2020 Arabin Senate elections: Difference between revisions

Jump to navigation Jump to search
No edit summary
 
(14 intermediate revisions by the same user not shown)
Line 5: Line 5:
  | flag_year          =  
  | flag_year          =  
  | type              = legislative
  | type              = legislative
  | ongoing            = yes
  | ongoing            = no
  | previous_election  = 2018 Arabin Senate elections
  | previous_election  = 2018 Arabin Senate elections
  | previous_year      = 2018
  | previous_year      = 2018
Line 22: Line 22:
  | leader_since1      = January 8, 2017
  | leader_since1      = January 8, 2017
  | leaders_seat1      = [[Saint George (Arabi)|Saint George]]
  | leaders_seat1      = [[Saint George (Arabi)|Saint George]]
  | seats_before1      = 18
  | seats_before1      = '''18'''
  | 1data1            = 8
  | seats_after1      = '''17'''
  | seats_needed1      = {{steady}}
  | seat_change1      = {{decrease}} 1
| 1data1            = '''8'''
| 2data1            = '''7'''
   
   
  | party2            = Republican Party (Arabi)
  | party2            = Republican Party (Arabi)
Line 32: Line 34:
  | leaders_seat2      = [[Windsor (Arabi)|Windsor]]
  | leaders_seat2      = [[Windsor (Arabi)|Windsor]]
  | seats_before2      = 14
  | seats_before2      = 14
| seats_after2      = 15
| seat_change2      = {{increase}} 1
  | 1data2            = 3
  | 1data2            = 3
  | seats_needed2      = {{increase}} 2-3
  | 2data2            = 4
   
   


  | map_image          = [[File:Arabin Senate elections, 2020.png|512x317px]]
  | map_image          = [[File:Arabin Senate elections, 2020.png|512x317px]]
  | map_size          = 320px
  | map_size          = 320px
  | map_caption        = {{legend0|#BECCF1|Democratic senator running}}<br>{{legend0|#FDE7AC|Republican senator running}}<br/>{{legend0|#2A52BE|Democratic senator retiring}}<br/>{{legend0|#d3d3d3|No election}}
  | map_caption        = {{legend0|#BECCF1|Democratic hold}}<br/>{{legend0|#FDE7AC|Republican hold}}<br/>{{legend0|#FACB4C|Republican gain}}<br/>{{legend0|#d3d3d3|No election}}
  | title              = Majority Leader
  | title              = Majority Leader
  | before_election    = Mary Nichols
  | before_election    = Mary Nichols
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | after_election    = TBD
  | after_election    = Mary Nichols
  | after_party        = TBD
  | after_party        = Democratic Party (Arabi)
}}
}}


The '''2020 Arabin Senate elctions''' will be held on December 5, 2020, with the 11 class 1 seats of the [[Arabin Senate|Senate]] being contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms starting from January 5, 2021, to January 5, 2027.
The '''2020 Arabin Senate elctions''' were held on December 5, 2020, with the 11 class 1 seats of the [[Arabin Senate|Senate]] being contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms starting from January 5, 2021, to January 5, 2027.


== Predictions ==
== Predictions ==
Line 68: Line 72:
! <!--(3)--> New Age <br/> Research <br/> {{small|August 3, 2020}}  
! <!--(3)--> New Age <br/> Research <br/> {{small|August 3, 2020}}  
! <!--(4)--> {{abbr|OPP|Owens Political Predictions}} <br/> {{small|June 29, 2020}}
! <!--(4)--> {{abbr|OPP|Owens Political Predictions}} <br/> {{small|June 29, 2020}}
! <!--(5)--> Political <br/> Forecasting <br/> {{small|June 15, 2020}}
! <!--(5)--> Political <br/> Forecasting <br/> {{small|August 28, 2020}}
! <!--(6)--> PolitiTrade <br/> {{small|July 1, 2020}}
! <!--(6)--> PolitiTrade <br/> {{small|July 1, 2020}}
|-
|-
Line 77: Line 81:
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
|-
|-
Line 86: Line 90:
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
|-
|-
Line 95: Line 99:
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D|flip}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D|flip}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
|-
|-
Line 104: Line 108:
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
|-
|-
Line 113: Line 117:
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|R}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}}
|-
|-
Line 122: Line 126:
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
|-
|-
Line 131: Line 135:
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}}
|-
|-
Line 140: Line 144:
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
|-
|-
Line 149: Line 153:
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}}
|-
|-
Line 158: Line 162:
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}}
|-
|-
Line 167: Line 171:
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}}
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|R}}
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|R}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}}
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}}


