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{{Infobox election
| election_name      = 2018 Vinalian federal election
| country            = Vinalia
| type              = Parliamentary
| ongoing            = no
| previous_election  = [[2016 Vinalian federal election]]
| previous_year      = 2016
| election_date      = 31 August 2018
| next_election      = [[2020 Vinalian federal election]]
| next_year          = 2020
| previous_mps      =
| next_mps          =
| elected_mps        =
| seats_for_election = All 39 seats in the Senate of the Union. All 183 seats in the House of the People
| majority_seats    = 92 House
| opinion_polls      =
| turnout            = 89.5%
<!-- Unionist -->
| image1            = [[File:Andrej Plenković 2019 (cropped).jpg|160x160px|]]
| leader1            = [[Omelyan Pavlov]]
| leader_since1      = 20 August 2018
| party1            = [[Unionist Party of Vinalia |Unionist Party]]
| color1            = 641B69
| alliance1          = Grand Union Coalition
| leaders_seat1      = Catherinsk (Senate)
| last_election1    = 11 Senate,  60 House
| seats_needed1      =
| seats1            = 14 Senate, 69 House
| seat_change1      = {{increase}}3,{{increase}}9
| seats_before1      =
| popular_vote1      = '''8,860,343'''
| percentage1        = '''37.2%'''
| swing1            = '''{{increase}}5.4%'''
<!-- Workers -->
| image2            = [[File:JUANGT.jpg|160x160px|]]
| leader2          = [[Ihor Oleh]]
| leader_since2      = 20 June 2018
| party2            = [[Workers Party of Vinalia|Workers Party]]
| color2            = FF9900
| alliance2          = Grand Union Coalition
| leaders_seat2      = Orlavo (House)
| popular_vote2      = '''6,794,017'''
| percentage2        = '''28.5%'''
| swing2            = '''{{decrease}}3.1%'''
| last_election2    = 12 Senate,  50 House
| seats_needed2      =
| seats2            = 10 Senate, 37 House
| seats_before2      =
| seat_change2      = {{decrease}}2,{{decrease}}13
<!-- Conservative -->
| image3            = [[File:Neto bran.jpg|160x160px]]
| leader3            = [[Stepan Martynyuk]]
| leader_since3      = 18 January 2017
| party3            = [[Conservative Party (Vinalia)|Conservative Party]]
| color3            = 1100FF
| alliance3          = Grand Union Coalition 
| leaders_seat3      = Velkarichka (House)
| last_election3    = 5 Senate, 20 House
| seats_needed3      =
| seats3            = 8 Senate, 28 House
| seats_before3      =
| seat_change3      = {{increase}}3,{{increase}}8
| popular_vote3      = '''3,219,135'''
| percentage3        = '''13.5%'''
| swing3            = '''{{increase}}1.5%'''
<!-- Freedom -->
| image4            = [[File:Mauricio Radford (2015).jpg|160x160px]]
| leader4            = [[Trokhym Radkohn]]
| party4            = [[Freedom Party (Vinalia)|Freedom Party]]
| color4            = FFFF00
| alliance4          =
| leader_since4      = 20 May 2015
| leaders_seat4      = Vevetsia (Senate)
| last_election4    = 8 Senate, 28 House
| seats_needed4      =
| seats4            = 5 Senate, 25 House
| seats_before4      =
| seat_change4      = {{decrease}}3,{{decrease}}3
| popular_vote4      =''' 3,190,655'''
| percentage4        =''' 13.4%'''
| swing4            = '''{{decrease}}3.6%'''
<!-- Nationalist -->
| image5            = [[File:Gabriel Aguilera.jpg|160x160px]]
| leader5            = [[Hryhorij Bujicnovik]]
| leader_since5      = 22 June 2012
| party5            = [[Nationalist Party of South Vinalia|Nationalist Party]]
| color5            = 00FFF7
| alliance5          =
| leaders_seat5      = Vevetsia (House)
| last_election5    = 2 Senate, 14 House
| seats_needed5      =
| seats5            = 1 Senate, 11 House
| seats_before5      =
| seat_change5      = {{decrease}}1,{{decrease}}3
| popular_vote5      =''' 3,190,655'''
| percentage5        =''' 13.4%'''
| swing5            = '''{{decrease}}3.6%'''
<!-- Green -->
| image6            = [[File:Nineth Montenegro (cropped).jpg|160x160px]]
| leader6            = Yana Perepelytsya
| leader_since6      = 17 November 2016
| party6            = [[Green Party (Vinalia)|Green Party]]
| color6            = 008C25
| alliance6          =
| leaders_seat6      = Chervona (House)
| last_election6    = 1 Senate, 6 House
| seats_needed6      =
| seats6            = 1 Senate, 8 House
| seats_before6      =
| seat_change6      = {{Increase}}2 House
| popular_vote6      =''' 3,190,655'''
| percentage6        =''' 13.4%'''
| swing6            = '''{{decrease}}3.6%'''
<!--bottom-->
| title = Minister-President
| posttitle =
| before_election = [[Turden Najic]]
| before_party    = Unionist
| after_election  = [[Omelyan Pavlov]]
| after_party    = Unionist
| map_image = Marirana map counties round 2.png
| map_size =
}}
The 2018 Vinalian parliamentary election took place the 31st of August 2018. The election was called by Minister-President Turden Najic, on May 5th 2018, as per law which mandates parliamentary elections 2 years after the previous parliamentary election, which had been carried out the 31st of August 2016. Najic had announced his intention to not run for reelection, thus opening the position of leadership for the Unionist Party from which Omelyan Pavlov the Minister of the Cabinet and Senate member arose to, new leadership headed the Conservative party with the young Vevetsian House member Stepan Martynyuk.
 
