2022 Hacyinia-Lavana war

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2022 Hacyinia-Lavana War
Part of Hacyinian-Lavanan wars and conflicts
2ndYolotenWarMap.png
Hacyinia in Yellow, Lavana in Purple, and the Yoloten in Red. Pre-November 9th borders of the Yoloten in dashed line.
Date9–19 November 2022 (2022-11-09 – 2022-11-19)
(1 week and 3 days)
Location
Yoloten DMZ, Hacyinia-Lavana border
Result Emessa 2022 Ceasefire agreement
New DMZ in the Yoloten
Loss of territory in the Yoloten by the PAMFY
Strengthening of Hacyinia-Zorasan relations
Investigation of Hacyinian Chemical weapons sites
Belligerents

Lavana Lavana
Yoloten
Alleged
Chistovodia Chistovodia [n 1]
Supported by
Dezevau Dezevau
East Miersa East Miersa
Senria Senria

Senria South Kabu

Hacyinia Hacyinia
Zorasan Zorasan
Yoloten Loyalist Federation (YLF) (October 1-30) [n 2]
League for the Liberation of the Yoloten (LLY) (October 1-30)
Alleged
Ajahadya Ajahadya
Supported by
Nainan Nainan
Shangea Shangea

File:RwizikuruFlag.PNG Rwizikuru
Commanders and leaders
Lavana Laina Keomany
(Premier of Lavana)
Lavana Kaipo Nhidomou
(Minister of Foreign Affairs)
Lavana Khudus Dhijivodhi
(Minister of Defense)
Lavana Phet Rustemegrath
(Chief of Army Staff)
Lavana Taras Rasuvong
(Admiral of Navy Staff)
Lavana Ligdan Bekbola
(Chief of Air Staff)
Lavana (Gen.)Tsolmon Bakhtzhany
Lavana (Gen.)Khoril Chanthavong
Lavana (Gen.)Dastan Khamsomphou
Lavana (Adm.)Cesrang Vongphakdy		 Hacyinia Makbule Arda Khan
(Khan of Hacyinia)
Hacyinia Taetaerqan Aelborty
(Defense Minister)
Zorasan Rahim Ali Haftar
(State President of Zorasan)
Zorasan Sadavir Hatami
(Defense Minister)
Strength
Hacyinia 250,000 soldiers
53 aircraft
Zorasan 54,000 soldiers
100 aircraft
Casualties and losses
Hacyinia 21,000 dead, wounded or missing soldiers
322 Hacyinian civilians killed
4,626 Hacyinian civilians injured
99 Hacyinian civilians missing
240,000 Hacyinians displaced
Zorasan 1,710 soldiers dead, wounded or missing

The 2022 Hacyinia-Lavana War or 2nd Yoloten War was an armed conflict in 2022 that took place in the disputed region of the Yoloten and Hacyinia. It was a major escalation of an unresolved conflict over the region, involving Hacyinia, Lavana, the self-declared Pro-Lavanan breakaway state of the Yoloten, and Zorasan in support of Hacyinia. The Yoloten was a Princely state under a protectorate agreement with Estmere at the time of the Partition of Southeast Coius in 1940. The large Oroqic population, and several prominent politicians in the state desired joining Hacyinia and were assigned to do so by Estmerish authorities. The Badist Kachai Zeja of the state opted to join Lavana instead. Issues regarding partition prompted the 1940 First Galshir conflict, where the Yoloten was legally and internationally recognized to be incorporated into Hacyinia, in contrast with all other territories taken by Hacyinia in 1940. In 1992, Lavana invaded Hacyinia in the First Yoloten War in support of Socialist secessionists, and established the People's Republic of the Yoloten. The war lasted for 10 days and resulted in Hacyinian victory, with the Yoloten ceding territory. The defeat ignited anti-government protests in Lavana. A Demilitarized zone was established by the Community of Nations in the Yoloten, replacing one established previously. This was the first major engagement between Hacyinia and Lavana since the 2004 agreement.

