2021 Estmerish general election
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All 600 seats in the Chamber of Commons 301 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Registered | 42,308,455 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 30,822,889 (72.85%; 2.4 pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2021 Estmerish general election was held on 28 May 2021. It was a snap election, called for by Prime Minister Reginald Wilton-Smyth on 14 April with the intention of providing clarity following the gambled pensions scandal[1]. All 600 Members of Parliament in the Chamber of Commons were elected. Official results were released on 29 May[2].
Following 2018, the next election was not scheduled until 2022. Reginald Wilton-Smyth made the call for a snap election on 14 April, and Parliament voted in favour on 15 April[1]. Campaigning unofficially began with the start of purdah on 18 April, but the campaign officially began with the dissolution of Parliament on 25 April[3]. Pensions, social security and housing were considered major issues in the campaign, with foreign and social policy also taking prominence in response to LGBT-free zones in Etruria[4]. Age and opinion of leaders were considered to impact voting intention in the campaign[5]. The campaign was also notable for the prominent role that foreign leaders played in the campaign, with Pink Wave leaders endorsing and campaigning for Halivar and her party, possibly to capitalise on her momentum for their own electoral tests[6], in what has been described as the federalisation of EC politics[7].
The opposition Progressive Social Democrats emerged from the election as the largest party, and Zoe Halivar announced her intention to form a minority government with support from smaller progressive parties[8]. The results were the best for the social democratic left since the 1973 election, and the worst for the Reform Party since its foundation in 1980, and saw leader Esther Bennett lose her constituency seat. The governing Sotirian Democratic Union fell back, but retained a sizable vote share and attempted to form a government. The Greens saw a rise in their vote share, challenging Reform for third-largest party. Three new parties, Vox Estmere, future.es and the Centre Party, won seats in Parliament for the first time.
Voter turnout in the election was 72.85%, up 2.4% since the last election, and the highest for a national election since 1999. The PSD was seen to have reversed long-term trends by supplanting Reform as the major centre-left party, doing so by broadening its appeal and winning voters in suburban areas with a focus on social liberalism and competence[8].
Background
The previous 2018 election saw the governing Sotirian Democratic Union gain seats, with newly-elected leader Reginald Wilton-Smyth seen to have breathed new life into the party. The party continued their coalition deal with the Reform Party under Esther Bennett, but the opposition Progressive Social Democrats under Zoe Halivar also advanced in the election, emerging stronger than before.
Gambled pensions scandal
News of the gambled pensions scandal broke on 8 February 2021, when Penny Dorchester of the Economic Review published an article which relayed information from an anynomous whistleblower from the Treasury, revealing that government records showed discrepencies between annual pensions contributions and the overall ringfenced pension pot, suggesting that a quarter of the fund was missing[9]. Both the Review[10] and Leader of the Opposition Zoe Halivar[11] asked the Prime Minister where the money was, with Halivar raising the issue in Prime Minister's Questions, and the PSD leader called for a transparent public investigation[12]. The Prime Minister initially dismissed the claims as "baseless yellow journalism".
On 24 February 2021 The Chartist reported that another whistleblower had contacted them, revealing that the pensions had been "gambled" in a risky stock market investment against the advice of the Treasury. The money had been invested with Frobisher-Green Management, which defaulted on its debts earlier in the month. At least €3.5 billion had been lost in the investment[13]. Polls showed that the public did not believe that the claims were "baseless", as the PM had suggested. On 25 February, in response to the allegations, the government released a statement on the scandal, which was seen as underwhelming, urging the public not to panic and to trust in the process[14][15]. Halivar once again called for an investigation and asserted that public trust was diminishing[16].
Mortimer's leadership challenge
On 9 March, Jon Mortimer resigned as Secretary of State for Health and Social Affairs in opposition to Wilton-Smyth's handling of the pensions scandal[17]. Supported by a number of SDU grandees[18], Mortimer lodged a formal leadership challenge with the SDU organising committee on 14 March[19], which led to a closed leadership election beginning on 16 March between Mortimer and Wilton-Smyth. Wilton-Smyth narrowly won the contest on 29 March, but a majority of SDU federal MPs voted for Mortimer, which was seen as Wilton-Smyth having lost their confidence[20].
