Gylian presidential election, 2014: Difference between revisions

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{{Infobox election
{{Infobox election
| election_name    = Gylian presidential election, 2015
| election_name    = Gylian presidential election, 2014
| country          = Gylias
| country          = Gylias
| type              = presidential
| type              = presidential
| vote_type        = Final
| vote_type        = Final
| election_date    = 22 January 2015
| election_date    = 22 January 2014
| previous_election = Gylian presidential election, 2011
| previous_election = Gylian presidential election, 2010
| previous_year    = 2011
| previous_year    = 2010
| next_election    = Gylian presidential election, 2019
| next_election    = Gylian presidential election, 2018
| next_year        = 2019
| next_year        = 2018
| turnout          = 93,5%
| turnout          = 93,5%
| image_size        = 225x225px
| image_size        = 225x225px


| image1            = LauraVarnaþ.jpg
| image1            = CarmenDell'Orefice1.jpg
| colour1          = ED1B34
| colour1          = DDDDDD
| nominee1          = [[Laura Varnaþ]]
| nominee1          = [[Carmen Dell'Orefice]]
| party1            = {{G-PA/meta/shortname}}
| party1            = {{wpl|Independent politician|Ind}}
| popular_vote1    = 7.700.283
| popular_vote1    = 9.064.506
| percentage1      = 50,8%
| percentage1      = 59,8%


| image2            = ElectraGalanou.jpg
| image2            = ElectraGalanou.jpg
Line 23: Line 23:
| nominee2          = [[Electra Galanou]]
| nominee2          = [[Electra Galanou]]
| party2            = {{G-UNR/meta/shortname}}
| party2            = {{G-UNR/meta/shortname}}
| popular_vote2    = 7.457.754
| popular_vote2    = 6.093.531
| percentage2      = 49,2%
| percentage2      = 40,2%


<!-- map -->
<!-- map -->
| map_image        = Gylias-elections-presidential-2015-final.png
| map_image        = Gylias-elections-presidential-2015-final.png
| map_caption      = Results of the final preference distribution by [[Regions of Gylias|region]]<br>{{colorbox|{{G-PA/meta/color}}|border=darkgray}} [[Anina Bergmann]] {{colorbox|{{G-UNR/meta/color}}|border=darkgray}} [[Electra Galanou]]
| map_caption      = Results of the final preference distribution by [[Regions of Gylias|region]]<br>{{colorbox|{{Independent politician/meta/color}}|border=darkgray}} [[Carmen Dell'Orefice]] {{colorbox|{{G-UNR/meta/color}}|border=darkgray}} [[Electra Galanou]]


<!-- bottom -->
<!-- bottom -->
| title            = [[President of Gylias|President]]
| title            = [[President of Gylias|President]]
| before_election  = [[Laura Varnaþ]]
| before_election  = [[Carmen Dell'Orefice]]
| before_party      = <!-- {{wpl|Independent politician|Independent}} -->
| before_party      = <!-- {{wpl|Independent politician|Independent}} -->
| posttitle        = [[President of Gylias|President]] after election
| posttitle        = [[President of Gylias|President]] after election
| after_election    = [[Laura Varnaþ]]
| after_election    = [[Carmen Dell'Orefice]]
| after_party      = <!-- {{wpl|Independent politician|Independent}} -->
| after_party      = <!-- {{wpl|Independent politician|Independent}} -->
}}
}}


'''Presidential elections''' were held in [[Gylias]] on 22 January 2015.
A '''presidential elections''' was held in [[Gylias]] on 22 January 2014.


Incumbent [[Laura Varnaþ]] was re-elected, defeating {{G-UNR}} candidate [[Electra Galanou]].
Incumbent [[Carmen Dell'Orefice]] was re-elected, defeating {{G-UNR}} candidate [[Electra Galanou]].


