2022 Euclean presidential election

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2022 Euclean presidential election
← 2017 7-10 October 2022 (1st round)
4-7 November 2022 (2nd round)		 2027 →
725 members of the electoral college
363 electoral votes needed to win
Turnout66.96% (first round) Increase3.72 pp
63.61% (second round) Increase10.99 pp
  Sebastian Kurz (2018-02-28) (cropped).jpg Lars Løkke Rasmussen (2009).jpg
Nominee Vivien Vallette Georg Torleif Årbakke
Alliance ASE ACDE
Home state Gaullica Scovern
Electoral vote 207 (R1)
376 (R2) 		173 (R1)
349 (R2)
States carried 7 (R1)
7 (R2) 		3 (R1)
6 (R2)
Popular vote 54,851,579 (R1)
91,574,189 (R2) 		41,109,451 (R1)
81,416,300 (R2)
Percentage 29.51% (R1)
51.86% (R2) 		22.12% (R1)
46.11% (R2)
File:2022 euclean presidential election map round 2 statistical regions.svg
Map of the results of the Euclean presidential election by statistical region in the second round
President before election

Alastrí Nic Ualtair
Avant

Elected President

Vivien Vallette
ASE

The 2022 Euclean presidential election was the 4th quinquennial election of the President of the Euclean Community. The first round of the election was held between 7 and 10 October 2022, but as no candidate won a majority of seats in the electoral college, a second round runoff was held between 4 to 7 November 2022, in which Vivien Vallette of the Socialist Alternative for Euclea defeated Georg Torleif Årbakke of the Alliance of Conservatives and Democrats for Euclea, and was duly elected as president. Vallette become the second ASE member and second Gaullican elected president.

The first round saw a lead for Vallette, considered the frontrunner, with 29.51% of the popular vote and 207 seats in the electoral college. In the popular vote, the second-placed candidate was the Avant candidate Emilia Koopmann with 22.32%, compared to 22.12% for Årbakke. Koopmann only secured 168 seats in the electoral college, however, compared to the 173 seats of Årbakke, so Årbakke advanced to the second round. This was a matter of controversy during the election, even when Koopmann conceded the race for second. The three major parties were followed by António de Armas of MNED with 10.00% of the vote and 71 seats, Brine Ó Scolaidhe of MVE with 6.65% and 50 seats, Amelia Ifriu of GRM with 5.48% and 43 seats, and Ạþelviġne Vycces of AEFR with 2.16% and 14 seats. No other candidate secured seats in the electoral college, and as no candidate secured a majority of 363 seats, a runoff was called between Vallette and Årbakke.

In the second round, Vallette beat Årbakke with 51.86% of the vote and 376 seats in the electoral college compared to his 46.11% of the vote and 349 electoral college seats. Vallette carried 7 of the 13 member states, compared to Årbakke's 6. The second round had a turnout of 63.61%, lower than in the first round, but far higher than in the 2017 runoff. Årbakke conceded the following morning.

Electoral system

The Euclean President is elected in an indirect election with an electoral college of 725 members. Each member state of the Euclean Community sends a slate of electors to vote for the president with the number of electors being determined by the population of each member state and equal to the number of MEPs the state sends to the Euclean Parliament. The electors are decided through the popular vote, with voters in each member state voting for a preferred candidate. Electors are split on the candidates they vote for in proportion to their popular vote percentage according to the D'Hondt method. If no candidate in wins a simple majority of 363 electoral college votes in the first round, a second round is organised among the two candidates with the most electors.

