2020 Arabin Senate elections: Difference between revisions
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| flag_year = | | flag_year = | ||
| type = legislative | | type = legislative | ||
| ongoing = | | ongoing = no | ||
| previous_election = 2018 Arabin Senate elections | | previous_election = 2018 Arabin Senate elections | ||
| previous_year = 2018 | | previous_year = 2018 | ||
Line 17: | Line 17: | ||
| 2blank = Races won | | 2blank = Races won | ||
| party1 = | | party1 = Democratic Party (Arabi) | ||
| image1 = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|160x180px]] | | image1 = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|160x180px]] | ||
| leader1 = Mary Nichols | | leader1 = Mary Nichols | ||
| leader_since1 = January 8, 2017 | | leader_since1 = January 8, 2017 | ||
| leaders_seat1 = [[Saint George (Arabi)|Saint George]] | | leaders_seat1 = [[Saint George (Arabi)|Saint George]] | ||
| seats_before1 = 18 | | seats_before1 = '''18''' | ||
| | | seats_after1 = '''17''' | ||
| | | seat_change1 = {{decrease}} 1 | ||
| 1data1 = '''8''' | |||
| 2data1 = '''7''' | |||
| party2 = | | party2 = Republican Party (Arabi) | ||
| image2 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|160x180px]] | | image2 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|160x180px]] | ||
| leader2 = Lucien Orton | | leader2 = Lucien Orton | ||
Line 32: | Line 34: | ||
| leaders_seat2 = [[Windsor (Arabi)|Windsor]] | | leaders_seat2 = [[Windsor (Arabi)|Windsor]] | ||
| seats_before2 = 14 | | seats_before2 = 14 | ||
| seats_after2 = 15 | |||
| seat_change2 = {{increase}} 1 | |||
| 1data2 = 3 | | 1data2 = 3 | ||
| | | 2data2 = 4 | ||
| map_image = [[File:Arabin Senate elections, 2020.png|512x317px]] | | map_image = [[File:Arabin Senate elections, 2020.png|512x317px]] | ||
| map_size = 320px | | map_size = 320px | ||
| map_caption = {{legend0|# | | map_caption = {{legend0|#BECCF1|Democratic hold}}<br/>{{legend0|#FDE7AC|Republican hold}}<br/>{{legend0|#FACB4C|Republican gain}}<br/>{{legend0|#d3d3d3|No election}} | ||
| title = Majority Leader | | title = Majority Leader | ||
| before_election = Mary Nichols | | before_election = Mary Nichols | ||
| before_party = | | before_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | ||
| after_election = | | after_election = Mary Nichols | ||
| after_party = | | after_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | ||
}} | }} | ||
The '''2020 Arabin Senate elctions''' | The '''2020 Arabin Senate elctions''' were held on December 5, 2020, with the 11 class 1 seats of the [[Arabin Senate|Senate]] being contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms starting from January 5, 2021, to January 5, 2027. | ||
== | == Predictions == | ||
Listed below are predictions by six organizations that regularly researches polling data. | |||
* "<u>tossup</u>": no advantage | |||
* "<u>tilt</u>" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean" | |||
* "<u>lean</u>": slight advantage | |||
* "<u>likely"</u>": significant, but surmountable, advantage | |||
* "<u>safe"</u>": near-certain chance of victory | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center" | |||
|- style="vertical-align:center" | |||
! rowspan=2 | State | |||
! rowspan=2 | Senator | |||
! colspan=6 | 2020 election ratings | |||
|- style="vertical-align:center" | |||
! <!--(1)--> Arabin News <br/> Journal <br/> {{small|August 14, 2020}} | |||
! <!--(2)--> Independence <br/> Group <br/> {{small|July 3, 2020}} | |||
! <!--(3)--> New Age <br/> Research <br/> {{small|August 3, 2020}} | |||
! <!--(4)--> {{abbr|OPP|Owens Political Predictions}} <br/> {{small|June 29, 2020}} | |||
! <!--(5)--> Political <br/> Forecasting <br/> {{small|August 28, 2020}} | |||
! <!--(6)--> PolitiTrade <br/> {{small|July 1, 2020}} | |||
|- | |||
! [[Burberry (Arabi)|Burberry]] | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Smith, Poppy" | Poppy Smith | |||
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}} | |||
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}} | |||
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}} | |||
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
|- | |||
! [[Dartmoor (Arabi)|Dartmoor]] | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Carpenter, Henry" | Henry Carpenter | |||
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}} | |||
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}} | |||
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
|- | |||
! [[Dellcourt (Arabi)|Dellcourt]] | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Pickering, Spencer" | Spencer Pickering | |||
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D|flip}} | |||
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D|flip}} | |||
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
|- | |||
! [[Lochcoast (Arabi)|Lochcoast]] | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Fry, Lola" | Lola Fry | |||
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
|- | |||
! [[New Bristol (Arabi)|New Bristol]] | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Clegg, Andrew" | Andrew Clegg | |||
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
|- | |||
! [[New Cambridge (Arabi)|New Cambridge]] | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Kimes, Winnie" | Winnie Kimes | |||
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}} | |||
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
|- | |||
! [[New Plymouth (Arabi)|New Plymouth]] | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Fuller, Michael" | Michael Fuller | |||
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}} | |||
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}} | |||
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}} | |||
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}} | |||
|- | |||
! [[Owens (Arabi)|Owens]] | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Coffman, David" | David Coffman | |||
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}} | |||
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}} | |||
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}} | |||
|- | |||
! [[Saint George (Arabi)|Saint George]] | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Nichols, Mary" | Mary Nichols | |||
