2022 Arabin Senate elections: Difference between revisions
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| [[Burberry (Arabi)|Burberry]] | | [[Burberry (Arabi)|Burberry]] | ||
| '''January 1, 2022''' | | '''January 1, 2022''' | ||
| | | '''April 16, 2022''' | ||
| rowspan=12 | '''December 3, 2022''' | | rowspan=12 | '''December 3, 2022''' | ||
| rowspan=12 | '''{{center|7:00pm}} {{center|{{wp|Atlantic Time Zone|AST}}}}''' | | rowspan=12 | '''{{center|7:00pm}} {{center|{{wp|Atlantic Time Zone|AST}}}}''' | ||
| Line 177: | Line 177: | ||
| [[Dartmoor (Arabi)|Dartmoor]] | | [[Dartmoor (Arabi)|Dartmoor]] | ||
| December 15, 2021 | | December 15, 2021 | ||
| | | '''June 11, 2022''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| [[Drakeland (Arabi)|Drakeland]] | | [[Drakeland (Arabi)|Drakeland]] | ||
| '''February 1, 2022''' | | '''February 1, 2022''' | ||
| | | '''May 14, 2022''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| [[Lochcoast (Arabi)|Lochcoast]] | | [[Lochcoast (Arabi)|Lochcoast]] | ||
| '''February 1, 2022''' | | '''February 1, 2022''' | ||
| | | '''April 30, 2022''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| [[New Bristol (Arabi)|New Bristol]] | | [[New Bristol (Arabi)|New Bristol]] | ||
| December 2, 2021 | | December 2, 2021 | ||
| | | '''March 12, 2022''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| [[New Cambridge (Arabi)|New Cambridge]] | | [[New Cambridge (Arabi)|New Cambridge]] | ||
| November 30, 2021 | | November 30, 2021 | ||
| | | '''June 18, 2022''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| [[New London (Arabi)|New London]] | | [[New London (Arabi)|New London]] | ||
| '''January 5, 2022''' | | '''January 5, 2022''' | ||
| | | '''May 28, 2022''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| [[New Plymouth (Arabi)|New Plymouth]] | | [[New Plymouth (Arabi)|New Plymouth]] | ||
| '''January 3, 2022''' | | '''January 3, 2022''' | ||
| | | '''April 9, 2022''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| [[Owens (Arabi)|Owens]] | | [[Owens (Arabi)|Owens]] | ||
| December 13, 2021 | | December 13, 2021 | ||
| | | '''March 19, 2022''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| [[Terranova (Arabi)|Terranova]] | | [[Terranova (Arabi)|Terranova]] | ||
| December 20, 2021 | | December 20, 2021 | ||
| | | '''April 2, 2022''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| [[Walpole (Arabi)|Walpole]] | | [[Walpole (Arabi)|Walpole]] | ||
| '''February 3, 2022''' | | '''February 3, 2022''' | ||
| | | '''May 7, 2022''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| [[Welwald (Arabi)|Welwald]] | | [[Welwald (Arabi)|Welwald]] | ||
| '''January 10, 2022''' | | '''January 10, 2022''' | ||
| | | '''June 25, 2022''' | ||
|} | |} | ||
== Notes == | == Notes == | ||
{{reflist}} | {{reflist}} | ||
Revision as of 00:37, 28 December 2021
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12 of the 32 seats in the Arabin Senate 17[1] seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Democratic incumbent running Democratic incumbent retiring Republican incumbent running Republican incumbent retiring No election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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1–2
The 2022 Arabin Senate elctions will be held on December 3, 2022, with the 11 class 2 seats of the Senate being contested in regular elections and 1 class 3 seat being contested in a special election.[2] The winners will be elected to six-year terms starting from January 5, 2023, to January 5, 2029.
Predictions
Listed below are predictions by three organizations that regularly researches polling data.
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely"": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe"": near-certain chance of victory
| State | Senator | 2022 election ratings | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arabin News Journal November 4, 2021 |
Political Forecasting December 5, 2021 |
PolitiTrade December 10, 2021 | |||||
| Burberry | Robert Nelson | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | |||
| Dartmoor | Diane Devalle | Tilt D | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | |||
| Drakeland | Luca Sutton (retiring) |
Tilt D (flip) | Tilt R | Lean R | |||
| Lochcoast | Tamala Natal | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | |||
| New Bristol | Sean Blackburn (retiring) |
Tilt R | Tilt R | Likely R | |||
| New Cambridge | Sebastian Whittaker | Safe D | Safe D | Safe D | |||
| New London | Sylvia Ireland | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | |||
| New Plymouth | Justine Greer | Lean R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Tilt D | |||
| Owens | Randy Elliot (retiring) |
Tossup | Tossup | Tilt R | |||
| Terranova | Kiera Shepard | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | |||
| Walpole | Brenda Castro | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | |||
| Welwald | Victoria Bailey (retiring) |
Lean R | Tilt D (flip) | Lean R | |||
| Overall | D - 15 R - 15 2 tossup |
D - 14 R - 14 4 tossups |
D - 14 R - 17 1 tossups | ||||
Election dates
Bold indicates a future date.
| State | Filing deadline for candidates |
Primary election |
General election |
Poll closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burberry | January 1, 2022 | April 16, 2022 | December 3, 2022 | 7:00pm
|
| Dartmoor | December 15, 2021 | June 11, 2022 | ||
| Drakeland | February 1, 2022 | May 14, 2022 | ||
| Lochcoast | February 1, 2022 | April 30, 2022 | ||
| New Bristol | December 2, 2021 | March 12, 2022 | ||
| New Cambridge | November 30, 2021 | June 18, 2022 | ||
| New London | January 5, 2022 | May 28, 2022 | ||
| New Plymouth | January 3, 2022 | April 9, 2022 | ||
| Owens | December 13, 2021 | March 19, 2022 | ||
| Terranova | December 20, 2021 | April 2, 2022 | ||
| Walpole | February 3, 2022 | May 7, 2022 | ||
| Welwald | January 10, 2022 | June 25, 2022 |
Notes
- ↑ 16 plus the vice president
- ↑ Robert Stephens became vice president on October 1, 2021, vacating his senate seat. His successor, Justine Greer, has announced she will run for the seat to fill the remainder of the term.