==Procedure==
==Procedure==
Line 58: Line 58:
! style="width:40%;"| Details
! style="width:40%;"| Details
|-
|-
| style="background:lavender;"| '''[[Laura Varnaþ]]'''
| style="background:lavender;"| '''[[Carmen Dell'Orefice]]'''
| [[File:LauraVarnaþ.jpg|100px]]
| [[File:CarmenDell'Orefice2.jpg|100px]]
| style="background:{{G-PA/meta/color}};" |
| style="background:{{Independent politician/meta/color}};" |
| {{G-PA}}
| {{wpl|Independent politician|Independent}}
| {{wpl|City Council}}lor of [[Nerveiík-Iárus-Daláyk Region|Velouria]]<br><small>(1992–2002)</small><br>[[Regions of Gylias#Government|Regional Council]]lor for [[Nerveiík-Iárus-Daláyk Region|Nerveiík-Iárus-Daláyk]]<br><small>(2002–2006)</small><br>[[President of Gylias]]<br><small>(since 2007)</small>
| [[President of Gylias]]<br><small>(since 2010)</small>
| Campaigned as the main leftist candidate.
| Campaigned on promotion of [[Socialism in Gylias#Aristerokratia|''aristerokratia'']].
|-
|-
| style="background:lavender;"| '''[[Electra Galanou]]'''
| style="background:lavender;"| '''[[Electra Galanou]]'''
Line 118: Line 118:
!%
!%
|-
|-
|style="background:{{G-PA/meta/color}}"|
|style="background:{{Independent politician/meta/color}}"|
|style="text-align:left"|[[Laura Varnaþ]]
|style="text-align:left"|[[Carmen Dell'Orefice]]
|style="text-align:left"|{{G-PA/meta/shortname}}
|style="text-align:left"|{{wpl|Independent politician|Independent}}
|2.681.807
|2.681.807
|16,1%
|16,1%
|7.700.283
|9.064.506
|50,8%
|59,8%
|-
|-
|style="background:{{G-UNR/meta/color}}"|
|style="background:{{G-UNR/meta/color}}"|
Line 131: Line 131:
|2.665.149
|2.665.149
|16,0%
|16,0%
|7.457.754
|6.093.531
|49,2%
|40,2%
|-
|-
|style="background:{{G-LU/meta/color}}"|
|style="background:{{G-LU/meta/color}}"|
Line 185: Line 185:
| align    = center
| align    = center
| total_width = 1000
| total_width = 1000
| image1  = Gylias-elections-presidential-2015-first.png
| image1  = Gylias-elections-presidential-2014-first.png
| alt1    =  
| alt1    =  
| caption1 = First count pluralities by region
| caption1 = First count pluralities by region
| image2  = Gylias-elections-presidential-2015-final.png
| image2  = Gylias-elections-presidential-2014-final.png
| alt2    =  
| alt2    =  
| caption2  = Final count majorities by region
| caption2  = Final count majorities by region
Line 194: Line 194:


===Analysis===
===Analysis===
After two nail-biter wins in [[Gylian presidential election, 2007|2007]] and [[Gylian presidential election, 2011|2011]], the incumbent [[Laura Varnaþ]] entered her last election in a more secure position. However, the large number of candidates led to expectations that the voting would be tight, and speculation who would face Laura in the final round.
Having defeated the sitting president [[Laura Varnaþ]] in [[Gylian presidential election, 2010|2010]], incumbent [[Carmen Dell'Orefice]] went into the election in a strong position. She was one of Gylias' most popular presidents, and her {{wpl|sex symbol|"silver fox"}} reputation and identification with [[Socialism in Gylias#Aristerokratia|''aristerokratia'']] were huge advantages. She was particularly ecstatic that, while Gylias' oldest president, she enjoyed great popularity among young voters, who admired her elegance and commitment to fighting {{wpl|ageism}}.
 
The {{G-PA}} did not nominate a candidate after Laura's loss in [[Gylian presidential election, 2010|2010]]. Instead, leftists swung their support behind Carmen's re-election.


The {{G-NB}} did not nominate a candidate after [[Yseult Roxane Danesh]]'s poor showing in [[Gylian presidential election, 2011|2011]]. Instead, the [[Conservatism in Gylias|conservative]] mantle was taken by the {{G-UNR}}'s candidate [[Electra Galanou]], who had previously finished third in [[Gylian presidential election, 1986|1986]].
The {{G-NB}} did not nominate a candidate after [[Yseult Roxane Danesh]]'s poor showing in [[Gylian presidential election, 2010|2010]]. Instead, the [[Conservatism in Gylias|conservative]] mantle was taken by the {{G-UNR}}'s candidate [[Electra Galanou]], who had previously finished third in [[Gylian presidential election, 1986|1986]].


