2005 Scalizagastian federal election
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The 2005 Scalizagastian federal election was held on May 7, 2005, to elect 500 members of the Parliament of Scalizagasti. The centre-right Liberal-Conservative Alliance, led by then-Deputy Prime Minister Samson Rock, narrowly defeated incumbent Prime Minister Russel Balfour's Revolutionary Republican Party after only 158 days in office. Rock formed a minority coalition with the New Scalizagasti Party, whose leader, Gary Biyende, had left the Alliance 85 days earlier. Rock's government would last only three years until he was replaced as Prime Minister by his coalition partner Gary Biyende after the 2008 election. The coalition between the Alliance and New Scalizagasti Party would continue until 2016 when both parties experienced severe defeat to the opposition.
Background
The Revolutionary Republican Party and Liberal-Conservative Alliance were the two largest parties following the 2004 federal election, forming a grand coalition government. Neither party wanted to work with the Social Democrats, who were seen as corrupt and untrustworthy due to the Alpodes Scandal that toppled their government. 49 MPs from the Alliance would leave the coalition and form the New Scalizagasti Party in February 2005 after the coalition legalized same-sex marriage throughout the country. Sensing a surge in the polls for the Alliance, Rock pulled out of the coalition in May. Although SDP leader Max Sormann declared that he would support the government in a vote of non-confidence, Prime Minister Balfour refused any support from the Social Democrats and called a snap election.
Electoral System
The 516 members of Parliament are elected by open party-list proportional representation in multi-member constituencies. Seats are allocated using a Droop quota for the largest remainder method, with a 3% threshold for parties and a 1.5% threshold for independents.
458 seats are elected in 42 geographical electoral districts, ranging anywhere from 5 to 18 seats per electorate. The other 42 seats are elected through a national list, where each of Scalizagasti's six recognized ethnic groups (officially documented in the census) vote for 6 seats each, alongside a seventh list for "other" ethnicites and expats (including expats of Scalizagasti's six recognized groups). If a party wins 251 or more seats, they can govern without forming any coalition. However, this is incredibly uncommon due to Scalizagasti's proportional electoral system. The last time one party won an absolute majority was the RRP's landslide victory in 1993.
Election Date
The date of the election, 7 May 2005, was set by President Jennifer Charest following the dissolution of Parliament on 2 April 2005.
According to the 2000 Election Law, unless an early election is called, the general election must be held on the second Friday of August, four years after the last election year. However, because a snap election was called by Prime Minister Russel Balfour, the election law could be ignored and another date chosen. The last election was held on 30 November 2004, which was also called prematurely.
Polls close in electorates at 8:00 PM local time, and results are usually released a few hours later. However, recounts and other unexpected issues have previously caused vote count delays for up to 24 hours.
Campaign
Political Parties
Political Parties
In total, 27 parties stood in the election. However, only 13 won seats in Parliament. The vote share of minor extraparliamentary parties is not included.