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|D}} | |||
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
|- | |||
! [[Severn (Arabi)|Severn]] | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Holmes, Amber" | Amber Holmes | |||
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R|flip}} | |||
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}} | |||
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}} | |||
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}} | |||
|- | |||
! [[Windsor (Arabi)|Windsor]] | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican (Arabi)}} data-sort-value="Orton, Lucien" | Lucien Orton | |||
| <!--(1)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| <!--(2)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
| <!--(3)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
| <!--(4)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| <!--(5)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tilt|R}} | |||
| <!--(6)--> {{ArabinRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
|- | |||
! colspan=2 | Overall | |||
<!--ANJ-->| D - 16<br/>R - 14<br/>2 tossup | |||
<!--IG-->| D - 13<br/>R - 18<br/>1 tossup | |||
<!--NAR-->| D - 16<br/>R - 16<br/>0 tossups | |||
<!--OPP-->| D - 13<br/>R - 16<br/>3 tossups | |||
<!--PF-->| D - 17<br/>R - 15<br/>0 tossups | |||
<!--PT-->| D - 13<br/>R - 17<br/>2 tossups | |||
|} | |||
== | == Election dates == | ||
'''Bold''' indicates a future date. | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" | |||
|- | |||
! State | |||
! Filing deadline for <br/> major party candidates | |||
! Primary <br/> election | |||
! General <br/> election | |||
! Poll closing <br/> | |||
|- | |||
| [[Burberry (Arabi)|Burberry]] | |||
| January 1, 2020 | |||
| June 20, 2020 | |||
| rowspan=11 | '''December 5, 2020''' | |||
| rowspan=11 | {{center|7:00pm}} {{center|{{wp|Atlantic Time Zone|AST}}}} | |||
|- | |||
| [[Dartmoor (Arabi)|Dartmoor]] | |||
| December 6, 2019 | |||
| May 2, 2020 | |||
|- | |||
| [[Dellcourt (Arabi)|Dellcourt]] | |||
| January 29, 2020 | |||
| July 11, 2020 | |||
|- | |||
| [[Lochcoast (Arabi)|Lochcoast]] | |||
| February 7, 2020 | |||
| August 1, 2020 | |||
|- | |||
| [[New Bristol (Arabi)|New Bristol]] | |||
| November 11, 2019 | |||
| March 28, 2020 | |||
|- | |||
| [[New Cambridge (Arabi)|New Cambridge]] | |||
| November 27, 2019 | |||
| April 4, 2020 | |||
|- | |||
| [[New Plymouth (Arabi)|New Plymouth]] | |||
| January 29, 2020 | |||
| July 4, 2020 | |||
|- | |||
| [[Owens (Arabi)|Owens]] | |||
| March 13, 2020 | |||
| August 29, 2020 | |||
|- | |||
| [[Saint George (Arabi)|Saint George]] | |||
| December 23, 2019 | |||
| May 9, 2020 | |||
|- | |||
| [[Severn (Arabi)|Severn]] | |||
| April 16, 2020 | |||
| September 12, 2020 | |||
|- | |||
| [[Windsor (Arabi)|Windsor]] | |||
| March 24, 2020 | |||
| August 1, 2020 | |||
|} | |||
== Burberry == | == Burberry == | ||
{{Infobox election | |||
| election_name = Burberry election | |||
| country = | |||
| type = presidential | |||
| ongoing = no | |||
| previous_election = 2016 Arabin Senate election in Burberry | |||
| previous_year = 2016 | |||
| next_election = 2022 Arabin Senate election in Burberry | |||
| next_year = 2022 | |||
| election_date = December 5, 2020 | |||
| image_size = | |||
| image1 = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee1 = '''Poppy Smith''' | |||
| party1 = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote1 = | |||
| percentage1 = | |||
| image2 = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee2 = Christina Tyson | |||
| party2 = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| title = Arabin Senator | |||
| before_election = Poppy Smith | |||
| before_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| after_election = Poppy Smith | |||
| after_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
}} | |||
Incumbent Democrat Poppy Smith was first elected in 2008, defeating incumbent Maureen Rivera. Smith is running for her third term. | |||
On June 20, 2020, Smith won the nomination for the [[Democratic Party (Arabi)|Democratic Party]] while Representative from Burberry's 2nd district, Christina Tyson won the nomination for the [[Republican Party (Arabi)|Republican Party]]. | |||
=== Primary results === | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Poppy Smith {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}} | |||
| votes = 211114 | |||
| percentage = 49.63% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Robert Wells | |||
| votes = 114215 | |||
| percentage = 26.86% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Martha Gawlik | |||
| votes = 100001 | |||
| percentage = 23.51% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 425330 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Christina Tyson | |||
| votes = 134916 | |||
| percentage = 29.52% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Lyle Nelson | |||
| votes = 103301 | |||
| percentage = 22.60% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Anna Gillis | |||
| votes = 81109 | |||
| percentage = 17.75% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Matthew Wells | |||
| votes = 77746 | |||
| percentage = 17.02% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Jessica Wodsworth | |||
| votes = 59927 | |||
| percentage = 13.11% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 456999 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
== Dartmoor == | == Dartmoor == | ||
{{Infobox election | |||
| election_name = Dartmoor election | |||
| country = | |||
| type = presidential | |||
| ongoing = no | |||
| previous_election = | |||
| previous_year = 2016 | |||
| next_election = 2022 Arabin Senate election in Dartmoor | |||
| next_year = 2022 | |||
| election_date = December 5, 2020 | |||
| image_size = | |||
| image1 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee1 = '''Henry Carpenter''' | |||
| party1 = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote1 = | |||
| percentage1 = | |||
| image2 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee2 = Nelson Walls | |||
| party2 = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| title = Arabin Senator | |||
| before_election = Henry Carpenter | |||