Though Wilton-Smyth won the contest, it was seen to have damaged his government. He was seen to have lost the support of his backbenchers, and his coalition partners were reportedly seeking out a new coalition deal with the opposition under Halivar[21]. Cabinet unity had also been damaged during the contest[22]. The government therefore announced late in the evening on 13 April that they would be making an announcement the day after[23], and it was then that Wilton-Smyth called for a snap general election on 14 April, reportedly aiming to catch the opposition off-guard[1]. Parliament voted in favour of a snap election on 15 April.
Electoral system
Elections to the Chamber of Commons use the Additional Member System, or AMS for short. AMS is a mixed system that is semi-proportional. Voters have two votes. One vote for a local constituency, and one vote for their preferred party in a party list for each constituent entity. List seats are allocated through the Boeri method, with the winners of the constituency seats taken into account.
To be eligible for list seats, parties must pass an electoral threshold of 2.5% of the vote in any of the constituent entities.
There are 600 total elected members of the Chamber. Of these, 400 members are elected through first-past-the-post constituency seats, with the remaining 200 members elected through party list.
301 seats are required for a majority. The party that recieves the most votes usually forms the government, but due to the proportional nature of the system it is unlikely for a single party to recieve a majority on its own. As such, coalition governments and minority government are common, and it is possible for the largest party to be excluded from government.
The 2021 election will use the constituency boundaries first drawn for the 2012 general election. This will be the fourth general election to use these constituency boundaries. The constituencies are overdue for a boundary review, with new boundaries legally-required before 2022, and so it is likely this will be the last general election to use these constituency boundaries.
Voting eligibility
In order to vote in the election, voters had to meet the criteria to be considered eligible, and register to vote before midnight 13 May, two weeks prior to polling day. Eligible voters had to be;
- aged 18 or older on polling day
- an Estmerish or Euclean Community citizen
- permanently resident in Estmere, or owning property in Estmere
- not excluded due to legal reasons, such as;
- being convicted of a crime or being in contempt of court
- being an apolitical member of the Chamber of Peers
Voters could be registered to multiple constituencies through multiple residences, but can only vote in one constituency. Overseas voters vote as if living at their last Estmerish address.
Timetable
Key dates in the election are listed below:
14 April 2021 | Prime Minister Reginald Wilton-Smyth announced his intention to hold a snap election[1] |
15 April 2021 | Bill to dissolve Parliament for an early election passes the Chamber of Commons |
18 April 2021 | Purdah begins[1] |
25 April 2021 | Parliament is officially dissolved for the election by President Alice Roberts[3] |
25 April 2021 | Campaigning officialy begins[3] |
27 April 2021 | First televised debate[24] |
29 April 2021 | Deadline for party list nominations |
30 April 2021 | Deadline for constituency candidate nominations |
13 May 2021 | Last day to register to vote |
28 May 2021 | Polling day |
28 May 2021 | Preliminary election results announced[1] |
29 May 2021 | Official election results announced[2] |
3 June 2021 | First meeting of the next Parliament |
Parties
At the end of the 2018 parliament, eight political parties had representation in the Chamber of Commons. The three largest parties in Estmere are the Sotirian Democratic Union, the Progressive Social Democrats and the Reform Party, together comprising just under 85% of the seats in the Chamber, and it is widely expected that these parties will come out on top after the election.
Other relevant national parties include Estmere First, the Greens and the Left Party, all of which currently have Parliamentary representation. A number of smaller, newer parties are also contesting a national election for the first time, including Vox Estmere, future.es and the Centre Party. Two regionalist parties, the Party of the Swathish and the Aldman Democratic Alliance, are contesting a select number of constituency seats based on the distribution of Swathish and Aldman speakers respectively.
Campaign
The campaign officially began on 25 April[3], but some 'light' campaigning had started as soon as purdah began on 18 April[1].
Reform and Estmere First both launched their campaigns on 26 April, in Colton and St Richards respectively. The Reform Party focused the launch of their campaign on their "moderating influence" on the SDU-led coalition, and pointed to a number of government successes in departments headed by their ministers. Estmere First started their campaign with a pledge to reduce net immigration to 0%[25].
The first television debate between party leaders was held on 27 April, hosted by EBS News, and subject to EBS broadcasting regulations. Ạlfvynn Striġder of the Party of the Swathish criticised the regulations as "unfair" to regionalist parties. The debate was described as "messy", and polls showed that no party leader was considered to have won the debate by a majority of voters. Halivar was rated marginally ahead of the other candidates[24].