Party | Leader | Founded | Ideology | 2004 election | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% vote | Seats | |||||
Revolutionary Republican Party | Russel Balfour | 1840 | Big-tent, Liberalism, Social liberalism, Civic nationalism | 36.6 | 203 | |
Liberal-Conservative Alliance | Samson Rock | 2000 | Classical liberalism, Liberal conservatism | 25.3 | 139 | |
Social Democratic Party | Max Sormann | 1862 | Social democracy | 16.2 | 86 | |
Patriotic Defense Movement | Jake Leurgin | 1999 | Nationalism, Right-wing populism | 4.6 | 19 | |
Holispet First | Adrian Lutz-Schürmann | 1948 | Regionalism, Haprian sovereigntism, Conservatism | 1.7 | 11 | |
Sontalirdenna | Charles Orias | 1979 | Regionalism, Milynian sovereigntism, Social democracy | 1.5 | 10 | |
Labour and Socialist Party | Bodi Lampoche | 1987 | Socialism, Left-wing populism | 2.5 | 9 | |
Progressive People's Party | Katherine Sorres | 1904 | Centrism, Agrarianism, Social liberalism | 1.7 | 5 | |
Reform Party | Bole Yallussi | 2000 | Radical Centrism | 1.3 | 5 | |
United North | Roberto Marrone | 1991 | Regionalism, Civil libertarianism | 1.3 | 5 | |
Palyrian Left | Emma Foligis | 1996 | Democratic socialism | 0.9 | 4 | |
Green Party | Francis Wright | 1983 | Green politics | 1.3 | 2 | |
Aulden Democratic Party | Harrison Webry | 1805 | Aulden Democracy, Red Toryism | 1.5 | 2 | |
New Scalizagasti Party | Gary Biyende | 2005 | National conservatism, Social conservatism | N/A | N/A | |
Birthday Party | Joe Kerr | 2004 | Satire | – | – | |
Islander Independence Party | Wendy Benemaw | 1981 | Regionalism, Torlu Island sovereigntism | – | – | |
Animal Rights Party | Elizabeth Peric | 2005 | Animal welfare | – | – | |
Communist Party of Scalizagasti | Anadi Bains | 1901 | Communism | – | – | |
Liahuan Heavenly Sutai Faith Party | Propi Wechuk | 1967 | Spiritualism, Sutai Faith | – | – | |
Imperial Restoration Party | Joseph Macton | 1967 | Monarchism | – | – | |
Scalizagasti Feminist Party | Laura Innis | 2005 | Feminism, LGBT rights | – | – | |
Vegan and Vegetarian Party | Lin Brown | 2017 | Veganism, animal welfare | – | – | |
The Family Party | Joseph Randy Ronald | 1982 | Religious right, Social conservatism | – | – |
Taxation
Taxation was a major issue during the election that was debated by all the major parties. Both the Liberal-Conservative Alliance and New Scalizagasti Party pledged to lower taxes on low- and middle-income earners. The Alliance also proposed to increase the tax-free allowance on income tax and the threshold for the inheritance tax. In its Three Preserves campaign platform, the NSP declared it would pass a law to prevent increases to income and sales taxes, which some critics claimed would make deficit reduction impossible. The Social Democrats proposed expanding the low-income family tax credit program, which was introduced by the Second Blaisworth Government, to include middle-income families as well. This would be paid for by a general income tax increase on high-income earners, as well as the creation of a new income bracket on those making over $450,000 yearly. The Republicans declared that taxation on individuals would not increase "by a single penny," although the party planned to fund healthcare expansions with higher corporate taxes.
Grand Coalition
Both the Republicans and Alliance described the grand coalition as a "coalition of necessity" following the Alpodes Scandal. Alliance leader Samson Rock declared that he would seek to form a government led by the Alliance, who at that point was leading in the polls. The NSP criticized the Alliance for entering a grand coalition and supporting "Big-time Socialism" during their time in government, and appealed to Alliance voters to instead vote NSP to prevent another grand coalition. Meanwhile, Labour and the Social Democrats accused the Republicans of tolerating and encouraging austerity measures by the Alliance, declaring that progressive voters should abandon the RRP.
Energy
The Green Party drew national attention when some of their members, including party leader Francis Wright, interrupted a news conference held by Samson Rock. They waved signs and held posters declaring that "Rock will poison us for 100,000 years!" in reference to the Alliance's plan to build 12 new nuclear reactors by 2020. The Social Democrats also adopted an anti-nuclear position, instead planning to invest in hydroelectric, solar, and wind energy.
Same-sex marriage
In February 2005, same-sex marriage was legalized throughout the country by the grand coalition. A survey conducted by QOPH Polling in April found that 43% of Scalizagastians supported the legalization of same-sex marriage while 38% opposed it (the remaining 19% had no opinion). The RRP, Alliance, and SDP all affirmed their support for same-sex marriage, although some Alliance members and voters voiced their disapproval. The New Scalizagasti Party was the most vocal opponent of the policy and appealed to social conservatives for support in repealing the law.
High-speed rail
Both the Alliance and Social Democrats wanted to extend Scalizagasti's high-speed rail line, which ended in the Torlonian city of Priel Swann, all the way to Reliance, Sintalli. The Republicans claimed that a high-speed rail expansion would not be economically feasible as demand to travel in Scalizagasti's north did not justify a high-speed corridor.