| before_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| after_election = Henry Carpenter | |||
| after_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
}} | |||
Incumbent Democrat Henry Carpenter was first elected in 2008, defeating incumbent Robert Ferguson. Carpenter is running for his third term. | |||
On May 2, 2020, Carpenter won the nomination for the [[Democratic Party (Arabi)|Democratic Party]] while former governor of Dartmoor, Nelson Walls, won the nomination for the [[Republican Party (Arabi)|Republican Party]]. | |||
=== Primary results === | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Henry Carpenter {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}} | |||
| votes = 294787 | |||
| percentage = 79.17% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = John Higgins | |||
| votes = 77518 | |||
| percentage = 20.83% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 372305 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Nelson Walls | |||
| votes = 121415 | |||
| percentage = 60.09% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Ursula Winters | |||
| votes = 80652 | |||
| percentage = 39.91% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 202067 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
== Dellcourt == | == Dellcourt == | ||
{{Infobox election | |||
| election_name = Dellcourt election | |||
| country = | |||
| type = presidential | |||
| ongoing = no | |||
| previous_election = | |||
| previous_year = 2018 | |||
| next_election = 2024 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| next_year = 2024 | |||
| election_date = December 5, 2020 | |||
| image_size = | |||
| image1 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee1 = '''Spencer Pickering''' | |||
| party1 = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote1 = | |||
| percentage1 = | |||
| image2 = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee2 = Melissa Jurgens | |||
| party2 = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| title = Arabin Senator | |||
| before_election = Spencer Pickering | |||
| before_party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| after_election = Spencer Pickering | |||
| after_party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
}} | |||
Incumbent Republican Spencer Pickering was first elected in 2002, defeating incumbent Justin Price. Pickering is running for his fourth term. | |||
On July 11, 2020, Pickering won the nomination for the [[Republican Party (Arabi)|Republican Party]], while Dellcourt State Senator, Melissa Jurgens won the nomination for the [[Democratic Party (Arabi)|Democratic Party]]. | |||
=== Primary results === | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Spencer Pickering {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}} | |||
| votes = 99967 | |||
| percentage = 73.38% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Jennifer Yates | |||
| votes = 36275 | |||
| percentage = 26.62% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 136242 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Melissa Jurgens | |||
| votes = 102308 | |||
| percentage = 53.72% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Robin Banks | |||
| votes = 32198 | |||
| percentage = 16.10% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Abby Williams | |||
| votes = 21219 | |||
| percentage = 11.14% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Darius Johnson | |||
| votes = 17436 | |||
| percentage = 9.15% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Mario Russo | |||
| votes = 11445 | |||
| percentage = 6.02% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Thersea Hollis | |||
| votes = 5855 | |||
| percentage = 3.07% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 190461 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
== Lochcoast == | == Lochcoast == | ||
{{Infobox election | |||
| election_name = Lochcoast election | |||
| country = | |||
| type = presidential | |||
| ongoing = no | |||
| previous_election = 2016 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| previous_year = 2016 | |||
| next_election = 2022 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| next_year = 2022 | |||
| election_date = December 5, 2020 | |||
| image_size = | |||
| image1 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee1 = '''Michael Sykes''' | |||
| party1 = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote1 = | |||
| percentage1 = | |||
| image2 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee2 = Kenneth Tyler | |||
| party2 = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| title = Arabin Senator | |||
| before_election = Lola Fry | |||
| before_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| after_election = Michael Sykes | |||
| after_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
}} | |||
Incumbent Democrat Lola Fry was first elected in 2008, defeating incumbent Harvey Humphreys. On February 3, 2020, Fry announced her intention to run for Governor of Lochcoast and would not seek a third term in the [[Arabin Senate|Senate]]. The primaries in Lochcoast were on August 1, 2020. State Senators Michael Sykes (D) and Kenneth Tyler (R) won their respective party primaries. | |||
=== Primary results === | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Michael Sykes | |||
| votes = 123879 | |||
| percentage = 47.72% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Nathan Hardy | |||
| votes = 74315 | |||
| percentage = 28.62% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Dylan Lowe | |||
| votes = 44039 | |||
| percentage = 16.96% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Abby French | |||
| votes = 17398 | |||
| percentage = 6.70% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 259631 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Kenneth Taylor | |||
| votes = 115112 | |||
| percentage = 45.34% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Callum Baldwin | |||
| votes = 62200 | |||
| percentage = 24.49% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Amanda Folks | |||
| votes = 42964 | |||
| percentage = 16.92% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Roger Camacho | |||
| votes = 33663 | |||
