2023 Azmaran legislative election: Difference between revisions

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! colspan="13"| Age
! colspan="13"| Age
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Revision as of 21:02, 18 April 2023

2023 Azmaran legislative election

← 2020 16 April 2023

All 150 seats in Folksmot
76 seats needed for a majority
  Majority party Minority party Third party
  Angela Rayner.jpg Olivier Véran en 2022 lors d'un déplacement en Isère.png Daniel Günther (2017).jpg
Leader Sofija Anasdohter Henrik Jorśsun Freidrik Aleksaanderssun
Party Workers' Party Sotirian Democrats Gold Flame
Leader since 1 July 2020 5 April 2022[1] 19 August 2018
Leader's seat Haadland Westmaark Groonbank
Last election 51 seats, 32.1% 16 seats, 10.4% 30 seats, 19.0%
Seats won 43 26 25
Seat change Decrease 8 Increase 10 Decrease 5
Popular vote 2,062,980 1,296,909 1,307,754
Percentage 26.0% 16.3% 16.5%
Swing Decrease 6.1pp Increase 5.9pp Decrease 2.5pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
  20210820 batho d 6593 (cropped).jpg Vestager 520 2012-04-16.jpg Informal meeting of justice and home affairs ministers. Handshake (Home Affairs) Andres Anvelt and Inger Stojberg (34942746573) (cropped to Inger Stojberg2).jpg
Leader Ana Freidriksdohter Liis Jonsdohter Hilda Maartensdohter
Party The Radicals Green Party Blue and White
Leader since 3 September 2018 5 April 2020 6 November 2022
Leader's seat Aalmsted Aalmsted Sompland
Last election 19 seats, 13.0% 14 seats, 9.1% 6 seats, 4.0%
Seats won 13 12 11
Seat change Decrease 6 Decrease 2 Increase 5
Popular vote 734,758 637,874 557,122
Percentage 9.3% 8.0% 7.0%
Swing Decrease 3.7pp Decrease 1.1pp Increase 3.0pp

  Seventh party Eighth party Ninth party
  Barbara Visser 2012 (1).jpg Official portrait of Dr Ben Spencer MP crop 2.jpg Official portrait of Baroness Armstrong of Hill Top crop 2, 2019.jpg
Leader Maarijana Karlsdohter Jorś Leifssun[n 1] Niina Karlsdohter
Party Socialist Party Party for Hytklif Grey Party
Alliance Free Alliance 08
Leader since 1 January 2023 19 April 2020 17 June 2010
Leader's seat Ostlaak Hytklif Groonbank
Last election 5 seats, 3.2% 4 seats, 2.8%[n 2] 3 seats, 1.7%
Seats won 7 4 4
Seat change Increase 2 Steady Increase 1
Popular vote 400,634 225,317 279,361
Percentage 5.1% 2.8% 3.5%
Swing Increase 1.9pp Decrease0.0pp Increase 1.8pp

Azmara Largest Party by Fief 2023.svg
Largest party by fief

Thingspeaker before election

Sofija Anasdohter
Workers'

Elected Thingspeaker

TBD

Parliamentary elections were held in the Commonwealth of Azmara on 16 April 2023[2] to elect 150 members of the Folksmot for the 2023-2026 term.

After the previous 2020 election a centre-left coalition government had been formed by Sofija Anasdohter of the Workers' Party, with The Radicals and the Green Party serving as junior partners. Elections were announced by Anasdohter's government on the 3rd March 2023 in accordance with the Basic Law[2], and were confirmed on the 8th March as President Harald Alekssun dissolved the Folksmot. Issues of the economy, rural development the future of the welfare state, immigration and climate change dominated a relatively uncontroversial election campaign.

While remaining the largest party with 43 seats and 26.0% of the vote, the Workers' Party took a significant hit in popularity as it lost eight seats from its 2020 result yet retained a plurality of the vote in the provinces of Aalmsted, Westmaark, Sompland and Ostlaak. The party lost its plurality in Groonbank to Gold Flame, who nevertheless lost five seats for a total of 25 seats and finished second in the popular vote with 16.5%. Despite coming third in the popular vote with 16.3%, the Sotirian Democrats under Henrik Jorśsun managed a significant comeback to finish second in seat count with 26 seats, winning a plurality in the sparsely-populated provinces of Hytklif and Nordberg.

