This article belongs to the lore of Ajax.

Yisraeli general election, 2020: Difference between revisions

Jump to navigation Jump to search
No edit summary
No edit summary
Line 7: Line 7:
| type              = {{wp|General election}}
| type              = {{wp|General election}}
| vote_type        = Popular
| vote_type        = Popular
| ongoing          = Yes
| ongoing          = No
| previous_election = Yisraeli general election, 2018
| previous_election = Yisraeli general election, 2018
| previous_year    =  
| previous_year    =  
Line 86: Line 86:
}}
}}


The '''2020 Yisraeli general election''' will be held on January 27, 2020. It will feature elections for [[Presidency of Yisrael|President]] and the full [[Knesset]], as well as some [[District system (Yisrael)|District gubernatorial and legislative seats]] and a litany of local {{wp|municipal}} offices. This election will be the first to feature [[Electoral_College_in_Yisrael#Two-party_presidential_system|a three-party contest for the presidency]], and the potentially the first in decades to realign the [[Right Bloc|Right]]-[[Left Bloc|Left]] bloc ideological alignment of the Knesset.  
The '''2020 Yisraeli general election''' was held on January 27, 2020. It featured elections for [[Presidency of Yisrael|President]] and the full [[Knesset]], as well as some [[District system (Yisrael)|District gubernatorial and legislative seats]] and a litany of local {{wp|municipal}} offices. This election was the first to feature [[Electoral_College_in_Yisrael#Two-party_presidential_system|a three-party contest for the presidency]], and the the first in decades that realigned the [[Right Bloc|Right]]-[[Left Bloc|Left]] bloc ideological alignment of the Knesset, with the [[United Center Bloc]] displacing the Left as the {{wp|Loyal opposition|chief opposition group}}.
 


==Background==
==Background==
Line 127: Line 126:
==Coalitions and parties==
==Coalitions and parties==


At the presidential level, three coalitions are contesting the office: The [[Right Bloc]] ([[Royalist Conservative Party (Yisrael)|Conservatives]], [[Electoral_College_in_Yisrael#Third-party_impact|cross-endorsed]] by the [[League for New Judea|Northern League]] and [[Torah Achdus]]), the [[United Center Bloc]] (the [[Alternative for Yisrael]] cross-endorsed by [[Action Yisrael]]), and the [[Left Bloc]] (the [[Constitutional Liberal Party|Constitutional Liberals]] cross-endorsed by the [[Alliance of Greens, Seculars, and Workers]]).  
At the presidential level, three coalitions contested the office: The [[Right Bloc]] ([[Royalist Conservative Party (Yisrael)|Conservatives]], [[Electoral_College_in_Yisrael#Third-party_impact|cross-endorsed]] by the [[League for New Judea|Northern League]] and [[Torah Achdus]]), the [[United Center Bloc]] (the [[Alternative for Yisrael]] cross-endorsed by [[Action Yisrael]]), and the [[Left Bloc]] (the [[Constitutional Liberal Party|Constitutional Liberals]] cross-endorsed by the [[Alliance of Greens, Seculars, and Workers]]).  


At the Knesset and conditionally at the District and local levels, the Bloc members each, to some degree, have election pacts to not run candidates against the others or at least non-aggression/no-negative advertising/{{wp|cease-fire}} pacts in districts where their candidates are both contesting an office.  
At the Knesset and conditionally at the District and local levels, the Bloc members each, to some degree, had election pacts to not run candidates against the others or at least non-aggression/no-negative advertising/{{wp|cease-fire}} pacts in districts where their candidates were both contesting an office.  