| percentage = 13.25% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 253939 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
== New Bristol == | == New Bristol == | ||
{{Infobox election | |||
| election_name = New Bristol election | |||
| country = | |||
| type = presidential | |||
| ongoing = no | |||
| previous_election = 2016 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| previous_year = 2016 | |||
| next_election = 2022 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| next_year = 2022 | |||
| election_date = December 5, 2020 | |||
| image_size = | |||
| image1 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee1 = '''Andrew Clegg''' | |||
| party1 = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote1 = | |||
| percentage1 = | |||
| image2 = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee2 = Brynn Bilderback | |||
| party2 = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| title = Arabin Senator | |||
| before_election = Andrew Clegg | |||
| before_party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| after_election = Andrew Clegg | |||
| after_party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
}} | |||
Incumbent Republican Andrew Clegg was elected as a [[Conservative Socialist Party (Arabi)|Conservative Socialist]] in 2014, defeating [[Liberal Socialist Party (Arabi)|Liberal Socialist]] nominee Evan Goodwin. He is running for a second term. The primaries in New Bristol were on March 28, 2020. Incumbent Senator Andrew Clegg (R) and former [[Arabin House of Representatives|Arabin Representative]] Brynn Bilderback (D) won their respective party primaries. | |||
=== Primary results === | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Andrew Clegg {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}} | |||
| votes = 815997 | |||
| percentage = 87.78% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Michael Shaw | |||
| votes = 113675 | |||
| percentage = 12.22% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 929672 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Brynn Bilderback | |||
| votes = 777771 | |||
| percentage = 68.17% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Ryan Buckley | |||
| votes = 137516 | |||
| percentage = 12.06% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Spencer Webb | |||
| votes = 109284 | |||
| percentage = 9.58% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Ethan Martin | |||
| votes = 79456 | |||
| percentage = 6.96% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Alicia Khan | |||
| votes = 36946 | |||
| percentage = 3.23% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 1140973 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
== New Cambridge == | == New Cambridge == | ||
{{Infobox election | |||
| election_name = New Cambridge election | |||
| country = | |||
| type = presidential | |||
| ongoing = no | |||
| previous_election = 2016 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| previous_year = 2016 | |||
| next_election = 2022 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| next_year = 2022 | |||
| election_date = December 5, 2020 | |||
| image_size = | |||
| image1 = [[File:John Freeman IV - Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee1 = '''[[John Freeman IV (Arabi)|John Freeman IV]]''' | |||
| party1 = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote1 = | |||
| percentage1 = | |||
| image2 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee2 = Ryan Wyatt | |||
| party2 = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| title = Arabin Senator | |||
| before_election = Winnie Kimes | |||
| before_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| after_election = [[John Freeman IV (Arabi)|John Freeman IV]] | |||
| after_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
}} | |||
Incumbent Democrat Winnie Kimes was elected as a [[Liberal Socialist Party (Arabi)|Liberal Socialist]] in 2014. She ran for a second term but ultimately lost in the primary election to [[John Freeman IV (Arabi)|John Freeman IV]]. The primary election in New Cambridge was on April 4, 2020. John Freeman IV (D) and Ryan Wyatt (R) won their repsective party primaries. | |||
Freeman is the younger brother of the 28th [[President of Arabi|president of Arabi]], [[Walter Freeman (Arabi)|Walter Freeman]]. | |||
=== Primary results === | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = [[John Freeman IV (Arabi)|John Freeman IV]] | |||
| votes = 2116291 | |||
| percentage = 50.01% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Winnie Kimes {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}} | |||
| votes = 2115720 | |||
| percentage = 49.99% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 4232011 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Ryan Wyatt | |||
| votes = 2117605 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 2117605 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
== New Plymouth == | == New Plymouth == | ||
{{Infobox election | |||
| election_name = New Plymouth election | |||
| country = | |||
| type = presidential | |||
| ongoing = no | |||
| previous_election = 2018 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| previous_year = 2018 | |||
| next_election = 2024 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| next_year = 2024 | |||
| election_date = December 5, 2020 | |||
| image_size = | |||
| image1 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee1 = '''Michael Fuller''' | |||
| party1 = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote1 = | |||
| percentage1 = | |||
| image2 = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee2 = Charlotte Marshall | |||
| party2 = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| title = Arabin Senator | |||
| before_election = Michael Fuller | |||
| before_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| after_election = Michael Fuller | |||
| after_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
}} | |||
Incumbent Democrat Michael Fuller was elected as a [[Liberal Socialist Party (Arabi)|Liberal Socialist]] in 2002. He is running for his fourth term. The primary election in New Plymouth was on July 4, 2020. Incumbent Michael Fuller (D) and Charlotte Marshall (R) won their respective party primaries. | |||