The conflict was preceeded by military buildup was initiated by Lavana responding to the Mei Phong Mall car bomb attack, on October 1st, 2022.[3](during which 26 people were killed, and 33 were wounded), along with shelling in the breakaway republic of the Yoloten, by Pro-Hacyinian militias. Lavana claimed that Hacyinia had violated the 2004 agreement by failing to properly deal with militias in the demilitarized zone separating the Hacyinian army and the Provisional Administrative and Military Front of the Yoloten (PAMFY), which had launched the attacks. [4] The Yoloten Loyalist Federation (YLF) claimed responsibility on the day of the bombing for the attacks, leading to major Lavanan security operations to catch the perpetrators, and prevent further attacks. Following numerous claims of further attacks.

On October 3rd, Lavana launched airstrikes in the DMZ with the knowledge of Hacyinia[5], prompting condemnation.[6] The attacks quickly made Hacyinian Khan Makbule Arda, to enter into closer relations with Zorasan, obtaining diplomatic support, along with military equipment. [7][8] Although initially unmoved by such diplomatic moves [9], a rapid timeline in the deployment of Zorasani equipment and sudden Zorasani military movements, prompted Lavana and the PAMFY to step down. [10] Following major ballistic attacks by Hacyinia on the PAMFY in the 8th, in retaliation for shelling. [11] [12] Zorasan and Hacyinia conducted military training during the next 3 days from the 11th to the 14th of October. [13]

Both countries remained on high alert, and military buildup in the Hacyinian-Lavanan border continued, along with the Yoloten DMZ.[14] On October 30, Hacyinia incorporated the pro-Hacyinian militias into its armed forces prompting the beginning of tensions again. [15] Lavanan authorities claimed that Yoloten militias were to use Chemical Weapons in terrorist attacks against Lavana, several close calls including cyberattacks, and misinformation campaigns by both Hacyinia and Zorasan. Culminating in a major incursion by Hacyinian special forces into Lavana, which were reported to have carried Sarin to perpetrate terrorist attacks in Lavana. The country utilized the threat of Hacyinian chemical terrorism to justify its invasion of Hacyinia.[n 3]

Prelude

At noon on 1 October 2022, a car bomb exploded on the east side of Mei Phong Mall, close to the eastern entrance of the mall and directly in front of an electronics store. The blast killed 26 people, and 33 were wounded. Among the dead was a Chistovodian woman.

The blast which occurred exactly at 12:04pm, which concurred with Premier Laina Keomany's noon address which had started 4 minutes earlier, in celebration of the countries new Constitution Day holiday. The blast could be heard on national television, and Keomany was dragged by security away from the stage after she stopped her speech in confusion. The car bomb was located close to a series of electronics stores which were playing the speech, the sidewalks near the car bomb were completely filled by watchers of the address which had gathered to watch the event[17]. Authorities struggled to reach the bombsite as the streets of the city were completely blocked by traffic, since Lavana's Independence day was on October 3rd, Lavanan citizens had a 4 day weekend, allowing many to leave the capital for the countryside [18]. Initially as National television was completely blacked out for 35 minutes, reports of a new coup became prevalent, specially as rumors of increased military and police activity in the streets became known. Television announcers reported the attack to Lavanans on national television at 12:40pm, announcing that all Constitution day activities had been cancelled for fear of terrorist attack. The Lavanan security forces were deployed to the streets of all major cities, and Pers was officially cordoned off, as a manhunt for the perpetrators began in Pers.

Smoke rises from the Mei Phong Mall, on October 1st, 2022.

The Yoloten Loyalist Federation (YLF) released a video at 12:40pm claiming responsibility for the car bomb, and decrying Lavanan imperialism and renewed commitment against Oroqics. The demilitarized Zone between Hacyinia and the PAMFY, also experienced shelling as Hacyinian militias began firing against targets in the Yoloten, prompting PAMFY response. Lavana officially requested the Hacyinian ambassador to request Hacyinia uphold the 2004 treaty, which states that Hacyinia must act against militias.[19]. Hacyinia promptly condemned the attacks, but criticized PAMFY shelling of civilian targets in the DMZ, along with aggressive Lavanan posturing who closed all border checkpoints, and threatened to invade Hacyinian airspace. Hacyinia received demands that Lavana demanded that Hacyinia stop the activities of all Hacyinian militias, provide any available intelligence, apprehend the organisation's leaders and their access to all financial assets. Some believed that Lavana gave Hacyinia 72 hours to act, or it would do so unilaterally [20].

