2024 Trenadian general election: Difference between revisions

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{{Infobox election
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2020 Trenadian general election
| election_name = 2024 Trenadian general election
| country = Trenado
| country = Trenado
| type = presidential
| type = presidential
Line 9: Line 9:
| election_date = October 2024
| election_date = October 2024
| opinion_polls =
| opinion_polls =
| turnout =  
| turnout = 94.05% (first round)<br>95.96% (second round)
| alliance_name    = no
| alliance_name    = no
| image1            = Will_Wade_(politician).jpg
| image1            = Shōzō Kudō 20130310 (cropped).jpg
| colour1         = 0087DC
| colour1           = FFDC00
| candidate1           = [[Gonzalo Freitas]]
| candidate1       = [[Maxin Valeiro]]
| party1           = [[Social Democracy (political party)|Social Democracy]]
| party1           = [[Libertarians (Trenado)|Libertarians]]
| alliance1         = Progress and Work
| alliance1         = For Our Nation
| leaders_seat1    =  
| leaders_seat1    =  
| last_election1   =  
| last_election1   =  
| popular_vote1      =  
| popular_vote1      = '''10,485,751'''
| percentage1        =  
| percentage1        = '''51.64%'''
| image2            = Shōzō Kudō 20130310 (cropped).jpg
| image2            = Will_Wade_(politician).jpg
| colour2          = FFDC00
| colour2          = 0087DC
| candidate2       = [[Maxin Valeiro]]
| candidate2           = [[Gonzalo Freitas]]
| party2           = [[Libertarians (Trenado)|Libertarians]]
| party2           = [[Social Democracy (political party)|Social Democracy]]
| alliance2         = For Our Nation
| alliance2         = Progress and Work
| leaders_seat2    =  
| leaders_seat2    =  
| last_election2   =  
| last_election2   =  
| popular_vote2      =  
| popular_vote2      = 9,819,731
| percentage2        =  
| percentage2        = 48.36%
<!--voting population is 19.291.724-->
| map_image      = {{Switcher
| map_image      = Trenadian_election_map_empty.svg
| [[File:Trenadian election map 2024 - First Round.svg|300px]]
| First round results by province
| [[File:Trenadian election map empty.svg|300px]]
| Second round results by province
| default = 1
}}
| map_size        =  
| map_size        =  
| map_caption    =
| map_caption    =
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* [[Progressives (Trenado)|Progressives]] (P)
* [[Progressives (Trenado)|Progressives]] (P)
* [[Trenadian Popular Party|Trenadian Popular Party]] (PPT)
* [[Trenadian Popular Party|Trenadian Popular Party]] (PPT)
* [[Liberals (Trenado)|Liberals]] (L){{efn|The Liberals joined the Progress and Work coalition for the second round, after Alexandra Silveira's candidacy was unsuccessful in the first round.}}
|-
|-
| style=background:{{party color|Liberal Forum}} |
| style=background:{{party color|Liberal Forum}} |
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* '''[[Libertarians (Trenado)|Libertarians]] (L)'''
* '''[[Libertarians (Trenado)|Libertarians]] (L)'''
* [[Worker's Party (Trenado)|Worker's Party]] (PT)
* [[Worker's Party (Trenado)|Worker's Party]] (PT)
|}
=== Candidates not advanced to runoff ===
{| class="vertical-align-top wikitable"
! scope=colgroup colspan=2 | Party
! scope=colgroup colspan=2 | Presidential candidate
! scope=colgroup colspan=2 | Vice presidential candidate
! scope=col | Coalition
|-
|-
| style=background:{{party color|Conservative Group}} |
| style=background:{{party color|Conservative Group}} |
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== Results ==
== Results ==
=== Congress ===
