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Yisraeli general election, 2020

Yisraeli general election, 2020
Royal Flag of Yisrael.png
27 January 2020 (2020-01-27) Jan. 2022 →
Turnout77.69% Increase
  Yitzchok Katz pic 2.jpg Reuven Goldschmidt pic 2.jpg Yosef Kaduri pic 2.jpg
Party Royalist Conservative Party Alternative for Yisrael Constitutional Liberal Party
Alliance Right Bloc United Center Bloc Left Bloc
Popular vote 1,936,088 1,364,987 1,056,541
Percentage 44.3% 31.1% 23.6%

President before election

Noah Feldman
Royalist Conservative Party

Elected President

Yitzchok Katz
Royalist Conservative Party

The 2020 Yisraeli general election was held on January 27, 2020. It featured elections for President and the full Knesset, as well as some District gubernatorial and legislative seats and a litany of local municipal offices. This election was the first to feature a three-party contest for the presidency, and the the first in decades that realigned the Right-Left bloc ideological alignment of the Knesset, with the United Center Bloc displacing the Left as the chief opposition group.

Background

Electoral system

The presidential election is determined by an electoral college in which the plurality majority vote winner in each district wins that jurisdiction's electoral votes, with a majority of 97 EVs needed to secure a majority of the 192-vote College.

The Knesset and other elections are plurality majority direct elections in single-member districts using a first-past-the-post electoral system.

Voting eligibility

To be eligible to vote in the election, one must be:

  • registered to vote with the Royal Yisraeli Election Commission;
  • aged 21 years old by the registration deadline of September 27, 2019;
  • a Yisraeli citizen; and
  • not excluded from voting (whether by legal incompetency, found guilty of or convicted of a felony, etc.) or not disqualified from voting.

Timetable

June 27, 2019 Royal Yisraeli Election Commission staff prepared balloting and election machines for upcoming elections.
September 2, 2019 Major parties (traditionally the Conservatives and Constitutional Liberals) hold their presidential nomination conventions. Unofficial kickoff of the general election season begins.
September 27, 2019 Last day to register to vote.
November 27, 2019 Last day for independents and new parties to file to run for office on the ballot.
January 27, 2020 Election Day: National polls opened at 6am and closed at 7pm.
January 28, 2020 Election results were verified and released publicly.
February 3, 2020 The President-elect and Members-elect of Knesset and local offices were sworn in.

Coalitions and parties

At the presidential level, three coalitions contested the office: The Right Bloc (Conservatives, cross-endorsed by the Northern League and Torah Achdus), the United Center Bloc (the Alternative for Yisrael cross-endorsed by Action Yisrael), and the Left Bloc (the Constitutional Liberals cross-endorsed by the Alliance of Greens, Seculars, and Workers).

At the Knesset and conditionally at the District and local levels, the Bloc members each, to some degree, had election pacts to not run candidates against the others or at least non-aggression/no-negative advertising/cease-fire pacts in districts where their candidates were both contesting an office.

General election polling

Presidential

Three-way race

Polling firm Date Candidate/Political Bloc Undecided Type of Voters Surveyed
Yitzchok Katz
(Right Bloc)
Yosef Kaduri
(Left Bloc)
Reuven Goldschmidt
(United Center Bloc)
Gib'ul HaTzafone January 26, 2020 45% 23% 30% 2% Likely voters
(with a weighted online panel)*
King David University January 26, 2020 36% 26% 32% 4% Likely voters
Zman Yisrael January 22–23, 2020 39% 21% 34% 6% Likely voters
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch January 22–23, 2020 45% 22% 30% 3% Likely voters
Channel 20 TV January 22–23, 26, 2020 46% 25% 24% 5% Likely voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli January 22, 2020 39% 31% 29% 1% Registered voters
HaMaariv January 14–15, 2020 37% 22% 36% 5% Likely voters
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch January 13–16, 2020 38% 17% 38% 7% Likely voters
Union of Dati Leumi Synogogues January 7–15, 2019 40% 15% 42% 3%** Likely voters
(with an online panel)*
King Solomon University January 15, 2020 41% 23% 39% 5% Likely voters
Channel 20 TV January 14–15, 2020 42% 15% 37% 6% Likely voters
Channel 10 TV January 12–15, 2020 37% 18% 35% 8% Registered voters
Zman Yisrael January 12–13, 2020 39% 19% 38% 4%** Likely voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli January 9–13, 2020 34% 32% 32% 2%** Registered voters
Salomon Polling Associates, Ltd. January 7–8, 2020 36% 36% 23% 5% Likely voters
(with a weighted
cell-phone-only and online panels
)*
Nishma Research January 6–7, 2019 36% 16% 44% 4%** Likely voters
(with an online panel)*
Channel 9 TV January 1–2, 2020 40% 15% 41% 4%** Likely voters
Action Now Surveys
(Action Yisrael)
December 29, 2019 – January 2, 2020 37% 17% 39% 7% Likely voters
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch December 25–29, 2019 37% 19% 37% 6% Likely voters
King David University December 23, 2019 39% 21% 33% 5% Likely voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli December 22–24, 2019 33% 31% 28% 8% Registered voters
Channel 9 TV December 18, 2019 36% 22% 30% 12% Likely voters
Channel 20 TV December 16–17, 2019 40% 23% 31% 6% Likely voters
Nishma Research December 15, 2019 38% 27% 32% 3%** Likely voters
(with an online panel)*
King Solomon University December 11–12, 2019 33% 30% 30% 7% Registered voters
Zman Yisrael December 4–8, 2019 37% 27% 29% 7% Likely voters
Salomon Polling Associates, Ltd. December 3, 2019 33% 38% 27% 2%** Likely voters
(with a weighted
cell-phone-only and online panels
)*
Action Now Surveys
(Action Yisrael)
December 2–3, 2019 36% 21% 34% 9% Registered voters
Gib'ul HaTzafone November 28, 2019 37% 33% 25% 5% Registered voters
(with a weighted online panel)*
Goldman Independent Surveys November 25–26, 2019 39% 27% 24% 10% Likely voters
King Solomon University November 24, 2019 28% 27% 29% 16% Registered voters
Channel 20 TV November 21–22, 2019 43% 27% 23% 7% Likely voters
HaMaariv November 17–20, 2019 29% 34% 19% 18% Registered voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli November 17–18, 2019 35% 35% 27% 3%** Registered voters
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch November 14, 2019 37% 26% 26% 11% Likely voters
Zman Yisrael November 11–14, 2019 40% 31% 22% 6% Likely voters
Channel 10 TV November 10–12, 2019 38% 24% 26% 12% Likely voters

