User:Lyonsland/sandbox3

2021 Hennish federal election

3 September 2021
All 180 seats in the Chamber of Deputies 91 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats SAP Rupert van Bleiswijk 49 VDP Eva Kaestel 40 NVP Fabian van Aitzema 36 MdP Klaas-Jan Jagers 15 Groen Bart van Veen & Lise Xi 11 Links Dirk Smolders 7 VSD Margje Westerveld 6 PP Gaspard Toussaint 6 ABP Sharon Visscher 5 LIVE Sam Tarokh 3 Independents – 2
Incumbent Premier Rupert van Bleiswijk SAP

Federal elections will be held in Hennehouwe on 3 September 2021 to elect all 180 members of the 28th Chamber of Deputies.

Date

Article 42.2 of the Basic Law (Algemene Wet) states that a new Chamber of Deputies shall be elected no later than 28 days after the fourth anniversary of the first sitting of the current Chamber of Deputies, excluding public holidays, and that the date of the election must be held no less than 28 days but no more than 56 days after the dissolution of the pevious Chamber. Article 42.3 states that the first sitting of the new Chamber must occur within 28 days after the election date, excluding public holidays.

The Electoral Law of 2000 legislates for fixed-term election dates, automatically scheduling an election for the first Friday of September four years after the previous election, or the second Friday of September if the former falls on a public holiday. An election prior to the fixed date can be called for in the Chamber via a two-thirds supermajority vote. Under the Law, the election is scheduled for 3 September 2021. It is expected that the 27th Chamber of Deputies will be dissolved on 21 July 2021, after which election campaigning can begin.

Electoral system

The 180 members of the Chamber of Deputies are elected by open list proportional representation in 10 multi-member constituencies corresponding to the 10 regions of Hennehouwe, with seats allocated according to the Berger method. The allocation of seats remains unchanged from the 2017 election.

There is no electoral threshold, meaning the effective threshold depends on the size of the region: in the smallest region, Oudkessel-Witburg (7 seats), the effective threshold is around 10%, whilst in the largest region, Flamia (40 seats), it is closer to 2-2.5%. Seats are allocated to the regions in proportion to population, with a review of seat distribution carried out one year after the last census. For an outright majority in the Chamber, a party (or coalition of parties) must have at least 91 seats. Due to the nature of Hennehouwe's multi-party system, it is rare for any one party to singlehandedly obtain a parliamentary majority, and thus coalitions and/or agreements between different parties is necessary.

Electors vote by casting a preference for a personal candidate from their chosen list, rather than voting for a party list outright. If a candidate receives a quota of either 20% of 1/xth of votes (x equalling the number of seats in that region) or 33% of the total votes for their own list, they will bypass the rest of the list in the allocation of seats regardless of their placement on the electoral list. If multiple candidates from a list pass this threshold, their ordering is determined based on the number of votes received. Otherwise, the remaining seats are allocated according to the placement of candidates on the list. In regions with more than 24 seats, parties are limited to a maximum number of candidates equating to two-thirds the total number of seats. Due to the current distribution of seats, only Flamia and Lower Stegeren are affected by this change. In all other regions, the maximum number of candidates on a list is the total number of seats.

Region	Seats
Flamia	40
Geeland	9
Grotevlakte	19
Lower Stegeren	32
Molenburg	13
Oudkessel-Witburg	7
Reekland	12
s'Holle	21
Upper Stegeren	15
Zilverzee	12
Hennehouwe	180

Parties and leaders

In order to participate in the elections, a party or list of candidates must provide declarations of support by 0.1% of all votes cast in the previous election in each region contested, as well as a deposit of €1,800 in each region contested. This deposit is refunded to lists who obtain 1% of the vote in the region contested.

Parties represented in the 27th Chamber of Deputies
Party			Leader	Main ideology	Position	2017 result		Current seats	Regions contesting
						Votes (%)	Seats
	Socialist Labour Party	SAP	Rupert van Bleiswijk	Social democracy	Centre-left	23.2%	49 / 180	49 / 180	10
	Progressive Democratic Party	VDP	Eva Kaestal	Social liberalism	Centre	19.0%	40 / 180	40 / 180	10
	National People's Party	NVP	Fabian van Aitzema	Conservatism	Centre-right	18.0%	36 / 180	36 / 180	10
	Patriot's March	MdP	Klaas-Jan Jagers	Right-wing populism	Right-wing to far-right	9.6%	16 / 180	15 / 180	10
	Green Party	Groen	Bart van Veen & Lise Xi	Green politics	Centre-left	6.8%	11 / 180	11 / 180	10
	The Left	Links	Dirk Smolders	Democratic socialism	Left-wing	5.6%	7 / 180	7 / 180	10
	People's Party for Sotirian Democracy	VSD	Margje Westerveld	Sotirian right	Centre-right to right-wing	4.9%	6 / 180	6 / 180	10
	Party for the Petois	PP	Gaspard Toussaint	Petois minority interests	Centre	2.9%	6 / 180	6 / 180	3
	Agrarian–Farmer's Party	ABP	Sharon Visscher	Agrarianism	Centre-right	3.6%	5 / 180	5 / 180	10
	LIVE – The Liberal Union	LIVE	Sam Tarokh	Classical liberalism	Centre to centre-right	3.5%	4 / 180	3 / 180	10
	Independents	Onaf.				–	0 / 180	2 / 180	–
Extra-parliamentary parties participating in the 2021 federal election
Party			Leader	Main ideology	Position	2017 result			Regions contesting
						Votes (%)
	Vox Hennehouwe	Vox	Christian Asscher	Euclofederalism	Centre	did not exist			10
	Red Party	Rode	Ana Joshi & Max van Daal	Council communism	Far-left	did not exist			6

Opinion polls

Graphical summary of the average of polls conducted for the federal election since September 2017.