[[File:HelenaBonham-2015.jpg|thumb|right|200px|[[Helena Bonham]] arriving for a {{wpl|husting|public meeting}} during the campaign]]
[[File:HelenaBonham-2015.jpg|thumb|right|200px|[[Helena Bonham]] arriving for a {{wpl|husting|public meeting}} during the campaign]]
A somewhat surprising nomination was [[Helena Bonham]] as the {{G-LU}}'s candidate. A well-established, beloved {{wpl|character actor|character actress}} known for her quirky roles, Helena was also the grand-daughter of famed "anarcho-liberal" [[Violet Bonham]], and accepted nomination in part due to an interest in "living up to the family name".  
A somewhat surprising nomination was [[Helena Bonham]] as the {{G-LU}}'s candidate. A well-established, beloved {{wpl|character actor|character actress}} known for her quirky roles, Helena was also the grand-daughter of famed "anarcho-liberal" [[Violet Bonham]], and accepted nomination in part due to an interest in "living up to the family name".  


Confounding expectations, Helena ran a serious campaign, marked by erudite speeches that placed her in the {{wpl|liberal socialism|liberal socialist}} tradition of the [[Free Territories (Gylias)|Free Territories]]. Arguably her sole concession to her cinematic fame was dressing in deliberately anachronistic [[Alscia]]n [[Clothing in Gylias|fashions]], but this mainly drew comparisons to Gylias' first president, [[Eiín Dairyn]].
Confounding expectations, Helena ran a serious campaign, marked by erudite speeches that placed her in the {{wpl|liberal socialism|liberal socialist}} tradition of the [[Free Territories (Gylias)|Free Territories]]. Arguably her sole concession to her cinematic fame was dressing in deliberately anachronistic [[Alscia]]n [[Clothing in Gylias|fashions]], but this mainly drew comparisons to Gylias' first president, [[Reda Kazan]].


Voters also enjoyed a strong line-up of colourful candidates: columnist [[Keie Nanei]] (a returning candidate from [[Gylian presidential election, 2003|2003]]), comedian [[Cavallo and Del Carretto|Victoria Cavallo]] (whose signature promise was organising a referendum on making "[[Arise, Gylians]]" the national anthem), and writer Saeni Rotara, who sought the {{G-HP}} nomination due to discomfort with running as an {{wpl|independent politician|independent}}.
Voters also enjoyed a strong line-up of colourful candidates: columnist [[Keie Nanei]] (a returning candidate from [[Gylian presidential election, 2003|2003]]), comedian [[Cavallo and Del Carretto|Victoria Cavallo]] (whose signature promise was organising a referendum on making "[[Arise, Gylians]]" the national anthem), and writer Saeni Rotara, who sought the {{G-HP}} nomination due to discomfort with running as an {{wpl|independent politician|independent}}.


In the first round, Laura obtained a narrow plurality of 16,1% of first preference votes, and carried the northern [[Regions of Gylias|regions]] of [[Salxar Region|Salxar]], [[Makarces Region|Makarces]], [[Gacar Region|Gacar]], and [[Gerşyr Region|Gerşyr]], which had previously gone against her. Electra took second place, overtaking Helena by only 1.665 votes. Helena registered a strong performance despite narrowly missing out advancing to the final round, winning pluralities in [[Tomes Region|Tomes]] thanks to a sweep of Ðoron and Kaşa, and came within 0,5% of overtaking Electra in [[Nerveiík-Iárus-Daláyk Region|Nerveiík-Iárus-Daláyk]].
In the first round, Carmen obtained a surprisingly narrow plurality of 16,1% of first preference votes, and carried 5 [[Regions of Gylias|regions]]. Electra took second place, overtaking Helena by only 1.665 votes. Helena registered a strong performance despite narrowly missing out advancing to the final round, winning pluralities in [[Tomes Region|Tomes]] thanks to a sweep of Ðoron and Kaşa, and coming within 0,5% of overtaking Electra in [[Nerveiík-Iárus-Daláyk Region|Nerveiík-Iárus-Daláyk]].


Keie's fourth place finish and 14,5% of first preference votes represented a 4,3% decline from her [[Gylian presidential election, 2003|2003]] performance, but she still managed to win pluralities in [[Kausania Region|Kausania]] and [[Envadra Region|Envadra]]. Amanda trailed only 0,1% behind, and retained pluralities in [[Nezyál Region|Nezyál]], [[Herlan Region|Herlan]], and [[Aðuna Region|Aðuna]].  
Keie's fourth place finish and 14,5% of first preference votes represented a 4,3% decline from her [[Gylian presidential election, 2003|2003]] performance, but she still managed to win pluralities in [[Kausania Region|Kausania]] and [[Envadra Region|Envadra]]. Amanda trailed only 0,1% behind, and retained pluralities in [[Nezyál Region|Nezyál]], [[Herlan Region|Herlan]], and [[Aðuna Region|Aðuna]].  