=== Primary results === | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Michael Fuller {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}} | |||
| votes = 394152 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 394152 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Charlotte Marshall | |||
| votes = 322527 | |||
| percentage = 49.52% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Ethan Day | |||
| votes = 156221 | |||
| percentage = 23.98% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Paul McLawhorn | |||
| votes = 131672 | |||
| percentage = 20.21% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Kieran Sharpe | |||
| votes = 41000 | |||
| percentage = 6.29% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 651420 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
== Owens == | == Owens == | ||
{{Infobox election | |||
| election_name = Owens election | |||
| country = | |||
| type = presidential | |||
| ongoing = no | |||
| previous_election = 2016 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| previous_year = 2016 | |||
| next_election = 2022 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| next_year = 2022 | |||
| election_date = December 5, 2020 | |||
| image_size = | |||
| image1 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee1 = '''David Coffman''' | |||
| party1 = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote1 = | |||
| percentage1 = | |||
| image2 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee2 = Dwight Richman | |||
| party2 = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| title = Arabin Senator | |||
| before_election = David Coffman | |||
| before_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| after_election = David Coffman | |||
| after_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
}} | |||
Incumbent Democrat David Coffman was elected as a [[Liberal Socialist Party (Arabi)|Liberal Socialist]] in 2002. He is running for his fourth term. The primary election in Owens was on August 29, 2020. Incumbent David Coffman (D) and Dwight Richman (R) won their respective party primaries. | |||
=== Primary results === | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = David Coffman {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}} | |||
| votes = 786289 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 786289 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Dwight Richman | |||
| votes = 511004 | |||
| percentage = 51.37% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = John Ware | |||
| votes = 214744 | |||
| percentage = 21.59% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Joanne Pippin | |||
| votes = 99,201 | |||
| percentage = 9.98% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Adam Winter | |||
| votes = 93166 | |||
| percentage = 9.36% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Kate Connor | |||
| votes = 76652 | |||
| percentage = 7.70% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 994767 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
== Saint George == | == Saint George == | ||
{{Infobox election | |||
| election_name = Saint George election | |||
| country = | |||
| type = presidential | |||
| ongoing = no | |||
| previous_election = 2018 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| previous_year = 2018 | |||
| next_election = 2024 Arabin Senate election in STATE | |||
| next_year = 2024 | |||
| election_date = December 5, 2020 | |||
| image_size = | |||
| image1 = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee1 = '''Mary Nichols''' | |||
| party1 = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote1 = | |||
| percentage1 = | |||
| image2 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee2 = Sean Whitehouse | |||
| party2 = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| title = Arabin Senator | |||
| before_election = Mary Nichols | |||
| before_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| after_election = Mary Nichols | |||
| after_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
}} | |||
Incumbent Democrat Mary Nichols was elected as a [[Liberal Socialist Party (Arabi)|Liberal Socialist]] in 2002. She is running for her fourth term. The primary election in Saint George was on May 9, 2020. Incumbent Mary Nichols (D) and Sean Whitehouse (R) won their respective party primaries. | |||
Nichols is the current Senate Majority Leader. | |||
=== Primary results === | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Mary Nichols {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}} | |||
| votes = 277518 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 277518 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Sean Whitehouse | |||
| votes = 201134 | |||
| percentage = 46.89% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Ethan Conway | |||
| votes = 118123 | |||
| percentage = 27.53% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Hal Scott | |||
| votes = 109783 | |||
| percentage = 25.58% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 429040 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
== Severn == | == Severn == | ||
{{Infobox election | |||
| election_name = Severn election | |||
| country = | |||
| type = presidential | |||
| ongoing = no | |||
| previous_election = 2018 Arabin Senate election in Severn | |||
| previous_year = 2018 | |||
| next_election = 2024 Arabin Senate election in Severn | |||
| next_year = 2024 | |||
| election_date = December 5, 2020 | |||
| image_size = | |||
| image1 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee1 = '''Luca Doyle''' | |||
| party1 = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote1 = | |||
| percentage1 = | |||
| image2 = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee2 = Amber Holmes | |||
| party2 = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| title = Arabin Senator | |||
| before_election = Amber Holmes | |||
| before_party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| after_election = Luca Doyle | |||
| after_party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
}} | |||
Incumbent Democrat Amber Holmes was elected as a [[Liberal Socialist Party (Arabi)|Liberal Socialist]] in 2002. She is running for her fourth term. The primary election in Severn was September 12, 2020. Incumbent Amber Holmes (D) and Luca Doyle (R) won their respective primaries. | |||
