Percederation
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Percederation is the general trend marking the decline of centre-right conservative political parties in Euclea since 2015. These parties, which traditionally have represented the right of Euclean politics, have seen a significant drop in support. Some parties have hit historic lows in support while others have disbanded entirely. The decline in support for traditional centre-right parties has been accompanied by an increase in support for centrist or nationalist, right wing populist parties. It is believed to be a contributing factor to the Pink Wave, a shift towards centre-left social democratic parties.
The name comes from the Vespasian per cedere, meaning yield. It originated after the collapse of the Etrurian Federalist Party in 2016, who were supplanted by the nationalist, right-wing Tribune Movement. Since then, it has been applied more broadly as centre-right parties throughout Euclea experienced decline. It has also been used to describe shifts within parties, away from centre-right politics towards right-wing politics.
In Eastern Euclea
Alsland
The decline in popularity of the National Bloc (NB) since the 2020 Alslandic legislative election has been cited as a more recent example of Percederation. The Bloc has declined from receiving 35% of votes in the 2020 election, a relatively good result compared to previous elections to polling at below 20% in recent opinion polls. It's decline in popularity was seen as a consequence of the founding of the centrist Together for the Republic which has overtaken the NB in recent opinion polls. In certain communities of Alsland it has been surpassed by the right-wing Orange Party. Internally, moderate elements of the party have been replaced by conservative populist leaders, in the 2021 National Bloc leadership election the right-wing Konrad Dünhaupt won over the centrist Ryk Monteverde. Since his election the bloc has became increasingly conservative which led to the defection of former leader Lilliana Elliott from the bloc.
Azmara
The performance of the Sotirian Democrats has sometimes been cited as an example of percederation - in the 2020 election, the party received a result of 10.4% of the vote and 16 seats, its worst ever performance since its 1950 formation and the first time since 1951 that the party has won less than 20 seats in the Folksmot.
However, this has been disputed as an example of percederation for two major reasons - the first being the relative success of Gold Flame, another party of the centre-right who while remaining in opposition managed to make significant gains from a poor 2017 result, displacing the Sotirian Democrats as the second-largest party in their traditional stronghold of Westmaark. The second was a common analysis that the poor result for the Sotirian Democrats was due to a misguided and poorly implemented shift towards more right-wing populist stances on issues such as devolution which failed to strike a chord with many voters. It is therefore analysed as a switch by centre-right voters in much of Azmara towards the more liberal, small-business focused politics of Gold Flame leader Freidrik Aleksaanderssun.
Caldia
The Liberty Party began its decline in 2018, which culminated in its historic defeat in 2019. After forming the post government's in Caldia's post-war history, the party only won 18.4% of the vote and 89 seats. This was a major defeat for the party, which had never before fallen below 22.5%. The party's decline was largely attributed to the scandals of taoisigh Simi Ó Raghallaigh and Proin Casarnach. The party attempted a shift to the right under Pádraig Mac Piarais, but saw historic defeats in local elections under his leadership. For a time, the party fell into third place behind the National Party in opinion polls. It has lost support to the National Party and the liberal Caldish Democrats, matching the greater trend of percederation.
Estmere
Etruria
Gaullica
- Historical precedent with the downfall of 'Truth and Justice for a New Democracy' during the 1980s despite historical success, paving way for centre-right to be filled by 'Gaullican Conservatives'.
- Splintering of the centre-right over economic and social liberals and traditional conservatives leads to the formation of the PRCP.
Kesselbourg
The Ecologist Party won a majority in the General Election of 2019 as a center-right party that endorsed many policies of the center-left, such as environmentalism, sustainable energy and political transparency. However, support for the government of Prime Minister Wout Wanser-Plas has declined in the years following the election, due to various controversies and scandals surrounding Wanser-Plas and the Ecologist Party. As a result, the party has drifted further to the right, with Wanser-Plas endorsing policies more common among the right-wing, such as restrictions on immigration, tax cuts for corporations and protections for rural areas against urban sprawl. This ongoing shift away from the center-right towards the far-right is indicative of a general trend of percederation.
Piraea
The term "percederation" in Piraea has been used by the media more recently to describe the political results of the People’s Party since the collapse of the Evangelos Polakis government in 2007, which gave its rival, the Piraese Socialist Workers Union, its largest majority ever and stable 6 years of government under Zervakos' leadership and later Theopeftatou and Panopoulos. The People’s Party has, since 2007, maintained as second option in Piraea, but has struggled to win elections and reduce its leading margin with the centre-right Democrats that has occupied its space with a liberal and anti-corruption rhetoric.
Media and political analysts agree that the period of percederation of the People’s Party has started to culminate since the election of Georgios Konstantinou and the 2022 Piraean general elections, as the party has seen positive results in polls.
Elsewhere
Tengaria
Although Tengaria does not officially have political parties and is largely authoritarian, a similar effect has been cited by some scholars as being applicable under the same effect. During the presidency Dimitri Kovachev from 1983 to 2014, the "Pragmatist" faction of the Patriotic Union effective power over Tengaria. Although still largely conservative and right-wing, it promoted more moderate and centrist policies than those of Simeon Kovachev's presidency, including reforms which made Tengaria more in line with modern regimes. During this time as well, more centrist political groups promoting democratic reform were able to get some seats within the Senate, and the influence of the Patriotic Union was in decline. After Dimitri's death in 2014, his daughter Teodora Kovacheva took control of the Presidency, and began to bring the Union into more right-wing politics, bringing the "Purist" faction into power and increasing the use of right-wing rhetoric. Since then, the Patriotic Union has increasingly been pushing right-wing policies and regaining its political influence, which have lead some scholars to consider it to be undergoing Percederation.