Gylian presidential election, 2010: Difference between revisions

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| image_size        = 225x225px
| image_size        = 225x225px


| image1            = LauraVarnaþ.jpg
| image1            = CarmenDell'Orefice1.jpg
| colour1          = ED1B34
| colour1          = DDDDDD
| nominee1          = [[Laura Varnaþ]]
| nominee1          = [[Carmen Dell'Orefice]]
| party1            = {{G-PA/meta/shortname}}
| party1            = {{wpl|Independent politician|Ind}}
| popular_vote1    = 7.043.213
| popular_vote1    = 7.043.213
| percentage1      = 50,3%
| percentage1      = 50,3%


| image2            = CarmenDell'Orefice1.jpg
| image2            = LauraVarnaþ.jpg
| colour2          = DDDDDD
| colour2          = ED1B34
| nominee2          = [[Carmen Dell'Orefice]]
| nominee2          = [[Laura Varnaþ]]
| party2            = {{wpl|Independent politician|Ind}}
| party2            = {{G-PA/meta/shortname}}
| popular_vote2    = 6.973.017
| popular_vote2    = 6.973.017
| percentage2      = 49,7%
| percentage2      = 49,7%
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| before_party      = <!-- {{wpl|Independent politician|Independent}} -->
| before_party      = <!-- {{wpl|Independent politician|Independent}} -->
| posttitle        = [[President of Gylias|President]] after election
| posttitle        = [[President of Gylias|President]] after election
| after_election    = [[Laura Varnaþ]]
| after_election    = [[Carmen Dell'Orefice]]
| after_party      = <!-- {{wpl|Independent politician|Independent}} -->
| after_party      = <!-- {{wpl|Independent politician|Independent}} -->
}}
}}


'''Presidential elections''' were held in [[Gylias]] on 22 January 2011.
A '''presidential election''' was held in [[Gylias]] on 22 January 2011.


Incumbent [[Laura Varnaþ]] was re-elected, defeating independent candidate [[Carmen Dell'Orefice]].
Independent candidate [[Carmen Dell'Orefice]] defeated incumbent [[Laura Varnaþ]], the first time a Gylian president had lost re-election.


==Procedure==
==Procedure==
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|2.551.234
|2.551.234
|16,4%
|16,4%
|6.973.017
|7.043.213
|49,7%
|50,3%
|-
|-
|style="background:{{G-PA/meta/color}}"|
|style="background:{{G-PA/meta/color}}"|
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|2.411.227
|2.411.227
|15,5%
|15,5%
|7.043.213
|6.973.017
|50,3%
|49,7%
|-
|-
|style="background:{{G-RFS/meta/color}}"|
|style="background:{{G-RFS/meta/color}}"|
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The other colourful candidates in the running were the {{wpl|athlete|sportsperson}} [[Lena Haidynraix]], whose quirky campaign made her unexpectedly popular, the ''[[francité]]'' stalwart [[Amanda Leloup]], and [[Tennai]]ite actress [[Simone Kalpita]]. On the heels of her breakthrough role in ''[[Shriya Eats Daal]]'', Simone chose to seek the {{G-Pirates}}'s nomination, and attended many {{wpl|husting|public meeting}}s in costume as Lucy Nova.
The other colourful candidates in the running were the {{wpl|athlete|sportsperson}} [[Lena Haidynraix]], whose quirky campaign made her unexpectedly popular, the ''[[francité]]'' stalwart [[Amanda Leloup]], and [[Tennai]]ite actress [[Simone Kalpita]]. On the heels of her breakthrough role in ''[[Shriya Eats Daal]]'', Simone chose to seek the {{G-Pirates}}'s nomination, and attended many {{wpl|husting|public meeting}}s in costume as Lucy Nova.


On the [[Conservatism in Gylias|conservative]] side, the {{G-NB}}'s campaign was overshadowed by a rivalry between its current candidate, [[Arsad Region|Arsad]] [[Regions of Gylias#Government|Governor]] [[Yseult Roxane Danesh]], and its [[Gylian presidential election, 2007|previous candidate]], [[Herlan Region|Herlan]] [[Regions of Gylias#Government|Governor]] [[Nicolette Mercier]]. The cause of this was the different ideologies and governing styles of the two, and Yseult Roxane's criticism of Nicolette for her loss in [[Gylian presidential election, 2007|2007]], to which Nicolette responded by daring Yseult Roxane to run for the presidency herself. Yseult Roxane's campaign was weakened by Nicolette's criticism of her as too business-friendly — a particularly damaging rebuke only 2 decades after the {{G-UFP}} split — and her advocacy of establishing official relations with [[Mansuriyyah]], which was often misinterpreted.
On the [[Conservatism in Gylias|conservative]] side, the {{G-NB}}'s campaign was overshadowed by a rivalry between its current candidate, [[Arsad Region|Arsad]] [[Regions of Gylias#Government|Governor]] [[Yseult Roxane Danesh]], and its [[Gylian presidential election, 2007|previous candidate]], [[Herlan Region|Herlan]] [[Regions of Gylias#Government|Governor]] [[Nicolette Mercier]]. The cause of this was the different ideologies and governing styles of the two, and Yseult Roxane's criticism of Nicolette for her loss in [[Gylian presidential election, 2007|2007]], to which Nicolette responded by daring Yseult Roxane to run for the presidency herself.  
 