=== Primary results === | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Amber Holmes {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}} | |||
| votes = 184294 | |||
| percentage = 71.32% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Ryan Herbert | |||
| votes = 74116 | |||
| percentage = 28.68% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 258410 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Luca Doyle | |||
| votes = 152414 | |||
| percentage = 30.62% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Julia Durso | |||
| votes = 133346 | |||
| percentage = 26.79% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = James Ross | |||
| votes = 112547 | |||
| percentage = 22.60% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Emmanuel King | |||
| votes = 99555 | |||
| percentage = 19.99% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 497862 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
== Windsor == | == Windsor == | ||
{{Infobox election | |||
| election_name = Windsor election | |||
| country = | |||
| type = presidential | |||
| ongoing = no | |||
| previous_election = 2018 Arabin Senate election in Windsor | |||
| previous_year = 2018 | |||
| next_election = 2024 Arabin Senate election in Windsor | |||
| next_year = 2024 | |||
| election_date = December 5, 2020 | |||
| image_size = | |||
| image1 = [[File:Default male Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee1 = '''Lucien Orton''' | |||
| party1 = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote1 = | |||
| percentage1 = | |||
| image2 = [[File:Default female Arabi.jpg|100px]] | |||
| nominee2 = Joan Matthews | |||
| party2 = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| title = Arabin Senator | |||
| before_election = Lucien Orton | |||
| before_party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| after_election = Lucien Orton | |||
| after_party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
}} | |||
Incumbent Republican Lucien Orton was elected as a [[Conservative Socialist Party (Arabi)|Conservative Socialist]] in 2002. He is running for his fourth term. The primary election in Windsor was on August 1, 2020. Incumbent Lucien Orton (R) and Joan Matthews (D) won their respective party primaries. | |||
Orton is the current Senate Minority Leader. | |||
=== Primary results === | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Republican primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Lucien Orton {{small|({{wp|incumbent}})}} | |||
| votes = 199201 | |||
| percentage = 71.81% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Republican Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Robert Thornton | |||
| votes = 78230 | |||
| percentage = 28.19% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 277431 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
{{Election box begin no change | |||
| title = {{center|Democratic primary results}} | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box winning candidate with party link | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Joan Matthews | |||
| votes = 165026 | |||
| percentage = 42.74% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Patrick Johnson | |||
| votes = 127546 | |||
| percentage = 33.03% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box candidate with party link no change | |||
| party = Democratic Party (Arabi) | |||
| candidate = Leon Winkel | |||
| votes = 93581 | |||
| percentage = 24.23% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box total no change | |||
| votes = 386153 | |||
| percentage = 100.00% | |||
}} | |||
{{Election box end}} | |||
== Notes == | |||
{{notelist}} |
Latest revision as of 10:45, 4 February 2021
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11 of the 32 seats (class 1) in the Arabin Senate 17 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Democratic hold Republican hold Republican gain No election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
The 2020 Arabin Senate elctions were held on December 5, 2020, with the 11 class 1 seats of the Senate being contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms starting from January 5, 2021, to January 5, 2027.
Predictions
Listed below are predictions by six organizations that regularly researches polling data.
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely"": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe"": near-certain chance of victory
State | Senator | 2020 election ratings | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arabin News Journal August 14, 2020 |
Independence Group July 3, 2020 |
New Age Research August 3, 2020 |
OPP June 29, 2020 |
Political Forecasting August 28, 2020 |
PolitiTrade July 1, 2020 | ||
Burberry | Poppy Smith | Likely D | Tilt R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Tilt D | Lean D | Lean D |
Dartmoor | Henry Carpenter | Tilt D | Lean D | Likely R (flip) | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D |
Dellcourt | Spencer Pickering | Lean D (flip) | Likely R | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R |
Lochcoast | Lola Fry | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
New Bristol | Andrew Clegg | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Safe R | Likely R |
New Cambridge | Winnie Kimes | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Tilt D | Safe D | Tossup |
New Plymouth | Michael Fuller | Lean R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Likely D | Likely R (flip) | Safe D | Lean R (flip) |
Owens | David Coffman | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Tossup | Lean D | Tilt R (flip) |
Saint George | Mary Nichols | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tilt D | Lean D |
Severn | Amber Holmes | Lean D | Likely R (flip) | Likely D | Tilt R (flip) | Tilt R (flip) | Lean R (flip) |
Windsor | Lucien Orton | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Tilt R | Tossup |
Overall | D - 16 R - 14 2 tossup |
D - 13 R - 18 1 tossup |
D - 16 R - 16 0 tossups |
D - 13 R - 16 3 tossups |
D - 17 R - 15 0 tossups |
D - 13 R - 17 2 tossups |
Election dates
Bold indicates a future date.
