User:Tranvea/Zorasan 2: Difference between revisions

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{{Infobox military conflict
{{Infobox military conflict
| conflict    = Second Yemeti Civil War
| conflict    = Internal conflict in Zorasan
| width      =  
| width      =  
| partof      =  
| partof      =  
Line 8: Line 8:
| caption    =  
| caption    =  


| date        = 30 August 2021-present<br/>{{Age in years, months, weeks and days |month = 08 |day = 30 |year = 2021 }}
| date        = 1954-present<br/>{{Age in years, months, weeks and days |month = 08 |day = 30 |year = 1954 }}
| place      = [[Yemet]]
| place      = [[Zorasan]]
| coordinates = <!--Use the {{coord}} template -->
| coordinates = <!--Use the {{coord}} template -->
| map_type    =  
| map_type    =  
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| status      = Ongoing
| status      = Ongoing
| combatants_header =  
| combatants_header =  
| combatant1  = {{flagicon|Yemet}} [[Yemet|Government of National Unity and Reconciliation]]{{Collapsible list|title = Pro-Military Government Groups: <br>
| combatant1  =
|<br>[[Iwa National Defence Army|INDA]]
| combatant2  = {{Collapsible list|title = Opposition Groups: <br>
|<br>[[Ruku Natioonal Front|RNF]]
|<br>[[Emergency Committee for Reunification and National Unity|ECRNU]]
}}<br />{{flag|Zorasan}}
| combatant2  = {{Collapsible list|title = Sotirian Groups: <br>
|<br>Kulo State <br>
|<br>Kulo State <br>
|<br>[[Andutu Patriotic Resistance Front|ARPF]]
|<br>[[Andutu Patriotic Resistance Front|ARPF]]
Line 38: Line 34:
|<br>[[People's Coalition for Makanian National Sovereignity|PCMNS]]  
|<br>[[People's Coalition for Makanian National Sovereignity|PCMNS]]  
}}<br>
}}<br>
'''Pro-Irfanic Republic of Yemet Groups:'''<br>
[[National Democratic Forces|NDF]]
| combatant3  =  
| combatant3  =  
| commander1  = {{flagicon|Yemet}} [[Ubaxle Asad]] <br />
| commander1  = {{flagicon|Zorasan}} [[Rahim Ali Haftar]] <small>([[State President of Zorasan|State President of the Union]])</small><br/> {{flagicon|Zorasan}} [[Gafur Qahor]] <small>[[First Minister of Zorasan|First Minister of the Union]]</small><br/> {{flagicon|Zorasan}} Gen. [[Ashavazdar Golzadari]] <small>([[Supreme Council of the Revolutionary Armed Forces|Chairman of the Supreme Council of the Revolutionary Armed Forces]])</small><br/> {{flagicon|Zorasan}} Gen. [[Sadavir Hatami]] <small>([[Zorasan|Union Minister for National Defence]])</small>
{{Collapsible list|title = Pro-Military Government Groups<br>
| commander2 =
|<br>{{flagicon|Yemet}} [[Iwa National Defence Army|INDA]] [[Hamid Ephrem]]
|<br>{{flagicon|Yemet}} [[Ruku Natioonal Front|RNF]] [[Nebay Azizawet]]
|<br>{{flagicon|Yemet}} [[Emergency Committee for Reunification and National Unity|ECRNU]] [[Bekele Daba]]
|<br>{{flagicon|Yemet}} [[Emergency Committee for Reunification and National Unity|ECRNU]] [[Jagama Merga]]
}}<br />
{{flagicon|Zorasan}} [[Vahid Isfandiar]]<br />{{flagicon|Zorasan}} [[Ashavazsar Golzadari]]<br />{{flagicon|Zorasan}} [[Kamshad Kharimpour]]
| commander2  = {{Collapsible list
|title = '''Various:'''
|Kulo State 
|[[National Democratic Forces|NDF]] [[Issa Kahsu]] <br>
|[[National Democratic Forces|NDF]] [[Ater Deng]] <br>
}}
   