Most major parties launched their official campaigns in the last week of April. The PSD officially launched their campaign on 29 April, promising to resolve the pensions scandal and tackle the housing crisis, in order to bring "real change" to Estmere[25]. The SDU, Greens and Left Party all launched their campaigns officially on 30 April. The SDU promised to continue the economic recovery and to mtaintain Estmere's presence abroad in support of liberal democracy. The Greens promised to tackle climate change, and the Left promised to end austerity[25].
Estmere First launched their manifesto on 15 May, with George Avery pledging to drop the Euclo, require companies to advertise jobs to Estmerish citizens first, enact a referendum on restoring the death penalty, prmote Estmerish pride in schools, stop foreign aid payments, end same-sex marriage, protect single-sex spaces and promote Estmere as a Sotirian country[26].
On 18 May, Reginald Wilton-Smyth released the SDU manifesto entitled Sensibility and Spine in Colton, revealing the party's platform[27]. Headline policy committments included a freeze on VAT, a comprehensive reform of inheritance tax, the capping of yearly net immigration at 75,000, a promise to 'foster national pride' in the Estmerish curriculum, and an opposition the 'federalisation' of the Euclean Community[28]. The manifesto also pledged to cap benefit payments, lift the tax bracket for poorer earners, protect Estmerish manufacturers, reform immigration law to allow for the deportation of immigrants who commit crimes, and opposition to Tsabaran refugee quotas. The party also promised to repay pensions lost in the pensions scandal[26].
Left Party leader Ted Barnes launched his party's campaign on the morning of 19 May, swiftly followed by Sara Hall-Brookes and Coutanche of the Greens in the afternoon[26]. Barnes committed his party to dropping the Euclo, abolishing private healthcare providers, introducing a wealth tax, withdrawing from the Tsabaran conflict, abolishing tuition fees, banning conversion therapy and tackling poor working conditions in the gig economy[26]. The party was criticised by Qadir Jabbar of TSWI for opposing involvement in the Tsabaran conflict, against a "functionalist and religious extremist state"[29].
The Green manifesto promised to fund a transition to green energy by raising the top rate of income tax, to introduce tax breaks for carbon netural companies, to legalise marijuana, to introduce an animal rights charter, to work for an EC-wide green new deal and to support self-identification for transgender and non-binary people. Hall-Brookes confirmed that she was their candidate for PM, with Coutanche being deputy PM candidate[26].
Zoe Halivar launched the PSD's manifesto in Sheaford on 20 May, pledging to "change the country for the better"[30]. The PSD manifesto claimed to emphasise equality, justice and competence, with a number of headline policies, including widespread infrastructure investment, a resolution to the pensions scandal which restored public pensions, a house building campaign to tackle the housing crisis, a committment 'cradle to grave' education and healthcare, prison reform, a reversal of local government cuts, and a number of social reforms including non-binary gender recogntion, increased accessibility and linguistic pluralism, including motions to make Aldman and Estmerish Sign Language national languages[26][31].
In their manifesto, launched 21 May, the Reform Party pledged to institute a plastic bag tax to tackle littering, to protect the squeezed middle with no income tax rises, to legalise marijuana, fully devolve the curriculum to the states, open grammar schools up to more student from low-income backgrounds, and ensure disabled people have access to job interviews[26].
The third EBS News debate on 21 May focused on social policy, and saw leaders from six major national parties answer public-submitted questions related to gender recognition, conversion therapy, disability rights, responding to prejudice, and tackling inequality. The debate became notable when the first question related to the LGBT-free zones in Etruria, with Wilton-Smyth's response seen negatively[4].
Voters' opinion of party leaders was identified as an increasingly important component of the campaign, seemingly in contrast with prior elections. Polling undertaken by Peer Sootland identified that Halivar was associated with more positive terms, such as "honest" and "competent", than Wilton-Smyth, who was more likely to be identified as "incompetent" or "smug"[5]. It has been suggested that a reasoning for this is Wilton-Smyth's handling of the pensions scandal, which narrowed his appeal as he was no longer seen as economically competent[32]. Notably, perceptions of the party leaders correlated with age, with younger voters more positive of Halivar and older voters more positive of Wilton-Smyth, suggesting that age might be playing an important part in predicting voting intention[5].