Victoria won 11% of first preference votes, coming second in [[Arxaþ Region|Arxaþ]], and [[Alţira Region|Alţira]], but not managing to win a regional plurality. Conversely, Saeni finished last, but picked up much of the "[[Non-inscrits (Gylias)|non-inscrit]] left" vote, managing pluralities in [[Mişeyáke Region|Mişeyáke]], [[Sváen Region|Sváen]], [[Nauras Region|Nauras]], and [[Tandar Region|Tandar]].
Victoria won 11% of first preference votes, coming second in [[Arxaþ Region|Arxaþ]], and [[Alţira Region|Alţira]], but not managing to win a regional plurality. Conversely, Saeni finished last, but picked up much of the "[[Non-inscrits (Gylias)|non-inscrit]] left" vote that hadn't gone to Carmen, managing pluralities in [[Mişeyáke Region|Mişeyáke]], [[Sváen Region|Sváen]], [[Nauras Region|Nauras]], and [[Tandar Region|Tandar]].


In the final round, Laura generally gained transfers from Helena and Saeni's voters. Keie, Amanda, and Victoria's voters were more unpredictable with their preferences, keeping the contest close. In the end, Laura won by 50,8% of final preferences to Electra's 49,2% — her widest victory margin, but still only some 240.000 votes apart.
In the final round, Carmen generally gained transfers from Helena, Amanda, and Saeni's voters. Keie and Victoria's voters were more unpredictable with their preferences. In the end, Carmen defeated Electra by nearly 3 million votes, obtaining a larger majority than [[Gianna Calderara]] in [[Gylian presidential election, 2003|2003]].


On the final map, Laura won majorities in 14 regions compared to Electra's 6, duplicating [[Anina Bergmann]]'s feat in [[Gylian presidential election, 2003|2003]]. Besides her regions, Electra only managed to gain [[Aðuna Region|Aðuna]] from Amanda, [[Nauras Region|Nauras]] from Saeni, and [[Envadra Region|Envadra]] from Keie. The rest were all swept by Laura, although most by modest margins. This was the only election in which Laura carried [[Tandar Region|Tandar]] in the end.
Carmen won majorities in 18 regions compared to Electra's 2, making Electra the poorest-performing runner-up since [[Gylian presidential election, 1975|1975]]. Electra only managed to gain [[Nauras Region|Nauras]] from Saeni.


{{Gylian elections}}
{{Gylian elections}}


[[Category:Gylian elections]]
[[Category:Gylian elections]]

Latest revision as of 17:17, 21 November 2024

Gylian presidential election, 2014

← 2010 22 January 2014 2018 →
Turnout93,5%
  CarmenDell'Orefice1.jpg ElectraGalanou.jpg
Nominee Carmen Dell'Orefice Electra Galanou
Party Ind UNR
Final vote 9.064.506 6.093.531
Percentage 59,8% 40,2%

Gylias-elections-presidential-2015-final.png
Results of the final preference distribution by region
  Carmen Dell'Orefice   Electra Galanou

President before election

Carmen Dell'Orefice

President after election

Carmen Dell'Orefice

A presidential elections was held in Gylias on 22 January 2014.

Incumbent Carmen Dell'Orefice was re-elected, defeating Union for a New Republic candidate Electra Galanou.

Procedure

The election was held through instant-runoff voting.

Candidates were registered with Elections Gylias in accordance with normal procedures. They could either be nominated by a political party or electoral bloc, civic organisations, or self-nomination as independents.