State Population Electorate College votes
 Alsland 11,384,499 9,000,564 23
 Amathia 35,852,332 26,889,249 71
 Azmara 10,029,100 8,585,237 20
Blostland 6,192,106 4,334,474 12
Borland 12,325,000 9,847,010 25
 Caldia 9,257,180 7,495,142 18
Template:Country data Estmere 57,301,500 42,427,193 114
 Gaullica 87,176,289 62,087,226 173
 Hennehouwe 15,400,000 12,159,646 31
 Kesselbourg 2,849,000 2,026,522 6
 Paretia 31,203,301 24,503,103 62
 Scovern 27,003,197 21,617,825 54
 Werania 58,579,684 46,615,772 116
Total 364,553,188 277,588,963 725

First round

Primaries

ASE primary

File:SAE logo.png
Socialist Alternative for Euclea
Vivien Vallette
PSD - Gaullica
Sebastian Kurz (2018-02-28) (cropped).jpg
Foreign and Global Affairs Commissioner
(2019–present)

The Socialist Alternative for Euclea held a primary to determine their presidential candidate using an electoral college. The contest was won by Vivien Vallette, the incumbent Foreign and Global Affairs Commissioner.

Campaigning for the primary began when Hermansdohter declared her intention to seek the nomination on 23 January 2022, but did not begin in earnest until June 2022, with Vallette announcing his long-rumoured candidacy on 10 June 2022 and van Bleiswijk declaring on 24 June 2022. The primary campaign focused heavily on the strength of incumbent governing parties, who had more seats in the college, including the Estmerish Progressive Social Democrats, which was seen as an unknown quantity. All candidates made attempts to court the favour of the PSD and other governing parties, such as supporting Zoe Halivar's Euclean tax coordination policy.

The final vote of the 151 member electoral college was held on 10 July 2022. Vallette secured an absolute majority of 85 electors, including those of the governing Estmerish PSD, Gaullican PSD and Caldish PSD and the influential opposition Social Democrats of Paretia, and was nominated on behalf of the ASE. Hermansdohter and van Bleiswijk both conceded, and urged the party to unite around Vallette.

Defeated in primary

ACDE primary

ACDE logo.png
Alliance of Conservatives and Democrats for Euclea
Georg Torleif Årbakke
LFP - Scovern
Lars Løkke Rasmussen (2009).jpg
Premier of Scovern
(2009–2013)

The Alliance of Conservatives and Democrats for Euclea held a primary on 20 August 2022. The only candidate was Georg Torleif Årbakke, a former Premier of Scovern, who was nominated as the ACDE candidate after a unanimous vote among the leaders of the member parties. This is in accordance with the unwritten rule of the ACDE primaries, in which other candidates drop out prior to the official vote in a show of unity.

Årbakke was not unopposed in his campaign for the nomination. The campaign began when Årbakke announced his candidacy on 28 July, followed by the announcement of Alan Baskerville's candidacy on 29 June. Patrice Laurent, Hepke Veltman and Eimile Ní Meachair declared their candidacies on the 1, 3 and 8 July respectively. Baskerville quickly emerged as the frontrunner, and campaigned primarily on his policy of a "two-track" Euclea to unite the ACDE on Euclean integration. Årbakke instead took a Euclosceptic view in opposition to further integration. It eventually became clear that Årbakke was the only candidate capable of beating Baskerville, and he secured the support of Ní Meachair and Veltman. Baskerville nevetheless retained a strong lead over Årbakke in terms of party support until the final week of the campaign, when the National Consolidation Party's Anton Raicevich controversially moved to oppose Baskerville. Baskerville withdrew his candidacy two days before the official primary.

Dropped out

Avant primary

Forward Euclea Logo.png
Forward Euclea
Emilia Koopmann
EO - Werania
Emilia Koopmann.jpeg
Premier of Werania
(2011–2013)

Forward Euclea uses a direct election among party members. The primary was held in two rounds, the first held between 22 and 28 July 2022, and the second held between 15 and 20 August 2022. The second round was between Liekele Ykema and Emilia Koopmann, the highest ranked candidates from the first round, with former Premier of Werania Emilia Koopmann winning with 56.72% of the vote.

The campaign informally began on 23 January 2022, when Ykema announced his candidacy. It was not until later in the year that other candidates declared; Asker Jonssun on 1 April, Cliamain Mac Diarmada on 17 June, Zacharie Blanchard on 28 June, Koopmann on 1 July and finally Rosaline Perrier on 4 July. Initially, Perrier and Ykema were seen as the frontrunners, with Koopmann and Blanchard seen as too disconnected from the party base. It became quickly clear, however, that the nature of the party membership had changed drastically, with the membership of Koopmann's Euclean Werania and Blanchard's PRCP both dwarfing that of the other Avant parties. The race narrowed between Koopmann, Blanchard and Ykema quickly, with Perrier struggling to keep momentum.

