2021 Vinalian General election
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All 183 seats in the House of the People (92 needed for majority). All 39 seats in the Senate of the Union (20 needed for majority). | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 87.3% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2021 Vinalian General election is to be held on Sunday, 15 August 2019, to elect the 16th Vinalian Parliament of the United Republic of Vinalia. All 183 seats in the House of the People are up for election, as well as the 39 seats in the Senate of the Union. The election was called, after the Parliament was dissolved by President Ersnt Rupold, on June 15th 2021, as per law which mandates parliamentary elections 2 years after the previous parliamentary election, which had been carried out the 15th of August 2019.
Pavlov is competing to be reelected for his second term as head of the Unionist Party, the major party in the ruling coalition, the Grand Union Coalition which has seen increased tensions and volatility between its two other members in the past few months, the Workers Party and the Conservative Party. The Workers Party the second largest party in Parliament has been hit by stagnant results in local elections and an ever dissastifaction with the Conservative party, which has under Stepan Martynyuk moved further to the right. The Conservative Party has seen great success in local elections and with wavering support for the Nationalist and Freedom parties, the Conservative party is set to make gains against those two parties.
Electoral process
Voters elect using the closed list Proportional representation method, each province/federal district is slotted at the minimum one seat, with seats being added in relation to the province/district with the smallest population (currently the province of Juyu Ruwach South with 134,600 people). The largest province by population and seats is that of Zamara with 43 seats followed by Vevetsia with 35 seats. For a party to seat a member in that province/district they must gain a necessary % of votes with parties in Juyu Ruwach South only requiring 51% of the vote to win a seat, while in Chervona for every 2.33% of the vote won a candidate is seated. Elections are held every two years, with seats being assigned every 10 years following a census (the Federal district of Vinalinsk had a census performed in 2017, adding three more seats into the district.)
Elections for the Senate are similar to House elections with the exception that all provinces/districts elect 3 members regardless of population, a 33% of the vote is required for a party to sit a member, although this is hard to achieve. As with the house, the party with the largest % of the vote gets seated, if the vote is split and the threshold can not be reached.
Need to rewrite all of this...
Background
Parties
| Name | Ideology | Leader | 2019 result | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | House of the People | Senate of the Union | ||||||
| UP | Unionist Party Юніоністична партія Yunionistychna partiya |
Vinalian Unionism Social liberalism Center-Right |
Omelyan Pavlov | 10.85% | 69 / 183
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14 / 39
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Opinion polls
| Date | Institute | Unionist | Workers | Conservative | Freedom | Nationalist | Green | Red | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| End of public opinion polling (28/8/2018) | |||||||||
| 6/5/2018 | Безкоштовна преса (Free Press) | 40% | 30% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
| 16/5/2018 | BI (FI) | 38% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 11% |
| 26/6/2018 | Безкоштовна преса (Free Press) | 45% | 25% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 20% |
| 11/7/2018 | Безкоштовна преса (Free Press) | 41% | 27% | 17% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
| 18/7/2018 | Виналінський університет (Vinalinsk University) | 51% | 24% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 27% |
| 5/8/2018 | Безкоштовна преса (Free Press) | 47% | 26% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 21% |
| 15/8/2018 | Об'єднані Натисніть (United Press) | 45% | 26% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 19% |
| 25/8/2018 | Моя Натисніть (My Press) | 45% | 25% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 20% |
| 28/8/2018 | Безкоштовна преса (Free Press) | 40% | 25% | 18% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 15% |
Campaign
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