Socialist insurgency in Shangea

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Socialist insurgency in Shangea
Date17 March 1986-present
(38 years, 1 month and 2 days)
  • 24 May 1988-24 October 1994 (main phase)
  • 24 October 1994-present (low level insurgency)
Location
Status Ongoing
Belligerents

Shangea Shangean government
Supported by:
 Zorasan
 Nainan


 Kuthina (1988-2007)

Guerrillas (Far-left)

Supported by:
 Senria (alleged)
 Dezevau (alleged)
Commanders and leaders

Shangean government:
Shangea Yuan Xiannian (2016–present)
Shangea Ren Shaokuan (2017–present)
Shangea Zhao Qinghai (2016–present)
Shangea Chen Bingzhang (2007–present)

Bao Guowei (MIA)
Jiang Li
Kyaw Saw Executed
Kya Oo
Strength
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Casualties and losses
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The socialist insurgency in Shangea is an ongoing low intensity conflict primarily fought in eastern Shangea although there has been spillover into western Xiaodong, Kuthina and Zorasan. Starting in 1986 it is one of the longest-running conflicts in south Coius and has overlapped with the concurrent Chanwan War and Revolutionary Labour Movement insurgency in Kuthina.

The insurgency started in 1986 when the Shangean government under Qian Xingwen and Liao Congwu passed land privatisation policies that disproportionally disadvantaged peasants in eastern Shangea, particularly the provinces of Jianghui, Wushan, Tuohe and Zhijian. This led to the formation of the People's Revolutionary Army of Shangean which in contrast to previous socialist movements in Shangea (such as the Shangean Section of the Workers' International and the Federation of Free Shangeann Workers) was predominantly based in rural rather then urban communities calling for the overthrow of the central government and the creation of a socialist state that would oversee the redistribution of land to peasants. The PRAS would declare a people's war in March 1986 but would be seen mainly as a terrorist organisation by the Shangean government at that point.

The Orchid Revolution destabilised the central Shangean government; in the power vacuum left by the revolution localised conflicts in Shangea increased. As a result in May 1988 the PRPS was able to conduct a major offensive in southeast Shangea, starting a large scale guerrilla war in the countryside of that region. The concurrent Chanwan war meant that the Shangean government responded weakly to the increasing influence of the PRAS in these areas. From the late 1980's to the early 1990's there was a breakdown in order in southeast Shangea as the PRAS was able to capture swathes of rural areas whilst it alongside the FFSW conducted a campaign of urban terrorism across the country. Other revolutionary groups such as the Kuthine-based RLM and the People's Freedom League of Chanwa (PFLC) sometimes cooperated with the PRPs.

In 1992 the Shangean government changed from conventional warfare to a "permanent attrition strategy" conducting a series of encirclement campaigns against PRAS-held base areas. This strategy was successful with the Shangean destroying the majority of guerrilla forces between 1992-5 and retaking much of the countryside. By October 1994 the government estimated that 90% of the rebel held territory had been retaken and that the majority of its operational command had been eliminated; following that date the government switched to low-intensity operations with the majority of anti-insurgent actions handled by the Shujichu's Revolutionary Guard rather then the regular army. Since 1994 there has been sporadic attempts between the Shangean government and insurgent forces to come to a political solution to end the insurgency although these efforts have largely been ineffective.

Following the beginning of Normalisation the government has increased anti-insurgent operations which has led to violence to flare up in the Jianghui province. In 2018 the government stated that insurgency related deaths had been reduced by 75% since the year 2000.