Eventually, Ykema was seen as the best chance to beat Koopmann for older members, and was seen as a more tenured right-leaning alternative to Blanchard. In the first round, Ykema came a distant second to Koopmann, with Blanchard a strong third and Perrier languishing in fourth. Ykema advanced to the second round against Koopmann. The debate of the second round centred around whether Avant should focus on courting voters to the left or right of centre. Koopmann was derided by some as a crypto-socialist. In the end, Koopmann won the second round with a strong vote share, and Ykema conceded defeat.

Defeated in primary

MNED primary

File:MNDE logo.png
Movement for a New Democratic Euclea
António de Armas
VP - Paretia
Santiago Abascal 2022 (cropped).jpg
Foreign Affairs Minister of Paretia
(2021–present)

The Movement for a New Democratic Euclea held a primary to determine their presidential candidate, which was won by António de Armas, the incumbent Foreign Affairs Minister of Paretia since 2021. De Armas was seen as a close ally of Paretian Premier Isilda Cerqueira, and his victory in the primary was widely seen as an example of rising Paretian influence in the right-wing bloc. He beat Hank Hankssun of the Azmaran Folkspartii and Simas Nekrošius of the Weranian Democratic Alternative.

Hankssun declared his candidacy first on 15 June 2022, followed by Nekrošius on 18 June and de Armas on 6 July.

Defeated in primary

MVE primary

GEM logo.png
Green and Ecologist Movement
Brine Ó Scolaidhe
G - Caldia
Brine Ó Slatiascaig.jpg
Minister of Finance of Caldia
(1997–2002)

The Green and Ecologist Movement held a primary with a popular vote to determine their presidential candidate. The primary was won by Brine Ó Scolaidhe of the Caldish Green Party, a former Minister of Finance. He defeated Carolijn Kippers of the Kesselbourgish Ecologist Party.

Ó Scolaidhe declared his candidacy on 24 June 2022, followed by Kippers on 1 July.

Defeated in primary

GRM primary

File:MRL logo.png
Mixed Radical Left
Amelia Ifriu
SUR - Amathia
Alina Gorghiu 44.jpg
Minister of Labor of Amathia
(2014–2016)

The Mixed Radical Left held a primary to determine their presidential candidate. The primary was won by Amelia Ifriu of the Amathian Left United for the Republic, a former Minister of Labor and Member of the Euclean Parliament since 2019. She defeated Florian Engelberger of the Weranic Section of the Workers' International and Christophe Robiquet of the Gaullican Section of the Workers' International.

Engelberger declared his candidacy on 16 June 2022, followed by Ifriu on 11 July and Robiquet on 12 July.

Defeated in primary

AEFR primary

AFRE logo.png
Alliance for a Federal and Regionalist Euclea
Ạþelviġne Vycces
PS - Estmere
Official portrait of Lord Ryder of Wensum crop 2.1.jpg
Leader of AEFR
(2019–present)

The Alliance for a Federal and Regionalist Euclea held a primary to determine their presidential candidate. The primary was won by Ạþelviġne Vycces of the Party of the Swathish, a Swathish nationalist party which operates in Estmere, who has served as leader of AEFR since 2019. Vycces was a former State Minister for Education of Swerdia from 1976 to 1981, Member of Parliament from 1981 to 2003, Leader of the Party of the Swathish from 1994 to 2001. He has been a Member of the Euclean Parliament since 2004. Vycces defeated Marcello Schipani of Estmerish branch of Vox Euclea and the Gaullican independent Mathilde Pazany.

Schipani declared his candidacy on 3 June 2022, followed by Vycces on 10 July and Pazany on 15 July.

Defeated in primary

Candidates

The deadline for candidates to apply for the ballot paper ended on the 28 August 2022. Candidates had to recieve a necessary 25,000 signatures from at least 8 of the 13 member states. On 31 August 2022 the Euclean Electoral Authority published the names of the 10 candidates who had recieved the valid number of signatures. The order of the list was determined by drawing lots.