Line 177: Line 181:
<!--NAR-->| D - 16<br/>R - 16<br/>0 tossups
<!--NAR-->| D - 16<br/>R - 16<br/>0 tossups
<!--OPP-->| D - 13<br/>R - 16<br/>3 tossups
<!--OPP-->| D - 13<br/>R - 16<br/>3 tossups
<!--PF-->| D - 14<br/>R - 16<br/>2 tossups
<!--PF-->| D - 17<br/>R - 15<br/>0 tossups
<!--PT-->| D - 13<br/>R - 17<br/>2 tossups
<!--PT-->| D - 13<br/>R - 17<br/>2 tossups


Line 227: Line 231:
| [[Owens (Arabi)|Owens]]
| [[Owens (Arabi)|Owens]]
| March 13, 2020
| March 13, 2020
| '''August 29, 2020'''
| August 29, 2020
|-
|-
| [[Saint George (Arabi)|Saint George]]
| [[Saint George (Arabi)|Saint George]]
Line 235: Line 239:
| [[Severn (Arabi)|Severn]]
| [[Severn (Arabi)|Severn]]
| April 16, 2020
| April 16, 2020
| '''September 12, 2020'''
| September 12, 2020
|-
|-
| [[Windsor (Arabi)|Windsor]]
| [[Windsor (Arabi)|Windsor]]
Line 247: Line 251:
  | country            =  
  | country            =  
  | type              = presidential
  | type              = presidential
  | ongoing            = yes
  | ongoing            = no
  | previous_election  = 2016 Arabin Senate election in Burberry
  | previous_election  = 2016 Arabin Senate election in Burberry
  | previous_year      = 2016  
  | previous_year      = 2016  
Line 255: Line 259:
  | image_size        =  
  | image_size        =  
  | image1            = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | image1            = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | nominee1          = Poppy Smith
  | nominee1          = '''Poppy Smith'''
  | party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | popular_vote1      =  
  | popular_vote1      =  
Line 267: Line 271:
  | before_election    = Poppy Smith
  | before_election    = Poppy Smith
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| after_election    = Poppy Smith
| after_party        = Democratic Party (Arabi)
}}
}}


Line 279: Line 285:
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Poppy Smith {{small|{{wp|incumbent}}}}
| candidate = Poppy Smith {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}}
| votes = 211114
| votes = 211114
| percentage = 49.63%
| percentage = 49.63%
Line 345: Line 351:
  | country            =  
  | country            =  
  | type              = presidential
  | type              = presidential
  | ongoing            = yes
  | ongoing            = no
  | previous_election  =  
  | previous_election  =  
  | previous_year      = 2016  
  | previous_year      = 2016  
Line 353: Line 359:
  | image_size        =  
  | image_size        =  
  | image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | nominee1          = Henry Carpenter
  | nominee1          = '''Henry Carpenter'''
  | party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | popular_vote1      =  
  | popular_vote1      =  
Line 365: Line 371:
  | before_election    = Henry Carpenter
  | before_election    = Henry Carpenter
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| after_election    = Henry Carpenter
| after_party        = Democratic Party (Arabi)
}}
}}


Line 377: Line 385:
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Henry Carpenter {{small|{{wp|(incumbent)}}}}
| candidate = Henry Carpenter {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}}
| votes = 294787
| votes = 294787
| percentage = 79.17%
| percentage = 79.17%
Line 422: Line 430:
  | country            =  
  | country            =  
  | type              = presidential
  | type              = presidential
  | ongoing            = yes
  | ongoing            = no
  | previous_election  =  
  | previous_election  =  
  | previous_year      = 2018  
  | previous_year      = 2018  
Line 430: Line 438:
  | image_size        =  
  | image_size        =  
  | image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]  
  | image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]  
  | nominee1          = Spencer Pickering
  | nominee1          = '''Spencer Pickering'''
  | party1            = Republican Party (Arabi)
  | party1            = Republican Party (Arabi)
  | popular_vote1      =  
  | popular_vote1      =  
Line 442: Line 450:
  | before_election    = Spencer Pickering
  | before_election    = Spencer Pickering
  | before_party      = Republican Party (Arabi)
  | before_party      = Republican Party (Arabi)
| after_election    = Spencer Pickering
| after_party        = Republican Party (Arabi)
}}
}}