Anasdohter's coalition partners also took significant losses to the extent that the incumbent government lost its majority. While retaining its plurality in Haadland, the Radicals lost nearly a third of their 2020 vote share and six seats across the country, finishing fourth with 9.3% of the vote, while the Green Party lost two seats to finish fifth with twelve seats. The two parties finished narrowly ahead of Blue and White, who after rebranding under Hilda Maartensdohter's leadership surged to eleven seats due to a surge of support in the south of Maartensdohter's native Sompland. The Socialist Party also saw mild gains as they rebounded to seven seats.

The country's minor parties saw relatively decent fortunes, with the Grey Party winning an extra seat and doubling its vote share off a strong campaign against raising the minimum pension age while the regionalist Free Alliance 08 managed to maintain its gains from the previous election. Two new parties also made their debut in the legislature - the progressive Generation Azmara coalition, who won a seat each in Aalmsted, Groonbank and Wetmaark, and the localist Liveable Groonbank, who managed to take two seats on a platform promising to tackle the cost of living in suburban Groonbank.

Background

The previous election on the 19th April 2020 saw the Workers' Party led by Thingspeaker Eryk Jorśsun win the most seats with 51, five down from the 2017 election[3]. Negotiations would begin between the Workers' Party, The Radicals and the Green Party in order to form a government, with tensions emerging between the Workers' Party and their two prospective coalition partners over the Northern Forum's funding of the Tuaisceart-Süd II pipeline connecting Caldia and Werania, which the latter parties opposed on environmental grounds yet divided Workers' Party parliamentarians and ministers.

After public disputes over the party's environmental policy and mass environmental protests triggered the resignation of three pro-pipeline ministers[4], Eryk Jorśsun would announce his resignation as Workers' Party leader on 20th May, being succeeded by Internal Affairs Secretary Sofija Anasdohter after an uncontested leadership election on 1st July. After this, a coalition agreement between the three parties would be ratified by the 10th July, with Anasdohter being instituted as Thingspeaker on the 13th July with 84 of 150 Folksmot members voting in favour of her institution.

Electoral system

The 150 seats of the Folksmot are elected via the Wiljâmssun method of party-list proportional representation in eight constituencies coterminous with the seven provinces of Azmara and the Free City of Aalmsted. Open lists are used and as such voters cast their votes for a specific candidate on a list submitted by a party and party candidates are elected in the order of personal votes they receive proportionally to the share of votes the party receives in the constituency. No national threshold is present and as such any party that receives enough votes for a seat in any constituency is elected.

The 2023 election is the first since the establishment of a national age-based franchise in 1801 in which 16 and 17 year olds are able to vote and stand in after the passage of the 15th Amendment to the Basic Law on the 6th November 2022, which is thought to have enlarged the pool of eligible voters by around 150,000.

Constituency Seats
Aalmsted 15
Groonbank 38
Haadland 12
Hytklif 8
Nordberg 6
Ostlaak 17
Sompland 24
Westmaark 30

Political parties

For a party or list to stand in the election it needs to present the equivalent amount of signatures from eligible voters as 0.33% of the votes cast in the previous election, or the equivalent of half a seat in the Folksmot - for the 2020 election this was 25,789 eligible voters. This threshold was met by 17 lists by the 26th March nomination deadline, of which 10 have submitted candidates in all eight constituencies. Parties must additionally pay a deposit of €500 per candidate registered and there is a requirement that to stand in a constituency the party must stand at least two candidates.

