2021 Estmerish general election

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2021 Estmerish general election
← 2018 27 May 2021

All 600 seats in the Chamber of Commons
301 seats needed for a majority
  Official portrait of Mr David Davis crop 2.jpg Official portrait of Lisa Nandy crop 2.jpg Kirsty Williams AM (28092338171) (cropped).jpg
Leader Reginald Wilton-Smyth Zoe Halivar Esther Bennett
Party SDU SDCP Reform
Leader since 23 April 2018 22 May 2016 11 October 2014
Leader's seat Newchurch and Harrendole Harbrough Hillside Tolbury Outer
Last election 216 187 101
Current seats 215 184 99
Seats needed Increase86 Increase117 Increase202

  Daniel Hannan by Gage Skidmore.jpg Molly Scott Cato, 2016 (cropped).jpg Official portrait of Rt Hon Sir George Howarth MP crop 2.jpg
Leader George Avery Sara Hall-Brookes
(Lead Candidate)
Aelfwin Stringer
Party Estmere First Greens Party of the Swathish
Leader since 11 August 2018 7 April 2015 15 August 2009
Leader's seat Bouley North East Tendersea Holdenshire Wilds
Last election 35 29 15
Current seats 29 29 15
Seats needed Increase272 Increase272 Increase286

Incumbent Prime Minister

Reginald Wilton-Smyth
SDU



The 2021 Estmerish general election will be held on 27 May 2021. It is a snap election, called by Prime Minister Reginald Wilton-Smyth. All 600 Members of Parliament in the Chamber of Commons will be elected.

Following 2018, the next election was not scheduled until 2022. Reginald Wilton-Smyth made the call for a snap election on 14 April 2021, and Parliament voted in favour on 15 April. Campaigning will begin unofficially with the start of purdah on 18 April, but the campaign will officially begin with the dissolution of Parliament on 25 April. The ruling Sotirian Democratic Union led by Wilton-Smyth, their coalition partners the Reform Party led by Esther Bennett and the Social Democratic and Co-operative Party under Zoe Halivar are considered the main parties running in the election.

Minor national parties running in the election include Estmere First led by George Avery, the Greens led by Sara Hall-Brookes and Nathan Coutanche, and ESWI led by Ted Barnes, while relevant regionalist parties include the Party of the Swathish led by Aelfwin Stringer and the Aldman Democratic Alliance led by Annika Schröder. A number of new parties are also contesting the election, such as Vox Estmere, future.es and the Rural Interest and Pensioners' Party.

Polling day is 27 May, and full results are likely to be announced 28 May after list votes have been taken into account.

Background

Gambled pensions scandal

Mortimer's leadership challenge

Electoral system

Voting eligibility

Timetable

Parties

At the end of the 2018 parliament, eight political parties had representation in the Chamber of Commons. The three largest parties in Estmere are the Sotirian Democratic Union, the Social Democratic and Co-operative Party and the Reform Party, together comprising just under 85% of the seats in the Chamber, and it is widely expected that these parties will come out on top after the election. They are also the only parties to be contesting every constituency seat as well as the list vote.

Other relevant national parties include Estmere First, the Greens and the Estmerish Section of the Workers' International. Smaller, newer parties contesting a national election for the first time include the Vox Estmere, future.es and the Rural Interest and Pensioners' Party. Two regionalist parties, the Party of the Swathish and the Aldman Democratic Alliance, are contesting a select number of constituency seats based on the distribution of Swathish and Aldman speakers respectively.