Television debates
A number of televeision debates were held. For all debates held on any channel or service run by the Estmerish Broadcasting Service, broadcasting regulations dictated that party leaders were invited only if they were standing across the country and already maintained seats in Parliament or had consistently, for at least three contintuous months, polled higher than the electoral threshold of 2.5% in opinion poll averages. This meant that the Party of the Swathish and the Aldman Democratic Alliance, despite holding seats in Parliament, were not eligible to take part.
Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | Subject | P Present S Surrogate NI Not invited A Absent invitee INV Invited | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SDU | PSD | Reform | Estmere First | Greens | Left | PS | Ref. | |||||
27 April | EBS News | Emily Ford | Leaders' debate | P Wilton-Smyth |
P Halivar |
P Bennett |
P Avery |
P Hall-Brookes |
P Barnes |
NI | [24] | |
30 April | NTV | Paul Shanelly | "Big three" leaders' debate | P Wilton-Smyth |
P Halivar |
P Bennett |
NI | NI | NI | NI | ||
3 May | NTV Swerdia | Richard Gunnarsson | Debate in the Swathish language | P Wilton-Smyth |
P Halivar |
P Bennett |
A | S Haroldson |
P Barnes |
P Striġder |
||
7 May | EBS News | Emily Ford | Foreign policy | P Wilton-Smyth |
P Halivar |
P Bennett |
P Avery |
P Hall-Brookes |
P Barnes |
NI | ||
11 May | NTV d'Estme | Julia Montfort | Debate in the Flurian language | P Wilton-Smyth |
P Halivar |
P Bennett |
P Avery |
P Coutanche |
P Barnes |
NI | ||
13 May | NTV | Paul Shanelly | Smaller party leaders' debate | NI | NI | NI | P Avery |
P Hall-Brookes |
P Barnes |
P Striġder |
||
17 May | EBS/University of Morwall | Emily Ford | Young voters | P Wilton-Smyth |
P Halivar |
P Bennett |
S Thomson |
P Hall-Brookes |
P Barnes |
NI | ||
21 May | EBS News | Emily Ford | Social policy | P Wilton-Smyth |
P Halivar |
P Bennett |
P Avery |
P Hall-Brookes |
P Barnes |
NI | [4] | |
25 May | Duhamel Channel | David Jarvis | Leaders' debate | P Wilton-Smyth |
P Halivar |
P Bennett |
P Avery |
P Hall-Brookes |
P Barnes |
P Striġder |
Controversies
A number of controversies emerged during the election campaign.
On 28 April, the Morwall SDU was criticised for posting misleaing lefleats, branded with the Greater Morwall Council logo, to potential voters, warning them of a 19.7% tax hike by the Council, supported by Zoe Halivar. The leaflets were reported on 30 April by the PSD for being "clearly fictious and fraudulent". The Electoral Processes Commission determined the leaflets to be fraudulent devices on 4 May, suspending the Morwall SDU's campaign and deducting 10% of their campaign chest in the form of a fine.
On 2 May, Alison Cooper, the PSD candidate for Tootle and Harwich, was reported to the Electoral Processes Commission by the SDU for alleged treating, after she posted an image on Chirper of a box of cookies being given to a voter. On 5 May the EPC declared that the incident did not qualify for action, as the cookies had been given to PSD members campaigning for the party, not independent voters.
Endorsements
A number of organisations, individuals and newspapers have made endorsements on behalf of parties and individual candidates in the election.
Notably, a significant number of heads of governments of Euclean Community members nations associated with the Pink Wave made unprecedented interventions in the election to support their preferred candidate for Prime Minister, Zoe Halivar, and her party. This has been described as part of a 'federalisation' of Euclean politics[7]. It has been suggested that part of the reason for this is that other ASE parties hope to capitalise on the momemtum of the PSD in a 'pink renaissance' to win electoral contests in their own countries[6].
