2016 Etrurian federal election: Difference between revisions

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== Opinion polls ==
== Opinion polls ==
=== Exit poll ===
=== Exit poll ===
Since the 2004 general election, Etruria's federal elections have only permitted one exit poll to be broadcast to voters when polls officially close at 22.00pm. This exit poll is a calculated average of all exit polls produced by broadcasters, pollsters and newspapers and distributed to media outlets by the Federal Electoral Office.
The 2016 poll entered controversy after falling far-short of the actual Tribune victory, in that it predicted a hung-parliament.
==== Chamber of Representatives ====
{| class="wikitable"
! colspan="2" style="vertical-align:top;" |Parties
! style="vertical-align:top;" |Seats
! style="vertical-align:top;" |Change
|-
| bgcolor="#961C1C" |
|[[Tribune Movement]]
| style="text-align:right;" |349
| align=right| {{increase}} 335
|-
| bgcolor="#f25c19" |
|[[Citizens' Alliance (Etruria)|Citizens' Alliance]]
| style="text-align:right;" |119
| align=right| {{increase}} 97
|-
| bgcolor="#2e4994" |
|[[Etrurian Federalist Party]]
| style="text-align:right;" |100
| align=right| {{decrease}} 266
|-
| bgcolor="#E2C63B" |
|[[Farmers and Workers Union]]
| style="text-align:right;" |50
| align=right| {{increase}} 2
|-
| bgcolor="#dc0000" |
|[[Etrurian Socialist Party]]
| style="text-align:right;" |52
| align=right| {{decrease}} 174
|-
| bgcolor="#127a12" |
|[[Etrurian Greens]]
| style="text-align:right;" |10
| align=right| {{increase}} 6
|-
|)
== Results ==
== Results ==


[[Category:Etruria]]
[[Category:Etruria]]

Revision as of 22:09, 4 June 2019

2016 Etrurian general election

← 2013 10 August 2016 2018 →

All 680 seats in the Chamber of Representatives
and All 290 seats in the State Council
Turnout34,730,414 (78.40%)
  First party Second party Third party
  Giuseppe Conte Official.jpg Nicola Zingaretti 2012 crop.jpg TihomirOreskovic.jpg
Leader Francesco Carcaterra Gianluca Tozzo Milan Vučković
Party Tribune Movement Citizens' Alliance Farmers and Workers Union
Leader since 13 March 2012 1 August 2011 10 July 2015
Leader's seat San Pietro della Abbadia Lariana (C) San Alessandro III (C) Kaštela-Kvor
Last election 14 seats C / 10 S 22 seats C / 12 S 48 C / 80 S
Seats won 387 C / 166 S 110 C / 62 S 53 C / 15 S
Seat change Increase373 C / Increase156 S Increase88 C / Increase50 S Increase5 C / Decrease 65 S
Popular vote 14,833,359 7,946,318 4,292,679
Percentage 42.71% 22.88% 12.36%

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  Enrico Letta 2013.jpg Maurizio Martina 2017 crop.jpg Pier Ferdinando Casini 2016.jpg
Leader Andrea Reali Matteo Fernandino Paruta Fernando De Micheli
Party Etrurian Federalist Party Etrurian Socialist Party Etrurian Greens
Leader since 7 July 2016 8 July 2016 1 April 2010
Leader's seat Piscara-Nord San Gennaro su Hermes
Last election 366 C / 153 S 226 C / 35 S 4 C / 0 S
Seats won 62 C / 23 S 50 C / 13 S 18 C / 11 S
Seat change Decrease304 C / Decrease130 S Decrease176 C / Decrease22 S Increase14 C / Increase11 S
Popular vote 3,945,375 2,094,243 1,618,437
Percentage 11.36% 6.03% 4.66%

President before election

Andrea Reali
Etrurian Federalist Party

Elected President

Francesco Carcaterra
Tribune Movement

General elections were held in the United Transestrurian Federation for both houses of the Senate of the Federation on the 10 August 2016. All 680 and 290 members of the Chamber of Representatives and State Council respectively, were elected under a single non-transferable vote system in multi-member electoral districts.