State | Filing deadline for major party candidates |
Primary election |
General election |
Poll closing |
---|---|---|---|---|
Burberry | January 1, 2020 | June 20, 2020 | December 5, 2020 | 7:00pm
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Dartmoor | December 6, 2019 | May 2, 2020 | ||
Dellcourt | January 29, 2020 | July 11, 2020 | ||
Lochcoast | February 7, 2020 | August 1, 2020 | ||
New Bristol | November 11, 2019 | March 28, 2020 | ||
New Cambridge | November 27, 2019 | April 4, 2020 | ||
New Plymouth | January 29, 2020 | July 4, 2020 | ||
Owens | March 13, 2020 | August 29, 2020 | ||
Saint George | December 23, 2019 | May 9, 2020 | ||
Severn | April 16, 2020 | September 12, 2020 | ||
Windsor | March 24, 2020 | August 1, 2020 |
Burberry
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Incumbent Democrat Poppy Smith was first elected in 2008, defeating incumbent Maureen Rivera. Smith is running for her third term.
On June 20, 2020, Smith won the nomination for the Democratic Party while Representative from Burberry's 2nd district, Christina Tyson won the nomination for the Republican Party.
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Poppy Smith (incumbent) | 211,114 | 49.63% | |
Democratic | Robert Wells | 114,215 | 26.86% | |
Democratic | Martha Gawlik | 100,001 | 23.51% | |
Total votes | 425,330 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christina Tyson | 134,916 | 29.52% | |
Republican | Lyle Nelson | 103,301 | 22.60% | |
Republican | Anna Gillis | 81,109 | 17.75% | |
Republican | Matthew Wells | 77,746 | 17.02% | |
Republican | Jessica Wodsworth | 59,927 | 13.11% | |
Total votes | 456,999 | 100.00% |
Dartmoor
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Incumbent Democrat Henry Carpenter was first elected in 2008, defeating incumbent Robert Ferguson. Carpenter is running for his third term.
On May 2, 2020, Carpenter won the nomination for the Democratic Party while former governor of Dartmoor, Nelson Walls, won the nomination for the Republican Party.
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Henry Carpenter (incumbent) | 294,787 | 79.17% | |
Democratic | John Higgins | 77,518 | 20.83% | |
Total votes | 372,305 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Nelson Walls | 121,415 | 60.09% | |
Republican | Ursula Winters | 80,652 | 39.91% | |
Total votes | 202,067 | 100.00% |
Dellcourt
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Incumbent Republican Spencer Pickering was first elected in 2002, defeating incumbent Justin Price. Pickering is running for his fourth term.
On July 11, 2020, Pickering won the nomination for the Republican Party, while Dellcourt State Senator, Melissa Jurgens won the nomination for the Democratic Party.
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Spencer Pickering (incumbent) | 99,967 | 73.38% | |
Republican | Jennifer Yates | 36,275 | 26.62% | |
Total votes | 136,242 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Melissa Jurgens | 102,308 | 53.72% | |
Democratic | Robin Banks | 32,198 | 16.10% | |
Democratic | Abby Williams | 21,219 | 11.14% | |
Democratic | Darius Johnson | 17,436 | 9.15% | |
Democratic | Mario Russo | 11,445 | 6.02% | |
Democratic | Thersea Hollis | 5,855 | 3.07% | |
Total votes | 190,461 | 100.00% |
Lochcoast
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Incumbent Democrat Lola Fry was first elected in 2008, defeating incumbent Harvey Humphreys. On February 3, 2020, Fry announced her intention to run for Governor of Lochcoast and would not seek a third term in the Senate. The primaries in Lochcoast were on August 1, 2020. State Senators Michael Sykes (D) and Kenneth Tyler (R) won their respective party primaries.
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Michael Sykes | 123,879 | 47.72% | |
Democratic | Nathan Hardy | 74,315 | 28.62% | |
Democratic | Dylan Lowe | 44,039 | 16.96% | |
Democratic | Abby French | 17,398 | 6.70% | |
Total votes | 259,631 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kenneth Taylor | 115,112 | 45.34% | |
Republican | Callum Baldwin | 62,200 | 24.49% | |
Republican | Amanda Folks | 42,964 | 16.92% | |
Republican | Roger Camacho | 33,663 | 13.25% | |
Total votes | 253,939 | 100.00% |
New Bristol
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Incumbent Republican Andrew Clegg was elected as a Conservative Socialist in 2014, defeating Liberal Socialist nominee Evan Goodwin. He is running for a second term. The primaries in New Bristol were on March 28, 2020. Incumbent Senator Andrew Clegg (R) and former Arabin Representative Brynn Bilderback (D) won their respective party primaries.
