2020 Scalizagastian federal election: Difference between revisions

Jump to navigation Jump to search
m (UBI party)
(contesting parties (still wip))
Line 47: Line 47:
| seat_change2 = {{decrease}}49
| seat_change2 = {{decrease}}49
| popular_vote2 =  
| popular_vote2 =  
| percentage2 = 19.8%
| percentage2 = 19.9%
| swing2 = {{decrease}}8.2{{wp|Percentage point|pp}}
| swing2 = {{decrease}}8.1{{wp|Percentage point|pp}}


<!-- GRN -->| image3 = Peter Bevan-Baker.jpg
<!-- GRN -->| image3 = Peter Bevan-Baker.jpg
Line 77: Line 77:
| seat_change4 = {{decrease}}4
| seat_change4 = {{decrease}}4
| popular_vote4 =  
| popular_vote4 =  
| percentage4 = 9.0%
| percentage4 = 8.9%
| swing4 = {{decrease}}0.3{{wp|Percentage point|pp}}
| swing4 = {{decrease}}0.4{{wp|Percentage point|pp}}


<!-- LCA -->| image5 = Tany Yao MLA.JPG
<!-- LCA -->| image5 = Tany Yao MLA.JPG
Line 214: Line 214:


Polls close in electorates at 7:00 PM local time, and results are usually released a few hours later. However, recounts and other unexpected issues have previously caused vote count delays for up to 24 hours.
Polls close in electorates at 7:00 PM local time, and results are usually released a few hours later. However, recounts and other unexpected issues have previously caused vote count delays for up to 24 hours.
==Campaign==
===Political Parties===
In total, 25 parties stood in the election. However, only 10 won seats in Parliament.
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|-
! colspan="2" rowspan="2" style="width:16em;"| Party
! rowspan="2"| Leader
! rowspan="2"| Founded
! rowspan="2"| Ideology
! colspan="2"| 2016 election
|-
! % vote
! Seats
|-
| bgcolor="fe4401" |  || Social Democratic Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="bf2101" |  || Revolutionary Republican Party || Michel Garon || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="3D9B35" |  || Green Party || Thomas Smith || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="094174" |  || New Scalizagasti Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="f1c232" |  || Liberal-Conservative Alliance || Moe Trellos || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="e80075" |  || Labour and Socialist Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="fe4401" |  || Patriotic Defense Movement || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="327215" |  || Progressive People's Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="20124d" |  || Aulden Democratic Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="E0AB76" |  || Sontalirdenna || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="e8a156" |  || Reform Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="9335b6" |  || Pirate Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="ff36ff" |  || Birthday Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="9cda41" |  || Ecologist Party of Scalizagasti || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="26c6a8" |  || Holispet First || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="b4cccf" |  || Islander Independence Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="e5e647" |  || Citizen's Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="9d6124" |  || Animal Right's Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="eb0000" |  || Communist Party of Scalizagasti || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="e0c600" |  || Liahuan Heavenly Sutai Faith Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="35b5cc" |  || Universal Basic Income Now || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="000150" |  || Imperial Restoration Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="da0084" |  || Scalizagasti Feminist Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="fcb3b3" |  || Vegan and Vegetarian Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
| bgcolor="eda21f" |  || The Family Party || [[Sarah Millard]] || TBD ||x|| style="text-align:right;" | 26.5 || style="text-align:right;"| 154
|-
|}
===CAVID-19 Response===
===Leaders' Debate===
===RRP Derogatory Remarks===


==Results==
==Results==
Line 232: Line 308:
| bgcolor="fe4401" |  || align="left" |Social Democratic Party (SDP)||42.1||+15.6||154||+77
| bgcolor="fe4401" |  || align="left" |Social Democratic Party (SDP)||42.1||+15.6||154||+77
|-
|-
| bgcolor="bf2101" |  || align="left" |Revolutionary Republican Party (RRP)||19.8||-8.2||111||-49
| bgcolor="bf2101" |  || align="left" |Revolutionary Republican Party (RRP)||19.9||-8.1||111||-49
|-
|-
| bgcolor="3D9B35" |  || align="left" |Green Party (GRN)||10.1||-3.9||60||-23
| bgcolor="3D9B35" |  || align="left" |Green Party (GRN)||10.1||-3.9||60||-23
|-
|-
| bgcolor="094174" |  || align="left" |New Scalizagasti Party (NSP)||9.0||-0.3||50||-4
| bgcolor="094174" |  || align="left" |New Scalizagasti Party (NSP)||8.9||-0.4||50||-4
|-
|-
| bgcolor="f1c232" |  || align="left" |Liberal-Conservative Alliance (LCA)||4.7||-0.6||19||-2
| bgcolor="f1c232" |  || align="left" |Liberal-Conservative Alliance (LCA)||4.7||-0.6||19||-2