{| class="wikitable sortable" style=text-align:center;line-height:1.3
|+Composition of the National Congress of Trenado
|-
! scope=colgroup rowspan=3 colspan=2 | [[List of political parties in Trenado|Party]]
! scope=colgroup colspan=3 | [[Federal Congress of Trenado|Federal Congress]]
! scope=colgroup colspan=6 | [[Federal Senate of Trenado|Senate]]
|-
! scope=col | Elected
! scope=col | Incumbent
! scope=col rowspan=2 | +/–
! scope=colgroup colspan=2 | Elected
! scope=col | Incumbent
! scope=col rowspan=2 | +/–
|-
! scope=col | 2020
! scope=col | 2024
! scope=col | 2016
! scope=col | 2020
! scope=col | 2024
|-
| bgcolor="{{party color|Liberal Forum}}" |&nbsp;
| [[Libertarians (Trenado)|Libertarians]]
| 70 || 76 || {{increase}}6 || 11 || 12 || 13 || {{increase}}1
|-
| bgcolor="{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 1945–1965)}}" |&nbsp;
| [[Social Democracy (political party)|Social Democracy]]
| 64 || 60 || {{decrease}}0 || 13 || 13 || 13 || {{steady}}
|-
| bgcolor="{{party color|Conservative Group}}" |&nbsp;
| [[Conservatives (Trenado)|Conservatives]]
| 53 || 56 || {{increase}}3 || 10 || 10 || 8 || {{decrease}}2
|-
| bgcolor="{{party color|Progresistas}}" |&nbsp;
| [[Progressives (Trenado)|Progressives]]
| 39 || 37 || {{decrease}}2 || 8 || 7 || 7 || {{steady}}
|-
| bgcolor="{{party color|Socialist Justice Party}}" |&nbsp;
| [[Socialists (Trenado)|Socialists]]
| 15 || 17 || {{increase}}2 || 1 || 2 || 1 || {{decrease}}1
|-
| bgcolor="{{party color|National Popular Rally}}" |&nbsp;
| [[National Union (Trenado)|National Union]]
| 19 || 11 || {{decrease}}8 || 2 || 1 || 2 || {{increase}}1
|-
| bgcolor="{{party color|Liberal People's Party (Norway)}}" |&nbsp;
| [[Liberals (Trenado)|Liberals]]
| 6 || 7 || {{increase}}1 || – || – || – || {{steady}}
|-
| bgcolor="{{party color|Workers' Party}}" |&nbsp;
| [[Worker's Party (Trenado)|Worker's Party]]
| 2 || 4 || {{increase}}2 || – || – || 1 || {{increase}}1
|-
| bgcolor="{{party color|Popular Movement (Morocco)}}" |&nbsp;
| [[Trenadian Popular Party]]
| 2 || 2 || {{steady}} || – || – || – || {{steady}}
|-
! colspan=2 | Total !! 270 !! 270 !! {{steady}} !! 45 !! 45 !! 45 !! {{steady}}
|}
=== President ===
=== President ===
{{Election results
|cand1=[[Maxin Valeiro]]|vp1=Regina Vina ([[Worker's Party (Trenado)|PT]])|party1=[[Libertarians (Trenado)|Libertarians]]|color1={{party color|Liberal Forum}}|votes1=9076672|votes1_2=10485751
|cand2=[[Gonzalo Freitas]]|vp2=Amelia Fajardo ([[Progressives (Trenado)|P]])|party2=[[Social Democracy (political party)|Social Democracy]]|color2={{party color|Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 1945–1965)}}|votes2=7370681|votes2_2=9819731
|cand3=Mariano Solari|vp3=Will Gama|party3=[[Conservatives (Trenado)|Conservatives]]|color3={{party color|Conservative Group}}|votes3=1765851
|cand4=Sabino Medina|vp4=Cilistro da Silva|party4=[[Socialists (Trenado)|Socialists]]|color4={{party color|Socialist Justice Party}}|votes4=921834
|cand5=Alexandra Silveira|vp5=Sander Benedicto|party5=[[Liberals (Trenado)|Liberals]]|color5={{party color|Liberal People's Party (Norway)}}|votes5=818077
|blank=209773|blank2=287652
|electorate=20162888|electorate2=20593135
}}
<!--total valid votes in the first round: 19953115-->
<!--total valid votes in the second round: 20005483-->
==== By province ====
{| class="wikitable sortable" style=text-align:right
|+ Votes by federative unit
! rowspan=4|Federative unit !! colspan=4|Second round || colspan=8|First round
|-
! colspan=2|Maxin Valeiro !! colspan=2|Gonzalo Freitas !! colspan=2|Maxin Valeiro !! colspan=2|Gonzalo Freitas !! colspan=2|Mariano Solari !! colspan=2|Others