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Andrew Clegg (incumbent) | 815,997 | 87.78% | |
Republican | Michael Shaw | 113,675 | 12.22% | |
Total votes | 929,672 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Brynn Bilderback | 777,771 | 68.17% | |
Democratic | Ryan Buckley | 137,516 | 12.06% | |
Democratic | Spencer Webb | 109,284 | 9.58% | |
Democratic | Ethan Martin | 79,456 | 6.96% | |
Democratic | Alicia Khan | 36,946 | 3.23% | |
Total votes | 1,140,973 | 100.00% |
New Cambridge
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Incumbent Democrat Winnie Kimes was elected as a Liberal Socialist in 2014. She ran for a second term but ultimately lost in the primary election to John Freeman IV. The primary election in New Cambridge was on April 4, 2020. John Freeman IV (D) and Ryan Wyatt (R) won their repsective party primaries.
Freeman is the younger brother of the 28th president of Arabi, Walter Freeman.
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | John Freeman IV | 2,116,291 | 50.01% | |
Democratic | Winnie Kimes (incumbent) | 2,115,720 | 49.99% | |
Total votes | 4,232,011 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ryan Wyatt | 2,117,605 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 2,117,605 | 100.00% |
New Plymouth
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Incumbent Democrat Michael Fuller was elected as a Liberal Socialist in 2002. He is running for his fourth term. The primary election in New Plymouth was on July 4, 2020. Incumbent Michael Fuller (D) and Charlotte Marshall (R) won their respective party primaries.
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Michael Fuller (incumbent) | 394,152 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 394,152 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Charlotte Marshall | 322,527 | 49.52% | |
Republican | Ethan Day | 156,221 | 23.98% | |
Republican | Paul McLawhorn | 131,672 | 20.21% | |
Republican | Kieran Sharpe | 41,000 | 6.29% | |
Total votes | 651,420 | 100.00% |
Owens
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Incumbent Democrat David Coffman was elected as a Liberal Socialist in 2002. He is running for his fourth term. The primary election in Owens was on August 29, 2020. Incumbent David Coffman (D) and Dwight Richman (R) won their respective party primaries.
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | David Coffman (incumbent) | 786,289 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 786,289 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dwight Richman | 511,004 | 51.37% | |
Republican | John Ware | 214,744 | 21.59% | |
Republican | Joanne Pippin | 99,201 | 9.98% | |
Republican | Adam Winter | 93,166 | 9.36% | |
Republican | Kate Connor | 76,652 | 7.70% | |
Total votes | 994,767 | 100.00% |
Saint George
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Incumbent Democrat Mary Nichols was elected as a Liberal Socialist in 2002. She is running for her fourth term. The primary election in Saint George was on May 9, 2020. Incumbent Mary Nichols (D) and Sean Whitehouse (R) won their respective party primaries.
Nichols is the current Senate Majority Leader.
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mary Nichols (incumbent) | 277,518 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 277,518 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sean Whitehouse | 201,134 | 46.89% | |
Republican | Ethan Conway | 118,123 | 27.53% | |
Republican | Hal Scott | 109,783 | 25.58% | |
Total votes | 429,040 | 100.00% |
Severn
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Incumbent Democrat Amber Holmes was elected as a Liberal Socialist in 2002. She is running for her fourth term. The primary election in Severn was September 12, 2020. Incumbent Amber Holmes (D) and Luca Doyle (R) won their respective primaries.
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Amber Holmes (incumbent) | 184,294 | 71.32% | |
Democratic | Ryan Herbert | 74,116 | 28.68% | |
Total votes | 258,410 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Luca Doyle | 152,414 | 30.62% | |
Republican | Julia Durso | 133,346 | 26.79% | |
Republican | James Ross | 112,547 | 22.60% | |
Republican | Emmanuel King | 99,555 | 19.99% | |
Total votes | 497,862 | 100.00% |
Windsor
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Incumbent Republican Lucien Orton was elected as a Conservative Socialist in 2002. He is running for his fourth term. The primary election in Windsor was on August 1, 2020. Incumbent Lucien Orton (R) and Joan Matthews (D) won their respective party primaries.
Orton is the current Senate Minority Leader.
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lucien Orton (incumbent) | 199,201 | 71.81% | |
Republican | Robert Thornton | 78,230 | 28.19% | |
Total votes | 277,431 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic | Joan Matthews | 165,026 | 42.74% | |
Democratic | Patrick Johnson | 127,546 | 33.03% | |
Democratic | Leon Winkel | 93,581 | 24.23% | |
Total votes | 386,153 | 100.00% |