The election was a surprise to many, as the Workers party following strong results in 2016, lost senate and house seats still mantaining the position as the 2nd biggest party, but having lost ground to the Unionist party and a resurgent Conservative party which attempted to reclaim it's previous status before the breakup, after posting the worst losses in it's history both in the North and unified Vinalia Ihor Oleh stepped down. The election saw the Freedom and Nationalist parties also lose to a resurgent Conservative party, causing both their leaders to step down.
== Electoral process ==
Voters elect using the {{wp|closed list}} {{wp|Proportional representation}} method, each province/federal district is slotted at the minimum one seat, with seats being added in relation to the province/district with the smallest population (currently the province of Juyu Ruwach South with 134,600 people). The largest province by population and seats is that of Chervona with 43 seats followed by Vevetsia with 35 seats. For a party to seat a member in that province/district they must gain a necessary % of votes with parties in Juyu Ruwach South only requiring 51% of the vote to win a seat, while in Chervona for every 2.33% of the vote won a candidate is seated. Elections are held every two years, with seats being assigned every 10 years following a census (the Federal district of Vinalinsk had a census performed in 2017, adding three more seats into the district.)
 
Elections for the Senate are similar to House elections with the exception that all provinces/districts elect 3 members regardless of population, a 33% of the vote is required for a party to sit a member, although this is hard to achieve. As with the house, the party with the largest % of the vote gets seated, if the vote is split and the threshold can not be reached.
== Background ==
[[File:Alejandro Giammattei (48934164796) (cropped).jpg|thumb|left|Turden Najic]]
== Candidates ==
== Opinion polls ==
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:85%;text-align:center;"
!rowspan="2"|Date
!rowspan="2"|Institute
!Unionist
!Workers
!Conservative
!Freedom
!Nationalist
!Green
!Red
!rowspan="2"|Lead
|-
!style="background-color:#641B69;"|
!style="background-color:#FF9900;"|
!style="background-color:#1100FF;"|
!style="background-color:#FFFF00;"|
!style="background-color:#00FFF7;"|
!style="background-color:#008C25;"|
!style="background-color:#FF0000;"|
|- class="sortbottom"
| colspan="10" style="background-color:#CECECE" |'''End of public opinion polling (28/8/2018)'''
|-
|6/5/2018
|Безкоштовна преса (Free Press)
| style="background:#F8C1BE;" |'''40%'''
|30%
|12%
|10%
|5%
|2%
|1%
| style="background:#de000f; color:white;" |'''10%'''
|-
|16/5/2018
|BI (FI)
| style="background:#F8C1BE;" |'''38%'''
|27%
|17%
|10%
|4%
|3%
|1%
| style="background:#de000f; color:white;" |'''11%'''
|-
|26/6/2018
|Безкоштовна преса (Free Press)