|-
! colspan=2 style=background:{{party color|Liberal Forum}}|
! colspan=2 style=background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 1945–1965)}}|
! colspan=2 style=background:{{party color|Liberal Forum}}|
! colspan=2 style=background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Brazil, 1945–1965)}}|
! colspan=2 style=background:{{party color|Conservative Group}}|
! colspan=2|
|-
! Votes !! % !! Votes !! % !! Votes !! % !! Votes !! % !! Votes !! % !! Votes !! %
|-
|{{left|[[Aceguá]]}} || 115,763 || 48.54 || style=background:#a9deff|'''122,727''' || style=background:#a9deff|'''51.46''' || 95,290 || 40.93 || style=background:#a9deff|'''117,410''' || style=background:#a9deff|'''50.10''' || 11,436 || 4.88 || 9,583 || 4.09
|-
|{{left|[[Cerro]]}} || style=background:#ffed7a|'''209,855''' || style=background:#ffed7a|'''54.34''' || 176,334 || 45.66 || style=background:#ffed7a|'''194,791''' || style=background:#ffed7a|'''51.33''' || 149,328 || 39.35 || 14,686 || 3.87 || 20,682 || 5.45
|-
|{{left|[[Concordia, Trenado|Concordia]]}} || 125,998 || 34.80 || style=background:#a9deff|'''181,033''' || style=background:#a9deff|'''50.00''' || 125,998 || 34.80 || style=background:#a9deff|'''181,033''' || style=background:#a9deff|'''50.00''' || 36,605 || 10.11 || 21,687 || 5.99
|-
|{{left|[[Eldorado, Trenado|Eldorado]]}} || 224,474 || 40.33 || style=background:#a9deff|'''264,716''' || style=background:#a9deff|'''47.56''' || 34,731 || 6.24 || 32,672 || 5.87
|-
|{{left|[[Eucaliptos]]}} || style=background:#ffed7a|'''323,181''' || style=background:#ffed7a|'''55.28''' || 204,034 || 34.90 || 31,219 || 5.34 || 26,191 || 4.48
|-
|{{left|[[Farropilha]]}} || 580,807 || 40.53 || style=background:#a9deff|'''757,069''' || style=background:#a9deff|'''52.83''' || 42,991 || 3.00 || 52,162 || 3.64
|-
|{{left|[[Flores]]}} || style=background:#ffed7a|'''1,022,764''' || style=background:#ffed7a|'''56.41''' || 610,286 || 33.66 || 75,243 || 4.12 || 104,796 || 5.78
|-
|{{left|[[Guaiba]]}} || style=background:#ffed7a|'''2,879,120''' || style=background:#ffed7a|'''52.01''' || 2,262,443 || 40.87 || 163,857 || 2.96 || 230,285 || 4.16
|-
|{{left|[[Guarani]]}} || 154,874 || 39.86 || style=background:#a9deff|'''188,212''' || style=background:#a9deff|'''48.44''' || 34,969 || 9.00 || 10,491 || 2.70
|-
|{{left|[[Ibirama]]}} || 420,683 || 44.18 || style=background:#a9deff|'''452,296''' || style=background:#a9deff|'''47.50''' || 15,235 || 5.33 || 28,471 || 2.99
|-
|{{left|[[Mercedes]]}} || style=background:#ffed7a|'''1,000,450''' || style=background:#ffed7a|'''46.87''' || 934,458 || 44.20 || 130,419 || 6.11 || 60,193 || 2.82
|-
|{{left|[[Nova Florida]]}} || style=background:#ffed7a|'''381,098''' || style=background:#ffed7a|'''50.64''' || 316,302 || 42.03 || 39,208 || 5.21 || 15,954 || 2.12
|-
|{{left|[[Piratini]]}} || 145,788 || 40.22 || style=background:#a9deff|'''194,940''' || style=background:#a9deff|'''53.78''' || 14,608 || 4.03 || 7,141 || 1.97
|-
|{{left|[[Quilhos]]}} || 847,242 || 44.31 || style=background:#a9deff|'''884,145''' || style=background:#a9deff|'''46.24''' || 112,239 || 5.87 || 68,452 || 3.58
|-
|{{left|[[Quintana]]}} || style=background:#ffed7a|'''664,216''' || style=background:#ffed7a|'''51.15''' || 523,581 || 40.32 || 32,204 || 2.48 || 78,563 || 6.05
|-
|{{left|[[Sanxoán]]}} || 95,151 || 32.73 || style=background:#a9deff|'''157,916''' || style=background:#a9deff|'''54.32''' || 24,507 || 8.43 || 13,140 || 4.52
|-
|{{left|[[Tres de Maio]]}} || style=background:#ffed7a|'''450,253''' || style=background:#ffed7a|'''46.78''' || 413,486 || 42.96 || 56,498 || 5.87 || 42,253 || 4.39
|}


