2022 Alslandic legislative election: Difference between revisions
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| title = [[Moller cabinet|Government]] | | title = [[Moller cabinet|Government]] | ||
| before_election = [[Moller cabinet]] | | before_election = [[Moller cabinet]] | ||
| before_party = [[National Bloc (Alsland)|NB]]-[[Progressive Alliance (Alsland)|PA | | before_party = [[National Bloc (Alsland)|NB]]-[[Progressive Alliance (Alsland)|PA]]-[[Humanist Sotirian Union|HSU]]-[[Green - Alternative Choice|G-AK]] | ||
| posttitle = Government after election | | posttitle = Government after election | ||
| after_election = | | after_election = | ||
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=Contesting parties= | =Contesting parties= | ||
===Parties represented in the Folkssenaat=== | ===Parties represented in the Folkssenaat=== | ||
[[ | [[National Bloc (Alsland)|National Bloc]] (NB/LS/RB) is the largest party in the Alslandic [[Folkssenaat]] with 51 out of 201 available seats and has been in government since 2011. The party is led by Foreign Secretary [[Ermnbryht Vrihte]] who succeeded [[Hepke Veltman]] in 2018. The Bloc has been the largest party for most of it's history and it has been a member of every government, except 1, since 1929 however recently the party's average share of the vote has been steadily declining from it's peak. Vrithe was originally intended to be selected as Premier following Veltman's resignation however the Progressive Alliance and Liveable Alsland protested the decision and pushed for [[Ottila Möller]] instead. It runs candidates in the [[Martish Community]] with the [[Martish Democratic Party]] who caucus with the Bloc. | ||
[[ | [[Progressive Alliance (Alsland)|Progressive Alliance]] (PA/PV/PL) is the second largest party in the Folkssenaat with 35 seats. It is currently led by incumbent Premier [[Ottila Möller]]. The party in 2018 was able to increase it's number of seats from 10 to 35 which was the best result for the Alliance since it was founded in 2006. It was the first time since 2002 that the second largest party was not the [[Alslandic Section of the Workers' International]]. After succeeding Veltman in 2020, Möller became the first female Premier in Alsland. She currently leads a coalition government involving the National Bloc, the Progressive Alliance, the Humanist Sotirian Union and the Greens. | ||
[[ | [[Humanist Sotirian Union]] (HSU) is the third largest party in the Folkssenaat and has 32 seats. The party is jointly led by author [[Hilda Schaaf]] from it's Amendist faction and [[Suwert Jorritsma]] from it's Catholic faction. The Union is a member of the incumbent coalition government but throughout the 2018-2022 Folkssenaat term it has threatened to withdraw from the coalition over certain policies such as a planned euthanasia referendum and cannabis legalisation, both of which had been proposed by the National Bloc and Progressive Alliance respectively. The Union is seen as having the most economically leftist policies in the coalition whilst having centre-right social policies. This can also be seen in it's leadership as Suwert Jorritsma was a former ASAY junior cabinet minister before leaving ASAY in 2015 to join the HSU. The party wants to make access to University free for all Alslandic students and implement new measures to tackle carbon dioxide emissions. Similarly to the National Bloc it runs candidates in the [[Martish Community]] with the [[Martish Sotirian Democrats]] who caucus with the Union. | ||
The [[ | The [[Alslandic Section of the Workers' International]] (ASAY/ASAI/ESVE/TRAS) is the fourth largest party in the Folkssenaat and is the largest opposition party in the Folkssenaat. It won 25 seats at the 2018 election although it merged with the Workers' Party shortly after the election to give it 27 seats. The section has been led by former Premier [[Jabik Nieuwenhuis]] since 2019 who currently leads the opposition. Whilst it had been traditionally the dominant party of the Alslandic left, it suffered electorally after the rise of the Progressive Alliance in 2018. In 2021 the party recovered support after winning re-election in the [[Swathish Community]] as well as in the Progressive Alliance's heartland in [[Yndyk]]. Nieuwenhuis is open to forming coalitions with the major parties in the Folkssenaat apart from Liveable Alsland and the Orange Party. | ||