| style="background:#F8C1BE;" |'''45%'''
|25%
|15%
|8%
|5%
|1%
|1%
| style="background:#de000f; color:white;" |'''20%'''
|-
|11/7/2018
|Безкоштовна преса (Free Press)
| style="background:#F8C1BE;" |'''41%'''
|27%
|17%
|5%
|8%
|1%
|1%
| style="background:#de000f; color:white;" |'''14%'''
|-
|18/7/2018
|Виналінський університет (Vinalinsk University)
| style="background:#F8C1BE;" |'''51%'''
|24%
|12%
|3%
|6%
|3%
|1%
| style="background:#de000f; color:white;" |'''27%'''
|-
|5/8/2018
|Безкоштовна преса (Free Press)
| style="background:#F8C1BE;" |'''47%'''
|26%
|12%
|8%
|4%
|2%
|1%
| style="background:#de000f; color:white;" |'''21%'''
|-
|15/8/2018
|Об'єднані Натисніть (United Press)
| style="background:#F8C1BE;" |'''45%'''
|26%
|14%
|9%
|3%
|2%
|1%
| style="background:#de000f; color:white;" |'''19%'''
|-
|25/8/2018
|Моя Натисніть (My Press)
| style="background:#F8C1BE;" |'''45%'''
|25%
|16%
|8%
|4%
|1%
|1%
| style="background:#de000f; color:white;" |'''20%'''
|-
|28/8/2018
|Безкоштовна преса (Free Press)
| style="background:#F8C1BE;" |'''40%'''
|25%
|18%
|8%
|5%
|3%
|1%
| style="background:#de000f; color:white;" |'''15%'''
|-
|}
 
== Campaign ==
== Results ==
=== Senate ===
=== House ===

Revision as of 07:49, 15 June 2020

2018 Vinalian federal election
← 2016 31 August 2018 2020 →
All 39 seats in the Senate of the Union. All 183 seats in the House of the People
92 House seats needed for a majority
Turnout89.5%
  First party Second party Third party
  Andrej Plenković 2019 (cropped).jpg JUANGT.jpg Neto bran.jpg
Leader Omelyan Pavlov Ihor Oleh Stepan Martynyuk
Party Unionist Party Workers Party Conservative Party
Alliance Grand Union Coalition Grand Union Coalition Grand Union Coalition
Leader since 20 August 2018 20 June 2018 18 January 2017
Leader's seat Catherinsk (Senate) Orlavo (House) Velkarichka (House)
Last election 11 Senate, 60 House 12 Senate, 50 House 5 Senate, 20 House
Seats won 14 Senate, 69 House 10 Senate, 37 House 8 Senate, 28 House
Seat change Increase3,Increase9 Decrease2,Decrease13 Increase3,Increase8
Popular vote 8,860,343 6,794,017 3,219,135
Percentage 37.2% 28.5% 13.5%
Swing Increase5.4% Decrease3.1% Increase1.5%
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Mauricio Radford (2015).jpg Gabriel Aguilera.jpg Nineth Montenegro (cropped).jpg
Leader Trokhym Radkohn Hryhorij Bujicnovik Yana Perepelytsya
Party Freedom Party Nationalist Party Green Party
Leader since 20 May 2015 22 June 2012 17 November 2016
Leader's seat Vevetsia (Senate) Vevetsia (House) Chervona (House)
Last election 8 Senate, 28 House 2 Senate, 14 House 1 Senate, 6 House
Seats won 5 Senate, 25 House 1 Senate, 11 House 1 Senate, 8 House
Seat change Decrease3,Decrease3 Decrease1,Decrease3 Increase2 House
Popular vote 3,190,655 3,190,655 3,190,655
Percentage 13.4% 13.4% 13.4%
Swing Decrease3.6% Decrease3.6% Decrease3.6%
File:Marirana map counties round 2.png
Minister-President before election

