2020 Ostric regional election: Difference between revisions

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{{Infobox election
{{Infobox election
| election_name    = 2016 Ostric regional election
| election_name    = 2020 Ostric regional election
| country          = Ostry
| country          = Ostry
| flag_year        =  
| flag_year        =  
Line 6: Line 6:
| type              = parliamentary
| type              = parliamentary
| vote_type        = Popular
| vote_type        = Popular
| ongoing          = yes
| ongoing          = no
| previous_year    = [[2016 Ostric regional election|2016]]
| previous_year    = [[2016 Ostric regional election|2016]]
| election_date    = On or before 7 June 2020
| election_date    = 2 February 2020
| next_year        =  
| next_year        =  
| seats_for_election= All 15 seats in the [[Dorada]]
| seats_for_election= All 15 seats in the [[Dorada]]
Line 23: Line 23:
| last_election1    = 6 seats, 37.27%
| last_election1    = 6 seats, 37.27%
| seats_before1    =  
| seats_before1    =  
| seats1            = '''6'''
| seats1            = '''4'''
| seat_change1      = {{decrease}}1
| seat_change1      = {{decrease}}2
| popular_vote1    = '''4,045'''
| popular_vote1    = '''2,458'''
| percentage1      = '''37.27%'''
| percentage1      = '''22.23%'''
| swing1            = {{decrease}}6.01{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
| swing1            = {{decrease}}15.04{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
<!--        party 2        -->
<!--        party 2        -->
| image2            = [[File:Jakub_Rutnicki_(cropped).jpg|105px]]
| image2            = [[File:Andrzej_Adamczyk_Sejm_2015_02.JPG|97px]]
| colour2          = 08660D
| colour2          = FFD700
| leader2          = [[Adóm Lës]]
| leader2          = [[Josef Stegerwald]] <small>''(pictured)''</small><br>[[Klara Andrësziak]]
| party2            = [[Ostric People's Party|People's]]
| party2            = [[Citizen’s Alliance for Ostry|Alliance]]
| alliance2        =  
| alliance2        =  
| leader_since2    = 6 May 2018
| leader_since2    = 10 November 2019
| leaders_seat2    =  
| leaders_seat2    =  
| last_election2    = 4 seats, 24.15%
| last_election2    = ''Did not exist''
| seats_before2    =  
| seats_before2    =  
| seats2            = 4
| seats2            = 3
| seat_change2      = {{increase}}1
| seat_change2      = {{increase}}3
| popular_vote2    = 2,621
| popular_vote2    = 2,276
| percentage2      = 24.15%
| percentage2      = 20.58%
| swing2            = {{increase}}6.25{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
| swing2            = {{increase}}20.58{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
<!--        party 3        -->
<!--        party 3        -->
| image3            = [[File:JKRUK_20191004_GRZEGORZ_BRAUN_KIELCE_IMGP3258A.jpg|110px]]
| image3            = [[File:Jakub_Rutnicki_(cropped).jpg|105px]]
| colour3          = 002664
| colour3          = 08660D
| leader3          = [[Msczisłôw Mencher]]
| leader3          = [[Adóm Lës]]
| party3            = [[Ostric Coalition|Coalition]]
| party3            = [[Ostric People's Party|People's]]
| alliance3        =  
| alliance3        =  
| leader_since3    = 3 November 2019 <small>(''Interim leader'')</small>
| leader_since3    = 6 May 2018
| leaders_seat3    =  
| leaders_seat3    =  
| last_election3    = 3 seats, 20.39%
| last_election3    = 4 seats, 24.15%
| seats_before3    =  
| seats_before3    =  
| seats3            = 3
| seats3            = 2
| seat_change3      = {{decrease}}1
| seat_change3      = {{decrease}}2
| popular_vote3    = 2,213
| popular_vote3    = 1,586
| percentage3      = 20.39%
| percentage3      = 14.34%