Opinion polls
Polling firm | Date | RRP | LCA | SDP | PDM | NSP | LSP | PPP | ADP | REF | GPS | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QOPH Polling | 20 Mar 2005 | 22 | 43 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - | - | 1 | 9 | 21 |
Bookmark | 1 Apr 2005 | 23 | 44.5 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | - | - | 1.5 | 7 | 21.5 |
QOPH Polling | 3 Apr 2005 | 22.5 | 42 | 15 | 3.5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | - | 1 | 6.5 | 19.5 |
Bookmark | 10 Apr 2005 | 21 | 40 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1.5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5.5 | 19 |
QOPH Polling | 10 Apr 2005 | 21.5 | 40.5 | 15 | 3.5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | 1.5 | 7 | 19 |
QOPH Polling | 17 Apr 2005 | 21 | 35 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 14 |
QOPH Polling | 24 Apr 2005 | 25 | 34 | 18 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 6 | 9 |
Bookmark | 27 Apr 2005 | 19.5 | 31 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 13 | 3.5 | 2 | 2.5 | 3 | 2 | 6.5 | 11.5 |
QOPH Polling | 1 May 2005 | 18.5 | 29 | 12 | 5.5 | 14 | 4 | 1.5 | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | 7 | 10.5 |
Bookmark | 4 May 2005 | 22 | 23 | 11 | 4.5 | 19 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7.5 | 1 |
QOPH Polling | 5 May 2005 | 23 | 27 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 17.5 | 2 | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
2005 election | 7 May 2005 | 25.3 | 25.6 | 13.0 | 4.7 | 15.4 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 6.8 | 0.3 |
Results
The Revolutionary Republican Party and Liberal-Conservative Alliance were in a near tie, at 139 and 138 seats respectively. The NSP made a strong third-place showing, winning 82 seats.
Analysis
Summary Results
Party | Popular Vote | Seats | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | Change | Total | Change | |||||||||||
Revolutionary Republican Party (RRP) | 25.3 | -11.3 | 139 | -64 | ||||||||||
Liberal-Conservative Alliance (LCA) | 25.6 | +0.3 | 138 | +48 | ||||||||||
New Scalizagasti Party (NSP) | 15.4 | --- | 82 | +25 | ||||||||||
Social Democratic Party (SDP) | 13.0 | -3.2 | 69 | -16 | ||||||||||
Patriotic Defense Movement (PDM) | 4.7 | +0.1 | 21 | +10 | ||||||||||
Holispet First (HSF) | 1.3 | -0.3 | 8 | -3 | ||||||||||
Labour and Socialist Party (LSP) | 2.3 | -0.2 | 7 | -3 | ||||||||||
Progressive People's Party (PPP) | 1.7 | 0.0 | 7 | +2 | ||||||||||
Reform Party (REF) | 1.7 | +0.4 | 7 | +2 | ||||||||||
Green Party (GRN) | 2.2 | +0.9 | 6 | +4 | ||||||||||
Sontalirdenna (SON) | 0.9 | -0.6 | 6 | -4 | ||||||||||
United North (UN) | 0.9 | -0.4 | 5 | 0 | ||||||||||
Palyrian Left (PL) | 0.6 | -0.3 | 3 | -1 | ||||||||||
Aulden Democratic Party (ADP) | 1.3 | -0.2 | 1 | -1 | ||||||||||
Others | 3.1 | -0.4 | 1 | +1 | ||||||||||
Pirate Party (PIR) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
Birthday Party (BIRP) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
Ecologist Party of Scalizagasti (EPS) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
Islander Independence Party (IIP) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
Citizen's Party (CIT) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
Animal Rights Party (ARP) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
Communist Party of Scalizagasti (CPS) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
Liahuan Heavenly Sutai Faith Party (LHSFP) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
Universal Basic Income Now (UBI) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
Imperial Restoration Party (IRP) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
Scalizagastian Feminist Party (SFP) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
Vegan and Vegetarian Party (VVP) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
The Family Party (FAM) | - | - | - | - | ||||||||||
Independents | - | - | 1 | - | ||||||||||
Total | 100 | – | 516 | – |