Line 455: Line 465:
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Spencer Pickering {{small|{{wp|incumbent}}}}
| candidate = Spencer Pickering {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}}
| votes = 99967
| votes = 99967
| percentage = 73.38%
| percentage = 73.38%
Line 526: Line 536:
  | country            =  
  | country            =  
  | type              = presidential
  | type              = presidential
  | ongoing            = yes
  | ongoing            = no
  | previous_election  = 2016 Arabin Senate election in STATE
  | previous_election  = 2016 Arabin Senate election in STATE
  | previous_year      = 2016  
  | previous_year      = 2016  
Line 534: Line 544:
  | image_size        =  
  | image_size        =  
  | image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | nominee1          = Michael Sykes
  | nominee1          = '''Michael Sykes'''
  | party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | popular_vote1      =  
  | popular_vote1      =  
Line 546: Line 556:
  | before_election    = Lola Fry
  | before_election    = Lola Fry
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| after_election    = Michael Sykes
| after_party        = Democratic Party (Arabi)
}}
}}


Line 628: Line 640:
  | country            =  
  | country            =  
  | type              = presidential
  | type              = presidential
  | ongoing            = yes
  | ongoing            = no
  | previous_election  = 2016 Arabin Senate election in STATE
  | previous_election  = 2016 Arabin Senate election in STATE
  | previous_year      = 2016  
  | previous_year      = 2016  
Line 636: Line 648:
  | image_size        =  
  | image_size        =  
  | image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | nominee1          = Andrew Clegg
  | nominee1          = '''Andrew Clegg'''
  | party1            = Republican Party (Arabi)
  | party1            = Republican Party (Arabi)
  | popular_vote1      =  
  | popular_vote1      =  
Line 648: Line 660:
  | before_election    = Andrew Clegg
  | before_election    = Andrew Clegg
  | before_party      = Republican Party (Arabi)
  | before_party      = Republican Party (Arabi)
| after_election    = Andrew Clegg
| after_party        = Republican Party (Arabi)
}}
}}


Line 659: Line 673:
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Andrew Clegg {{small|{{wp|(incumbent)}}}}
| candidate = Andrew Clegg {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}}
| votes = 815997
| votes = 815997
| percentage = 87.78%
| percentage = 87.78%
Line 724: Line 738:
  | country            =  
  | country            =  
  | type              = presidential
  | type              = presidential
  | ongoing            = yes
  | ongoing            = no
  | previous_election  = 2016 Arabin Senate election in STATE
  | previous_election  = 2016 Arabin Senate election in STATE
  | previous_year      = 2016  
  | previous_year      = 2016  
Line 732: Line 746:
  | image_size        =  
  | image_size        =  
  | image1            = [[File:John Freeman IV - Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | image1            = [[File:John Freeman IV - Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | nominee1          = [[John Freeman IV (Arabi)|John Freeman IV]]
  | nominee1          = '''[[John Freeman IV (Arabi)|John Freeman IV]]'''
  | party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | popular_vote1      =  
  | popular_vote1      =  
Line 744: Line 758:
  | before_election    = Winnie Kimes
  | before_election    = Winnie Kimes
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| after_election    = [[John Freeman IV (Arabi)|John Freeman IV]]
| after_party        = Democratic Party (Arabi)
}}
}}


Line 763: Line 779:
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Winnie Kimes {{small|{{wp|(incumbent)}}}}
| candidate = Winnie Kimes {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}}
| votes = 2115720
| votes = 2115720
| percentage = 49.99%
| percentage = 49.99%
Line 798: Line 814:
  | country            =  
  | country            =  
  | type              = presidential
  | type              = presidential
  | ongoing            = yes
  | ongoing            = no
  | previous_election  = 2018 Arabin Senate election in STATE
  | previous_election  = 2018 Arabin Senate election in STATE
  | previous_year      = 2018  
  | previous_year      = 2018  
Line 806: Line 822:
  | image_size        =  
  | image_size        =  
  | image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | nominee1          = Michael Fuller
  | nominee1          = '''Michael Fuller'''
  | party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | popular_vote1      =  
  | popular_vote1      =  
Line 818: Line 834:
  | before_election    = Michael Fuller
  | before_election    = Michael Fuller
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| after_election    = Michael Fuller
| after_party        = Democratic Party (Arabi)
}}
}}