Party Ideology Position Candidates by province
Aalmsted Groonbank Haadland Hytklif Nordberg Ostlaak Sompland Westmaark Total
114 276 85 59 39 112 182 231 1098
Workers' Party of Azmara
Arbeiderpartii âb Azmaara
Social democracy
Labourism
Centre-left 13 32 10 7 5 14 21 26 128
Sotirian Democracy of Azmara
Sortiren Folksrâgelen âb Azmaara
Sotirian democracy
Green conservatism
Centre-right 10 30 9 8 6 12 20 27 122
Gold Flame – Azmaran Liberal Party
Gyldflam – Azmaariś Friihederpartii
Conservative liberalism
Economic liberalism
Centre-right 12 33 8 6 4 11 20 25 119
The Radicals – Azmaran Democrats
Radikaalen – Azmaariś Folksrâgeleren
Social liberalism
Green liberalism
Centre to centre-left 12 30 10 6 4 10 19 23 114
Green Party of Azmara
Groonpartii âb Azmaara
Green politics
Progressivism
Centre-left 11 27 7 5 4 9 17 21 101
Blue and White – People's Movement
Blau en Hyt – Folksstyringen
National liberalism
Right-wing populism
Right-wing to far-right 7 21 5 3 3 11 19 19 88
Socialist Party – Azmaran Left
Sośalistiśpartii – Azmaariś Links
Democratic socialism
Left-wing populism
Left-wing to far-left 7 19 6 3 3 11 18 18 85
Grey Party of Azmara
Grejpartii âb Azmara
Pensioners' interests
Populism
Centre 6 13 5 3 2 9 11 12 61
Generation Azmara – Vox Euclea
Jeślâht Azmaara – Stem Okleja
Youth politics
Euclofederalism
Centre-left to left-wing 7 15 4 3 2 4 7 13 55
New Azmara – Popular Justice
Ny Azmaara – Folksrehtstaat
Progressivism
Minority rights
Centre-left to left-wing 9 11 3 3 2 4 5 10 47
Working People's Party
Arbeidiś Folkspartii
Revolutionary socialism
Anti-capitalism
Far-left 4 11 2 N/A N/A 5 5 13 40
Good Governance Party
Godrâgelingspartii
Participatory democracy
Secular humanism
Centre to centre-left 5 5 5 3 N/A 5 5 5 33
National Liberal Party
Þyydiś Friihedspartii
Azmaran nationalism
Right-wing populism
Far-right 4 6 N/A N/A N/A 4 5 6 25
Free Alliance 08
Friibinden 08
Regionalism
Federalism
Big tent N/A N/A 8 6 2 N/A 7 N/A 23
Hunters' Party
Jaagerenpartii
Agrarianism
Social conservatism
Centre-right to right-wing N/A N/A 3 3 2 3 3 7 21
Socialist Kingdom
Sośalistiś Kyninkryk
Joke party
Socialist monarchism
Radical centre 7 6 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 6 19
Liveable Groonbank
Liibiś Groonbank
Regionalism
Populism
Syncretic N/A 17 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 17

Campaign

Issues

The campaign centred heavily on issues of the economy and the welfare state amid speculation of the Azmaran entry entering recession in 2023 as the result of international crises and the release of a report on the 16th February 2023 by the Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs arguing that the current design of Azmara's state-run defined benefit pension plan was unsustainable and that either the retirement age would have to rise from its current age of 62, employer and employee contributions would have to rise or that the system would need to be reformed. As such, debates would emerge between the main parties between what actions should be taken to mitigate the possibility of a recession and what reforms should be taken to the pension system to maintain its long-term sustainability, with the Workers' Party, Sotirian Democrats and Socialist Party proposing various increases in social insurance contributions and Gold Flame, The Radicals and the Green Party proposing raises in the retirement age alongside additional reforms.

The issue of immigration, integration and asylum also emerged, with parties debating the appropriate response for the Azmaran government to take in response to the Tsabaran refugee crisis, with Blue and White advocating for a strict assimilationist stance and a strict asylum policy, while the Workers' Party and Sotirian Democrats took a stance acknowledging the necessity of taking on refugees while emphasising the limits of Azmara's ability to take on large numbers of refugees and the need for refugees to integrate into Azmaran culture, while Gold Flame, The Radicals, the Green Party and the Socialist Party advocated more liberal approaches and the need to work multilaterally with other countries in Euclea to solve the issue.

Party campaigns

The Workers' Party and Sotirian Democrats both released their manifestos on the 31th March at events in Ostdyyk, Sompland and Mideltuun, Westmaark respectively. The Workers' Party manifesto, nicknamed the "cradle-to-grave manifesto" by the nation's largest papers, focused heavily on education, childcare and social care for the elderly and disabled, with proposed policies including the extension of free childcare to three and four year olds, the introduction of universal free school meals for lower primary school students, improving youth services and mental health support for upper primary and secondary students and investing in courses at work colleges to train larger amounts of carers. The Sotirian Democrats manifesto, meanwhile, focused on rural development with a key flagship policy of creating two new government funds. The first of these, the Agricultural Transition Fund, is proposed to help farmers and fishermen move towards more environmentally sustainable methods, while the second of these, the Rural Azmara Fund, is intended to give support for environmentally sustainable small businesses in rural Azmara and is intended to be combined with a regime of tax breaks for these.