Campaign

Second round

Candidates

Candidates in the second round
Vivien Vallette Georg Torleif Årbakke
ASE ACDE
Sebastian Kurz (2018-02-28) (cropped).jpg
 Lars Løkke Rasmussen (2009).jpg
Foreign and Global Affairs Commissioner
(2019–present) 		Premier of Scovern
(2009–2013)

Campaign

Årbakke

Årbakke's campaign in the second round focused primarily on gathering Avant voters that had been lost in the first round. In several large states including Estmere and Gaullica, Årbakke failed to surpass Avant candidate Koopmann in seats won, relying primarily on large seat differents in his home state of Scovern and Werania to progress to the second round. The campaign emphasised in particular the youth and inexperience of opposition candidate Vallette, and Årbakke's personal experience in combatting economic recession in the mid-2000s as a response to predictions of an imminent continent-wide recession as early as 2023.

Endorsements

Ifriu stated her opposition to Årbakke without endorsing Vallette. Koopmann initially refrained from endorsing either candidate, before endorsing a vote for Vallette on 2 November.

Candidate Endorsement
Emilia Koopmann Vallette
António de Armas Årbakke
Brine Ó Scolaidhe Vallette
Amelia Ifriu Against Årbakke
Ạþelviġne Vycces Vallette

Opinion polling

First round

2022 Euclean Presidential election poll R1.png

Second round

2022 Euclean Presidential election poll R2.png

Results

e • d 
Candidate Party 1st round
7-10 October 2022 		2nd round
4-7 November 2022
Votes % EV Votes % EV
Vivien Vallette Socialist Alternative for Euclea ASE 54,851,579 29.51 207 91,574,189 51.86 376
Georg Torleif Årbakke Alliance of Conservatives and Democrats for Euclea ACDE 41,109,451 22.12 173 81,416,300 46.11 349
Emilia Koopmann Forward Euclea Avant 41,484,222 22.32 168
António de Armas Movement for a New Democratic Euclea MNED 18,580,406 10.00 71
Brine Ó Scolaidhe Green and Ecologist Movement MVE 12,353,628 6.65 50
Amelia Ifriu Mixed Radical Left GRM 10,178,801 5.48 43
Ạþelviġne Vycces Alliance for a Federal and Regionalist Euclea AEFR 4,009,103 2.16 14
Jacques Mignard Stop the War AG 809,440 0.44 0
Adèle Harnie Friends of the Animals AA 252,709 0.14 0
Ron Duclos Party for Royal Anarchism and Impossibilist Territorialism PARTI 91,849 0.05 0
Total 183,721,188 100.00 725 172,990,489 100.00 725
Valid votes 183,721,188 98.84 172,990,489 97.97
Blank ballots 637,676 0.34 1,025,957 0.58
Spoilt ballots 1,521,035 0.82 2,552,220 1.45
Turnout 185,879,899 66.96 176,568,666 63.61
Not voted 91,709,064 33.04 101,020,297 36.39
Registered voters 277,588,963 277,588,963
Source: Euclean Electoral Authority
Vote share – 1st round
Vivien Vallette
 
 29.51%
Emilia Koopmann
 
 22.32%
Georg Torleif Årbakke
 
 22.12%
António de Armas
 
 10.00%
Brine Ó Scolaidhe
 
 6.65%
Amelia Ifriu
 
 5.48%
Ạþelviġne Vycces
 
 2.16%
Other candidates
 
 0.62%
Vote share – 2nd round
Vivien Vallette
 
 51.86%
Georg Torleif Årbakke
 
 46.11%

Tables

Maps

  • 2022 euclean presidential election map 1st round by member state.svg

    Results of the first round by member state

  • 2022 euclean presidential election map round 1 statistical regions.svg

    Results of the first round by statistical region

  • 2022 euclean presidential election map round 2 member states.svg

    Results of the second round by member state

  • 2022 euclean presidential election map round 2 statistical regions.svg

    Results of the second round by statistical region

Aftermath

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