Newspapers and magazines
National newspapers
Newspaper | Endorsement | Notes | |
---|---|---|---|
The Chartist | Progressive Social Democrats | ||
Daily Times | Sotirian Democratic Union | ||
Economic Review | Progressive Social Democrats | Advised readers "vote for the anti-SDU candidate most likely to win in your constituency". Supported Zoe Halivar to become PM. | |
The Express | Sotirian Democratic Union | ||
Red Sunday | Progressive Social Democrats | ||
The Standard | None | Called for readers to vote for "moderate SDU candidates" to "push Mr Wilton-Smyth" to resign. | |
Witterite News | Progressive Social Democrats |
National political magazines
Newspaper | Endorsement | Notes | |
---|---|---|---|
May Day | Progressive Social Democrats | Left-wing political magazine | |
The Nation | Sotirian Democratic Union | Right-wing political magazine |
Other national publications
Newspaper | Endorsement | Notes | |
---|---|---|---|
Cultural Review | Progressive Social Democrats | Weekly culture and arts magazine | |
Mode | Progressive Social Democrats | Weekly fashion magazine | |
Reverb | Progressive Social Democrats | Bi-monthly rock music magazine | |
Teen Mode | Progressive Social Democrats | Weekly fashion magazine aimed at young people | |
Wow! | Progressive Social Democrats | Bi-monthly pop music magazine |
Local newspapers
Newspaper | Endorsement | Notes | |
---|---|---|---|
The Damesbridge Herald | Progressive Social Democrats | Weekly newspaper covering Damesbridgeshire | |
The Dunwich Echo | Progressive Social Democrats | Daily newspaper covering Dunwich and the wider Dunwich County | |
Flurland News | Sotirian Democratic Union | Daily newspaper covering the constituent entity of Flurland | |
The Morwall Chronicle | Progressive Social Democrats | Daily newspaper covering the constituent entity of Greater Morwall | |
St Richards Times | Sotirian Democratic Union | Daily newspaper covering the city of St Richards | |
The Swathish National | Party of the Swathish | Daily newspaper covering the constituent entity of Wealdland | |
Wealdland Post | Progressive Social Democrats | Daily newspaper covering the constituent entity of Wealdland |
Foreign newspapers
Newspaper | Endorsement | Notes | |
---|---|---|---|
The Continental | None | Advised readers to "vote for pro-Euclean candidates [and] parties". | |
The Hamptonshire Post | Progressive Social Democrats | Swathish-language Alslandic newspaper. | |
The Norland Post | Progressive Social Democrats | Estmerish-language Borish newspaper. | |
Today | Party of the Swathish | Swathish-language version of Alslandic newspaper Hjoed. | |
Westhaven Journal | None | Estmerish-language Borish newspaper. |
Individuals
Aldman Democratic Alliance
- Haiko Posthuma, Weranian politician and leader of the Aldman People's Party
Estmere First
- Alfred Boulanger, Gaullican politician and leader of the National Front
Reform Party
- Coralie Barreau, Gaullican politician and co-leader of the PRCP
- Zacharie Blanchard, Gaullican politician and co-leader of the PRCP
- Penny Dorchester, journalist and economist (Also endorsed the PSD)
- Abigail Kynd, journalist
- Matt LePonde, journalist
- Jimmy O'Reilly, Caldish politician and former Taoiseach of Caldia
Progressive Social Democrats
- Sofija Anasdohter, Azmaran politician and incumbent Thingspeaker of Azmara[7][33]
- Alexandra Aurelia, Amathian politician and leader of the League of Equalists and Democrats[7]
- Baba Baba, indie rock band[34]
- Andrew Bohn, Nuvanian politician and incumbent Chief Minister of Nuvania[35]
- Len Dawson, journalist[34]
- Monique Degar-Abdulrashid, Gaullican politician and incumbent President of Gaullica[7][36]
- Desert Apes, rock band[34]
- Auro De Maio, Etrurian-born actor[34]
- Penny Dorchester, journalist and economist[34] (Also endorsed the Reform Party)
- Ian Durras, rugby player[34]
- Esmeralda Falcão, Paretian politician and leader of the Social Democrats of Paretia[7][37]
- Jonathan Fraser, Alslandic politician and former Premier of Alsland
- Gustzy, musician[34]