Notes:
* - The inclusion of cell-phone and online participation in opinion surveys has been found to be statistically uneven and should be viewed as less accurate than traditional methods (YCOR, "Effect of New Methodologies In Opinion Research," 2019).
** - The Yisraeli College of Opinion Researchers notes that polls and surveys with an undecided tally of less than <5% beyond the last two days before an election are less accurate, statistically, than polls with undecided voters comprising ≥5%.

Two-way race

Polling firm Date Candidate/Political Bloc Undecided Type of Voters Surveyed
Yitzchok Katz
(Right Bloc)
Yosef Kaduri
(Left Bloc)
Zman Yisrael November 10–12, 2019 47% 41% 9% Likely voters
King David University November 6–9, 2019 46% 42% 12% Likely voters
HaMaariv November 5–6, 2019 45% 38% 15% Likely voters
Channel 20 TV/
Bayis HaYehudi
November 1–4, 2019 39% 39% 19% Registered voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli October 30–November 2, 2019 37% 38% 23% Registered voters
King Solomon University October 27–29, 2019 36% 36% 24% Registered voters
Salomon Polling Associates, Ltd. October 25–26, 2019 38% 39% 17% Likely voters
Zman Yisrael October 23–25, 2019 39% 38% 21% Likely voters
International Financial Insider October 16–18, 2019 43% 37% 18% Registered voters
Channel 20 TV October 16, 2019 39% 33% 28% Registered voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli October 10–11, 2019 34% 37% 26% Registered voters
Channel 10 TV October 6, 2019 49% 39% 7% Likely voters
King Solomon University September 27, 2019 37% 37% 23% Registered voters
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch September 23–26, 2019 43% 41% 13% Likely voters
Zman Yisrael September 22, 2019 47% 42% 8% Likely voters
Union of Dati Leumi Synogogues September 18–19, 2019 39% 31% 25% Registered voters
HaMaariv September 15–17, 2019 47% 45% 6% Likely voters
Channel 10 TV September 11–12, 2019 40% 37% 19% Registered voters
Action Now Surveys
(Action Yisrael)
September 10–13, 2019 41% 36% 20% Registered voters
Oved Yehudi HaBavli September 8–9, 2019 33% 38% 27% Registered voters
Salomon Polling Associates, Ltd. September 5, 2019 35% 35% 28% Registered voters
Royal Yerushalayim Dispatch September 3–5, 2019 44% 39% 15% Likely voters
Channel 20 TV September 4, 2019 37% 35% 25% Registered voters

Knesset

Results

Presidential

Breakdown of the Electoral College result. Navy and cobalt are Conservative victories, Gold is a Con-Lib victory, and Light Blue is an United Center victory.

The Right Bloc candidate Yitzchok Katz won the Electoral College by a vote of 109 - winning the Northern, Yarden Valley, Yerushalayim, Western, and Eastern Districts. His opponents, the United Center Bloc's Reuven Goldschmidt, won 64 votes, winning the Central and Southern Districts while the Left Bloc's Yosef Kaduri won 19 votes from the Dervaylik District, the worse showing for the Con-Libs in history.

Nationwide, the popular vote came out to 1,936,088 votes for Katz (44.3%), 1,364,987 votes for Goldschmidt (31.1%), and 1,056,541 votes for Kaduri (23.6%).

Knesset

The next composition of the 49th session of Knesset will be:

Knesset Years Knesset
RCP CLP TA AY AfY AGSW LNJ Ind. Vacan
cies
49th 2020-2022 64 14 19 17 25 1 2 0 0

See also