==Notes==
==Notes==

Latest revision as of 18:55, 28 October 2024

2024 Trenadian general election
← 2020 October 2024 2028 →
Turnout94.05% (first round)
95.96% (second round)
  Shōzō Kudō 20130310 (cropped).jpg Will Wade (politician).jpg
Candidate Maxin Valeiro Gonzalo Freitas
Party Libertarians Social Democracy
Alliance For Our Nation Progress and Work
Popular vote 10,485,751 9,819,731
Percentage 51.64% 48.36%
Trenadian election map 2024 - First Round.svg
Trenadian election map empty.svg
President before election

Gonzalo Freitas
SD

Elected President

TBD

Presidential candidates

Candidates in runoff

Party Presidential candidate Vice presidential candidate Coalition
Social Democracia Gonzalo Freitas Gonzalo Freitas
Member of the Federal Congress (2001–2016) 		Amelia Fajardo Amelia Fajardo (P) Progress and Work:
Libertarians Maxin Valeiro Maxin Valeiro
Mayor of Alegrete (2015–2018) 		Regina Vina Regina Vina (PT) For Our Nation:

Candidates not advanced to runoff

Party Presidential candidate Vice presidential candidate Coalition
Conservatives Mariano Solari Mariano Solari Will Gama Will Gama Family, Land, Strength:
Socialists Sabino Medina Sabino Medina Cilistro da Silva Cilistro da Silva N/A
Liberals Alexandra Silveira Alexandra Silveira Sander Benedicto Sander Benedicto N/A

Opinion polls

First round

Graph of polls conducted

Second round

Graph of polls conducted in the scenario of Freitas against Valeiro

Results

Congress

Composition of the National Congress of Trenado
Party Federal Congress Senate
Elected Incumbent +/– Elected Incumbent +/–
2020 2024 2016 2020 2024
  Libertarians 70 76 Increase6 11 12 13 Increase1
  Social Democracy 64 60 Decrease0 13 13 13 Steady
  Conservatives 53 56 Increase3 10 10 8 Decrease2
  Progressives 39 37 Decrease2 8 7 7 Steady
  Socialists 15 17 Increase2 1 2 1 Decrease1
  National Union 19 11 Decrease8 2 1 2 Increase1
  Liberals 6 7 Increase1 – – – Steady
  Worker's Party 2 4 Increase2 – – 1 Increase1
  Trenadian Popular Party 2 2 Steady – – – Steady
Total 270 270 Steady 45 45 45 Steady

President

CandidateRunning matePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Maxin ValeiroRegina Vina (PT)Libertarians9,076,67245.4910,485,75151.64
Gonzalo FreitasAmelia Fajardo (P)Social Democracy7,370,68136.949,819,73148.36
Mariano SolariWill GamaConservatives1,765,8518.85
Sabino MedinaCilistro da SilvaSocialists921,8344.62
Alexandra SilveiraSander BenedictoLiberals818,0774.10
Total19,953,115100.0020,305,482100.00
Blank votes209,7731.04287,6521.40
Registered voters/turnout20,162,888–20,593,135–

By province

Votes by federative unit
Federative unit Second round First round
Maxin Valeiro Gonzalo Freitas Maxin Valeiro Gonzalo Freitas Mariano Solari Others
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
115,763 48.54 122,727 51.46 95,290 40.93 117,410 50.10 11,436 4.88 9,583 4.09
209,855 54.34 176,334 45.66 194,791 51.33 149,328 39.35 14,686 3.87 20,682 5.45
125,998 34.80 181,033 50.00 125,998 34.80 181,033 50.00 36,605 10.11 21,687 5.99
224,474 40.33 264,716 47.56 34,731 6.24 32,672 5.87
323,181 55.28 204,034 34.90 31,219 5.34 26,191 4.48
580,807 40.53 757,069 52.83 42,991 3.00 52,162 3.64
1,022,764 56.41 610,286 33.66 75,243 4.12 104,796 5.78
2,879,120 52.01 2,262,443 40.87 163,857 2.96 230,285 4.16
154,874 39.86 188,212 48.44 34,969 9.00 10,491 2.70
420,683 44.18 452,296 47.50 15,235 5.33 28,471 2.99
1,000,450 46.87 934,458 44.20 130,419 6.11 60,193 2.82
381,098 50.64 316,302 42.03 39,208 5.21 15,954 2.12
145,788 40.22 194,940 53.78 14,608 4.03 7,141 1.97
847,242 44.31 884,145 46.24 112,239 5.87 68,452 3.58
664,216 51.15 523,581 40.32 32,204 2.48 78,563 6.05
95,151 32.73 157,916 54.32 24,507 8.43 13,140 4.52
450,253 46.78 413,486 42.96 56,498 5.87 42,253 4.39

Notes

  1. ↑ The Liberals joined the Progress and Work coalition for the second round, after Alexandra Silveira's candidacy was unsuccessful in the first round.
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