==General election polling==
==General election polling==

Revision as of 04:56, 31 January 2020

Yisraeli general election, 2020
Royal Flag of Yisrael.png
27 January 2020 (2020-01-27) Jan. 2022 →
Turnout77.69% Increase
  Yitzchok Katz pic 2.jpg Reuven Goldschmidt pic 2.jpg Yosef Kaduri pic 2.jpg
Party Royalist Conservative Party Alternative for Yisrael Constitutional Liberal Party
Alliance Right Bloc United Center Bloc Left Bloc
Popular vote 1,936,088 1,364,987 1,056,541
Percentage 44.3% 31.1% 23.6%

President before election

Noah Feldman
Royalist Conservative Party

Elected President

Yitzchok Katz
Royalist Conservative Party

The 2020 Yisraeli general election was held on January 27, 2020. It featured elections for President and the full Knesset, as well as some District gubernatorial and legislative seats and a litany of local municipal offices. This election was the first to feature a three-party contest for the presidency, and the the first in decades that realigned the Right-Left bloc ideological alignment of the Knesset, with the United Center Bloc displacing the Left as the chief opposition group.

Background

Electoral system

The presidential election is determined by an electoral college in which the plurality majority vote winner in each district wins that jurisdiction's electoral votes, with a majority of 97 EVs needed to secure a majority of the 192-vote College.

The Knesset and other elections are plurality majority direct elections in single-member districts using a first-past-the-post electoral system.

Voting eligibility

To be eligible to vote in the election, one must be:

  • registered to vote with the Royal Yisraeli Election Commission;
  • aged 21 years old by the registration deadline of September 27, 2019;
  • a Yisraeli citizen; and
  • not excluded from voting (whether by legal incompetency, found guilty of or convicted of a felony, etc.) or not disqualified from voting.

Timetable

June 27, 2019 Royal Yisraeli Election Commission staff prepares balloting and election machines for upcoming elections.
September 2, 2019 Major parties (traditionally the Conservatives and Constitutional Liberals) hold their presidential nomination conventions. Unofficial kickoff of the general election season.
September 27, 2019 Last day to register to vote.
November 27, 2019 Last day for independents and new parties to file to run for office on the ballot.
January 27, 2020 Election Day: National polls open at 6am and close at 7pm.
January 28, 2020 Election results verified and released publicly.
February 3, 2020 The President-elect and Members-elect of Knesset and local offices are sworn in.

Coalitions and parties

At the presidential level, three coalitions contested the office: The Right Bloc (Conservatives, cross-endorsed by the Northern League and Torah Achdus), the United Center Bloc (the Alternative for Yisrael cross-endorsed by Action Yisrael), and the Left Bloc (the Constitutional Liberals cross-endorsed by the Alliance of Greens, Seculars, and Workers).

At the Knesset and conditionally at the District and local levels, the Bloc members each, to some degree, had election pacts to not run candidates against the others or at least non-aggression/no-negative advertising/cease-fire pacts in districts where their candidates were both contesting an office.