The election saw the established two parties of the incumbent Etrurian Federalist Party, under President Andrea Reali and the Etrurian Socialist Party, under Matteo Fernandio Paruta suffer their worst defeats in history. The Tribune Movement under Francesco Carcaterra won a landslide victory, securing a majority in both houses of the Senate, while the Citizens' Alliance under Gianluca Tozzo made strong gains. The Workers and Farmers Union, under Milan Vučković and the Etrurian Greens under Fernando De Micheli making some gains.

Francesco Carcaterra became President of Etruria the next day with a sizeable majority in both houses of the federal legislature. The result also marked the first time a far-right populist political party had been elected into government since the functionalist era.

Electoral process

Background

At the last election, the Etrurian Federalist Party was returned to power with slight losses to the Citizens' Alliance and Tribune Movement in wake of President Emiliano Reali's declaration that Etruria would hold a referendum on membership of the Euclean Community back in 2012. The Etrurian Socialist Party also lost seats to the Tribune Movement, indicating a long-held belief of declining support for the established parties.

The failure of the Reali government to hold the referendum swiftly after the election further compounded the decline in support, with many noting the pacing had given extra oxygen and space to those opposing the referendum. Between 2013 and 2016, the Reali administration was hit by a series of minor corruption and personal scandals, which further damaged support.

When the EC membership referendum which took place between June and July 2016, the poor organisation and bitter infighting within the pro-EC camp (led jointly by the Federalist and Socialist parties) and major corruption scandals consuming the Reali government, ultimately played a key role in the No-campaign's (led by the Tribune Movement) dramatic victory on July 6, when 55.34% of voters rejected membership. President Reali resigned on July 7, being succeeded by Vice President Andrea Salvini.

The defeat of EC membership also caused resignations in the Socialist Party and the collapse in support for both parties, while the victorious Tribune Movement, absorbed numerous right-wing and far-right minor parties and demanded a general election. Under immense pressure and growing unpopularity, President Salvini announced a snap election would be held on August 10. Throughout the campaign, Salvini's government was rocked by sudden resignations and arrests over the sprawling Meraviglia Scandal, while support for the Tribune Movement and progressive Citizens' Alliance was growing.

Timetable

15 July President Andrea Salvini announced his intention to dissolve the Senate and hold an election for the 10 August.
16 July Speaker of the Chamber of Representatives Pierluigi Grasso and Speaker of the State Council Mlatko Stepanovic accepts the President's request.
19 July Formal dissolution of the Senate; start of campaign period.
30 July Last day members of the public could register to vote.
31 July Last day in which members of the public could apply for proxy voting or postal voting.
1 August Last day for candidates to file nomination papers. Last day in which overseas voters can register to vote.
10 August Polling day
15 August New Senate assembled

Parties

Party Ideology Political position Leader 2015 result (Chamber) 2015 result (State Council)
Etrurian Federalist Party Liberal conservatism, pro-eucleanism Centre-right Andrea Salvini
366 / 680
153 / 290
Etrurian Socialist Party Social democracy, pro-eucleanism Centre-left Matteo Fernandino Paruta
226 / 680
35 / 290
Farmers and Workers Union Agrarianism, soft eucloskepticism Centre-left Milan Vučković
48 / 680
80 / 290
Citizens' Alliance Liberalism, pro-eucleanism Centre Gianluca Tozzo
22 / 680
12 / 290
Tribune Movement Right-wing populism, Etrurian nationalism, eucloskepticism Far-right Francesco Carcaterra
14 / 680
10 / 290
Etrurian Greens Eco-socialism, pro-eucleanism Left Fernando De Micheli
4 / 680
0 / 290

Campaign

Opinion polls

Exit poll

Since the 2004 general election, Etruria's federal elections have only permitted one exit poll to be broadcast to voters when polls officially close at 22.00pm. This exit poll is a calculated average of all exit polls produced by broadcasters, pollsters and newspapers and distributed to media outlets by the Federal Electoral Office.

The 2016 poll entered controversy after falling far-short of the actual Tribune victory, in that it predicted a hung-parliament.

Chamber of Representatives

Parties Seats Change
Tribune Movement 349 Increase 335
Citizens' Alliance 119 Increase 97
Etrurian Federalist Party 100 Decrease 266
Farmers and Workers Union 50 Increase 2
Etrurian Socialist Party 52 Decrease 174
Etrurian Greens 10 Increase 6
)

Results