2020 Arabin Senate elections
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11 of the 32 seats (class 1) in the Arabin Senate 17 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Liberal Socialist senator running Conservative Socialist senator running Liberal Socialist senator retiring Conservative Socialist senator retiring No election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2020 Arabin Senate elctions will be held on December 5, 2020, with the 11 class 1 seats of the Senate being contested in regular elections. The winners will be elected to six-year terms starting from January 5, 2021, to January 5, 2027.
Political party changes
Starting January 1, 2021, both the Liberal Socialist Party and Conservative Socialist Party will merge with the Democratic Party and Republican Party respectively. Any member of Congress who is elected to the two major parties (Liberal Socialist & Conservative Socialist) shall be sworn in as Democrats and Republicans on January 5, 2021.
Predictions
State | Senator | 2020 election ratings | |||||
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Arabin News Journal May 12, 2020 |
Independence Group July 3, 2020 |
New Age Research April 15, 2020 |
OPP June 29, 2020 |
Political Forecasting June 15, 2020 |
PolitiTrade July 1, 2020 | ||
Burberry | Poppy Smith | Lean D | Tilt R (flip) | Tossup | Tilt D | Tilt R (flip) | Lean D |
Dartmoor | Henry Carpenter | Tossup | Lean D | Tilt R (flip) | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D |
Dellcourt | Spencer Pickering | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Tossup | Likely R | Lean R |
Lochcoast | Lola Fry | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Safe D | Safe D | Likely D |
New Bristol | Andrew Clegg | Lean R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R |
New Cambridge | Winnie Kimes | Safe D | Tilt R (flip) | Safe D | Tilt D | Likely D | Tossup |
New Plymouth | Michael Fuller | Tilt R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Lean D | Likely R (flip) | Likely R (flip) | Lean R (flip) |
Owens | David Coffman | Tilt R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D | Tilt R (flip) |
Saint George | Mary Nichols | Tilt R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean D | Tossup | Lean D |
Severn | Amber Holmes | Likely D | Likely R (flip) | Lean D | Tilt R (flip) | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
Windsor | Lucien Orton | Safe R | Likely R | Safe R | Safe R | Lean R | Tossup |
Overall | D - 14 R - 17 1 tossup |
D - 12 R - 19 1 tossup |
D - 13 R - 16 3 tossups |
D - 13 R - 16 3 tossups |
D - 14 R - 16 2 tossups |
D - 13 R - 17 2 tossups |