Lavana proceeded to move its armed to their highest readiness level, and enacted its mobilization plans for major movements towards the border. The capital of Pers was locked down, and for 48 hours the city ground to a halt as thousands of security forces swarmed the city looking for the YLF operatives, which had been identified as Dodai Bortei, and Filib Bekzhangsy, by Lavanan intelligence that afternoon [21]. Misinformation by both Hacyinian militias and unaware Lavanans rumored of further bomb attacks, leading to airports, shipyards, military bases, public events, media organizations, and government buildings to be reinforced or closed down between the 1st of October and the 4th of October. All events planned for Lavana's Independence Day celebrations were shelved nationwide. It was estimated that 50,000 police officers, 10,000 soldiers, 3,000 airmen, and 30,000 National Guard personnel were mobilized to provide security to Lavanan cities and facilities over a two week period following the bombing. Lavana performed its largest mobilization since the 1992 Yoloten War, as it moved forces towards the border with Hacyinia and the Yoloten, in preparation to enter the Yoloten to provide security. [22]

October Standoff

October 1st-9th

The PAMFY which had begun returning fire to militia positions on its territory and DMZ, immediately after being shelled. Lavana gave permission to the PAMFY to launch a full retaliation within the hour. The shelling and fighting between the 1st and 4th of October left a reported 45 dead civilians according to the Hacyinian Ministry of Health.[23] Initial reports stated that Lavana had moved troops into the Yoloten, or aircraft had entered into Hacyinian airspace, all were proven to be false however. [24] A Hacyinian delegation sent to Pers, following the summoning of the Hacyinian ambassador, attempted to calm the situation.[25] Lavana was reported to have demanded Hacyinian action against the militias deployed in the DMZ, while it ordered several units to deploy to the east of the country, prompting Hacyinia to do the same. [26]

PAMFY fighting against militias in the Yoloten and DMZ, escalated to its highest since 2009, which had provoked a Lavanan buildup on the border. Lavana conducted airstrikes against militia positions in the Yoloten in support of the PAMFY, the first such strikes since 2000, Lavana conducted these airstrikes with their aircraft having their transponders on. [27] Reports stated that Hacyinia was aware of the strikes, as they had been informed beforehand. Although of limited impact, it was believed that Lavana had sought to threaten Hacyinia into dealing with their militias or threaten having Lavanan assets enter the Yoloten to attack them. [28] The attack prompted condemnation primarily from Zorasan, as the airstrikes were seen as a violation of Hacyinian airspace. [29] PAMFY forces launched several attacks with armored vehicles and artillery at militia positions from the 4th to 5th of October. [30]

The growing threat of Lavanan forces in Hacyinia, prompted Hacyinian Khan Makbule Arda to travel to Zorasan. Zorasan entered a variety of deals with Hacyinia, aimed at boosting Hacyinia’s military capabilities, and improving mutual trade. [31][32] Despite Zorasani warnings, PAMFY forces continued attacks with Lavanan air support. Lavana conducted a major airborne operation close to the Horhoo border crossing, where it intercepted and arrested the two wanted bombers, Dodai Bortei, and Filib Bekzhangsy. [33] The escalation prompted harsh comments from Zorasan, who began re arranging deliveries of equipment to Emessa to accomodate a rapid deployment schedule to Hacyinia. [34]

Hacyinia conducted a missile strike inside the Yoloten, the first such attack since the 90's. The attack was said to have have close to 200 dead in the Yoloten, while the PAMFY claimed small casualties among its forces instead claiming that Hacyinia had struck civilian areas. [35] This was followed on the heels of aggressive rhetoric from Hacyinia, and perceived Lavanan inaction. [36] Lavana reacted negatively calling Hacyinia a terrorist state, with the Premier claiming that conflict was inevitable if Lavanan security concerns were not met. [37] Fearing possible imminent conflict, Hacyinia and Zorasan conducted joint exercises inside Hacyinia from October 11th-14th[38], calming tensions for both sides.


