Political party changes

Starting January 1, 2021, both the Liberal Socialist Party and Conservative Socialist Party will merge with the Democratic Party and Republican Party respectively. Any member of Congress who is elected to the two major parties (Liberal Socialist & Conservative Socialist) shall be sworn in as Democrats and Republicans on January 5, 2021.

Predictions

State Senator 2020 election ratings
Arabin News
Journal
May 12, 2020 		Independence
Group
July 3, 2020 		New Age
Research
April 15, 2020 		OPP
June 29, 2020 		Political
Forecasting
June 15, 2020 		PolitiTrade
July 1, 2020
Burberry Poppy Smith Lean D Tilt R (flip) Tossup Tilt D Tilt R (flip) Lean D
Dartmoor Henry Carpenter Tossup Lean D Tilt R (flip) Tossup Lean D Lean D
Dellcourt Spencer Pickering Lean R Likely R Likely R Tossup Likely R Lean R
Lochcoast Lola Fry Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Likely D
New Bristol Andrew Clegg Lean R Lean R Tossup Lean R Likely R Likely R
New Cambridge Winnie Kimes Safe D Tilt R (flip) Safe D Tilt D Likely D Tossup
New Plymouth Michael Fuller Tilt R (flip) Likely R (flip) Lean D Likely R (flip) Likely R (flip) Lean R (flip)
Owens David Coffman Tilt R (flip) Lean R (flip) Tossup Tossup Tilt D Tilt R (flip)
Saint George Mary Nichols Tilt R (flip) Tossup Lean R (flip) Lean D Tossup Lean D
Severn Amber Holmes Likely D Likely R (flip) Lean D Tilt R (flip) Tossup Lean R (flip)
Windsor Lucien Orton Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Lean R Tossup
Overall D - 14
R - 17
1 tossup 		D - 12
R - 19
1 tossup 		D - 13
R - 16
3 tossups 		D - 13
R - 16
3 tossups 		D - 14
R - 16
2 tossups 		D - 13
R - 17
2 tossups

Burberry

Dartmoor

Dellcourt

Lochcoast

New Bristol

New Cambridge

New Plymouth

Owens

Saint George

Severn

Windsor

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