Revision as of 22:50, 12 August 2020

2020 Scalizagastian federal election

← 2016 August 22, 2020

All 516 seats in the Parliament of Scalizagasti
260 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
  Pernille Skipper (cropped).jpg Paul Martin.jpg Peter Bevan-Baker.jpg
Leader Sarah Millard Michel Garon Thomas Smith
Party Social Democratic Party Revolutionary Republican Party Green Party of Scalizagasti
Leader since 26 January 2015 21 December 2015 3 November 2007
Leader's seat Bewundal East Maldati South Torlu
Last election 154 seats, 26.5% 160 seats, 28.0% 83 seats, 14.0%
Seats before 154 160 83
Seats won 231 111 60
Seat change Increase77 Decrease49 Decrease23
Percentage 42.1% 19.9% 10.1%
Swing Increase15.6pp Decrease8.1pp Decrease3.9pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Jan Szyszko.JPG Tany Yao MLA.JPG Margot Wallström.jpg
Leader Les Erlosto Moe Trellos Ester Nortust
Party New Scalizagasti Party Liberal-Conservative Alliance Labour and Socialist Party
Leader since 16 September 2018 8 August 2017 1 June 2010
Leader's seat Jurein North Islander Group Outer Blicamy
Last election 54 seats, 9.3% 21 seats, 5.3% 20 seats, 4.2%
Seats before 54 21 20
Seats won 50 19 17
Seat change Decrease4 Decrease2 Decrease3
Percentage 8.9% 4.7% 3.3%
Swing Decrease0.4pp Decrease0.6pp Decrease0.9pp

  Seventh party Eighth party Ninth party
  Maxime Bernier (cropped).jpg Guy-Caron-Crop-March-27-2017.jpg Markus Söder MSC 2019 (cropped).jpg
Leader Steve Pertillo Guy Manderson Curtis Soeder
Party Patriotic Defense Movement Progressive People's Party Aulden Democratic Party
Leader since 18 March 2015 9 June 2012 19 January 2008
Leader's seat Palgaroca Interior
(lost re-election)
Saroya Region Badger Valley
Last election 14 seats, 3.6% 6 seats, 2.3% 3 seats, 2.1%
Seats before 14 6 3
Seats won 14 8 5
Seat change Steady0 Increase2 Increase2
Percentage 3.5% 2.4% 1.8%
Swing Decrease0.1pp Increase0.1pp Decrease0.3pp

Prime Minister before election

Sarah Millard
SDP

Prime Minister after election

Sarah Millard
SDP

The 2020 Scalizagastian federal election was held on August 22, 2020, to elect 516 members of the Parliament of Scalizagasti. Prior to the election, the Social Democratic Party (SDP), led by Prime Minister Sarah Millard, governed Scalizagasti in a coalition with the Greens, Labour and Socialist Party (LSP), and the Progressive People's Party (PPP). It was the second election for Millard as SDP leader and first election as the incumbent Prime Minister.

With 42.1% of the popular vote and 231 seats, the SDP won one of the largest parliamentary victories in Scalizagastian history. Up 77 seats from 2016, Prime Minister Millard formed government with a SDP-Green coalition, no longer needing the LSP and PPP as they did previously. The large gains by the SDP mostly came at the expense of the Revolutionary Republican Party (RRP) and Greens, dropping by 8 and 4 points of support respectively. The RRP dropped to second place with 111 seats and the Greens remained third with 60 seats. With exception to the SDP and PPP, every party dropped in support, although marginal regional gains allowed the Aulden Democratic Party (ADP) to pick up 2 additional seats. All ten parties which had a presence after the 2016 election returned to Parliament.

Background

Following the 2016 federal election, the SDP managed to form a governing coalition with the Greens, LSP, and PPP, despite only winning 154 seats to the RRP's 160. The 2016 election gave the left-wing parties (SDP, Greens, and LSP) a large enough seat share to govern with support from the agrarian centrist Progressives. As the largest party, the RRP was given the first opportunity to negotiate a coalition, but the SDP-Green-LSP-PPP coalition presented their agreement in the middle of coalition talks, forcing the President to recall Parliament before the RRP had finished their negotiations.

The 2016 election also led to the collapse of Scalizagasti's right-wing parties. The New Scalizagasti Party (NSP), Liberal-Conservative Alliance (LCA), and Patriotic Defense Movement (PDM) all suffered severe defeats from earlier elections, where they managed to consistently form government for over a decade. Anger over austerity measures enacted by the conservative government led to success for the centrist RRP, centre-left SDP, and left-wing Greens.

The NSP and LCA were the only parties to switch leaders between the elections. Moe Trellos, a former Garor City councillor, was elected as leader of the LCA on 8 August 2017. Les Erlosto, MP for Jurein North, was elected as leader of the NSP on 16 September 2018.