| swing3            = {{decrease}}3.22{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
| swing3            = {{decrease}}9.81{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
<!--        party 4        -->
<!--        party 4        -->
| image4            = [[File:Adam_Cyrański_Sejm_2015.JPG|90px]]
| image4            = <div style="width:112px;"><span style="line-height:109px; vertical-align:center; text-align:center; color:#FFBF00; font-size:37px;"> '''NëW'''
| colour4          = FF6A00
| colour4          = FFBF00
| leader4          = [[Linus Hoch]]
| leader4          = [[Macéj Fiedler]]
| party4            = [[National Consolidation Party|National Consolidation]]
| party4            = [[Nation and Freedom]]
| alliance4        =  
| alliance4        =  
| leader_since4    = 1 May 2015
| leader_since4    = 28 December 2019
| leaders_seat4    =  
| leaders_seat4    =  
| last_election4    = 1 seat, 11.10%
| last_election4    = ''Did not exist''
| seats_before4    =  
| seats_before4    =  
| seats4            = 1
| seats4            = 2
| seat_change4      = {{nochange}}
| seat_change4      = {{increase}}2
| popular_vote4    = 1,205
| popular_vote4    = 1,466
| percentage4      = 11.10%
| percentage4      = 13.26%
| swing4            = {{increase}}1.10{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
| swing4            = {{increase}}13.26{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
<!--        party 5        -->
<!--        party 5        -->
| image5            = [[File:Paweł_Arndt_Sejm_2016.JPG|91px]]
| image5            = <div style="width:112px;"><span style="line-height:109px; vertical-align:center; text-align:center; color:#BE3075; font-size:37px;"> '''DA'''
| colour5          = 019CDB
| colour5          = BE3075
| leader5          = [[Arne Gotti]]
| leader5          = [[Adam Duerr]]
| party5            = [[Modern Centre Party (Werania)|Modern Centre]]
| party5            = [[Democratic Alternative (Werania)|Democratic]]
| alliance5        =  
| alliance5        =  
| leader_since5    = 31 August 2010
| leader_since5    = 12 August 2019
| leaders_seat5    =  
| leaders_seat5    =  
| last_election5    = 1 seat, 7.09%
| last_election5    = ''Did not exist''
| seats_before5    =  
| seats_before5    =  
| seats5            = 1
| seats5            = 1
| seat_change5      = {{increase}}1
| seat_change5      = {{increase}}1
| popular_vote5    = 769
| popular_vote5    = 762
| percentage5      = 7.09%
| percentage5      = 6.89%
| swing5            = {{increase}}1.88{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
| swing5            = {{increase}}6.89{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
<!--        party 6        -->
<!--        party 6        -->
| image6            = <div style="width:112px;"><span style="line-height:109px; vertical-align:center; text-align:center; color:#D401A9; font-size:37px;"> '''ÒN'''
| image6            = [[File:Gendron.jpg|90px]]
| colour6          = D401A9
| colour6          = 258B4C
| leader6          = [[Léch Schwarzman]]
| leader6          = [[Miłosłôw Gendron]]
| party6            = [[Ostry Unbound]]
| party6            = [[Ostric Greens|Greens]]
| alliance6        =  
| alliance6        =  
| leader_since6    = 1 May 2017
| leader_since6    = 4 November 2019
| leaders_seat6    =  
| leaders_seat6    =  
| last_election6    = ''Did not exist''
| last_election6    = ''Did not exist''
| seats_before6    =  
| seats_before6    =  
| seats6            =  
| seats6            = 1
| seat_change6      =  
| seat_change6      = {{increase}}1
| popular_vote6    =  
| popular_vote6    = 672
| percentage6      =  
| percentage6      = 6.08%
| swing6            =  
| swing6            = {{increase}}6.08{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
 