- Anna Harrington, musician[34]
- Luise Höcherl, Weranian politician and leader of the SRPO[7]
- Clara Hverman, Borish politician and leader of the New Left[7]
- Eryk Jorśsun, Azmaran politician and former Thingspeaker of Azmara
- Just Tell Me, rock band[34]
- Annie Kendall, journalist and activist[34]
- Dani Leiberman, actor and activist[34]
- Stiofán Mac Suibhne, Caldish politician and incumbent Taoiseach of Caldia[7][38]
- Cate Marshal, journalist[34]
- Irena Mesić, Slirnian politician and incumbent Premier of Slirnia[39]
- Louis Matthew Montgomery, composer and playwright[34]
- Ottila Möller, Alslandic politician and incumbent Premier of Alsland[7]
- Periodic Ways, rock band[34]
- Brooke Richards, television producer and screenwriter, creator of Faculty[34]
- Martina Scott, Alslandic politician and former Premier and President of Alsland
- Gopal Singh, journalist[34]
- Suspa, musician[34]
- Mathéo Turzyna, Gaullican politician and incumbent Premier of Gaullica[7]
- Salenna Tyson, actress[34]
- Jean Vallette, Gaullican politician and former President of Gaullica[7]
- Rupert van Bleiswijk, Hennish politician and incumbent Premier of Hennehouwe[7][6][40]
- YBRV, musician[34]
- Vivi, musician[34]
- Bonne Zijlstra, Alslandic politician and former President of the Euclean Community[7]
Sotirian Democratic Union
- Amy Alehome, journalist
- Edward Bates, journalist
- Isilda Cerqueira, Paretian politician and incumbent Premier of Paretia[41]
- Hugo-Noël Devereaux, Gaullican politician and former President of Gaullica
- Augustin De Troumpe, Gaullican politician and former Cabinet minister
- Lilliana Elliott, Alslandic politician and former Premier of Premier of Alsland
- Rob Little, journalist
- Pádraig Mac Piarais, Caldish politician and leader of the Liberty Party
- Bartholomäus Stobrawa, Weranian politician and incumbent Minister-President of Cislania
- Alan Rickman, journalist
- Vittoria Vasari, Etrurian politician and incumbent Vice President of Etruria[42]
- Albert Lucas Winson, composer and playright
- Dietrich Wittmann, Weranian politician and former Chancellor of Werania
- Daniella Wright, Alslandic politician and leader of the Democrats
Organisations and other political parties
Aldman Democratic Alliance
Left Party
- Trade unions
- Other
Greens
Centre Party
- National Agricultural Guild (Endorsed Centre in the list vote and specific SDU constituency candidates)
Progressive Social Democrats
- Trade unions
- Academic Assistance Association
- ACT – The Actors' Union
- Congress of Estmerish Trade Unions
- Electric and Industrial Workers' Union
- Firefighters Union
- General Workers' Union
- Independent and Unorganised Workers' Union
- Mineworkers' Federation
- Musicians' and Cultural Workers' Union
- National Teachers' Association
- Postal and Communication Union
- Public and Municipal Workers' Union
- Public Sector Association
- Service and Shop Workers' Union
- Shipping, Portworkers' and Transport Union
- Steelworkers' Union
- Unite Together
- Writers' Guild
- Other
Sotirian Democratic Union
- National Agricultural Guild (Endorsed Centre in the list vote and specific SDU constituency candidates)
- Veritas Institute, a right-wing non-profit political advocacy organisation and think tank
Opinion polling
Opinion polls were conducted throughout the period following the last election, by a number of polling organisations, most of which are members of the Estmerish Opinion Polling Organisation. Below is a graph showing opinion poll result average trendline for the general election.
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Exit poll
An exit poll was conducted by YouPoll on behalf of the News Association, and was published at 10pm after voting had finished. It predicted that the Progressive Social Democrats was the largest party, with the Sotirian Democratic Union and Reform Party coalition losing their overall majority[44]. The results were close to the exit poll, though it slightly over-estimated the SDU and Reform seats, and underestimated the PSD and new party (Vox, future.es, Centre) seats[45][2].