Name Ideology Leader(s) 2018 general election result Seats at dissolution
Votes (%) Seats
Constituency Party list
Sotirian Democratic Union Conservatism
Sotirian democracy
Economic liberalism
Reginald Wilton-Smyth 35.6
216 / 600
215 / 600
Social Democratic and Co-operative Party Social democracy
Co-operatism
Democratic socialism
Pro-Eucleanism
Zoe Halivar 30.9
187 / 600
184 / 600
Reform Party Social liberalism
Progressivism
Pro-Eucleanism
Esther Bennett 16.7
101 / 600
99 / 600
Estmere First Right-wing populism
Estmerish nationalism
Euclosceptism
George Avery 5.8
35 / 600
29 / 600
Greens Green politics
Progressivism
Pro-Eucleanism
Sara Hall-Brookes
Nathan Coutanche
4.9
29 / 600
29 / 600
Party of the Swathish Swathish nationalism
Social democracy
Civic nationalism
Regionalism
Aelfwin Stringer 2.6
15 / 600
15 / 600
Estmerish Section of the Workers' International Council socialism
Anti-capitalism
Soft-Euclosceptism
Ted Barnes 2.5
15 / 600
14 / 600
Aldman Democratic Alliance Aldman regionalism
Social liberalism
Civic nationalism
Annika Schröder 0.4
2 / 600
2 / 600
Vox Estmere Euclofederalism
Social liberalism
Marcello Schipani
Kat Rodham
Did not exist
0 / 600
future.es Future politics
E-democracy
Nate Foreman Did not exist
0 / 600
Rural Interest and Pensioners' Party Agrarianism
Pensioners' interests
Dorris Tippery Did not exist
0 / 600

Campaign

Election debates

Endorsements

A number of organisations, individuals and newspapers have made endorsements on behalf of parties and individual candidates in the election. Most notably, a significant number of heads of governments of Euclean Community members nations associated with the Pink Wave made interventions in the election to support their preferred candidate for Prime Minister, Zoe Halivar, and her party. This has been described as part of a 'federalisation' of Euclean politics.

Newspapers and magazines

Newspaper Endorsement Notes
The Chartist Social Democratic and Co-operative Party
The Continental None Advised readers to "vote for pro-Euclean candidates [and] parties".
Daily Times Sotirian Democratic Union
The Damesbridge Herald Social Democratic and Co-operative Party
The Dunwich Echo Social Democratic and Co-operative Party
Economic Review Social Democratic and Co-operative Party Advised readers "vote for the anti-SDU candidate most likely to win in your constituency". Supported Zoe Halivar to become PM.
The Express Sotirian Democratic Union
Flurland News Sotirian Democratic Union
The Morwall Chronicle Social Democratic and Co-operative Party
Red Sunday Social Democratic and Co-operative Party
The Standard None Called for readers to vote for "moderate SDU candidates" to "push Mr Wilton-Smyth" to resign.
St Richards Times Sotirian Democratic Union
The Swathish National Party of the Swathish
Wealdland Post Social Democratic and Co-operative Party
Witterite News Social Democratic and Co-operative Party
The Hamptonshire Post Social Democratic and Co-operative Party
Hjoed/Today Sotirian Democratic Union
The Norland Post Social Democratic and Co-operative Party
Westhaven Journal None

Individuals

Aldman Democratic Alliance

Estmere First

Estmerish Section of the Workers' International

future.es

Greens

Party of the Swathish

Reform Party

Rural Interest and Pensioners' Party

Social Democratic and Co-operative Party

Sotirian Democratic Union

Vox Estmere

Organisations and other political parties

Aldman Democratic Alliance

Estmere First

Estmerish Section of the Workers' International

future.es

Greens

Party of the Swathish

Reform Party

Rural Interest and Pensioners' Party

Social Democratic and Co-operative Party

Sotirian Democratic Union

Vox Estmere

Opinion polling

Opinion polls were conducted throughout the period following the last election, by a number of polling organisations, most of which are members of the Estmerish Opinion Polling Organisation. Below are two graphs showing opinion poll result average trendline for the general election. The first includes all parties which won list seat in the last election, while the second focuses on minor parties.

Graphical summary of the average of polls conducted for the general election for parties from the current Parliament.
Graphical summary of the average of polls conducted for the general election for minor parties.

Target seats