Line 829: Line 847:
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Michael Fuller {{small|{{wp|(incumbent)}}}}
| candidate = Michael Fuller {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}}
| votes = 394152
| votes = 394152
| percentage = 100.00%
| percentage = 100.00%
Line 878: Line 896:


== Owens ==
== Owens ==
[[Owens (Arabi)|Owens]] statewide primary election is scheduled to take place on August 29, 2020.
{{Infobox election
| election_name      = Owens election
| country            =
| type              = presidential
| ongoing            = no
| previous_election  = 2016 Arabin Senate election in STATE
| previous_year      = 2016
| next_election      = 2022 Arabin Senate election in STATE
| next_year          = 2022
| election_date      = December 5, 2020
| image_size        =
| image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
| nominee1          = '''David Coffman'''
| party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| popular_vote1      =
| percentage1        =
| image2            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
| nominee2          = Dwight Richman
| party2            = Republican Party (Arabi)
| popular_vote2      =
| percentage2        =
| title              = Arabin Senator
| before_election    = David Coffman
| before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| after_election    = David Coffman
| after_party        = Democratic Party (Arabi)
}}
 
Incumbent Democrat David Coffman was elected as a [[Liberal Socialist Party (Arabi)|Liberal Socialist]] in 2002. He is running for his fourth term. The primary election in Owens was on August 29, 2020. Incumbent David Coffman (D) and Dwight Richman (R) won their respective party primaries.
 
=== Primary results ===
{{Election box begin no change
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}}
}}
 
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| candidate = David Coffman {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}}
| votes = 786289
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
 
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 786289
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
 
{{Election box end}}
{{Election box begin no change
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}}
}}
 
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Dwight Richman
| votes = 511004
| percentage = 51.37%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| candidate = John Ware
| votes = 214744
| percentage = 21.59%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Joanne Pippin
| votes = 99,201
| percentage = 9.98%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Adam Winter
| votes = 93166
| percentage = 9.36%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Kate Connor
| votes = 76652
| percentage = 7.70%
}}
 
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 994767
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
 
{{Election box end}}


== Saint George ==
== Saint George ==
Line 885: Line 991:
  | country            =  
  | country            =  
  | type              = presidential
  | type              = presidential
  | ongoing            = yes
  | ongoing            = no
  | previous_election  = 2018 Arabin Senate election in STATE
  | previous_election  = 2018 Arabin Senate election in STATE
  | previous_year      = 2018  
  | previous_year      = 2018  
Line 893: Line 999:
  | image_size        =  
  | image_size        =  
  | image1            = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | image1            = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | nominee1          = Mary Nichols
  | nominee1          = '''Mary Nichols'''
  | party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | party1            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | popular_vote1      =  
  | popular_vote1      =  
Line 905: Line 1,011:
  | before_election    = Mary Nichols
  | before_election    = Mary Nichols
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
  | before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| after_election    = Mary Nichols
| after_party        = Democratic Party (Arabi)
}}
}}


Line 918: Line 1,026:
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Mary Nichols {{small|{{wp|(incumbent)}}}}
| candidate = Mary Nichols {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}}
| votes = 277518
| votes = 277518
| percentage = 100.00%
| percentage = 100.00%
Line 961: Line 1,069:


== Severn ==
== Severn ==
[[Severn (Arabi)|Severn]]'s statewide primary election is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2020.
{{Infobox election
| election_name      = Severn election
| country            =
| type              = presidential
| ongoing            = no
| previous_election  = 2018 Arabin Senate election in Severn
| previous_year      = 2018
| next_election      = 2024 Arabin Senate election in Severn
| next_year          = 2024
| election_date      = December 5, 2020
| image_size        =
| image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
| nominee1          = '''Luca Doyle'''
| party1            = Republican Party (Arabi)
| popular_vote1      =
| percentage1        =
| image2            = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]]
| nominee2          = Amber Holmes
| party2            = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| popular_vote2      =
| percentage2        =
| title              = Arabin Senator
| before_election    = Amber Holmes
| before_party      = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| after_election    = Luca Doyle
| after_party        = Republican Party (Arabi)
}}
 
Incumbent Democrat Amber Holmes was elected as a [[Liberal Socialist Party (Arabi)|Liberal Socialist]] in 2002. She is running for her fourth term. The primary election in Severn was September 12, 2020. Incumbent Amber Holmes (D) and Luca Doyle (R) won their respective primaries.
 