<!--        party 7        -->
| image7            = [[File:Adam_Cyrański_Sejm_2015.JPG|90px]]
| colour7          = FF6A00
| leader7          = [[Linus Hoch]]
| party7            = [[The Union (Ostry)|Union]]
| alliance7        =
| leader_since7    = ''Candidate for Minister-Chairman''
| leaders_seat7    =
| last_election7    = 2 seats, 18.19%<ref>Result of [[National Consolidation Party]] and [[Ostric Liberal Party]]</ref>
| seats_before7    =
| seats7            = 1
| seat_change7      = {{decrease}}1
| popular_vote7    = 658
| percentage7      = 5.95%
| swing7            = {{decrease}}12.24{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
<!--        party 8        -->
| image8            = [[File:Tinykox.jpg|135px]]
| colour8          = 7FFFD4
| leader8          = [[Eckart Schmuck]]
| party8            = [[Party for the Whales|Whales]]
| alliance8        =
| leader_since8    = 21 May 2018
| leaders_seat8    =
| last_election8    = ''Did not exist''
| seats_before8    =
| seats8            = 1
| seat_change8      = {{increase}}1
| popular_vote8    = 588
| percentage8      = 5.32%
| swing8            = {{increase}}5.32{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
<!--        party 9        -->
| image9            = [[File:JKRUK_20191004_GRZEGORZ_BRAUN_KIELCE_IMGP3258A.jpg|110px]]
| colour9          = 002664
| leader9          = [[Msczisłôw Mencher]]
| party9            = [[Ostric Coalition|Coalition]]
| alliance9        =
| leader_since9    = 3 November 2019 <small>(''Interim leader'')</small>
| leaders_seat9    =  
| last_election9    = 3 seats, 20.39%
| seats_before9    =
| seats9            = 0
| seat_change9      = {{decrease}}3
| popular_vote9    = 261
| percentage9      = 2.36%
| swing9            = {{decrease}}18.03{{wp|percentage points|pp}}
<!-- map -->
<!-- map -->
| map_image        =  
| map_image        =  
Line 116: Line 160:
| before_party      = [[Social Democratic Radical Party of Werania|Social Democratic Radical]]
| before_party      = [[Social Democratic Radical Party of Werania|Social Democratic Radical]]
| posttitle        = [[Minister-Chairman of Ostry|Minister-Chairman]]
| posttitle        = [[Minister-Chairman of Ostry|Minister-Chairman]]
| after_election    = TBD
| after_election    = [[Jón Woss]]
| after_party      =  
| after_party      = [[Social Democratic Radical Party of Werania|Social Democratic Radical]]
}}
}}
The '''10th Ostric regional election''' will occur on or before 7 June 2020.
The '''10th Ostric regional election''' occurred on 2 February 2020. The established parties in Ostry, including the governing [[Social Democratic Radical Party of Werania|Social Democratic Radical Party]] and the [[Ostric People's Party]] suffered a shock defeat, seeing both parties attain a record lowest number of the vote and seats, while the [[Ostric Coalition]] suffered a complete wipeout, exiting the Dorada for the first time in its history. In turn, a record number of newly registered parties, five in total, entered the Dorada for the first time, including an electoral upset by the [[Citizen’s Alliance for Ostry]], which came a narrow second with 21% of the popular vote and three seats. After difficult negotiations, a unity "[[Marirana]]" coalition was formed between the SRPO, Alliance, and People's Party.
==Background==
The [[2016 Ostric regional election|previous election]] in 2016 returned a SRPO government under [[Johann Schöttmer]], in a minority coalition with the [[Ostric Liberal Party]] and with the [[National Consolidation Party]] support from outside. In late 2019, Schöttmer resigned as Minister-Chairman to run in the [[2020 Social Democratic Radical Party of Werania leadership election]], leaving [[Nataliô Kohl]] as party leader and Minister-Chairwoman. She failed a vote of confidence on 22 December, due to NKP leader [[Linus Hoch]] voting against the government over possible electoral reform, causing a snap election to be called.
 