General election polling

Presidential

Three-way race

Polling firm Date Candidate/Political Bloc Undecided Type of Voters Surveyed
Yitzchok Katz
(Right Bloc)
Yosef Kaduri
(Left Bloc)
Reuven Goldschmidt
(United Center Bloc)
HaMaariv January 14–15, 2020 37% 22% 36% 5% Likely voters
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch January 13–16, 2020 38% 17% 38% 7% Likely voters
Union of Dati Leumi Synogogues January 7–15, 2019 40% 15% 42% 3%** Likely voters
(with an online panel)*
King Solomon University January 15, 2020 41% 23% 39% 5% Likely voters
Channel 20 TV January 14–15, 2020 42% 15% 37% 6% Likely voters
Channel 10 TV January 12–15, 2020 37% 18% 35% 8% Registered voters
Zman Yisrael January 12–13, 2020 39% 19% 38% 4%** Likely voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli January 9–13, 2020 34% 32% 32% 2%** Registered voters
Salomon Polling Associates, Ltd. January 7–8, 2020 36% 36% 23% 5% Likely voters
(with a weighted
cell-phone-only and online panels
)*
Nishma Research January 6–7, 2019 36% 16% 44% 4%** Likely voters
(with an online panel)*
Channel 9 TV January 1–2, 2020 40% 15% 41% 4%** Likely voters
Action Now Surveys
(Action Yisrael)
December 29, 2019 – January 2, 2020 37% 17% 39% 7% Likely voters
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch December 25–29, 2019 37% 19% 37% 6% Likely voters
King David University December 23, 2019 39% 21% 33% 5% Likely voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli December 22–24, 2019 33% 31% 28% 8% Registered voters
Channel 9 TV December 18, 2019 36% 22% 30% 12% Likely voters
Channel 20 TV December 16–17, 2019 40% 23% 31% 6% Likely voters
Nishma Research December 15, 2019 38% 27% 32% 3%** Likely voters
(with an online panel)*
King Solomon University December 11–12, 2019 33% 30% 30% 7% Registered voters
Zman Yisrael December 4–8, 2019 37% 27% 29% 7% Likely voters
Salomon Polling Associates, Ltd. December 3, 2019 33% 38% 27% 2%** Likely voters
(with a weighted
cell-phone-only and online panels
)*
Action Now Surveys
(Action Yisrael)
December 2–3, 2019 36% 21% 34% 9% Registered voters
Gib'ul HaTzafone November 28, 2019 37% 33% 25% 5% Registered voters
(with a weighted online panel)*
Goldman Independent Surveys November 25–26, 2019 39% 27% 24% 10% Likely voters
King Solomon University November 24, 2019 28% 27% 29% 16% Registered voters
Channel 20 TV November 21–22, 2019 43% 27% 23% 7% Likely voters
HaMaariv November 17–20, 2019 29% 34% 19% 18% Registered voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli November 17–18, 2019 35% 35% 27% 3%** Registered voters
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch November 14, 2019 37% 26% 26% 11% Likely voters
Zman Yisrael November 11–14, 2019 40% 31% 22% 6% Likely voters
Channel 10 TV November 10–12, 2019 38% 24% 26% 12% Likely voters

Notes:
* - The inclusion of cell-phone and online participation in opinion surveys has been found to be statistically uneven and should be viewed as less accurate than traditional methods (YCOR, "Effect of New Methodologies In Opinion Research," 2019).
** - The Yisraeli College of Opinion Researchers notes that polls and surveys with an undecided tally of less than <5% beyond the last two days before an election are less accurate, statistically, than polls with undecided voters comprising ≥5%.

Two-way race

Polling firm Date Candidate/Political Bloc Undecided Type of Voters Surveyed
Yitzchok Katz
(Right Bloc)
Yosef Kaduri
(Left Bloc)
Zman Yisrael November 10–12, 2019 47% 41% 9% Likely voters
King David University November 6–9, 2019 46% 42% 12% Likely voters
HaMaariv November 5–6, 2019 45% 38% 15% Likely voters
Channel 20 TV/
Bayis HaYehudi
November 1–4, 2019 39% 39% 19% Registered voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli October 30–November 2, 2019 37% 38% 23% Registered voters
King Solomon University October 27–29, 2019 36% 36% 24% Registered voters
Salomon Polling Associates, Ltd. October 25–26, 2019 38% 39% 17% Likely voters
Zman Yisrael October 23–25, 2019 39% 38% 21% Likely voters
International Financial Insider October 16–18, 2019 43% 37% 18% Registered voters
Channel 20 TV October 16, 2019 39% 33% 28% Registered voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli October 10–11, 2019 34% 37% 26% Registered voters
Channel 10 TV October 6, 2019 49% 39% 7% Likely voters
King Solomon University September 27, 2019 37% 37% 23% Registered voters
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch September 23–26, 2019 43% 41% 13% Likely voters
Zman Yisrael September 22, 2019 47% 42% 8% Likely voters
Union of Dati Leumi Synogogues September 18–19, 2019 39% 31% 25% Registered voters
HaMaariv September 15–17, 2019 47% 45% 6% Likely voters
Channel 10 TV September 11–12, 2019 40% 37% 19% Registered voters
Action Now Surveys
(Action Yisrael)
September 10–13, 2019 41% 36% 20% Registered voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli September 8–9, 2019 33% 38% 27% Registered voters
Salomon Polling Associates, Ltd. September 5, 2019 35% 35% 28% Registered voters
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch September 3–5, 2019 44% 39% 15% Likely voters
Channel 20 TV September 4, 2019 37% 35% 25% Registered voters

Knesset

Results

See also