During the 2020 CAVID-19 outbreak in the Great Experiment, the SDP's quick and effective response boosted their popularity, eventually skyrocketing them to over 50% support. Prime Minister Millard enjoyed a net personal popularity rate of +58 points (76 positive/18 negative/6 no opinion). Ultimately, the Rally 'round the flag effect created by the CAVID-19 pandemic allowed the SDP to gain immense support during the election.

Electoral System

The 516 members of Parliament are elected by open party-list proportional representation in multi-member constituencies. Seats are allocated using the Sainte-Laguë method, with a 3% threshold for parties and a 1.5% threshold for independents.

480 seats are elected in 46 geographical electoral districts, ranging anywhere from 5 to 19 seats per electorate. The other 36 seats are elected through a national list, where each of Scalizagasti's six recognized ethnic groups (officially documented in the census) vote for 6 seats each. If a party wins 260 or more seats, they can govern without forming any coalition. However, this is incredibly rare due to Scalizagasti's proportional electoral system adopted in the early 20th century.

Changes from 2016

As part of the coalition demands by the Green Party, numerous reforms were undertaken in preparation for the 2020 election. Most notably, the voting age was lowered from 18 to 16 years of age. Permanent residents were also given the right to vote, given that they lived in Scalizagasti for at least five years. Minor parties (those with fewer than 16 seats in Parliament) and any extraparliamentary party which earned at least 2% of the vote were allocated 1.5 hours of free advertising on Scalizagasti National Media Corporation. Previously, only major parties were granted free advertising space equalling 3 hours each.

Election Date

The date of the election, 13 August 2020, was set by President Paul Kruig following the dissolution of Parliament.

Unless an early election is called by the government or no government can be formed following the failure of a confidence vote, a general election is held every four years. The last election was held on 22 August 2016. According to the 2000 Election Law, unless an early election is called, the general election must be held in August.

Polls close in electorates at 7:00 PM local time, and results are usually released a few hours later. However, recounts and other unexpected issues have previously caused vote count delays for up to 24 hours.

Campaign

Political Parties

In total, 25 parties stood in the election. However, only 10 won seats in Parliament.

Party Leader Founded Ideology 2016 election
% vote Seats
Social Democratic Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Revolutionary Republican Party Michel Garon TBD x 26.5 154
Green Party Thomas Smith TBD x 26.5 154
New Scalizagasti Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Liberal-Conservative Alliance Moe Trellos TBD x 26.5 154
Labour and Socialist Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Patriotic Defense Movement Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Progressive People's Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Aulden Democratic Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Sontalirdenna Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Reform Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Pirate Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Birthday Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Ecologist Party of Scalizagasti Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Holispet First Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Islander Independence Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Citizen's Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Animal Right's Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Communist Party of Scalizagasti Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Liahuan Heavenly Sutai Faith Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Universal Basic Income Now Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Imperial Restoration Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Scalizagasti Feminist Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
Vegan and Vegetarian Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154
The Family Party Sarah Millard TBD x 26.5 154


CAVID-19 Response

Leaders' Debate

RRP Derogatory Remarks

Results

WIP

Scalizagasti Parliament 2020.svg
Party Popular Vote Seats
% Change Total Change
Social Democratic Party (SDP) 42.1 +15.6 154 +77
Revolutionary Republican Party (RRP) 19.9 -8.1 111 -49
Green Party (GRN) 10.1 -3.9 60 -23
New Scalizagasti Party (NSP) 8.9 -0.4 50 -4
Liberal-Conservative Alliance (LCA) 4.7 -0.6 19 -2
Labour and Socialist Party (LSP) 3.3 -0.9 17 -3
Patriotic Defense Movement (PDM) 3.5 -0.1 14 0
Progressive People's Party (PPP) 2.4 +0.1 8 +2
Aulden Democratic Party (ADP) 1.8 -0.3 5 +2
Sontalirdenna (SON) 0.3 -0.1 1 0
Others 3.1 -0.9 0 0
Reform Party (REF) - - - -
Pirate Party (PIR) - - - -
Birthday Party (BIRP) - - - -
Ecologist Party of Scalizagasti (EPS) - - - -
Holispet First (HSF) - - - -
Islander Independence Party (IIP) - - - -
Citizen's Party (CIT) - - - -
Animal Rights Party (ARP) - - - -
Communist Party of Scalizagasti (CPS) - - - -
Liahuan Heavenly Sutai Faith Party (LHSFP) - - - -
Universal Basic Income Now (UBI) - - - -
Imperial Restoration Party (IRP) - - - -
Scalizagastian Feminist Party (SFP) - - - -
Vegan and Vegetarian Party (VVP) - - - -
The Family Party (FAM) - - - -
Independents - - - -
Total 100 516

Aftermath

WIP