During the campaign, the established parties in the Dorada continually lost ground to smaller parties, especially the Citizen's Alliance for Ostry, which garnered a large swing in support after what was considered a respectable showing at the "small" debate for extra-parliamentary parties on 12 January. By the campaign's last week, polls showed a potential three-way tie between the SRPO, People's Party, and Alliance.
==Electoral system==
==Electoral system==
The electorate elects all fifteen members of the [[Dorada]] using {{wp|single non-transferable vote}} in one island-wide multi-member constituency.
The electorate elects all fifteen members of the [[Dorada]] using {{wp|single non-transferable vote}} in one island-wide multi-member constituency.
Line 134: Line 182:
| width="1" style="background-color:#CC0000"|
| width="1" style="background-color:#CC0000"|
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Social Democratic Radical Party of Werania|Social Democratic Radical Party]]
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Social Democratic Radical Party of Werania|Social Democratic Radical Party]]
|  
| 2,458
|  
| 22.23
|  
| 4
|  
| –2
|-
| width="1" style="background-color:#FFD700"|
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Citizen’s Alliance for Ostry]]
| 2,276
| 20.58
| 3
| ''New''
|-
|-
| width="1" style="background-color:#08660D"|
| width="1" style="background-color:#08660D"|
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Ostric People's Party]]
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Ostric People's Party]]
|  
| 1,586
|  
| 14.34
|  
| 2
|  
| –2
|-
|-
| width="1" style="background-color:#002664"|
| width="1" style="background-color:#FFBF00"|
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Ostric Coalition]]
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Nation and Freedom]]
|  
| 1,466
|  
| 13.26
|  
| 2
|  
| ''New''
|-
| width="1" style="background-color:#BE3075"|
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Democratic Alternative (Werania)|Democratic Alternative]]
| 762
| 6.89
| 1
| ''New''
|-
| width="1" style="background-color:#258B4C"|
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Ostric Greens]]
| 672
| 6.08
| 1
| ''New''
|-
|-
| width="1" style="background-color:#FF6A00"|
| width="1" style="background-color:#FF6A00"|
| style="text-align:left;"| [[National Consolidation Party]]
| style="text-align:left;"| [[The Union (Ostry)|The Union]]
|  
| 658
|  
| 5.95
|  
| 1
|  
| –1
|-
|-
| width="1" style="background-color:#019CDB"|
| width="1" style="background-color:#7FFFD4"|
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Modern Centre Party (Werania)|Modern Centre Party]]
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Party for the Whales]]
|  
| 588
|  
| 5.32
|  
| 1
|  
| ''New''
|-
|-
| width="1" style="background-color:#D401A9"|
| width="1" style="background-color:#D401A9"|
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Ostry Unbound]]
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Ostry Unbound]]
|  
| 331
|  
| 2.99
|  
| 0
|  
| ''New''
|-
|-
| width="1" style="background-color:#BE3075"|
| width="1" style="background-color:#002664"|
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Democratic Alternative (Werania)|Democratic Alternative]]
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Ostric Coalition]]
|
| 261
|
| 2.36
|
| 0
|
| –3
|-
| width="1" style="background-color:#258B4C"|
| style="text-align:left;"| [[Ostric Greens]]
|  
|  
|  
|  
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left; font-weight:bold;" colspan=2| Total
| style="text-align:left; font-weight:bold;" colspan=2| Total
| style="font-weight:bold;"|  
| style="font-weight:bold;"| 11,058
| style="font-weight:bold;"| 100
| style="font-weight:bold;"| 100
| style="font-weight:bold;"| 15
| style="font-weight:bold;"| 15
Line 196: Line 258:
| style="text-align:left;" colspan=2| Registered voters/turnout
| style="text-align:left;" colspan=2| Registered voters/turnout
| 16,223
| 16,223
|  
| 68.16
| –
| –
| –
| –
|}
|}
{{bar box
| title=Popular vote
| titlebar=#ddd
| width=450px
| barwidth=410px
| bars=
{{bar percent|SRPO|#CC0000|22.23}}
{{bar percent|Alliance|#FFD700|20.58}}
{{bar percent|ÒSL|#08660D|14.34}}
{{bar percent|NëW|#FFBF00|13.26}}
{{bar percent|DA|#BE3075|6.89}}
{{bar percent|Greens|#258B4C|6.08}}
{{bar percent|Union|#FF6A00|5.95}}
{{bar percent|SdW|#7FFFD4|5.32}}
{{bar percent|ÒN|#D401A9|2.99}}
{{bar percent|KÒ|#002664|2.36}}
|}}
{{bar box
| title=Seats
| titlebar=#ddd
| width=450px
| barwidth=410px
| bars=
{{bar percent|SRPO|#CC0000|26.67}}
{{bar percent|Alliance|#FFD700|20.00}}
{{bar percent|ÒSL|#08660D|13.33}}
{{bar percent|NëW|#FFBF00|13.33}}
{{bar percent|DA|#BE3075|6.67}}
{{bar percent|Greens|#258B4C|6.67}}
{{bar percent|Union|#FF6A00|6.67}}
{{bar percent|SdW|#7FFFD4|6.67}}
|}}
==Reactions==
{{Template:OstryElections}}
[[category:Elections in Ostry]]