Parties | Seats | Change | |
---|---|---|---|
Progressive Social Democrats | 250 | 63 | |
Sotirian Democratic Union | 205 | 11 | |
Reform Party | 47 | 54 | |
Greens | 36 | 7 | |
Left Party | 19 | 4 | |
Party of the Swathish | 13 | 2 | |
Centre Party | 12 | 12 | |
Vox Estmere | 11 | 11 | |
future.es | 5 | 5 | |
Aldman Democratic Alliance | 2 | ||
Estmere First | 0 | 35 | |
PSD 51 short of a majority |
Results
Constituency results came in through the night, with the first constituency to declare being Longwood East at 11:16pm, beating Rasifax and Ramsfield West who declared second and third respectively. Strool was gthe last constituency to declare, at 1pm the following day, following four recounts[44]. The full constituency results and preliminary party list results were announced on 28 May[45]. For constituencies, the PSD were on 195, the SDU on 148, Reform on 37, the Greens on 8, the Left on 1, PS on 9, the ADA on 2 and all others on 0. The preliminary party list results showed the PSD between 54-63, the SDU between 44-59, Reform between 1-13, the Greens between 27-35, the Left between 14-26, PS between 0-3, Vox between 4-13, Centre between 7-19, future.es between 2-11 future.es, and all others on 0[45].
The full official results were announced on 29 May[2], showing the Progressive Social Democrats on 253 seats, outperforming the exit poll, with the Sotirian Democratic Union on 199 and the Reform Party on 44, both underperforming the exit poll. The PSD was the largest party by a significant margin, and was widely reported to have won the election. It emerged as the largest party for the first time in a national election since the 1973 election, and Zoe Halivar announced her intention to form a minority government with an informal agreement of support from Reform, the Greens and Left. This was in spite of Reginald Wilton-Smyth also attempting to secure a majority in the Chamber for his incumbent government. Wilton-Smyth conceded defeat on 31 May, and Halivar was invited by President Alice Roberts to form a government[8].
253 | 40 | 21 | 44 | 199 | 43 |
Progressive Social Democrats | Greens | Left | Reform | Sotirian Democratic Union | Others |
File:2021 Estmere Parliament.svg | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Constituency | Party | Seats | +/– | |||
Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||
Progressive Social Democrats | 13,805,572 | 44.79 | 12,729,101 | 41.30 | 253 | 66 | |
Sotirian Democratic Union | 10,529,099 | 34.16 | 10,032,054 | 32.55 | 199 | 17 | |
Reform Party | 2,780,225 | 9.02 | 2,185,905 | 7.09 | 44 | 57 | |
Greens | 1,417,853 | 4.60 | 2,116,405 | 6.87 | 40 | 11 | |
Left Party | 610,293 | 1.98 | 1,156,376 | 3.75 | 21 | 6 | |
Centre Party | 332,887 | 1.08 | 793,954 | 2.58 | 14 | New | |
Party of the Swathish | 591,799 | 1.92 | 531,767 | 1.73 | 10 | 5 | |
Vox Estmere | 228,089 | 0.74 | 583,917 | 1.89 | 10 | New | |
future.es | 197,266 | 0.64 | 384,706 | 1.25 | 7 | New | |
Aldman Democratic Alliance | 126,374 | 0.41 | 104,010 | 0.34 | 2 | 0 | |
Estmere First | 151,032 | 0.49 | 115,587 | 0.38 | 0 | 35 | |
All other parties | 50,008 | 0.16 | 84,925 | 0.28 | – | – | |
Total | 30,820,497 | 100.00 | 30,818,707 | 100.00 | 600 | 600 | |
Valid votes | 30,820,497 | 99.99 | 30,818,707 | 99.99 | |||
Invalid/blank votes | 2,391 | 0.01 | 4,183 | 0.01 | |||
Total votes | 30,822,888 | 100.00 | 30,822,890 | 100.00 | |||
Registered voters/turnout | 42,308,455 | 72.85 | |||||
Source: EBS News Online |
References
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 "Reginald Wilton-Smyth calls snap election in order to "provide clarity to the nation"". EBS News. 14 April 2021. Retrieved 30 April 2021.
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 "@ebs_news". Chirper. 29 May 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2021.
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 "Parliament dissolved, campaigning starts in earnest". EBS News. 25 April 2021. Retrieved 30 April 2021.
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 "RWS criticised for 'LGBT free zone' comments". The Chartist. 22 May 2021. Retrieved 22 May 2021.
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 5.2 ""Honest" or "Straight-talking"; what the voters think". The Standard. 24 May 2021. Retrieved 25 May 2021.
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 "All eyes on Estmere as domestic elections loom". Courant. 3 May 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2021.
