2018 Ordennyan federal election

2018 Ordennyan federal election

← 2015 4 October 2018 2019 →

All 650 seats in the House of Commons
326 seats needed for a majority
TurnoutIncrease83.6%
  First party Second party Third party
  Niamh Cooper Valdemar Soderberg.jpg Jean Oak
Leader Niamh Cooper Valdemar Söderberg Jean Oak
Party DGP KKF FSP
Alliance Alliance for Progress & Development Alliance for Progress & Development
Leader since 1 December 2016 17 December 2015 17 August 2018
Leader's seat Västdal (List) Richmond Sudentor
Last election 72 seats, 11.1% New party New party
Seats before 76 24 202
Seats won 215 214 105
Seat change Increase139 Increase190 Decrease97
Percentage 31.8% 31.6% 16%
Swing Increase20.7% New party New party

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Michel Fallow Jean Sinclair Jennifer Alexandre
Leader Michel Fallow Jean Sinclair Jennifer Alexandre
Party KPO LD NDP
Alliance Forward Ordennya Forward Ordennya
Leader since 12 September 2015 22 June 2015 12 July 2018
Leader's seat Lyon Neuistria (List) Osea (List) (Lost re-election)
Last election 219 seats, 33.7% 51 seats, 7.8% New Party
Seats before 200 46 102
Seats won 80 34 2
Seat change Decrease120 Decrease12 Decrease100
Percentage 11.3% 4.3% 2.7%
Swing Decrease21.4% Decrease3.1% New party

President before election

Johan Olsson
Independent

Elected President

Michel Fallow
Conservative Party of Ordennya

The 2018 Ordennyan federal election took place on 4 October 2018. At stake were all 650 seats in the House of Commons, and all 450 seats in the Senate of the People & Regions. The election was called by Acting President Jean O'Hanlon after the Government lost a confidence vote as a result of the government being reduced to a minority following the split in the leading party in the government, the Coalition of Socialists & Democrats.

The Greens, led by Niamh Cooper, emerged as the largest party in Parliament for the first time in Ordennyan history, with 215 seats, and won the most votes, with 31.8% of the vote and a swing of 20% in its favour. The Conservative Capitalist Front, led by Valdemar Söderberg, came a close second with 214 seats and 31.6% of the vote. The United Socialist Party, led by Jean Oak and composed of the remaining leftist MPs from the former Coalition of Socialists & Democrats, won 105 seats and 17% of the vote. The Conservative Party, led by Michel Fallow, fell even further than its result in 2015, dropping from 200 seats before the election to 80, winning 12% of the vote, a swing of 21% against them. The Liberal Democrats managed to somewhat cut their losses, winning 34 seats, just 12 less than before the election, and 4.7% of the vote. The New Democrats, led by Jennifer Alexandre, made up of centrist MPs from the Coalition of Socialists & Democrats, lost 100 of the 102 seats they held before the election, with just 2 seats and 2.6% of the vote, falling short of the 4% threshold to win seats on a State list. It was the first federal election to be held in Ordennya, given its reorganisation into a federation following the 2015 constitutional reform referendum.

Campaign

To be added

Electoral system

Ordennya uses the mixed-member proportional representation system for the House of Commons, a system of proportional representation combined with elements of first-past-the-post voting. The House of Commons has 650 members, and these seats are distributed between the 12 Ordennyan states. This system has been in place since a referendum in 1999 changed the electoral system from alternative vote to mixed-member proportional, and has been used since the 2000 election.

Each Ordennyan voter has 2 votes: a constituency vote (first vote) and a party list vote (second vote). Based solely on the first votes, 325 members are elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting. The second votes are used to produce a proportional number of seats for parties, based on state lists. List seats are allocated using the Sainte-Laguë method. If a party wins fewer constituency seats in a state than its second votes would entitle it to, it receives additional seats from the relevant state list. Parties can file lists in every single state under certain conditions – for example, a fixed number of supporting signatures. Parties can receive second votes only in those states in which they have filed a state list.

Voting eligibility

In order to vote in the federal election, one must be:

  • on the electoral register;
  • aged 16 or over on polling day;
  • an Ordennyan or Xanartopian citizen;
  • a resident at an address in the Federation of Ordennya (or an Ordennyan citizen living abroad who has been registered to vote in Ordennya in the last 15 years);
  • not legally excluded from voting (for example a convicted person detained in prison or a mental hospital, or unlawfully at large if he/she would otherwise have been detained).