Yseult Roxane's campaign was weakened by Nicolette's criticism of her as too business-friendly — a particularly damaging rebuke only 2 decades after the {{G-UFP}} split — and her advocacy of establishing official relations with [[Mansuriyyah]], which was often misinterpreted.
 
The first round proved to be the closest fought since [[Gylian presidential election, 1986|1986]]. Carmen performed best, with 16,4% of first preference votes and pluralities in 7 [[Regions of Gylias|regions]]. Laura was nearly 1% behind in second place, with pluralities in 3 regions. Virginia greatly improved her [[Gylian presidential election, 1991|1991]] performance, finishing third with 15% of first preference votes and pluralities in 5 regions, including the mountainous northern regions that were still hostile to Laura due to her [[Varnaþ family|royal descent]].  


The first round proved to be the closest fought since [[Gylian presidential election, 1986|1986]]. Carmen performed best, with 16,4% of first preference votes and pluralities in 7 [[Regions of Gylias|regions]]. Laura was nearly 1% behind in second place, with pluralities in 3 regions. Virginia greatly improved her [[Gylian presidential election, 1991|1991]] performance, finishing third with 15% of first preference votes and pluralities in 5 regions, including the mountainous northern regions that were still hostile to Laura due to her [[Varnaþ family|royal descent]]. Lena finished fourth, with 14,7% of first preference votes but no pluralities, while Amanda gained 14,5% of first preference votes and pluralities in [[Nezyál Region|Nezyál]] and [[Herlan Region|Herlan]].
Lena finished fourth, with 14,7% of first preference votes but no pluralities, while Amanda gained 14,5% of first preference votes and pluralities in [[Nezyál Region|Nezyál]] and [[Herlan Region|Herlan]].


Yseult Roxane made a particularly poor showing, ending in sixth place and only winning a plurality in [[Nauras Region|Nauras]]. She was even overtaken by Laura in her home region of [[Arsad Region|Arsad]] — a particularly humiliating turn after she'd criticised Nicolette for similarly placing second in [[Herlan Region|Herlan]]. [[Simone Kalpita]] finished last with 10,5% of first preference votes, but managed to win pluralities in [[Mişeyáke Region|Mişeyáke]] and [[Sváen Region|Sváen]].
Yseult Roxane made a particularly poor showing, ending in sixth place and only winning a plurality in [[Nauras Region|Nauras]]. She was even overtaken by Laura in her home region of [[Arsad Region|Arsad]] — a particularly humiliating turn after she'd criticised Nicolette for similarly placing second in [[Herlan Region|Herlan]]. [[Simone Kalpita]] finished last with 10,5% of first preference votes, but managed to win pluralities in [[Mişeyáke Region|Mişeyáke]] and [[Sváen Region|Sváen]].


In the final round, Carmen generally gained transfers from Virginia, Yseult Roxane, and Simone's voters, while Laura generally gained transfers from Lena and Amanda's voters. The result was close, with Laura only defeating Carmen by 70.000 votes. The map reflected the narrow result, with Carmen winning majorities in 11 regions to Laura's 9. This made it the second presidential election in a row where the candidate who won a plurality of first preferences lost in the final count, and the first since [[Gylian presidential election, 1981|1981]] where the losing candidate won more regions than the winner.
In the final round, Carmen generally gained transfers from Virginia, Yseult Roxane, and Simone's voters, while Laura generally gained transfers from Lena and Amanda's voters. The result was close, and Carmen defeated Laura by only around 70.000 votes. The map reflected the narrow result, with Carmen winning majorities in 11 regions to Laura's 9. This marked the first time an incumbent president was defeated for re-election.


{{Gylian elections}}
{{Gylian elections}}


[[Category:Gylian elections]]
[[Category:Gylian elections]]

Revision as of 05:18, 5 July 2022

Gylian presidential election, 2011

← 2007 22 January 2011 2015 →
Turnout95,9%
  CarmenDell'Orefice1.jpg LauraVarnaþ.jpg
Nominee Carmen Dell'Orefice Laura Varnaþ
Party Ind PA
Final vote 7.043.213 6.973.017
Percentage 50,3% 49,7%

Gylias-elections-presidential-2011-final.png
Results of the final preference distribution by region
  Anina Bergmann   Carmen Dell'Orefice

President before election

Laura Varnaþ

President after election

Carmen Dell'Orefice

A presidential election was held in Gylias on 22 January 2011.

Independent candidate Carmen Dell'Orefice defeated incumbent Laura Varnaþ, the first time a Gylian president had lost re-election.

Procedure

The election was held through instant-runoff voting.

Candidates were registered with Elections Gylias in accordance with normal procedures. They could either be nominated by a political party or electoral bloc, civic organisations, or self-nomination as independents.