Senria expressed worry at the worsening situation in the Yoloten. [39]

Casualties

On October 1st, on the Mei Phong Mall car bomb attack 26 dead, and 33 wounded. [40][41]


576 Zorasans killed, 5 Officers killed [42]


322 Hacyinian, 102 Lavanan, and 45 Yoloten civilians killed 99 Hacyinian, 6 Lavanan, and 201 Yoloten civilians missing 4,626 Hacyinian, 184 Lavanan, and 842 Yoloten civilians injured 99 Hacyinian, 3 Lavanan, and 445 Yoloten civilians captured YY XXXX and YY XXXX journalists injured 240,000 Hacyinians and 50,000 Yolotens displaced.

International reactions

  • Ajahadya Ajahadya expressed the need for peace and calm in the region. But its support was firmly behind Hacyinia.[43] Although not involved directly in the conflict. Lavana and the Yoloten claimed to have been attacked by Ajahadyan soldiers in the North Yoloten, stating that they wore Zorasani uniforms.

Notes

  1. ↑ Although Chistovodia officially denies involvement in the air war over the Yoloten. Hacyinia, Zorasan, and several security experts suspect direct Chistovodian involvement in the conflict, from damaged airplanes, and radio communications in Soravian[1]
  2. ↑ The YLF and LLY along with other Militia groups were legally incorporated into the Hacyinian military as volunteer battalions on October 30th[2]
  3. ↑ Hacyinia denies all accusations of supporting terrorists in Lavana, planning Chemical weapons attack, and the November 9th incursion. Security experts have questioned the veracity of Lavanan claims. Dezevau, and Senria however supported the Lavanan claims of possible chemical weapons terrorism.[16]