=== Primary results ===
 
{{Election box begin no change
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Amber Holmes {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}}
| votes = 184294
| percentage = 71.32%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Ryan Herbert
| votes = 74116
| percentage = 28.68%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 258410
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
 
{{Election box begin no change
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}}
}}
 
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Luca Doyle
| votes = 152414
| percentage = 30.62%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Julia Durso
| votes = 133346
| percentage = 26.79%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| candidate = James Ross
| votes = 112547
| percentage = 22.60%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Emmanuel King
| votes = 99555
| percentage = 19.99%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 497862
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}


== Windsor ==
== Windsor ==
Line 968: Line 1,161:
  | country            =  
  | country            =  
  | type              = presidential
  | type              = presidential
  | ongoing            = yes
  | ongoing            = no
  | previous_election  = 2018 Arabin Senate election in Windsor
  | previous_election  = 2018 Arabin Senate election in Windsor
  | previous_year      = 2018  
  | previous_year      = 2018  
Line 976: Line 1,169:
  | image_size        =  
  | image_size        =  
  | image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | image1            = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]]
  | nominee1          = Lucien Orton
  | nominee1          = '''Lucien Orton'''
  | party1            = Republican Party (Arabi)
  | party1            = Republican Party (Arabi)
  | popular_vote1      =  
  | popular_vote1      =  
Line 988: Line 1,181:
  | before_election    = Lucien Orton
  | before_election    = Lucien Orton
  | before_party      = Republican Party (Arabi)
  | before_party      = Republican Party (Arabi)
| after_election    = Lucien Orton
| after_party        = Republican Party (Arabi)
}}
}}


Line 1,001: Line 1,196:
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| party = Republican Party (Arabi)
| candidate = Lucien Orton {{small|{{wp|(incumbent)}}}}
| candidate = Lucien Orton {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}}
| votes = 199201
| votes = 199201
| percentage = 71.81%
| percentage = 71.81%

Latest revision as of 10:45, 4 February 2021

For related races, see 2020 Arabin elections.
2020 Arabin Senate elections
← 2018 December 5, 2020 2022 →
11 of the 32 seats (class 1) in the Arabin Senate
17 seats needed for a majority
  Majority party Minority party
  Default female Arabi.jpg Default male Arabi.jpg
Leader Mary Nichols Lucien Orton
Party Democratic Party (Arabi) Republican Party (Arabi)
Leader since January 8, 2017 January 8, 2015
Leader's seat Saint George Windsor
Seats before 18 14
Seats after 17 15
Seat change Decrease 1 Increase 1
Seats up 8 3
Races won 7 4
Arabin Senate elections, 2020.png
     Democratic hold
     Republican hold
     Republican gain
     No election
Majority Leader before election

Mary Nichols
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Elected Majority Leader

Mary Nichols
Democratic Party (Arabi)

The 2020 Arabin Senate elctions were held on December 5, 2020, with the 11 class 1 seats of the Senate being contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms starting from January 5, 2021, to January 5, 2027.

Predictions

Listed below are predictions by six organizations that regularly researches polling data.

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely"": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe"": near-certain chance of victory
State Senator 2020 election ratings
Arabin News
Journal
August 14, 2020 		Independence
Group
July 3, 2020 		New Age
Research
August 3, 2020 		OPP
June 29, 2020 		Political
Forecasting
August 28, 2020 		PolitiTrade
July 1, 2020
Burberry Poppy Smith Likely D Tilt R (flip) Likely R (flip) Tilt D Lean D Lean D
Dartmoor Henry Carpenter Tilt D Lean D Likely R (flip) Tossup Likely D Lean D
Dellcourt Spencer Pickering Lean D (flip) Likely R Lean D (flip) Tossup Lean R Lean R
Lochcoast Lola Fry Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D
New Bristol Andrew Clegg Likely R Lean R Lean R Lean R Safe R Likely R
New Cambridge Winnie Kimes Safe D Likely D Safe D Tilt D Safe D Tossup
New Plymouth Michael Fuller Lean R (flip) Likely R (flip) Likely D Likely R (flip) Safe D Lean R (flip)
Owens David Coffman Tossup Lean R (flip) Likely R (flip) Tossup Lean D Tilt R (flip)
Saint George Mary Nichols Tossup Tossup Lean D Lean D Tilt D Lean D
Severn Amber Holmes Lean D Likely R (flip) Likely D Tilt R (flip) Tilt R (flip) Lean R (flip)
Windsor Lucien Orton Safe R Likely R Likely R Safe R Tilt R Tossup
Overall D - 16
R - 14
2 tossup 		D - 13
R - 18
1 tossup 		D - 16
R - 16
0 tossups 		D - 13
R - 16
3 tossups 		D - 17
R - 15
0 tossups 		D - 13
R - 17
2 tossups