Candidates

Candidate Nominator Office(s) held Details
Carmen Dell'Orefice CarmenDell'Orefice2.jpg Independent None Campaigned on promotion of aristerokratia.
Laura Varnaþ LauraVarnaþ.jpg Progressive Alliance City Councillor of Velouria
(1992–2002)
Regional Councillor for Nerveiík-Iárus-Daláyk
(2002–2006)
President of Gylias
(since 2007)
Campaigned as the main leftist candidate.
Virginia Inman VirginiaInman.jpg Rally for a Free SocietyUnion of IndependentsFree and Voluntaryist Union None Campaigned on promotion of market anarchism.
Lena Haidynraix LenaHaidynraix-3.jpg Independent None Campaigned on promotion of sports.
Amanda Leloup AmandaLeloup-2014.jpg OMFLGACFEN Governor of Nezyál
(1970–1978)
Campaigned on promotion of francité.
Yseult Roxane Danesh Festival automobile international 2016 - Photocall - 043 (cropped).jpg National Bloc Governor of Arsad
(since 2002)
Campaigned as the main conservative candidate.
Simone Kalpita SimoneKalpita.jpg Pirate Party None Campaigned on promotion of pirate politics.

Results

Candidate Nominator First count % Final count %
Carmen Dell'Orefice Independent 2.551.234 16,4% 7.043.213 50,3%
Laura Varnaþ PA 2.411.227 15,5% 6.973.017 49,7%
Virginia Inman RFSUIFVU 2.333.446 15,0%
Lena Haidynraix Independent 2.286.777 14,7%
Amanda Leloup OMFLGACFEN 2.255.664 14,5%
Yseult Roxane Danesh NB 1.928.982 12,4%
Simone Kalpita Pirates 1.633.411 10,5%
Others/write-ins 155.564 1,0%
Total 15.556.305 100% 14.016.231 100%
Registered voters and turnout 16.485.144 95,9%

Maps

First count pluralities by region
Final count majorities by region

Analysis

The election is fondly remembered among Gylian presidential elections for its rich crop of candidates and excitingly close result. Incumbent president Laura Varnaþ had managed to establish herself in the office after her shock victory in 2007, but opinion polls revealed she was still particularly vulnerable for re-election.

Two candidates returned from 1991: Virginia Inman and Carmen Dell'Orefice. On the eve of her 80th birthday, Carmen was one of the oldest candidates in a Gylian presidential election. Besides her characteristic aristerokratia theme, her campaign took full advantage of her "silver fox" reputation, using a platform based on social justice and fighting ageism that attracted significant youth support, much to her delight. One of her celebrated posters showed her proudly standing with a young girl wearing a silver-haired wig, with the punning caption Il mio primo voto è per nonna Carmen ("My first vote is for grandma Carmen").

The other colourful candidates in the running were the sportsperson Lena Haidynraix, whose quirky campaign made her unexpectedly popular, the francité stalwart Amanda Leloup, and Tennaiite actress Simone Kalpita. On the heels of her breakthrough role in Shriya Eats Daal, Simone chose to seek the Pirate Party's nomination, and attended many public meetings in costume as Lucy Nova.

On the conservative side, the National Bloc's campaign was overshadowed by a rivalry between its current candidate, Arsad Governor Yseult Roxane Danesh, and its previous candidate, Herlan Governor Nicolette Mercier. The cause of this was the different ideologies and governing styles of the two, and Yseult Roxane's criticism of Nicolette for her loss in 2007, to which Nicolette responded by daring Yseult Roxane to run for the presidency herself.

Yseult Roxane's campaign was weakened by Nicolette's criticism of her as too business-friendly — a particularly damaging rebuke only 2 decades after the Union for Freedom and Prosperity split — and her advocacy of establishing official relations with Mansuriyyah, which was often misinterpreted.

The first round proved to be the closest fought since 1986. Carmen performed best, with 16,4% of first preference votes and pluralities in 7 regions. Laura was nearly 1% behind in second place, with pluralities in 3 regions. Virginia greatly improved her 1991 performance, finishing third with 15% of first preference votes and pluralities in 5 regions, including the mountainous northern regions that were still hostile to Laura due to her royal descent.

Lena finished fourth, with 14,7% of first preference votes but no pluralities, while Amanda gained 14,5% of first preference votes and pluralities in Nezyál and Herlan.

Yseult Roxane made a particularly poor showing, ending in sixth place and only winning a plurality in Nauras. She was even overtaken by Laura in her home region of Arsad — a particularly humiliating turn after she'd criticised Nicolette for similarly placing second in Herlan. Simone Kalpita finished last with 10,5% of first preference votes, but managed to win pluralities in Mişeyáke and Sváen.

In the final round, Carmen generally gained transfers from Virginia, Yseult Roxane, and Simone's voters, while Laura generally gained transfers from Lena and Amanda's voters. The result was close, and Carmen defeated Laura by only around 70.000 votes. The map reflected the narrow result, with Carmen winning majorities in 11 regions to Laura's 9. This marked the first time an incumbent president was defeated for re-election.