Turden Najic
Unionist

Elected Minister-President

Omelyan Pavlov
Unionist

The 2018 Vinalian parliamentary election took place the 31st of August 2018. The election was called by Minister-President Turden Najic, on May 5th 2018, as per law which mandates parliamentary elections 2 years after the previous parliamentary election, which had been carried out the 31st of August 2016. Najic had announced his intention to not run for reelection, thus opening the position of leadership for the Unionist Party from which Omelyan Pavlov the Minister of the Cabinet and Senate member arose to, new leadership headed the Conservative party with the young Vevetsian House member Stepan Martynyuk.

The election was a surprise to many, as the Workers party following strong results in 2016, lost senate and house seats still mantaining the position as the 2nd biggest party, but having lost ground to the Unionist party and a resurgent Conservative party which attempted to reclaim it's previous status before the breakup, after posting the worst losses in it's history both in the North and unified Vinalia Ihor Oleh stepped down. The election saw the Freedom and Nationalist parties also lose to a resurgent Conservative party, causing both their leaders to step down.

Electoral process

Voters elect using the closed list Proportional representation method, each province/federal district is slotted at the minimum one seat, with seats being added in relation to the province/district with the smallest population (currently the province of Juyu Ruwach South with 134,600 people). The largest province by population and seats is that of Chervona with 43 seats followed by Vevetsia with 35 seats. For a party to seat a member in that province/district they must gain a necessary % of votes with parties in Juyu Ruwach South only requiring 51% of the vote to win a seat, while in Chervona for every 2.33% of the vote won a candidate is seated. Elections are held every two years, with seats being assigned every 10 years following a census (the Federal district of Vinalinsk had a census performed in 2017, adding three more seats into the district.)

Elections for the Senate are similar to House elections with the exception that all provinces/districts elect 3 members regardless of population, a 33% of the vote is required for a party to sit a member, although this is hard to achieve. As with the house, the party with the largest % of the vote gets seated, if the vote is split and the threshold can not be reached.

Background

Turden Najic

Candidates

Opinion polls

Date Institute Unionist Workers Conservative Freedom Nationalist Green Red Lead
End of public opinion polling (28/8/2018)
6/5/2018 Безкоштовна преса (Free Press) 40% 30% 12% 10% 5% 2% 1% 10%
16/5/2018 BI (FI) 38% 27% 17% 10% 4% 3% 1% 11%
26/6/2018 Безкоштовна преса (Free Press) 45% 25% 15% 8% 5% 1% 1% 20%
11/7/2018 Безкоштовна преса (Free Press) 41% 27% 17% 5% 8% 1% 1% 14%
18/7/2018 Виналінський університет (Vinalinsk University) 51% 24% 12% 3% 6% 3% 1% 27%
5/8/2018 Безкоштовна преса (Free Press) 47% 26% 12% 8% 4% 2% 1% 21%
15/8/2018 Об'єднані Натисніть (United Press) 45% 26% 14% 9% 3% 2% 1% 19%
25/8/2018 Моя Натисніть (My Press) 45% 25% 16% 8% 4% 1% 1% 20%
28/8/2018 Безкоштовна преса (Free Press) 40% 25% 18% 8% 5% 3% 1% 15%

Campaign

Results

Senate

House

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