Candidates

Candidate Nominator Office(s) held Details
Carmen Dell'Orefice CarmenDell'Orefice2.jpg Independent President of Gylias
(since 2010)
Campaigned on promotion of aristerokratia.
Electra Galanou ElectraGalanou.jpg Union for a New Republic Chief executive of Omicron Group
(since 1961)
Campaigned on promotion of economic nationalism and disability rights.
Helena Bonham Helena Bonham Carter 3 (cropped).jpg Liberal Union None Campaigned as the main liberal candidate.
Keie Nanei Amy Alkon in hat.jpg Independent None Campaigned on a satirical platform.
Amanda Leloup AmandaLeloup-2014.jpg OMFLGACFEN Governor of Nezyál
(1970–1978)
Campaigned on promotion of francité.
Victoria Cavallo VictoriaCavallo.jpg Independent None Campaigned on a satirical platform.
Saeni Rotara SaeniRotara.jpg Humanist Party None Campaigned on promotion of the arts and culture.

Results

Candidate Nominator First count % Final count %
Carmen Dell'Orefice Independent 2.681.807 16,1% 9.064.506 59,8%
Electra Galanou UNR 2.665.149 16,0% 6.093.531 40,2%
Helena Bonham LU 2.663.484 16,0%
Keie Nanei Independent 2.416.957 14,5%
Amanda Leloup OMFLGACFEN 2.398.634 14,4%
Victoria Cavallo Independent 1.832.290 11,0%
Saeni Rotara HP 1.798.976 10,8%
Others/write-ins 199.886 1,2%
Total 16.657.183 100% 15.158.037 100%
Registered voters and turnout 18.178.744 93,5%

Maps

First count pluralities by region
Final count majorities by region

Analysis

Having defeated the sitting president Laura Varnaþ in 2010, incumbent Carmen Dell'Orefice went into the election in a strong position. She was one of Gylias' most popular presidents, and her "silver fox" reputation and identification with aristerokratia were huge advantages. She was particularly ecstatic that, while Gylias' oldest president, she enjoyed great popularity among young voters, who admired her elegance and commitment to fighting ageism.

The Progressive Alliance did not nominate a candidate after Laura's loss in 2010. Instead, leftists swung their support behind Carmen's re-election.

The National Bloc did not nominate a candidate after Yseult Roxane Danesh's poor showing in 2010. Instead, the conservative mantle was taken by the Union for a New Republic's candidate Electra Galanou, who had previously finished third in 1986.

Helena Bonham arriving for a public meeting during the campaign

A somewhat surprising nomination was Helena Bonham as the Liberal Union's candidate. A well-established, beloved character actress known for her quirky roles, Helena was also the grand-daughter of famed "anarcho-liberal" Violet Bonham, and accepted nomination in part due to an interest in "living up to the family name".

Confounding expectations, Helena ran a serious campaign, marked by erudite speeches that placed her in the liberal socialist tradition of the Free Territories. Arguably her sole concession to her cinematic fame was dressing in deliberately anachronistic Alscian fashions, but this mainly drew comparisons to Gylias' first president, Reda Kazan.

Voters also enjoyed a strong line-up of colourful candidates: columnist Keie Nanei (a returning candidate from 2003), comedian Victoria Cavallo (whose signature promise was organising a referendum on making "Arise, Gylians" the national anthem), and writer Saeni Rotara, who sought the Humanist Party nomination due to discomfort with running as an independent.

In the first round, Carmen obtained a surprisingly narrow plurality of 16,1% of first preference votes, and carried 5 regions. Electra took second place, overtaking Helena by only 1.665 votes. Helena registered a strong performance despite narrowly missing out advancing to the final round, winning pluralities in Tomes thanks to a sweep of Ðoron and Kaşa, and coming within 0,5% of overtaking Electra in Nerveiík-Iárus-Daláyk.

Keie's fourth place finish and 14,5% of first preference votes represented a 4,3% decline from her 2003 performance, but she still managed to win pluralities in Kausania and Envadra. Amanda trailed only 0,1% behind, and retained pluralities in Nezyál, Herlan, and Aðuna.

Victoria won 11% of first preference votes, coming second in Arxaþ, and Alţira, but not managing to win a regional plurality. Conversely, Saeni finished last, but picked up much of the "non-inscrit left" vote that hadn't gone to Carmen, managing pluralities in Mişeyáke, Sváen, Nauras, and Tandar.

In the final round, Carmen generally gained transfers from Helena, Amanda, and Saeni's voters. Keie and Victoria's voters were more unpredictable with their preferences. In the end, Carmen defeated Electra by nearly 3 million votes, obtaining a larger majority than Gianna Calderara in 2003.

Carmen won majorities in 18 regions compared to Electra's 2, making Electra the poorest-performing runner-up since 1975. Electra only managed to gain Nauras from Saeni.