Opinion polling for the 2023 Pacitalian elections: Difference between revisions

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== Parliamentary election polling ==
== Parliamentary election polling ==
: ''Main article: [[Pacitalian parliamentary elections, 2023]]''
: ''Main article: [[Pacitalian parliamentary elections, 2023]]''
{| class="wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px"
|- style="height:40px;"
! style="width:105px" rowspan="2"| Polling firm
! style="width:105px" rowspan="2"| Last date<br />of polling{{efn|name=order|Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above). In the parliamentary polling table, parties are organized by largest to smallest parliamentary assembly, then by poll popularity where possible. In the archonal poll table, candidates are organized based on how their party's candidate placed in the [[Pacitalian archonal election, 2017|2017 election]].}}
! rowspan="2"| Link
! style="width:30px"| [[Pacitalian Social Democratic Congress|CSDP]]
! style="width:30px"| [[Federation of Progressive Democrats|FDP]]
! style="width:30px"| [[Christian Democrats|PDC]]
! style="width:30px"| [[Partit dels Socialistes d'Empordà|PSE]]
! style="width:30px"| [[Libertad Marquería Juntos|LMJ]]
! style="width:30px"| [[Pacitalian Green Party|PVP]]
! style="width:30px"| [[Llíga Empordán|LE]]
! style="width:30px"| [[Defence of the Republic|VdR]]
! style="width:30px"| [[Radical Anticapitalists|AR]]
! style="width:30px"| [[eDemocrats|eDem]]
! style="width:30px"| [[Podemos-Derecha Unida|PDU]]
! rowspan="2" style="width:30px" | [[List of political parties in Pacitalia|Other]]{{efn|name=other|Support for other parties may include the eDemocrats, Defence of the Republic, PDU, the Radical Anticapitalists, the Empordian Greens, or others, depending on the poll.}}
! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|MoE|Margin of error}}{{efn|name=MOE|In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.}}
! rowspan="2"| Sample<br />size{{efn|name=sample|Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.}}
! rowspan="2"| Polling method{{efn|name=method|"Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated {{wp|Interactive Voice Response}} polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.}}
! rowspan="2" style="width:60px"| Lead
|- class="sorttop"
! style="background:#EE0000" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#0198E1" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#222222" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#FBE6A2" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#ED702D" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#32B95F" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#F6C243" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#0000EE" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#990000" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#B2A7D3" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#789DE5" data-sort-type="number"|
|-
| ABM/Capax || {{dts|September 19, 2023}} || <ref name="eDems Moretti Gallo">{{Cite news|author=[[Pacitalian Broadcasting Corporation|PBC News]]|date=2023-09-22|title=eDemocrats elect Moretti Gallo as spokesperson|url=https://forum.nationstates.net/viewtopic.php?p=40921200#p40921200|access-date=2023-09-24}}</ref> || '''38''' || 23 || 19 || 2 || 1 || 2 || 1 || 2 || 1 || 8 || 2 || 1 || ±1.9 pp || 2,600 || IVR || style="background-color: #FFE6E6;" | CSDP +15
|-
|}