| commander3  =  
| commander3  =  
| units1      =  
| units1      =  
| units2      =  
| units2      =  
| units3      =  
| units3      =  
| strength1  = {{flagicon|Yemet}} 195,000 (est., inc. pro-military government militas) <br />{{flagicon|Zorasan}} [[Zorasani Military Mission in Yemet]]<br /> ~12,425 soldiers<br>400-500 armoured vehicles<br>20-35 aircraft
| strength1  =  
| strength2  = '''Separatist groups:'''<br>Unknown<br/>~300,000 (Yemeti government estimates)
| strength2  =
'''Other Opposition groups:'''<br>Unknown<br/>~65,000 (Yemeti military government estimates)
| casualties1 = (1954-1980) ~7,500 killed<br/>(1981-present) ~1,670-2,900 killed
| casualties1 = {{flagicon|Yemet}} 4,000 KIA, 3,000 MIA (Est.)<br />{{flagicon|Zorasan}} 1 killed, 3 injured
| casualties2 = (1954-1980) ~10,000-20,000 killed<br/>(1981-present) ~4,000-8,000 killed
| casualties2 =
| casualties3 =  
| casualties3 =  
| notes      =  
| notes      = <center>86,930 civilians killed<br/>~50,000 disappeared</center>
| campaignbox =  
| campaignbox =  
}}
}}


The '''Second Yemeti Civil War''' is an ongoing, multi-sided civil war between the Irfanic Republic of Yemet, led by Acting President [[Issa Kahsu]] (supported by varying foreign and domestic allies), the Yemeti Government of National Unity and Reconciliation led by President [[Ubaxle Asad]] (supported by various foreign and domestic allies, primarily [[Zorasan]] and [[Rwizikuru]]) and other forces that oppose both of the Yemeti governments and one another.
The '''internal conflict in Zorasan''' refers to disparate and separate low-level insurgences by various ethnic and ethno-religious minorities against the Zorasani central government, with nearly all seeking separatist or national liberation goals. These have been taking place since 1954, in wake of the formation of the [[Union of Zorasan]], and expanded with the formation of the [[Union of Zorasani Irfanic Republics]] in 1980.  


Initial unrest in Yemet broke out on August 25th, 2021 following President [[Retta Iskinder]]'s announcement of an indefinite delay to elections, claiming that major corruption scandals within the Yemeti National Electoral Authority, increasing levels of violence throughout August and the inability of the [[People's National Liberation Army of Yemet|PNLAY]] to ensure the security of the elections. Riots against the Iskinder regime in the Sotirian-majority east of the country turned violent and were suppressed by the PNLAY with at least 500 people estimated to have been killed during the suppression.  
Historians and researchers separate the conflicts into three stages, pre-unification, immediate post-unification and post 1990. The conflicts of the first and second stages saw the greatest loss of life and near full-scale rebellion, however, violent state crackdowns and effective counter insurgency operations saw the volume and severity of attacks decrease. Since 1990, these internal conflicts have been defined as low-level insurgencies and sporadic terrorist attacks.  


The protests escalated into an armed conflict, with rebel groups such as the Akortu National Salvation Army, Andutu Patriotic Resistance Front and others defeating the poorly-equipped and trained forces of the PNLAY, expelling the Yemeti government from much of the country's east, and threatened to push the overextended PNLAY back to [[Girota]]. Percieving the Iskinder government as weak, other militia groups such as the Iwa National Defence Army appeared to defend ethnic homelands from the advancing rebel forces. As the conflict continued, Iskinder's positioon was further weakened by the revolt of [[wp|Oromo people|Gero]] PNLAY units to form the Emergency Committee for Reunification and National Unity on October 23rd 2021 and the [[Nativity Coup]] attempt by then Minister of Defence Nebay Azizawet with the support of ethnically [[wp|Tigrayan people|Ruku]] units, who after the coup's failure would form the [[Ruku National Front]].
All of the internal conflicts identified are driven primarily by ethnic and ethno-sectarian tensions between minorities and the central government. Most, if not all of the opposition groups seek independent states for their respective groups. At no point has the internal conflicts taken on a pro-democratic united front to overthrow the [[National Renovation Front]] single-party state, ostensibly to the benefit of the central government.
 