Election dates

Bold indicates a future date.

State Filing deadline for
major party candidates 		Primary
election 		General
election 		Poll closing
Burberry January 1, 2020 June 20, 2020 December 5, 2020
7:00pm
AST
Dartmoor December 6, 2019 May 2, 2020
Dellcourt January 29, 2020 July 11, 2020
Lochcoast February 7, 2020 August 1, 2020
New Bristol November 11, 2019 March 28, 2020
New Cambridge November 27, 2019 April 4, 2020
New Plymouth January 29, 2020 July 4, 2020
Owens March 13, 2020 August 29, 2020
Saint George December 23, 2019 May 9, 2020
Severn April 16, 2020 September 12, 2020
Windsor March 24, 2020 August 1, 2020

Burberry

Burberry election
← 2016 December 5, 2020 2022 →
  Default female Arabi.jpg Default female Arabi.jpg
Nominee Poppy Smith Christina Tyson
Party Democratic Party (Arabi) Republican Party (Arabi)
Arabin Senator before election

Poppy Smith
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Elected Arabin Senator

Poppy Smith
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Incumbent Democrat Poppy Smith was first elected in 2008, defeating incumbent Maureen Rivera. Smith is running for her third term.

On June 20, 2020, Smith won the nomination for the Democratic Party while Representative from Burberry's 2nd district, Christina Tyson won the nomination for the Republican Party.

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Poppy Smith (incumbent) 211,114 49.63%
Democratic Robert Wells 114,215 26.86%
Democratic Martha Gawlik 100,001 23.51%
Total votes 425,330 100.00%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christina Tyson 134,916 29.52%
Republican Lyle Nelson 103,301 22.60%
Republican Anna Gillis 81,109 17.75%
Republican Matthew Wells 77,746 17.02%
Republican Jessica Wodsworth 59,927 13.11%
Total votes 456,999 100.00%

Dartmoor

Dartmoor election
← 2016 December 5, 2020 2022 →
  Default male Arabi.jpg Default male Arabi.jpg
Nominee Henry Carpenter Nelson Walls
Party Democratic Party (Arabi) Republican Party (Arabi)
Arabin Senator before election

Henry Carpenter
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Elected Arabin Senator

Henry Carpenter
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Incumbent Democrat Henry Carpenter was first elected in 2008, defeating incumbent Robert Ferguson. Carpenter is running for his third term.

On May 2, 2020, Carpenter won the nomination for the Democratic Party while former governor of Dartmoor, Nelson Walls, won the nomination for the Republican Party.

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Henry Carpenter (incumbent) 294,787 79.17%
Democratic John Higgins 77,518 20.83%
Total votes 372,305 100.00%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Nelson Walls 121,415 60.09%
Republican Ursula Winters 80,652 39.91%
Total votes 202,067 100.00%

Dellcourt

Dellcourt election
← 2018 December 5, 2020 2024 →
  Default male Arabi.jpg Default female Arabi.jpg
Nominee Spencer Pickering Melissa Jurgens
Party Republican Party (Arabi) Democratic Party (Arabi)
Arabin Senator before election

Spencer Pickering
Republican Party (Arabi)

Elected Arabin Senator

Spencer Pickering
Republican Party (Arabi)

Incumbent Republican Spencer Pickering was first elected in 2002, defeating incumbent Justin Price. Pickering is running for his fourth term.

On July 11, 2020, Pickering won the nomination for the Republican Party, while Dellcourt State Senator, Melissa Jurgens won the nomination for the Democratic Party.