Gold Flame, the Radicals and the Green Party released their manifestos on the 3rd April. Gold Flame's manifesto, released at an event in Ryksby, Groonbank, proposed significant public sector reforms by allowing secondary schools to take more control over their curriculum and administration to encourage specialisation, allowing hospitals within the Universal Healthcare Insurance Scheme more autonomy, reducing restrictions on for-profit hospitals and allowing employees to privately invest portions of their social insurance contributions and receive the returns as part of their pension. The party manifesto also advocated for liberalising employment and business registration law and allowing the private sale of cannabis. The Radical manifesto emphasised strongly Ana Freidriksdohter's work as Foreign Secretary, advocating the continuation of a strongly Euclophilic and human rights-focused foreign policy, with the party pledging to commit the Azmaran government to act on Paretian and Etrurian democratic backsliding. The party also pledged a liberalisation of euthanasia laws and the creation of a specific task force to tackle anti-LGBTQ hate crimes, and received controversy for a proposal to allow residents to block local developments they believed to have a negative effect.

The Green Party meanwhile emphasised a comprehensive plan to reform the country's social and environmental policies to reach carbon neutrality by 2035 through a large expansion of wind, solar and tidal energy, introducing a land value tax and building new garden villages to tackle high housing prices in the Bojnersteden region. Blue and White ran a campaign emphasising the need for strict policies on crime and immigration and for cutting the size of Azmaran public sector bureaucracy to allow for tax cuts, while the Socialist Party ran a campaign advocating for stronger redistributive policies including a wealth tax.

Discussion of possible coalitions emerged at various points in the campaign, with Anasdohter stating she would "find it difficult" to work with either Gold Flame or Blue and White in a coalition. Co-operation with Blue and White was also ruled out by the Radicals, Greens, Socialists and Gold Flame, while the latter two parties also ruled out co-operation with each other. Ana Freidriksdohter also stated that she would wish to be Foreign Secretary in any government the Radicals were to serve in. A possible Workers' Party-Sotirian Democrat coalition, termed a "Hennish government" was discussed publicly by Azmara's largest papers, yet when asked about the possibility of the coalition Anasdohter said her preference was "the re-election of the current government to a majority".

Slogans

Party Original slogan Estmerish translation
Workers' Party Ân beter taakomst, taaśamen! A better future, together!
Gold Flame Stefnest foor kyysen! Vote for choice!
The Radicals Om de haart âb Okleja At the heart of Euclea
Sotirian Democrats Kampen foor Azmaara Fighting for Azmara
Green Party Ân behaagenlyker en sundiśer þyyd. A nicer and healthier country.
Blue and White Horen taa forjeten Azmaariśen Listening to forgotten Azmarans
Socialist Party De rehtiś Azmaariś links The true Azmaran left
Grey Party Reden wyn renten Let's save our pensions
Sources:

Debates

2023 Azmaran legislative election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[n 3]    I  Invitee   S  Surrogate[n 4]    NI  Not invited 
Ap GF R SF Gp BH Sp Audience Ref.
5 April ARF-1 Frei Henrikssun P
Anasdohter
P
Aleksaanderssun
P
Freidriksdohter
P
Jorśsun
P
Jonsdohter
P
Maartensdohter
P
Karlsdohter
6 April ARF-3[n 5] Maark Jonssun-Leclercq P
Niinassun
P
Alanssun
P
Mâþeissun
P
Johannsun
P
Krysdohter
P
Maartensdohter
P
Karlsdohter
12 April Kanel-3 Ana Jonsdohter P
Anasdohter
P
Aleksaanderssun
P
Freidriksdohter
P
Jorśsun
P
Jonsdohter
P
Maartensdohter
P
Karlsdohter
14 April ARF-1 Kaþeriina Eryksdohter P
Anasdohter
P
Aleksaanderssun
P
Freidriksdohter
P
Jorśsun
P
Jonsdohter
P
Maartensdohter
P
Karlsdohter