References

  1. ↑ "Heavy fighting continues in Hacyinia". Coian Monitor. 15 November 2022. Unknown parameter |https://forum.nationstates.net/viewtopic.php?p= ignored (help); |access-date= requires |url= (help)
  2. ↑ "Defense Ministry announces creation of "Volunteer Battalions" in the Yoloten". Qoğamdıq Qujat. 30 October 2022. Retrieved 19 November 2022.
  3. ↑ Nazarivna, Mariya (1 October 2022). "Deadly blast in Lavana threatens stability in the region". Free Press. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  4. ↑ "Hacyinian diplomats meet with Lavanan Premier". Coian Monitor. 2 October 2022. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  5. ↑ "Hacyinia informed of targets and airstrikes by Lavana, claims government". Institute of Military Research. 5 October 2022. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  6. ↑ "Zorasan condemns Lavanan airstrikes". Coian Monitor. 3 October 2022. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  7. ↑ al-Mosawi, Abdullah (7 October 2022). "Zorasan to significantly boost bilateral cooperation with Hacyinia". Hadiqat Ul Haqiqah. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  8. ↑ "Hacyinian Khan heads to Zorasan". Le Monde. 5 October 2022. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  9. ↑ "Lavana continues strikes despite warnings". Coian Monitor. 7 October 2022. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  10. ↑ "Zorasan warns Lavana again as it moves equipment to Hacyinia at breakneck pace". Coian Monitor. 8 October 2022. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  11. ↑ "Hacyinia launches missiles, strong words". Coian Monitor. 8 October 2022. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  12. ↑ "Lavana issues statements following attack in breakaway region". Free Press. 10 October 2022. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  13. ↑ "Hacyinia and Zorasan begin Iron Resolve 5 exercises". Coian Monitor. 11 October 2022. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  14. ↑ "Standoff between Lavana and Hacyinia continues". Institute of Military Research. 17 October 2022. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  15. ↑ "Defense Ministry announces creation of "Volunteer Battalions" in the Yoloten". Qoğamdıq Qujat. 30 October 2022. Retrieved 19 November 2022.
  16. ↑ "Hacyinia could use Chemical Weapons in terror attacks". Lavanan Financial Times. 31 October 2022. Retrieved 19 November 2022.
  17. ↑ "kan ochmti kokanhai nai nakhonruang" [Terrorist attack in capital]. Paper of the Lavanan Worker. 1 October 2022. Retrieved 29 October 2022.
  18. ↑ "Lavana's Constitution Day". Coian Monitor. 1 October 2022. Retrieved 29 October 2022.
  19. ↑ Nazarivna, Mariya (1 October 2022). "Deadly blast in Lavana threatens stability in the region". Free Press. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  20. ↑ {{Cite news |title=Lavanan Ultimatum?|url=https://forum.nationstates.net/viewtopic.php?p=40011794#p40011794 |newspaper=Center of War studies |date=6 October 2022 |access-date=29 October 2022
  21. ↑ "Pers bombers identified". Le Monde. 2 October 2022. Retrieved 29 October 2022.
  22. ↑ "Lavana and Hacyinia spiral into conflict". Le Monde. 6 October 2022. Retrieved 29 October 2022.
  23. ↑ "Lavana's Constitution Day". Tunduk Research. 1 October 2022. Retrieved 5 November 2022.
  24. ↑ "No Lavana did not violate hacyinian Airspace". Center of War studies. 2 October 2022. Retrieved 5 November 2022.
  25. ↑ "Hacyinian diplomats meet with Lavanan Premier". Coian Monitor. 2 October 2022. Retrieved 5 November 2022.
  26. ↑ "Lavanan Ultimatum?". Center of War studies. 6 October 2022. Retrieved 29 October 2022.
  27. ↑ "Lavana conducts airstrikes in Yoloten". Center of War studies. 3 October 2022. Retrieved 5 November 2022.
  28. ↑ "Hacyinia informed of targets and airstrikes by Lavana, claims government". Institute of Military Research. 5 October 2022. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  29. ↑ "Zorasan condemns violations of Hacyinian airspace". Union Ministry of Foreign Affairs. 3 October 2022. Retrieved 5 November 2022.
  30. ↑ "PAMFY conducts attack in DMZ". Center of War studies. 6 October 2022. Retrieved 5 November 2022.
  31. ↑ "Zorasan to significantly "boost" bilateral cooperation with Hacyinia". Hadiqat Ul Haqiqah. 7 October 2022. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  32. ↑ "Hacyinian Khan travels to Zorasan. Obtains military aid". Le Monde. 5 October 2022. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  33. ↑ "Further fighting in Yoloten reported". National Intelligencer. 7 October 2022. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  34. ↑ "Zorasan speeds up delivery of equipment to Hacyinia". Center of War studies. 8 October 2022. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  35. ↑ "Hacyinia launches missiles, strong words". Center of War studies. 8 October 2022. Retrieved 24 February 2023.
  36. ↑ "The miscalculation of Lavanan Foreign Policy". Le Monde. 8 October 2022. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  37. ↑ "Lavana issues statements following attack in breakaway region". Free Press. 9 October 2022. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  38. ↑ "Hacyinia and Zorasan begin Iron Resolve 5 exercises." Coian Monitor. 10 October 2022. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  39. ↑ "Zorasan speeds up delivery of equipment to Hacyinia". Keisi Telegraph. 10 October 2022. Retrieved 24 November 2022.
  40. ↑ Nazarivna, Mariya (1 October 2022). "Deadly blast in Lavana threatens stability in the region". Free Press. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  41. ↑ "Hacyinian diplomats meet with Lavanan Premier". Coian Monitor. 2 October 2022. Retrieved 25 October 2022.
  42. ↑ "Funeral procession held for five martyred officers in Zahedan". Hadiqat Ul Haqiqah. 21 November 2022. Retrieved 1 December 2022.
  43. ↑ "Ajahadyan Premier gives words on current Hacyinian-Lavanan crisis". Bashurat News. 10 October 2022. Retrieved 24 February 2023.
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