- ↑ 7.00 7.01 7.02 7.03 7.04 7.05 7.06 7.07 7.08 7.09 7.10 7.11 7.12 7.13 "The Federalisation of Euclean Politics". The Continental. 28 April 2021. Retrieved 28 April 2021.
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 8.2 "@Halivar invited to form minority government as Wilton-Smyth concedes defeat". EBS News. 31 May 2021. Retrieved 31 May 2021.
- ↑ "Private pensions, public problems; the numbers just don't add up". Economic Review. 8 February 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "@Economic_Review". Chirper. 8 February 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "@halivarzoe". Chirper. 8 February 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "@halivarzoe". Tweeter. 11 February 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "Whistleblower speaks up; "they gambled it all"". The Chartist. 24 February 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "Prime Minister releases statement on pensions scandal". The Standard. 25 February 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "@MoorwoodHouse". Chirper. 25 February 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "@halivarzoe". Chirper. 25 February 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "Minister resigns; "I cannot support this govt"". The Chartist. 9 March 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "Govt in chaos as beckbenchers challenge RWS". The Chartist. 15 March 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "@Politics4Every1". Chirper. 14 March 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "RWS narrowly wins leadership challenge". The Chartist. 30 March 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "Senior Reform MPs "exploring options" with Halivar". The Standard. 11 March 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "Cabinet unity "in tatters" after first leadership hustings". The Standard. 19 March 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ "@MoorwoodHouse". Chirper. 13 April 2021. Retrieved 1 May 2021.
- ↑ 24.0 24.1 24.2 "First debate held on EBS; polls show "no clear winner" in a "messy debate"". EBS News. 28 April 2021. Retrieved 28 April 2021.
- ↑ 25.0 25.1 25.2 "Election 2021: Hope and loathing in Morwall". The Chartist. 4 May 2021. Retrieved 4 May 2021.
- ↑ 26.0 26.1 26.2 26.3 26.4 26.5 26.6 "Election 2021 - A guide to the parties and their promises; party manifestos at a glance". EBS News. 21 May 2021. Retrieved 22 May 2021.
- ↑ "@PrimeMinisterEs". Chirper. 18 May 2021. Retrieved 20 May 2021.
- ↑ "@SDU". Chirper. 18 May 2021. Retrieved 20 May 2021.
- ↑ "@JabbarQ". Chirper. 21 May 2021. Retrieved 25 May 2021.
- ↑ "@halivarzoe". Chirper. 20 May 2021. Retrieved 20 May 2021.
- ↑ "@PSD". Chirper. 20 May 2021. Retrieved 20 May 2021.
- ↑ "@Annie_Kendall". Chirper. 25 May 2021. Retrieved 25 May 2021.
- ↑ "@AZThingspeaker". Chirper. 27 April 2021. Retrieved 27 April 2021.
- ↑ 34.00 34.01 34.02 34.03 34.04 34.05 34.06 34.07 34.08 34.09 34.10 34.11 34.12 34.13 34.14 34.15 34.16 34.17 34.18 34.19 "@PSD". Chirper. 27 May 2021. Retrieved 27 May 2021.
- ↑ "@AndrewBohn". Chirper. 29 April 2021. Retrieved 29 April 2021.
- ↑ "@PresidentofGaullica". Chirper. 25 April 2021. Retrieved 27 April 2021.
- ↑ "@EsmeraldaF". Chirper. 28 April 2021. Retrieved 29 April 2021.
- ↑ "@sms". Chirper. 25 April 2021. Retrieved 27 April 2021.
- ↑ "The road ahead and an open door". Drazovice Diplomatique. 30 April 2021. Retrieved 30 April 2021.
- ↑ "@rvanbleiswijk". Chirper. 27 April 2021. Retrieved 30 April 2021.
- ↑ "@CerqueiraIsilda". Chirper. 28 April 2021. Retrieved 29 April 2021.
- ↑ "@VittoriaVasari". Chirper. 27 April 2021. Retrieved 27 April 2021.
- ↑ "@SDEtruria". Chirper. 27 April 2021. Retrieved 27 April 2021.
- ↑ 44.0 44.1 "Election 2021 - Liveblog". EBS News. 28 May 2021. Retrieved 28 May 2021.
- ↑ 45.0 45.1 45.2 "Election night recap and analysis of the constituency & preliminary list results". EBS News. 28 May 2021. Retrieved 28 May 2021.