Opinion polls

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Results

7
12
3
43
13
4
4
2
26
25
11
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Workers' Party2,062,98025.9943-8
Gold Flame1,307,75416.4825-5
Sotirian Democrats1,296,90916.3426+10
The Radicals734,7589.2613−6
Green Party637,7848.0412−2
Blue and White557,1227.0211+5
Socialist Party400,6345.057+2
Grey Party279,3613.524+1
Free Alliance 08225,3172.8440
Generation Azmara201,1522.533New
Liveable Groonbank126,7571.602New
New Azmara40,2940.510-2
Socialist Kingdom23,9320.3000
Working People's Party14,3900.1800
National Liberal Party13,5480.1700
Hunters' Party8,3430.1100
Good Governance Party6,3350.0800
Total7,937,370100.001500
Valid votes7,937,37099.39
Invalid/blank votes48,3720.61
Total votes7,985,742100.00
Registered voters/turnout8,460,46094.39
Source: Ministerium foor Inlandssaken

By province

Region Workers' SF GF Radical Green B&H Socialist Grey FB08 JA LG Total seats
% S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S
Aalmsted 25.6 4 3.2 - 18.8 3 18.3 3 14.0 2 1.0 - 5.6 1 5.7 1 7.2 1 15
Groonbank 24.8 10 10.0 4 27.1 11 5.8 2 6.1 2 5.3 2 4.9 2 4.9 2 2.8 1 6.4 2 38
Haadland 18.6 2 11.0 1 8.8 1 25.0 3 13.0 2 6.5 1 6.5 1 0.5 - 7.9 1 0.8 - 12
Hytklif 20.2 2 23.9 2 13.9 1 9.3 1 1.7 - 2.9 - 1.4 - 5.0 - 20.7 2 0.4 - 8
Nordberg 28.1 2 36.7 3 11.7 - 3.8 - 2.9 - 1.4 - 2.0 - 12.0 1 0.5 - 0.7 - 6
Ostlaak 31.3 6 16.9 3 13.3 2 5.3 1 9.8 2 11.0 2 8.0 1 2.0 - 1.0 - 17
Sompland 27.4 8 17.5 5 9.5 2 6.8 1 9.0 2 13.8 4 4.8 1 2.0 - 6.7 1 0.9 - 24
Westmaark 27.6 9 25.6 8 14.3 5 8.0 2 6.3 2 6.8 2 4.4 1 2.0 - 3.7 1 30
Azmara Azmara 26.0 43 16.3 26 16.5 25 9.3 13 8.0 12 7.0 11 5.1 7 3.5 4 2.8 4 2.5 3 1.6 2 150

Voter demographics

Demographic Size Workers' GF SF Radical Green BeH Socialist Others
Total vote 100% 26% 16% 16% 9% 8% 7% 5% 12%
Gender
Men 49% 24% 17% 18% 7% 6% 8% 7% 13%
Women 51% 28% 15% 14% 12% 10% 6% 3% 12%
Age
16–24 years old 11% 21% 18% 7% 15% 17% 3% 7% 12%
25–49 years old 41% 26% 19% 13% 10% 9% 8% 4% 11%
50–64 years old 25% 25% 16% 18% 10% 6% 7% 4% 14%
65 and older 23% 29% 12% 25% 5% 5% 7% 7% 10%
Educational attainment
Did not graduate
High school (ARWP/SWP)
High school (GWP)
University graduate
Occupation
Blue collar
White collar/entrepreneur
Public sector
Self-employed
Source: JuGov exit poll

Aftermath

Notes

  1. Parliamentary co-ordinator of the Party for Hytklif and Free Alliance 08.
  2. Result for Free Alliance 08 as a whole.
  3. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  4. Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  5. Voters under 30 debate.

References

  1. "Henrik Jorśsun selected as new leader of Sotirian Democrats after vote at weekend conference". De Aalmsted Heraald. 2022-04-05. Retrieved 2023-01-21.
  2. 2.0 2.1 "Anasdohter announces intention to dissolve Folksmot for elections". De Aalmsted Heraald. 2020-04-21. Retrieved 2023-01-21.
  3. "Results breakdown: What happened in your province?". De Aalmsted Heraald. 2020-04-21. Retrieved 2023-01-21.
  4. "Ministers resign as protests rage on". De Aalmsted Heraald. 2020-05-08. Retrieved 2023-01-21.