[[Liveable Alsland]] (LA/LE) is the fifth largest party in the Folkssenaat and currently has 24 seats. The party led the government prior to 2018 but it was unable to secure support from it's coalition partners and joined the opposition. The party is led by it's founder and former Premier [[Liekele Ykema]] who has not commented on whether he will stand for Premier again. The party has lost support since 2018 after Ykema resigned from national politics to join the [[Euclean Parliament]] and run for [[President of the Euclean Community]]. In 2021 Ykema survived an attempt to remove him as party leader by populists in the party. As of 2022 it is the only party to not have ruled out a coalition or electoral agreement with the [[Orange Party]]. Similarly to the Bloc and Union it runs candidates in the Martish Community with the [[New Start Party]]. | |||
The [[ | The [[Orange Party]] (OP/GP/OK) is the sixth largest party in the Folkssenaat with 11 seats. It was formed during the parliamentary term from members of the defunct National Rally and United Democratic Union. The party is subject to a cordon-sanitaire by every other party in the Folkssenaat except for Liveable Alsland. The party is led by [[Elsert Wassenaar]] who has been proactive in trying to modernise and moderate the party's damaged perception among voters. | ||
The [[Kirenian People's Party]] (KRP) is a [[Martish Community|Martiland]]-only party which runs candidates exclusively in that community where it currently leads the government. The party has 11 seats in the Folkssenaat and is led by [[Ahto Malk]] who is the [[Minister-President of Martiland]]. It currently has 52 seats in the Martish Parliament. It is the largest Martish party within the Martish Parliament as well as the Folkssenaat. | |||
=Opinion polls= | =Opinion polls= | ||
{{main|Opinion polling for the 2022 Alslandic legislative election}} | {{main|Opinion polling for the 2022 Alslandic legislative election}} | ||
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| x=2019/04/29, 2019/09/05, 2020/02/19, 2020/09/28, 2021/01/04, 2021/06/22, 2021/09/13, 2021/10/02, 2021/11/30, 2022/02/01, 2022/03/20, 2022/05/04, 2022/05/21, 2022/06/14, 2022/07/11, 2022/07/30, 2022/08/09, 2022/08/30, | | x=2019/04/29, 2019/09/05, 2020/02/19, 2020/09/28, 2021/01/04, 2021/06/22, 2021/09/13, 2021/10/02, 2021/11/30, 2022/02/01, 2022/03/20, 2022/05/04, 2022/05/21, 2022/06/14, 2022/07/11, 2022/07/30, 2022/08/09, 2022/08/30, | ||
| y1Title=National Bloc | | y1Title=National Bloc | ||
| y1=51, 51, 50, 49, 49, 50, 50, 51, 51, 52, 52, 51, 51, | | y1=51, 51, 50, 49, 49, 50, 50, 51, 51, 52, 52, 51, 51, 52, | ||
| y2Title=Progressive Alliance | | y2Title=Progressive Alliance | ||
| y2=35, 31, 30, 29, 32, 28, 27, 25, 26, 24, 24, 23, 23, 22, | | y2=35, 31, 30, 29, 32, 28, 27, 25, 26, 24, 24, 23, 23, 22, | ||
| Line 191: | Line 178: | ||
| y4=27, 30, 31, 32, 30, 32, 33, 35, 34, 34, 35, 36, 35, 35, | | y4=27, 30, 31, 32, 30, 32, 33, 35, 34, 34, 35, 36, 35, 35, | ||
| y5Title=Liveable Alsland | | y5Title=Liveable Alsland | ||
| y5=24, 25, 26, 20, 20, 19, 18, 17, 17, 16, 17, | | y5=24, 25, 26, 20, 20, 19, 18, 17, 17, 16, 17, 15, 15, 14, | ||
| y6Title=Orange Party | | y6Title=Orange Party | ||
| y6=11, 11, 11, 10, 10, 12, 14, 15, 14, 15, 17, 16, 17, 17, | | y6=11, 11, 11, 10, 10, 12, 14, 15, 14, 15, 17, 16, 17, 17, | ||
Revision as of 15:28, 25 June 2022
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All 201 seats in the Folkssenaat 101 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 The distribution of seats between each constituency. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in the United Provinces of Alsland by 5 September 2022. All 201 members of the Folkssenaat will be up for election.
Background
Electoral system
All 201 Senators are members of 18 constituencies which represent each Province of Alsland. Senators are elected using the Party-list proportional representation, using the Boeri method. The 2022 election will be the first federal election to allow for the possibility of overhang seats following an electoral reform law passed in 2019.
Date
According to the constitution of Alsland, legislative elections must either take place on the first Monday of September 4 years after the last legislative election, or be held on the same day as a Presidential election. Days on which federal elections are held are designated as public holidays as of 2020 to encourage voter turnout.