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Spencer Pickering (incumbent) 99,967 73.38%
Republican Jennifer Yates 36,275 26.62%
Total votes 136,242 100.00%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Melissa Jurgens 102,308 53.72%
Democratic Robin Banks 32,198 16.10%
Democratic Abby Williams 21,219 11.14%
Democratic Darius Johnson 17,436 9.15%
Democratic Mario Russo 11,445 6.02%
Democratic Thersea Hollis 5,855 3.07%
Total votes 190,461 100.00%

Lochcoast

Lochcoast election
← 2016 December 5, 2020 2022 →
  Default male Arabi.jpg Default male Arabi.jpg
Nominee Michael Sykes Kenneth Tyler
Party Democratic Party (Arabi) Republican Party (Arabi)
Arabin Senator before election

Lola Fry
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Elected Arabin Senator

Michael Sykes
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Incumbent Democrat Lola Fry was first elected in 2008, defeating incumbent Harvey Humphreys. On February 3, 2020, Fry announced her intention to run for Governor of Lochcoast and would not seek a third term in the Senate. The primaries in Lochcoast were on August 1, 2020. State Senators Michael Sykes (D) and Kenneth Tyler (R) won their respective party primaries.

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michael Sykes 123,879 47.72%
Democratic Nathan Hardy 74,315 28.62%
Democratic Dylan Lowe 44,039 16.96%
Democratic Abby French 17,398 6.70%
Total votes 259,631 100.00%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kenneth Taylor 115,112 45.34%
Republican Callum Baldwin 62,200 24.49%
Republican Amanda Folks 42,964 16.92%
Republican Roger Camacho 33,663 13.25%
Total votes 253,939 100.00%

New Bristol

New Bristol election
← 2016 December 5, 2020 2022 →
  Default male Arabi.jpg Default female Arabi.jpg
Nominee Andrew Clegg Brynn Bilderback
Party Republican Party (Arabi) Democratic Party (Arabi)
Arabin Senator before election

Andrew Clegg
Republican Party (Arabi)

Elected Arabin Senator

Andrew Clegg
Republican Party (Arabi)

Incumbent Republican Andrew Clegg was elected as a Conservative Socialist in 2014, defeating Liberal Socialist nominee Evan Goodwin. He is running for a second term. The primaries in New Bristol were on March 28, 2020. Incumbent Senator Andrew Clegg (R) and former Arabin Representative Brynn Bilderback (D) won their respective party primaries.

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andrew Clegg (incumbent) 815,997 87.78%
Republican Michael Shaw 113,675 12.22%
Total votes 929,672 100.00%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brynn Bilderback 777,771 68.17%
Democratic Ryan Buckley 137,516 12.06%
Democratic Spencer Webb 109,284 9.58%
Democratic Ethan Martin 79,456 6.96%
Democratic Alicia Khan 36,946 3.23%
Total votes 1,140,973 100.00%

New Cambridge

New Cambridge election
← 2016 December 5, 2020 2022 →
  John Freeman IV - Arabi.jpg Default male Arabi.jpg
Nominee John Freeman IV Ryan Wyatt
Party Democratic Party (Arabi) Republican Party (Arabi)
Arabin Senator before election

Winnie Kimes
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Elected Arabin Senator

John Freeman IV
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Incumbent Democrat Winnie Kimes was elected as a Liberal Socialist in 2014. She ran for a second term but ultimately lost in the primary election to John Freeman IV. The primary election in New Cambridge was on April 4, 2020. John Freeman IV (D) and Ryan Wyatt (R) won their repsective party primaries.

Freeman is the younger brother of the 28th president of Arabi, Walter Freeman.

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Freeman IV 2,116,291 50.01%
Democratic Winnie Kimes (incumbent) 2,115,720 49.99%
Total votes 4,232,011 100.00%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ryan Wyatt 2,117,605 100.00%
Total votes 2,117,605 100.00%

New Plymouth

New Plymouth election
← 2018 December 5, 2020 2024 →
  Default male Arabi.jpg Default female Arabi.jpg
Nominee Michael Fuller Charlotte Marshall
Party Democratic Party (Arabi) Republican Party (Arabi)
Arabin Senator before election

Michael Fuller
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Elected Arabin Senator

Michael Fuller
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Incumbent Democrat Michael Fuller was elected as a Liberal Socialist in 2002. He is running for his fourth term. The primary election in New Plymouth was on July 4, 2020. Incumbent Michael Fuller (D) and Charlotte Marshall (R) won their respective party primaries.

