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Chaibian War

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Chaibian War
Part of the Pax Atomica (1945–present)
Chaibian War collage.png
Clockwise from top left: A Fallish UC peacekeeper during UCOMCA involvement in the Battle of Caridoso in 1989, a Nadauran military helicopter hovers over an abandoned FLP anti-aircraft weapon in 1987, the Easter Agreement is signed by President Tadeu Espíndola in 1990, internally displaced persons in Itzalcoatl
Date2 January 1982 – present
(42 years, 10 months, 1 week and 3 days)
Location
Nadauro, with spillover into Terrafirma
Status

Ongoing, Nadauran peace process

Belligerents

Nadauro


Supported by:
 Free States (1982–)
 Waldrich (1982–)
Rosland-Iskrell (1982–1992)
UCOMCA (1987–1992)

Nadauran drug cartels and right-wing paramilitaries


Supported by:
X

Nadauran guerrillas

  • FLP (1980–)
  • ER1M (1982–)
  • FDDI (1984–1990)
  • MAR (1981–1992)
  • PDT (1984–1990)
  • ERDL (1987–1989)
  • FPS (1985–1986)

Supported by:
Hyacinthe (until 1990)
X
Commanders and leaders

Nataniel Magalhães (2021–present)

Strength
Ground Self-Defense Force: 177,400
Naval Self-Defense Force: 47,250
Air Self-Defense Force: 33,350
National Police: 267,560
Paramilitary and successor groups: 4,500–26,000
CLUN: 40,200
FLP: 34,000 (2015)
ER1M: 13,890 (2006)
MAR: 1,200 (1990)
Casualties and losses
Nadauro: 6,401 killed (1982–1990)
19,840 injured (1982–1990)
CLUN: 1,065 killed
39,000 demobilized
AAE: 967 killed
1,740 captured
Armala cartel: 3,400 killed
FLP: 7,829 killed (1982–1990)
22,000 demobilized (since 2016)
900 captured (since 1985)
ER1M: 2,990 killed
4,000 captured (since 1990)
Civilians killed: 164,427
Individuals abducted: 25,027
Total number of individuals displaced: 3,363,000–5,100,000
Total number of refugees: 100,000+

The Chaibian War (Lavish: Guerra do Chaibia), also referred to as the Nadauran War (Lavish: Guerra do Anadaúro) and commonly as A Violência (lit. "The Violence"), was a low-intensity conflict dominated by asymmetric warfare throughout the 1980s between the federal government of Nadauro and the state government of Chaibia, far-right paramilitary groups, drug cartels, and far-left guerrilla groups, following the collapse of the Caravelas regime and the Third Empire of Nadauro in 1979.

The power vacuum left behind by the rapid paradigm shift of Nadauran power was swiftly exploited by numerous factions vying for control in the then-impoverished and underdeveloped state of Chaibia. Previously having been the center of popularity for the fledging Combinationalist Workers' Party (PMC) and minor secessionist groups advocating for Chaibian independence, differing political visions and desires caused conflict. In December of 1981, hoping to provide social justice through combinationalism, the PMC re-organized into the Popular Liberation Front (FLP) and initiated the outbreak of violence. By January of 1982, public order largely collapsed in Chaibia.

The Nadauran government's response was harsh and initially unyielding; on 30 September 1985, President Enrico Pimentel was assassinated in Itabira by the Revolutionary Army of 1st of March (ER1M) after repeatedly rejecting political concessions in the far-left groups' favor. Anti-combinationalist suppression by the government military in Chaibia prompted the creation of multiple far-right paramilitary groups such as the United Free Corps of Nadauro (CLUN), supposedly reactionary to the guerrilla activity, and the involvement of both domestic and international drug cartels and crime syndicates. The peak of wartime activity occured from 1987 to 1989, during which large parts of territory in Chaibia were effectively occupied by multiple fighting groups; major events include the 1987 Hotel Marizur bombing, the Battle of Selmestas, and the 1988 Bahia Minor raid.

Juan Manuel Duque pursued a controversial peace policy during his tenure in the late 1980s, negotiating the disbanding of CLUN and a temporary truce with FLP and ER1M in March of 1988; the peace deal fell apart when the rejecting National Congress moved against Duque with a vote of no-confidence in January of 1988. Fearing regional spillover amidst the escalating Half-Year War in neighboring Terrafirma, the United Congress Security Council passed Resolution 609 and created the United Congress Observer Mission in Nadauro (UCOMCA) to aid in peacekeeping and monitor the Nadauro–Terrafirma border. Following the climactic Battle of Caridoso in August of 1989, diplomatic efforts by presidential successor Tadeu Espíndola culminated in the Easter Agreement, a historic ceasefire treaty signed on 4 August 1990.

The Nadauran peace process has made steady progress since the 1990s and the 2000s, even when experts consider it to be fragile. According to a study by the University of Itabira, a total number of 235,000 people have died in the conflict from 1982 to 2010, the vast majority of which civilians (up to 80%). Estimates of the number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) range from 3.4 to 5.1 million people, generating the world's third-largest such population. According to UCCAF, 37,000 children have been killed in the conflict and another 1.8 million are designated as "victims"; human trafficking, more notably child trafficking, persist as broader societal issues and are the subject of political and public attention.

Names

Background

Timeline of events

Impact and legacy

Statistics

See also

Notes