Contesting parties
Parties represented in the Folkssenaat
National Bloc (NB/LS/RB) is the largest party in the Alslandic Folkssenaat with 51 out of 201 available seats and has been in government since 2011. The party is led by Foreign Secretary Ermnbryht Vrihte who succeeded Hepke Veltman in 2018. The Bloc has been the largest party for most of it's history and it has been a member of every government, except 1, since 1929 however recently the party's average share of the vote has been steadily declining from it's peak. Vrithe was originally intended to be selected as Premier following Veltman's resignation however the Progressive Alliance and Liveable Alsland protested the decision and pushed for Ottila Möller instead. It runs candidates in the Martish Community with the Martish Democratic Party who caucus with the Bloc.
Progressive Alliance (PA/PV/PL) is the second largest party in the Folkssenaat with 35 seats. It is currently led by incumbent Premier Ottila Möller. The party in 2018 was able to increase it's number of seats from 10 to 35 which was the best result for the Alliance since it was founded in 2006. It was the first time since 2002 that the second largest party was not the Alslandic Section of the Workers' International. After succeeding Veltman in 2020, Möller became the first female Premier in Alsland. She currently leads a coalition government involving the National Bloc, the Progressive Alliance, the Humanist Sotirian Union and the Greens.
Humanist Sotirian Union (HSU) is the third largest party in the Folkssenaat and has 32 seats. The party is jointly led by author Hilda Schaaf from it's Amendist faction and Suwert Jorritsma from it's Catholic faction. The Union is a member of the incumbent coalition government but throughout the 2018-2022 Folkssenaat term it has threatened to withdraw from the coalition over certain policies such as a planned euthanasia referendum and cannabis legalisation, both of which had been proposed by the National Bloc and Progressive Alliance respectively. The Union is seen as having the most economically leftist policies in the coalition whilst having centre-right social policies. This can also be seen in it's leadership as Suwert Jorritsma was a former ASAY junior cabinet minister before leaving ASAY in 2015 to join the HSU. The party wants to make access to University free for all Alslandic students and implement new measures to tackle carbon dioxide emissions. Similarly to the National Bloc it runs candidates in the Martish Community with the Martish Sotirian Democrats who caucus with the Union.
The Alslandic Section of the Workers' International (ASAY/ASAI/ESVE/TRAS) is the fourth largest party in the Folkssenaat and is the largest opposition party in the Folkssenaat. It won 25 seats at the 2018 election although it merged with the Workers' Party shortly after the election to give it 27 seats. The section has been led by former Premier Jabik Nieuwenhuis since 2019 who currently leads the opposition. Whilst it had been traditionally the dominant party of the Alslandic left, it suffered electorally after the rise of the Progressive Alliance in 2018. In 2021 the party recovered support after winning re-election in the Swathish Community as well as in the Progressive Alliance's heartland in Yndyk. Nieuwenhuis is open to forming coalitions with the major parties in the Folkssenaat apart from Liveable Alsland and the Orange Party.
Liveable Alsland (LA/LE) is the fifth largest party in the Folkssenaat and currently has 24 seats. The party led the government prior to 2018 but it was unable to secure support from it's coalition partners and joined the opposition. The party is led by it's founder and former Premier Liekele Ykema who has not commented on whether he will stand for Premier again. The party has lost support since 2018 after Ykema resigned from national politics to join the Euclean Parliament and run for President of the Euclean Community. In 2021 Ykema survived an attempt to remove him as party leader by populists in the party. As of 2022 it is the only party to not have ruled out a coalition or electoral agreement with the Orange Party. Similarly to the Bloc and Union it runs candidates in the Martish Community with the New Start Party.
The Orange Party (OP/GP/OK) is the sixth largest party in the Folkssenaat with 11 seats. It was formed during the parliamentary term from members of the defunct National Rally and United Democratic Union. The party is subject to a cordon-sanitaire by every other party in the Folkssenaat except for Liveable Alsland. The party is led by Elsert Wassenaar who has been proactive in trying to modernise and moderate the party's damaged perception among voters.
The Kirenian People's Party (KRP) is a Martiland-only party which runs candidates exclusively in that community where it currently leads the government. The party has 11 seats in the Folkssenaat and is led by Ahto Malk who is the Minister-President of Martiland. It currently has 52 seats in the Martish Parliament. It is the largest Martish party within the Martish Parliament as well as the Folkssenaat.
Opinion polls
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