== Archonal election polling ==
== Archonal election polling ==
: ''Main article: [[Pacitalian archonal election, 2023]]''
: ''Main article: [[Pacitalian archonal election, 2023]]''
{| class="wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px"
|- style="height:40px;"
! style="width:105px" rowspan="2"| Polling firm
! style="width:105px" rowspan="2"| Last date<br />of polling{{efn|name=order}}
! rowspan="2"| Link
! style="width:80px"| [[Franco Russo|Russo]]
! style="width:80px"| [[Maria Bosa Sanremo|Bosa]]
! style="width:80px"| [[Abeo Bamidele|Bamidele]]
! style="width:80px"| [[Madonna Ferrache|Ferrache]]
! style="width:80px"| [[Yusuf Osman|Osman]]
! style="width:80px"| [[Marco Arancella|Arancella]]
! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|MoE|Margin of error}}{{efn|name=MOE}}
! rowspan="2"| Sample<br />size{{efn|name=sample}}
! rowspan="2"| Polling method{{efn|name=method}}
! rowspan="2" style="width:60px"| Lead
|- class="sorttop"
! style="background:#EE0000" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#0198E1" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#222222" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#32B95F" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#0000EE" data-sort-type="number"|
! style="background:#B2A7D3" data-sort-type="number"|
|-
| ABM/Capax || {{dts|September 19, 2023}} || <ref name="eDems Moretti Gallo" /> || 29 || 15 || '''34''' || 5 || 5 || 12 || ±1.9 pp || 2,600 || IVR || style="background-color: #EDEDED;" | Bamidele +5
|-
| Strategic Vision || {{dts|September 14, 2023}} || &nbsp; || 27 || 14 || '''36''' || 6 || 4 || 13 || ±2.4 pp || 1,645 || IVR || style="background-color: #EDEDED;" | Bamidele +9
|}


== Other polling ==
== Other polling ==
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=== Other ratings of politicians ===
=== Other ratings of politicians ===
=== State of the nation ===
=== State of the nation ===
== References ==
{{collapse top|title=Notes}}
{{notelist}}
{{collapse bottom}}
{{collapse top|title=References}}
{{reflist}}
{{collapse bottom}}


[[Category:Pacitalia]][[Category:Politics]]
[[Category:Pacitalia]][[Category:Politics]]

Revision as of 20:46, 24 September 2023

National elections will be held in the Pacitalian Republic in November and December 2023.

Eligible voters will elect the 715 members of the Constazione Repubblicana, 100 Senators to the Senato Repubblicana, and the country's next Archonate, the head of state. This article details public opinion polling firms' various findings over time; for example, levels of support for political parties, party leader approval ratings, individual support levels for candidates, and public sentiment about the state of the country and the economy.

Parliamentary election polling

Main article: Pacitalian parliamentary elections, 2023
Polling firm Last date
of polling[a] 		Link CSDP FDP PDC PSE LMJ PVP LE VdR AR eDem PDU Other[b] MoE[c] Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
ABM/Capax September 19, 2023 [1] 38 23 19 2 1 2 1 2 1 8 2 1 ±1.9 pp 2,600 IVR CSDP +15

Archonal election polling

Main article: Pacitalian archonal election, 2023
Polling firm Last date
of polling[a] 		Link Russo Bosa Bamidele Ferrache Osman Arancella MoE[c] Sample
size[d] 		Polling method[e] Lead
ABM/Capax September 19, 2023 [1] 29 15 34 5 5 12 ±1.9 pp 2,600 IVR Bamidele +5
Strategic Vision September 14, 2023   27 14 36 6 4 13 ±2.4 pp 1,645 IVR Bamidele +9

Other polling

Party leader approvals

Important election issues

Other ratings of politicians

State of the nation

References

Notes
  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 Polls that share the same last date of polling are ordered from earliest (below) to latest (above) first date of polling. Polls that have identical field dates are placed in the order in which they were released/published (earliest below, latest above). In the parliamentary polling table, parties are organized by largest to smallest parliamentary assembly, then by poll popularity where possible. In the archonal poll table, candidates are organized based on how their party's candidate placed in the 2017 election.
  2. ↑ Support for other parties may include the eDemocrats, Defence of the Republic, PDU, the Radical Anticapitalists, the Empordian Greens, or others, depending on the poll.
  3. ↑ 3.0 3.1 In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
  4. ↑ 4.0 4.1 Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters, and before demographic weighting is applied. Fractions in parentheses apply to rolling polls (see below) and indicate the proportion of the sample that is independent from the previous poll in the series.
  5. ↑ 5.0 5.1 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. "Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next.
References
  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 PBC News (2023-09-22). "eDemocrats elect Moretti Gallo as spokesperson". Retrieved 2023-09-24.
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