Intervention by [[Zorasan]] in late 2021 enabled the PNLAY to decisively push back advancing rebel groups in the north, retaking [[Lehir]] by March/April 2022. On April 26th, 2022, a [[2022 Yemet Coup|PNLAY coup]] led by Chief of Staff of the PNLAY Ubaxle Asad and reportedly backed by Zorasan, toppled the Iskinder government, after which the new Government of National Unity and Reconciliation was formed. The continuation of the Irfanic Republic of Yemet was declared on May 9th 2022 by Speaker of the Yemeti People's Congress turned Acting President [[Issa Kahsu]] with the support of Lt. Gen. [[Ater Deng]], who was named Vice-President of Yemet.  
The internal conflict since 1954 has left over 100,000 people dead and over 250,000 reportedly disappeared. The situation has led to widespread accusations of human rights abuses and crimes against humanity against the government.
 
All sides involved are believed to have committed widespread massacres against the civilian populace. The conflict has caused a refugee crisis, with between one to six million people internally displaced as a result of the conflict, with a similar number of refugees estimated to have fled to neighbouring countries. As a direct result of the conflict owing to the destruction and looting of crops and the displacement of people, a further 20 million people are estimated by the [[Community of Nations| International Food Program]] to be at risk of starvation due to famine.
 
===International Recognition of the Yemeti Government===
 
Following the 2022 Coup, the newly-proclaimed Government of National Unity and Reconciliation claimed to be the ''de jure'' ruling national government of Yemet and sought international recognition as such. This was disputed by Issa Kahsu, who declared on May 9th 2022 that as per the [[1997 Constitution of Yemet]], he was Acting President of the Irfanic Republic of Yemet until elections could be held and therefore a continuation of the pre-coup government.
 
====National Governments====
 
{{flag|Etruria}} has declared the Government of National Unity and Reconciliation 'illegitimate' and called for 'a democratically elected government, free of Zorasani influence.'
 
====International Organisations====

Revision as of 12:33, 5 September 2023

Internal conflict in Zorasan
Date1954-present
70 years, 3 months, 3 weeks and 1 day
Location
Zorasan
Status Ongoing
Belligerents
Opposition Groups:

Commanders and leaders
Zorasan Rahim Ali Haftar (State President of the Union)
Zorasan Gafur Qahor First Minister of the Union
Zorasan Gen. Ashavazdar Golzadari (Chairman of the Supreme Council of the Revolutionary Armed Forces)
Zorasan Gen. Sadavir Hatami (Union Minister for National Defence)
Casualties and losses
(1954-1980) ~7,500 killed
(1981-present) ~1,670-2,900 killed		 (1954-1980) ~10,000-20,000 killed
(1981-present) ~4,000-8,000 killed
86,930 civilians killed
~50,000 disappeared

The internal conflict in Zorasan refers to disparate and separate low-level insurgences by various ethnic and ethno-religious minorities against the Zorasani central government, with nearly all seeking separatist or national liberation goals. These have been taking place since 1954, in wake of the formation of the Union of Zorasan, and expanded with the formation of the Union of Zorasani Irfanic Republics in 1980.

Historians and researchers separate the conflicts into three stages, pre-unification, immediate post-unification and post 1990. The conflicts of the first and second stages saw the greatest loss of life and near full-scale rebellion, however, violent state crackdowns and effective counter insurgency operations saw the volume and severity of attacks decrease. Since 1990, these internal conflicts have been defined as low-level insurgencies and sporadic terrorist attacks.

All of the internal conflicts identified are driven primarily by ethnic and ethno-sectarian tensions between minorities and the central government. Most, if not all of the opposition groups seek independent states for their respective groups. At no point has the internal conflicts taken on a pro-democratic united front to overthrow the National Renovation Front single-party state, ostensibly to the benefit of the central government.

The internal conflict since 1954 has left over 100,000 people dead and over 250,000 reportedly disappeared. The situation has led to widespread accusations of human rights abuses and crimes against humanity against the government.

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