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michael Fuller (incumbent) 394,152 100.00%
Total votes 394,152 100.00%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Charlotte Marshall 322,527 49.52%
Republican Ethan Day 156,221 23.98%
Republican Paul McLawhorn 131,672 20.21%
Republican Kieran Sharpe 41,000 6.29%
Total votes 651,420 100.00%

Owens

Owens election
← 2016 December 5, 2020 2022 →
  Default male Arabi.jpg Default male Arabi.jpg
Nominee David Coffman Dwight Richman
Party Democratic Party (Arabi) Republican Party (Arabi)
Arabin Senator before election

David Coffman
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Elected Arabin Senator

David Coffman
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Incumbent Democrat David Coffman was elected as a Liberal Socialist in 2002. He is running for his fourth term. The primary election in Owens was on August 29, 2020. Incumbent David Coffman (D) and Dwight Richman (R) won their respective party primaries.

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Coffman (incumbent) 786,289 100.00%
Total votes 786,289 100.00%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dwight Richman 511,004 51.37%
Republican John Ware 214,744 21.59%
Republican Joanne Pippin 99,201 9.98%
Republican Adam Winter 93,166 9.36%
Republican Kate Connor 76,652 7.70%
Total votes 994,767 100.00%

Saint George

Saint George election
← 2018 December 5, 2020 2024 →
  Default female Arabi.jpg Default male Arabi.jpg
Nominee Mary Nichols Sean Whitehouse
Party Democratic Party (Arabi) Republican Party (Arabi)
Arabin Senator before election

Mary Nichols
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Elected Arabin Senator

Mary Nichols
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Incumbent Democrat Mary Nichols was elected as a Liberal Socialist in 2002. She is running for her fourth term. The primary election in Saint George was on May 9, 2020. Incumbent Mary Nichols (D) and Sean Whitehouse (R) won their respective party primaries.

Nichols is the current Senate Majority Leader.

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Nichols (incumbent) 277,518 100.00%
Total votes 277,518 100.00%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sean Whitehouse 201,134 46.89%
Republican Ethan Conway 118,123 27.53%
Republican Hal Scott 109,783 25.58%
Total votes 429,040 100.00%

Severn

Severn election
← 2018 December 5, 2020 2024 →
  Default male Arabi.jpg Default female Arabi.jpg
Nominee Luca Doyle Amber Holmes
Party Republican Party (Arabi) Democratic Party (Arabi)
Arabin Senator before election

Amber Holmes
Democratic Party (Arabi)

Elected Arabin Senator

Luca Doyle
Republican Party (Arabi)

Incumbent Democrat Amber Holmes was elected as a Liberal Socialist in 2002. She is running for her fourth term. The primary election in Severn was September 12, 2020. Incumbent Amber Holmes (D) and Luca Doyle (R) won their respective primaries.

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Amber Holmes (incumbent) 184,294 71.32%
Democratic Ryan Herbert 74,116 28.68%
Total votes 258,410 100.00%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Luca Doyle 152,414 30.62%
Republican Julia Durso 133,346 26.79%
Republican James Ross 112,547 22.60%
Republican Emmanuel King 99,555 19.99%
Total votes 497,862 100.00%

Windsor

Windsor election
← 2018 December 5, 2020 2024 →
  Default male Arabi.jpg Default female Arabi.jpg
Nominee Lucien Orton Joan Matthews
Party Republican Party (Arabi) Democratic Party (Arabi)
Arabin Senator before election

Lucien Orton
Republican Party (Arabi)

Elected Arabin Senator

Lucien Orton
Republican Party (Arabi)

Incumbent Republican Lucien Orton was elected as a Conservative Socialist in 2002. He is running for his fourth term. The primary election in Windsor was on August 1, 2020. Incumbent Lucien Orton (R) and Joan Matthews (D) won their respective party primaries.

Orton is the current Senate Minority Leader.

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lucien Orton (incumbent) 199,201 71.81%
Republican Robert Thornton 78,230 28.19%
Total votes 277,431 100.00%
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joan Matthews 165,026 42.74%
Democratic Patrick Johnson 127,546 33.03%
Democratic Leon Winkel 93,581 24.23%
Total votes 386,153 100.00%

Notes

Retrieved from "https://iiwiki.us/mediawiki/index.php?title=2020_Arabin_Senate_elections&oldid=307388"