Results

Ordennyan Commons.png
Party Constituency Party list Total
seats
+/–
Votes % Seats Votes % Seats
The Green Party (GP) 9,409,042 30.2 134 9,917,089 31.8 81 215 +139
Conservative Capitalist Front (KKF) 9,346,731 30.0 119 9,836,019 31.4 95 214 +190
United Socialist Party (FSP) 5,317,499 17.1 44 5,302,429 16.0 61 105 -97
Ordennyan Conservative Party (KPO) 4,327,981 13.9 16 3,819,216 11.3 64 80 -120
Liberal Democrats (LD) 1,651,255 5.3 10 1,457,413 4.3 24 34 -12
New Democratic Party (NDP) 1,103,262 3.5 2 823,604 2.6 0 2 -100
Communist Revolutionary Party 589,056 1.3 0 463,292 1.0 0 0 0
National Front 245,659 0.5 0 34,349 <0.1 0 0 0
White Elephant Party of October City 22,917 0.0 0 274,179 0.8 0 0 0
Centre Party 45,169 0.1 0 76,020 0.4 0 0 0
Pirate Party of Ordennya 93,196 0.2 0 70,476 0.4 0 0 0
Neuistrian Republican Left 166,228 0.4 0 44,809 0.3 0 0 0
Forward, Neuistria 97,539 0.2 0 0 New
Animal Protection Front 1,201 0.0 0 64,073 0.1 0 0 New
We Are The Reality Party 63,203 0.1 0 0 New
Invalid/blank votes 129,876 105,335
Total 32,449,045 100 325 32,449,045 100 325 650
Registered voters/turnout 38,776,819 83.6 38,776,819 83.6

Aftermath

Immediately after the results became known, both Niamh Cooper of the DGP and Valdemar Söderberg of the KKF claimed the right to form a government, as the two Parties emerged only two seats apart, and within 80,000 votes of each other. As the DGP emerged as the largest Party, Niamh Cooper commenced coalition talks on Friday evening, with an aim to forming a minority government with Jean Oak's FSP with confidence and supply from the remaining two NPD MPs and some MPs from the LD. The talks, however, fell through the same evening, with the LD refusing to abandon their alliance with the KPO. Subsequently, Jean Oak resigned as leader of the FSP, announcing his full retirement from frontline politics. Jennifer Alexandre, the leader of the NDP, who had also lost her seat, resigned as leader of her Party. The following Saturday morning, Valdemar Söderberg of the KKF commenced coalition talks with the KPO and LD, meeting with the leaders of both Parties personally. Talks lasted from 10:00AM on Saturday morning until 11:00PM on the following Tuesday night, when the final deal was published. Talks were somewhat fraught, as Michel Fallow of the KPO and Jean Sinclair of the LD were, at first, reluctant to work with a Party that largely consisted of detractors from both Parties. Söderberg, however, had stated multiple times during the campaign that he would be open to a coalition with the two Parties. The main sticking point for talks was the EC. The KKF is hard-Euclisceptic, and campaigned for unilateral withdrawal from the EC, whereas the LD are staunchly pro-Euclean, and the KPO only support a referendum on EC membership in the event that further power is centralised with the Euclean Commission. In the end, however, a compromise was reached, whereby the government would engage in a renegotiation of Ordennya's membership of the EC, the terms of which would then be put to the Ordennyan people in a referendum. In addition, EC policy was to be placed strictly in the hands of the President, a position, it was agreed, would go to PCO leader Michel Fallow, despite the KPO being the second largest Party in the coalition and the fourth largest Party in Parliament. Valdemar Söderberg of the KKF would be appointed jointly as Vice President and Chancellor of the Exchequer, with full remit over economic policy, and Jean Sinclair, the LD leader, would be appointed as Home Secretary. The remaining 13 positions would be distributed by the President. The coalition agreement also contained sweeping programs of deficit reduction, economic privatisation, and constitutional reform.

On 10 October, Michel Fallow succeeded in his Presidential investiture vote with 328 votes in favour and 322 votes against.

Investiture
Michel Fallow (PCO)
Ballot → 10 October 2018
Required majority → 326 out of 650 ☑Y
328 / 650
322 / 650
Abstentions
0 / 650
Absentees
0 / 650

Opinion polls

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