Latest revision as of 05:22, 18 February 2020

2020 Ostric regional election
← 2016 2 February 2020
All 15 seats in the Dorada
8 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
  Aurelia Frick - 2017 (cropped).jpg Andrzej Adamczyk Sejm 2015 02.JPG Jakub Rutnicki (cropped).jpg
Leader Nataliô Kohl Josef Stegerwald (pictured)
Klara Andrësziak 		Adóm Lës
Party Social Democratic Radical Alliance People's
Leader since 4 December 2019 10 November 2019 6 May 2018
Last election 6 seats, 37.27% Did not exist 4 seats, 24.15%
Seats won 4 3 2
Seat change Decrease2 Increase3 Decrease2
Popular vote 2,458 2,276 1,586
Percentage 22.23% 20.58% 14.34%
Swing Decrease15.04pp Increase20.58pp Decrease9.81pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
NëW
DA
Gendron.jpg
Leader Macéj Fiedler Adam Duerr Miłosłôw Gendron
Party Nation and Freedom Democratic Greens
Leader since 28 December 2019 12 August 2019 4 November 2019
Last election Did not exist Did not exist Did not exist
Seats won 2 1 1
Seat change Increase2 Increase1 Increase1
Popular vote 1,466 762 672
Percentage 13.26% 6.89% 6.08%
Swing Increase13.26pp Increase6.89pp Increase6.08pp
  Seventh party Eighth party Ninth party
  Adam Cyrański Sejm 2015.JPG Tinykox.jpg JKRUK 20191004 GRZEGORZ BRAUN KIELCE IMGP3258A.jpg
Leader Linus Hoch Eckart Schmuck Msczisłôw Mencher
Party Union Whales Coalition
Leader since Candidate for Minister-Chairman 21 May 2018 3 November 2019 (Interim leader)
Last election 2 seats, 18.19%[1] Did not exist 3 seats, 20.39%
Seats won 1 1 0
Seat change Decrease1 Increase1 Decrease3
Popular vote 658 588 261
Percentage 5.95% 5.32% 2.36%
Swing Decrease12.24pp Increase5.32pp Decrease18.03pp
Minister-Chairman before election

Nataliô Kohl
Social Democratic Radical

Minister-Chairman

Jón Woss
Social Democratic Radical

The 10th Ostric regional election occurred on 2 February 2020. The established parties in Ostry, including the governing Social Democratic Radical Party and the Ostric People's Party suffered a shock defeat, seeing both parties attain a record lowest number of the vote and seats, while the Ostric Coalition suffered a complete wipeout, exiting the Dorada for the first time in its history. In turn, a record number of newly registered parties, five in total, entered the Dorada for the first time, including an electoral upset by the Citizen’s Alliance for Ostry, which came a narrow second with 21% of the popular vote and three seats. After difficult negotiations, a unity "Marirana" coalition was formed between the SRPO, Alliance, and People's Party.

Background

The previous election in 2016 returned a SRPO government under Johann Schöttmer, in a minority coalition with the Ostric Liberal Party and with the National Consolidation Party support from outside. In late 2019, Schöttmer resigned as Minister-Chairman to run in the 2020 Social Democratic Radical Party of Werania leadership election, leaving Nataliô Kohl as party leader and Minister-Chairwoman. She failed a vote of confidence on 22 December, due to NKP leader Linus Hoch voting against the government over possible electoral reform, causing a snap election to be called.

During the campaign, the established parties in the Dorada continually lost ground to smaller parties, especially the Citizen's Alliance for Ostry, which garnered a large swing in support after what was considered a respectable showing at the "small" debate for extra-parliamentary parties on 12 January. By the campaign's last week, polls showed a potential three-way tie between the SRPO, People's Party, and Alliance.

Electoral system

The electorate elects all fifteen members of the Dorada using single non-transferable vote in one island-wide multi-member constituency.

Results

Party Votes % Seats +/–
Social Democratic Radical Party 2,458 22.23 4 –2
Citizen’s Alliance for Ostry 2,276 20.58 3 New
Ostric People's Party 1,586 14.34 2 –2
Nation and Freedom 1,466 13.26 2 New
Democratic Alternative 762 6.89 1 New
Ostric Greens 672 6.08 1 New
The Union 658 5.95 1 –1
Party for the Whales 588 5.32 1 New
Ostry Unbound 331 2.99 0 New
Ostric Coalition 261 2.36 0 –3
Total 11,058 100 15 0
Registered voters/turnout 16,223 68.16 – –
Popular vote
SRPO
 
 22.23%
Alliance
 
 20.58%
ÒSL
 
 14.34%
NëW
 
 13.26%
DA
 
 6.89%
Greens
 
 6.08%
Union
 
 5.95%
SdW
 
 5.32%
ÒN
 
 2.99%
KÒ
 
 2.36%
Seats
SRPO
 
 26.67%
Alliance
 
 20.00%
ÒSL
 
 13.33%
NëW
 
 13.33%
DA
 
 6.67%
Greens
 
 6.67%
Union
 
 6.67%
SdW
 
 6.67%

Reactions

  1. ↑ Result of National Consolidation Party and Ostric Liberal Party
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